THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 26th March KEMPTON PARK- 27th March WOLVERHAMPTON- 29th March WOLVERHAMPTON - 30th March LINGFIELD PARK, KEMPTON PARK & SOUTHWELL - 31st March WOLVERHAMPTON & CHELMSFORD CITY - 1ST aPRIL LINGFIELD PARK & WOLVERHAMPTON - 2nd April KEMPTON PARK -

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 30th September 2014

30th September 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:50 Price Boosts Galore @ bookmakers.co.uk Maiden Auction Stakes (Tapeta) Cl5 7f32y
96.3% * Shimmering Silver 
95.0% Onelastfling 
Midtech Star 
Eatsleepracerepeat 
Oracolo 
Cascading Stars 
Sea Of Red 
Simone On Time 

1 to avoid at Wolverhampton (Dunstall Park)

We are now 97 races in to the new Tapeta surfaced at Wolverhampton and although a snap-shot at such an early point may appear premature, being somewhat disappointed with the results to-date, I thought a cursory trend analysis might throw up some interesting angles.
My first port of call was to look at where the winners were coming from:

There is little to gleam from the results beyond the growing increase in those horses that are re-appearing on Tapeta (WOLVt) and the obvious decrease in those that appear last on the old surface (WOLV). The transition from Lingfield Park to Tapeta looks at this stage more favourable than Kempton Park. The blank at the bottom of the list signifies those horse that have not previously raced on an artificial surface.

The statistics regarding the draw are as follow with the distances displayed as decimal parts of a mile .64 = 5f 20yds, 0.75 = 5f 216yds etc:

Draw 1 appears to be the coffin box with only 3 wins from 97 races with middle boxes (particularly 4, 6 and 7) looking particularly favourable. What appears to be more noticeable are the successes of the higher draws in larger fields. More surprising is that 50% of the successes came over the minimum trip (0.64) of 5f.



Broken down by trip and draw:

At this stage it is hard to make a case for any distinct draw bias other than to state that the longer the trip, the more any potential bias is being negated. I would suggest that the two wins from stall 2 over 2 miles is coincidence rather than framing a bias. If Fridays meeting is a sign of things to come, we can look forward to a bias free Wolverhampton with stalls 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 and 9 all having a success and further damning of stall 1 which I will be keen to avoid at present. Saturday’s meeting looked decidedly different with 2, 7, 8, 7, 2, 7, 7, 4 providing the winners.

From a time perspective, it won’t be until we have some 4yo+ times that we can tightened up the standards and get a better comparison, but we are currently recording time faster than the old standard. This is partly due to the better quality of races during this time of year and no doubt the larger and more competitive fields are playing a part. 


Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 27th September 2014

27th September 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:30 toteplacepot Win Without Backing A Winner Claiming Stakes Cl6 5f20y
100.3% * Ben Hall 
100.2% Desert Strike  71
99.6% Peace Seeker  69
98.9% Dark Lane  68
98.3% Fitz Flyer 
98.1% Monty Fay  56
98.0% Profile Star  71

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 26th September 2014

26th September 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:45 Bet toteplacepot Handicap (Tapeta) Cl6 1m141y
101.2% * Abigails Angel 
100.0% Appyjack  55
99.4% Eastward Ho  54 99.2% (1)
98.8% Evacusafe Lady  53 98.8% (1)
98.6% Ding Ding 
97.8% Pipers Piping  65
97.8% Thomas Blossom 
97.8% Bajan Story 
96.0% Indus Valley 
95.5% Severn Crossing 
Bosstime 
Yawail 
Glasgon 

Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 26th September 2014

26th September 2014 Dundalk
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:40 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Auction Maiden 6f
Indian Tomahawk 
Mattydillon 
Ningxai 
Our Man Phil 
Sors 
Rapid Eye 
Extreme Appeal 
William Ashford 
Belezza Oscura 
Broadfield Puddle 
Ginger Muffin 
Invincible Missile 
Ostatnia 
Red Ivy 
Expreso Brasileiro 
Not A Bad Oul Day 

