THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 26th March KEMPTON PARK- 27th March WOLVERHAMPTON- 29th March WOLVERHAMPTON - 30th March LINGFIELD PARK, KEMPTON PARK & SOUTHWELL - 31st March WOLVERHAMPTON & CHELMSFORD CITY - 1ST aPRIL LINGFIELD PARK & WOLVERHAMPTON - 2nd April KEMPTON PARK -

Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 31st October 2014

31st October 2014 Dundalk
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:40 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden 5f
98.7% * Sassy But Classy  77 98.7% (1)
98.0% Daisy Bell 
97.7% Mc Diamond  97.7% (1)
97.1% Well Done Me  97.1% (1)
95.4% Ginger Muffin 
94.9% Coral Cluster 
Sakhees Jack 
Three Colours Red 
Zunera 

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 31st October 2014

31st October 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:25 Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta) (Div I) Cl5 1m141y
103.0% * Tayma 
100.8% Zaeem  58 100.3% (1)
100.5% Toto Skyllachy 
100.4% Set The Trend 
99.4% Mysterial 
99.3% Glennten  65 99.8% (1)
98.4% Rakaan  85
97.7% Steel Stockholder 
96.8% Gambino 
Tahaf 

The 4yo last seen on this surface 750 days ago in a 2yo Nursery

The passing of All Weather Horsing Racings 25th Anniversary, although moderately successful by Octobers standards generally, will not last long in my memory. The success of Pour La Victoire (opened 10-3) in the 4:20 Lingfield Park and 2 points New Colours (opened 13-8) in the 4:30 Kempton Park tipped the balance in our favour after earlier failures.

It was the win of Steelriver (opened 9-1) 5:30 Kempton Park that gave us the assurance of a profitable day before being reminded of the previous two days of post-hitting when Tigers Tail (opened 14-1) and Rocky’s Pride (opened 14-1) in the 6:30 and 7:30 Kempton Park repeated the feat when finishing 2nd in their respective races!

Two jockeys that will have fonder memories of the day will be Shane Kelly and Alan Kirby, both riding across the card trebles.

If there was an unlucky performance to take out of the day it would undoubtedly be Miss Marjurie in the Lingfield Park 3:20. Towards the rear of the pack for the vast majority of the 1m 5f trip, Miss Marjurie and Pat Cosgrave made a few unsuccessful attempts to extract themselves from a pocket on the rail. Once able to switch out and deliver a challenge well into the straight, Miss Marjurie finished fast enough to gobble up all but the winner Hidden Gold to finish second by an ever decreasing 1.1/4 lengths.


The last time Miss Marjurie was seen on this surface was 750 days ago in a 2yo Nursery back in October 2013 but there is no doubt that a first win on the All Weather is not far away if connections can find a similar opportunity. The time recorded by Hidden Gold was the best performance on the day at Lingfield Park making the performance of Miss Marjurie even more noteworthy and one for the tracker. Unfortunately I doubt we will be seeing the 25-1 SP returned yesterday repeated on its next outing.


Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 30th October 2014

30th October 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:30 Come Jump Racing At Kempton 03.11.14 Selling Stakes Cl6 1m3f
100.6% * New Colours 
98.2% Emperor Ferdinand 
97.4% Les Gar Gan 
95.8% Worcharlie´slass 

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 30th October 2014

30th October 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
12:50 32Red Casino/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies´ Stakes (Bobis Race) (Div I) Cl5 7f1y
99.4% * Vixen Hill 
98.3% Lady Hare 
96.6% Makramah 
Colorada 
Crystal Zvezda 
Farletti 
Fine View 
Nancy Astor 
Regal Ways 
Rock Heroine 
Sweet Persuasion 

Dont let it be a dire day on the 25th Anniversary of All Weather Horse Racing!

On every front, the events of the week to date have been pretty miserable. While recharging the batteries in readiness for the onslaught of the All Weather Horse Racing season proper, to receive the news that a close family friend 10 years my junior had passed away. To then arrive back to the UK after enjoying the summer temperatures of the Rambla de Oria to pouring rain yesterday was perhaps to be expected.

I was hopeful that after the extraordinary bad luck we suffered on Tuesday evening at Wolverhampton would all be put to rest at Kempton Park. Most notably, the narrow defeat of Pimm Street (8-1) who I was convinced had won! and 2 point selection Lyfka who was almost bought down in the straight and never able to recover to mount a challenge.

Unfortunately all we achieved was to rack up more placed horses: Sabre Rock (3rd 8-1), Amood (2nd 5-1), Footstepsintherain (3rd 10-1), Tabjeel (2nd 85-40) and Set The Trend (2nd 3-1). Perhaps we are paying for the earlier great successes of October and given the narrow margins of defeat of several selections over the past 2 days I feel not adding to the tally over the last couple of days in Octiber would be an injustice.

More of a tragedy would be if we can’t remember such an auspicious day, as we celebrate 25 years of All Weather Horse Racing, (and I am old enough to remember that first All Weather meeting back in October 1989) by rowing in with some nice priced winners.

