Question: If selections are based upon your speed figures
how do we end up with Holiday Magic and Graylyn Ruby as selections?
Selections emailed to subscribers the afternoon of 17th September 2014
Answer: As the heading they appear under suggests, the
selection process also considers class and some visual assistance.
Although I choose speed as my weapon of choice you have to
consider that a horse will only show its optimum speed when meeting its ideal
conditions. My view is, this is not so much trip orientated (within a furlong
or so) but more importantly pace. In higher class races a horse may find the
pace uncomfortable and be unable to mount anything of a challenge in the
closing stages. In lesser company, the horse is likely to be able to hold more
in reserve. Equally a better class horse may struggle in races in lower class with
a slow pace where it has been unable to utilise its higher cruising speed.
Speed Figures help to decipher under what circumstances a horse is likely to
produce its best.
In the case of Holiday Magic, there was no doubt that it was
comfortable in this company as its LTO win suggested. This was confirmed by its
previous run when bumped during its run going down by only ¾ length.
Graylyn Ruby had equally good credentials on the Speed and
Class criteria, but the margin between itself and its rivals was not sufficient
to warrant a selection. None the less, under Trip Handicap which is decided on its
visual performance (Eye Catcher), the smooth headway made mid race over a
similar trip at Lingfield Park last time on the surface looked far superior to
its nearest rivals Oakbank and Dr Finley.
These selections might not rank among the bigger priced winning
selections: Burn Sugar 22-1, Spiritual Star 12-1 Sweeping Up 10-1 and Prince
Bishop 9-1 among others during September but I can only highlight the potential
winners. Bookmakers decide the prices ;)
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