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 25th September 2014

25th September 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:40 Visit And Dine In The Panoramic Maiden Auction Stakes Cl6 6f
97.2% * Saint Honore 
95.1% Paloma Dancer 
Captain Marmalade 
Caught On The Bid 
Pomme De Guerre 
Mountain Rescue 
Machiavelian Storm 
Blackadder 
Catakanta 
Celtic Ava 
Viva Madiba 
Closing 

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 24th September 2014

24th September 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:50 BetBright Mobile Maiden Stakes Cl5 6f
99.4% * Field Game 
96.4% Tangramm 
96.4% Junior Ben 
Chevallier 
John Joiner 
You´re Cool 
Equita 
Fligaz 
Jellwa 
Star Fire 

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 23rd September 2014

23rd September 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
2:20 188bet Nursery Handicap Cl5 5f6y
98.1% Arlecchino´s Leap  63
98.0% * Zipedeedodah  98.0% (1)
97.6% Stinky Socks 
97.3% Dolorous 
96.8% Ivors Rebel 
95.8% Amber Crystal 
95.8% Just Because 
Able Spirit 
Oriental Splendour 
Crikey 

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Monday 22nd September 2014

22nd September 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
2:10 BetVictor.com/British Stallion Stud EBF Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m2f
99.7% * Framley Garth 
99.4% Forza Blacky 
96.2% Directional 
Classic Villager 
Danegeld 
Deeper Magic 
Game Show 
Jolie De Vivre 
Mister Rockandroll 
Who´Sthedaddy 
Sheila Belle 

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 20th September 2014

20th September 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:50 Win Big With The totejackpot Handicap (Tapeta) Cl6 5f20y
100.0% * China Excels  47 99.6% (1)
99.4% Lucky Mark  58 99.6% (1)
99.0% Aaranyow  98.7% (1)
98.9% First Rebellion  48
98.7% Your Gifted  57 99.1% (2)
98.5% Volcanic Dust  59
98.3% Dream Sika  98.3% (1)
97.6% Yankee Red 
96.9% Avonvalley  61 97.1% (1)
96.4% Danzoe  66
96.0% Saga Lout  71
Little Briar Rose 
Rat Catcher 

Why Holiday Magic and Graylyn Ruby?

Question: If selections are based upon your speed figures how do we end up with Holiday Magic and Graylyn Ruby as selections?


Selections emailed to subscribers the afternoon of 17th September 2014

Answer: As the heading they appear under suggests, the selection process also considers class and some visual assistance.

Although I choose speed as my weapon of choice you have to consider that a horse will only show its optimum speed when meeting its ideal conditions. My view is, this is not so much trip orientated (within a furlong or so) but more importantly pace. In higher class races a horse may find the pace uncomfortable and be unable to mount anything of a challenge in the closing stages. In lesser company, the horse is likely to be able to hold more in reserve. Equally a better class horse may struggle in races in lower class with a slow pace where it has been unable to utilise its higher cruising speed. Speed Figures help to decipher under what circumstances a horse is likely to produce its best.


In the case of Holiday Magic, there was no doubt that it was comfortable in this company as its LTO win suggested. This was confirmed by its previous run when bumped during its run going down by only ¾ length.



Graylyn Ruby had equally good credentials on the Speed and Class criteria, but the margin between itself and its rivals was not sufficient to warrant a selection. None the less, under Trip Handicap which is decided on its visual performance (Eye Catcher), the smooth headway made mid race over a similar trip at Lingfield Park last time on the surface looked far superior to its nearest rivals Oakbank and Dr Finley.


These selections might not rank among the bigger priced winning selections: Burn Sugar 22-1, Spiritual Star 12-1 Sweeping Up 10-1 and Prince Bishop 9-1 among others during September but I can only highlight the potential winners. Bookmakers decide the prices ;)


Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 18th September 2014

18th September 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:40 Book Christmas Parties On 01932 753518 Handicap Cl6 1m
100.3% Welsh Inlet  55 99.0% (2)
100.0% * Wotalad 
99.4% Greek Islands  55 100.6% (3)
99.3% Lutine Charlie  63 98.8% (10)
99.3% Warbond  57 99.8% (18)
99.2% Rock Band 
99.2% Cyflymder  63 99.4% (1)
99.0% Bladewood Girl  57 99.6% (8)
98.7% Squirrel Wood  54 98.2% (3)
98.4% Divine Rule  55 99.4% (21)
97.9% Rochelle  97.4% (2)
97.6% Addikt  98.3% (2)
97.5% Berwin 
97.4% Buzz Law 
6:10 £25 Free Bet At BetVictor.com Maiden Stakes (Div I) Cl5 1m
99.9% * New Year´s Night 
99.8% Santa Teresa 
99.2% Bryant Park 
98.4% Eton Dorney 
97.2% Famous Tales 
96.6% Emerald Swell 
96.0% Lostintheclouds  96.0% (1)
Dubai Star 
Duke Of Dunton 
Priors Brook 
Nightlight 
Otterbridge 
6:40 £25 Free Bet At BetVictor.com Maiden Stakes (Div II) Cl5 1m
101.0% * Cape Summit  71 99.2% (4)
98.8% Moonfaarid  98.8% (1)
98.6% Fine Tune 
98.4% The Steward  98.4% (1)
98.4% Mississippi Queen 
96.7% Keeper´s Ring  96.7% (1)
95.8% Sweet Charlie 
94.4% Majnon Fajer  96.6% (1)
Approaching 
Satchville Flyer 
Wowee 
Dubai Skyline 
7:10 Download The BetVictor App Now Handicap Cl5 1m
100.3% * Scarlet Plum 
100.0% Madame Mirasol 
99.8% Surety  99.8% (1)
99.5% Dream Impossible 
99.5% Like A Prayer  62 99.5% (2)
99.4% Ghosting 
99.2% Holiday Magic  99.2% (1)
99.0% Frederic  99.0% (1)
99.0% Djinni 
98.8% Kubeba  98.7% (2)
97.6% Lady Marl 
7:40 Download The BetVictor Instabet App Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m4f
102.3% * Artful Rogue 
101.7% * Rembrandt Van Rijn 
101.5% Gale Force  101.5% (1)
100.3% Golden Bird  100.3% (1)
97.8% Black Label 
96.7% Tiger Stone 
92.7% Mad About Harry 
Perdu 
Instant Karma 
Red Inferno 
Astrocat 
8:10 Follow @BetVictorRacing On Twitter Handicap Cl6 2m
99.8% * Newtown Cross  53 98.7% (4)
99.7% Sawwala 
99.6% Superciliary  56 98.0% (3)
99.5% Vexillum  99.9% (1)
98.7% Dr Finley  59 99.2% (9)
98.0% Oakbank  47
97.9% Lucky Diva  53
97.4% Archiebeau 
97.2% Bogey Hole 
96.9% Boston Blue  56 98.5% (9)
96.7% Graylyn Ruby  57 99.6% (5)
Spanish Fork 
Flashy Star 
Paple Blessing 
8:40 BetVictor.com Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Cl4 1m3f
102.3% Little Buxted  101.0% (1)
101.6% * Syncopate 
101.5% Manomine  99.6% (2)
100.3% Almerzem 
100.2% Hector´s Chance  63 100.6% (4)
100.0% Elbereth  100.0% (1)
99.7% Guising 
99.1% Itsnowcato 
98.8% Kastini 
98.1% Castle Combe  75 100.6% (1)
97.8% Thecornishcowboy  101.1% (4)
9:10 Barn Dance Christmas Parties At Kempton Handicap Cl6 6f
101.3% * Blue Bounty 
100.7% Maymyo  57 100.7% (1)
100.1% Stapleford Lad  53 100.1% (1)
99.4% Honey Meadow  65 98.8% (3)
99.0% Dylan´s Centenary  99.0% (1)
96.7% Sir Percy Blakeney 
96.1% Ignight  96.1% (1)
95.5% Wedgewood Estates  56 97.5% (3)
95.0% Three Pips  67 95.0% (1)
94.5% Pieman´s Girl 
Findhorn Magic 





Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 30th September 2014

30th September 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:50 Price Boosts Galore @ bookmakers.co.uk Maiden Auction Stakes (Tapeta) Cl5 7f32y
96.3% * Shimmering Silver 
95.0% Onelastfling 
Midtech Star 
Eatsleepracerepeat 
Oracolo 
Cascading Stars 
Sea Of Red 
Simone On Time 

Monday, September 29, 2014

1 to avoid at Wolverhampton (Dunstall Park)

We are now 97 races in to the new Tapeta surfaced at Wolverhampton and although a snap-shot at such an early point may appear premature, being somewhat disappointed with the results to-date, I thought a cursory trend analysis might throw up some interesting angles.
My first port of call was to look at where the winners were coming from:

There is little to gleam from the results beyond the growing increase in those horses that are re-appearing on Tapeta (WOLVt) and the obvious decrease in those that appear last on the old surface (WOLV). The transition from Lingfield Park to Tapeta looks at this stage more favourable than Kempton Park. The blank at the bottom of the list signifies those horse that have not previously raced on an artificial surface.

The statistics regarding the draw are as follow with the distances displayed as decimal parts of a mile .64 = 5f 20yds, 0.75 = 5f 216yds etc:

Draw 1 appears to be the coffin box with only 3 wins from 97 races with middle boxes (particularly 4, 6 and 7) looking particularly favourable. What appears to be more noticeable are the successes of the higher draws in larger fields. More surprising is that 50% of the successes came over the minimum trip (0.64) of 5f.



Broken down by trip and draw:

At this stage it is hard to make a case for any distinct draw bias other than to state that the longer the trip, the more any potential bias is being negated. I would suggest that the two wins from stall 2 over 2 miles is coincidence rather than framing a bias. If Fridays meeting is a sign of things to come, we can look forward to a bias free Wolverhampton with stalls 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 and 9 all having a success and further damning of stall 1 which I will be keen to avoid at present. Saturday’s meeting looked decidedly different with 2, 7, 8, 7, 2, 7, 7, 4 providing the winners.

From a time perspective, it won’t be until we have some 4yo+ times that we can tightened up the standards and get a better comparison, but we are currently recording time faster than the old standard. This is partly due to the better quality of races during this time of year and no doubt the larger and more competitive fields are playing a part. 


Saturday, September 27, 2014

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 27th September 2014

27th September 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:30 toteplacepot Win Without Backing A Winner Claiming Stakes Cl6 5f20y
100.3% * Ben Hall 
100.2% Desert Strike  71
99.6% Peace Seeker  69
98.9% Dark Lane  68
98.3% Fitz Flyer 
98.1% Monty Fay  56
98.0% Profile Star  71

Friday, September 26, 2014

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 26th September 2014

26th September 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:45 Bet toteplacepot Handicap (Tapeta) Cl6 1m141y
101.2% * Abigails Angel 
100.0% Appyjack  55
99.4% Eastward Ho  54 99.2% (1)
98.8% Evacusafe Lady  53 98.8% (1)
98.6% Ding Ding 
97.8% Pipers Piping  65
97.8% Thomas Blossom 
97.8% Bajan Story 
96.0% Indus Valley 
95.5% Severn Crossing 
Bosstime 
Yawail 
Glasgon 

Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 26th September 2014

26th September 2014 Dundalk
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:40 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Auction Maiden 6f
Indian Tomahawk 
Mattydillon 
Ningxai 
Our Man Phil 
Sors 
Rapid Eye 
Extreme Appeal 
William Ashford 
Belezza Oscura 
Broadfield Puddle 
Ginger Muffin 
Invincible Missile 
Ostatnia 
Red Ivy 
Expreso Brasileiro 
Not A Bad Oul Day 

Thursday, September 25, 2014

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 25th September 2014

25th September 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:40 Visit And Dine In The Panoramic Maiden Auction Stakes Cl6 6f
97.2% * Saint Honore 
95.1% Paloma Dancer 
Captain Marmalade 
Caught On The Bid 
Pomme De Guerre 
Mountain Rescue 
Machiavelian Storm 
Blackadder 
Catakanta 
Celtic Ava 
Viva Madiba 
Closing 

Wednesday, September 24, 2014

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 24th September 2014

24th September 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:50 BetBright Mobile Maiden Stakes Cl5 6f
99.4% * Field Game 
96.4% Tangramm 
96.4% Junior Ben 
Chevallier 
John Joiner 
You´re Cool 
Equita 
Fligaz 
Jellwa 
Star Fire 

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 23rd September 2014

23rd September 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
2:20 188bet Nursery Handicap Cl5 5f6y
98.1% Arlecchino´s Leap  63
98.0% * Zipedeedodah  98.0% (1)
97.6% Stinky Socks 
97.3% Dolorous 
96.8% Ivors Rebel 
95.8% Amber Crystal 
95.8% Just Because 
Able Spirit 
Oriental Splendour 
Crikey 

Monday, September 22, 2014

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Monday 22nd September 2014

22nd September 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
2:10 BetVictor.com/British Stallion Stud EBF Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m2f
99.7% * Framley Garth 
99.4% Forza Blacky 
96.2% Directional 
Classic Villager 
Danegeld 
Deeper Magic 
Game Show 
Jolie De Vivre 
Mister Rockandroll 
Who´Sthedaddy 
Sheila Belle 

Saturday, September 20, 2014

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 20th September 2014

20th September 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:50 Win Big With The totejackpot Handicap (Tapeta) Cl6 5f20y
100.0% * China Excels  47 99.6% (1)
99.4% Lucky Mark  58 99.6% (1)
99.0% Aaranyow  98.7% (1)
98.9% First Rebellion  48
98.7% Your Gifted  57 99.1% (2)
98.5% Volcanic Dust  59
98.3% Dream Sika  98.3% (1)
97.6% Yankee Red 
96.9% Avonvalley  61 97.1% (1)
96.4% Danzoe  66
96.0% Saga Lout  71
Little Briar Rose 
Rat Catcher 

Friday, September 19, 2014

Why Holiday Magic and Graylyn Ruby?

Question: If selections are based upon your speed figures how do we end up with Holiday Magic and Graylyn Ruby as selections?


Selections emailed to subscribers the afternoon of 17th September 2014

Answer: As the heading they appear under suggests, the selection process also considers class and some visual assistance.

Although I choose speed as my weapon of choice you have to consider that a horse will only show its optimum speed when meeting its ideal conditions. My view is, this is not so much trip orientated (within a furlong or so) but more importantly pace. In higher class races a horse may find the pace uncomfortable and be unable to mount anything of a challenge in the closing stages. In lesser company, the horse is likely to be able to hold more in reserve. Equally a better class horse may struggle in races in lower class with a slow pace where it has been unable to utilise its higher cruising speed. Speed Figures help to decipher under what circumstances a horse is likely to produce its best.


In the case of Holiday Magic, there was no doubt that it was comfortable in this company as its LTO win suggested. This was confirmed by its previous run when bumped during its run going down by only ¾ length.



Graylyn Ruby had equally good credentials on the Speed and Class criteria, but the margin between itself and its rivals was not sufficient to warrant a selection. None the less, under Trip Handicap which is decided on its visual performance (Eye Catcher), the smooth headway made mid race over a similar trip at Lingfield Park last time on the surface looked far superior to its nearest rivals Oakbank and Dr Finley.


These selections might not rank among the bigger priced winning selections: Burn Sugar 22-1, Spiritual Star 12-1 Sweeping Up 10-1 and Prince Bishop 9-1 among others during September but I can only highlight the potential winners. Bookmakers decide the prices ;)


Thursday, September 18, 2014

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 18th September 2014

18th September 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:40 Book Christmas Parties On 01932 753518 Handicap Cl6 1m
100.3% Welsh Inlet  55 99.0% (2)
100.0% * Wotalad 
99.4% Greek Islands  55 100.6% (3)
99.3% Lutine Charlie  63 98.8% (10)
99.3% Warbond  57 99.8% (18)
99.2% Rock Band 
99.2% Cyflymder  63 99.4% (1)
99.0% Bladewood Girl  57 99.6% (8)
98.7% Squirrel Wood  54 98.2% (3)
98.4% Divine Rule  55 99.4% (21)
97.9% Rochelle  97.4% (2)
97.6% Addikt  98.3% (2)
97.5% Berwin 
97.4% Buzz Law 
6:10 £25 Free Bet At BetVictor.com Maiden Stakes (Div I) Cl5 1m
99.9% * New Year´s Night 
99.8% Santa Teresa 
99.2% Bryant Park 
98.4% Eton Dorney 
97.2% Famous Tales 
96.6% Emerald Swell 
96.0% Lostintheclouds  96.0% (1)
Dubai Star 
Duke Of Dunton 
Priors Brook 
Nightlight 
Otterbridge 
6:40 £25 Free Bet At BetVictor.com Maiden Stakes (Div II) Cl5 1m
101.0% * Cape Summit  71 99.2% (4)
98.8% Moonfaarid  98.8% (1)
98.6% Fine Tune 
98.4% The Steward  98.4% (1)
98.4% Mississippi Queen 
96.7% Keeper´s Ring  96.7% (1)
95.8% Sweet Charlie 
94.4% Majnon Fajer  96.6% (1)
Approaching 
Satchville Flyer 
Wowee 
Dubai Skyline 
7:10 Download The BetVictor App Now Handicap Cl5 1m
100.3% * Scarlet Plum 
100.0% Madame Mirasol 
99.8% Surety  99.8% (1)
99.5% Dream Impossible 
99.5% Like A Prayer  62 99.5% (2)
99.4% Ghosting 
99.2% Holiday Magic  99.2% (1)
99.0% Frederic  99.0% (1)
99.0% Djinni 
98.8% Kubeba  98.7% (2)
97.6% Lady Marl 
7:40 Download The BetVictor Instabet App Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m4f
102.3% * Artful Rogue 
101.7% * Rembrandt Van Rijn 
101.5% Gale Force  101.5% (1)
100.3% Golden Bird  100.3% (1)
97.8% Black Label 
96.7% Tiger Stone 
92.7% Mad About Harry 
Perdu 
Instant Karma 
Red Inferno 
Astrocat 
8:10 Follow @BetVictorRacing On Twitter Handicap Cl6 2m
99.8% * Newtown Cross  53 98.7% (4)
99.7% Sawwala 
99.6% Superciliary  56 98.0% (3)
99.5% Vexillum  99.9% (1)
98.7% Dr Finley  59 99.2% (9)
98.0% Oakbank  47
97.9% Lucky Diva  53
97.4% Archiebeau 
97.2% Bogey Hole 
96.9% Boston Blue  56 98.5% (9)
96.7% Graylyn Ruby  57 99.6% (5)
Spanish Fork 
Flashy Star 
Paple Blessing 
8:40 BetVictor.com Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Cl4 1m3f
102.3% Little Buxted  101.0% (1)
101.6% * Syncopate 
101.5% Manomine  99.6% (2)
100.3% Almerzem 
100.2% Hector´s Chance  63 100.6% (4)
100.0% Elbereth  100.0% (1)
99.7% Guising 
99.1% Itsnowcato 
98.8% Kastini 
98.1% Castle Combe  75 100.6% (1)
97.8% Thecornishcowboy  101.1% (4)
9:10 Barn Dance Christmas Parties At Kempton Handicap Cl6 6f
101.3% * Blue Bounty 
100.7% Maymyo  57 100.7% (1)
100.1% Stapleford Lad  53 100.1% (1)
99.4% Honey Meadow  65 98.8% (3)
99.0% Dylan´s Centenary  99.0% (1)
96.7% Sir Percy Blakeney 
96.1% Ignight  96.1% (1)
95.5% Wedgewood Estates  56 97.5% (3)
95.0% Three Pips  67 95.0% (1)
94.5% Pieman´s Girl 
Findhorn Magic