To put the growth of All Weather Horse Racing in to perspective, it now accounts for 20% of British racing. We have also seen the quality of horse racing on artificial surfaces improving dramatically with Group races now taking place and the likes of Aidan O’Brien using Southwell and Lingfield Park to test Giant’s Causeway, Galileo, Hawk Wing and Rock of Gibraltar.

While the UK public still stigmatise racing on an artificial surface, some of the best races in the world, in Dubai and America are run on the all-weather and nearly ALL trainers work their horses on the surface.


Like it or loathe it, all-weather is here to stay.


Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 29th October 2014

29th October 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:55 Book Christmas Festival Tickets Now Handicap (Div I) Cl6 1m2f
101.4% Coillte Cailin  65
100.7% Snow Conditions 
100.5% * Assoluta  96.7% (1)
100.4% Sabre Rock  100.0% (1)
100.4% Mr Fickle  99.8% (1)
100.3% Warden Bond  52 100.5% (3)
99.4% Gentlemax 
99.3% Brave Decision  53 99.9% (3)
97.7% Always Resolute 
Highsalvia Cosmos 

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 28th October 2014

28th October 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:40 Download The Free App @ Bookies.com Handicap (Tapeta) (Div I) Cl6 5f20y
100.2% * Warm Order  48 100.2% (1)
99.6% * Your Gifted  57 99.8% (3)
99.2% Danzoe  63 99.4% (2)
98.9% Lizzy´s Dream  47
98.9% Lazy Sioux  46 98.9% (1)
98.7% Interchoice Star  56 98.3% (1)
98.5% Play The Blues  45
98.2% Dream Sika  50 98.9% (3)
97.7% Little Briar Rose  99.6% (1)
97.7% On The High Tops 
93.8% Ichimoku 

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 25th October 2014

25th October 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:45 Get Live Score Updates @ Footballscores.com Nursery Handicap (Tapeta) Cl6 5f20y
98.1% * Sparbrook  59
97.8% Most Tempting  55
97.5% Sky Steps 
97.3% Jimmy´s Girl  57 95.6% (1)
96.8% Don Ricardo 
96.7% Kylies Wild Card 
96.5% Air Of York 
95.2% Junior Ben  96.3% (1)
94.7% Macarthurs Park  94.4% (1)
94.5% Featsdontfailmenow 
Penalty Scorer 
Lydiate Lady 
Toni´s A Star 

More big priced winners and more selections.

In a magnificent week with double digit winners at 50-1, 22-1, 20-1, and last night rowing in with an 11-1 winner to add to the haul, the number one question from subscribers this week relates to the increase in the number of races carrying multiple selections for the ‘On The Money’ method.

Last night was no exception with one race carrying 2 selections (7:20) and one race (8:50) carrying three selections. It was the 8:50 which provided us with Innoko @ 11-1 with another of the selections Bridge That Gap (8-1) finishing 2nd. The race is an excellent example of why there has been a slight shift in the selection process.

Of all the four methods of selection the margins for ‘On The Money’ are the finest. What has been noticeable over the years (since 2008) is that all too frequently we are missing out on winners, in most cases big priced winners, by very narrow margins in selecting only the top qualifying horse.

With a qualifying score of 20% (what this relates to is irrelevant but has been carefully crafted ;) ) pictured here is how the 8:50 broke down:

Qualifiers in order were Bridge That Gap 24.5%, Lola Montez 21.7% and Innoko 21.4% and as tight as the finish was between Bridge The Gap (8-1) and Innoko (11-1) we would have been left extremely disappointed under the old rules! 

In what might have been a miserable day, hitting the post with Kelamita (10-1), Humour (11-8) and in my opinion the horse that should have won the 8:20 Classic Villager (3-1) who appeared to lug in behind the winner Jamie Osborne’s Life Less Ordinary until you see the head on which shows the latter continually edging in to Classic Villager for the whole of the final furlong stopping it from going past, Innoko was the difference. Having stood still and using the old method of selection we would have been looking at hitting the post again with Bridge The Gap (8-1).


On a poor day the selection of Innoko turned what could have a 9 point loss into 3 points gained at SP’s. A five year history would suggest that these big priced winners are not a blip, more an example of what the method is going to keep providing for us, more big priced winners and more selections. This will comprise strike rate With 5 races having ‘On The Money’ selections tonight I am hopeful of a very good evening ;)     

    

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 24th October 2014

24th October 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:40 Monsterbet Classified Stakes (Tapeta) Cl6 5f216y
100.0% Wedgewood Estates  54
99.7% * Encapsulated 
99.1% Thewestwalian 
98.8% Princess Rose  70
98.6% Daneglow  49
98.2% Aphrilis  98.2% (1)
98.0% Clear Focus 
97.7% Brean Splash Susie 
96.8% High Tone  49 99.8% (1)
96.5% Redalani 
94.4% Kingsway Lad 
Fujin 
Secret Applause 

Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 24th October 2014

24th October 2014 Dundalk
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:35 Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Maiden 6f
100.4% * Adeste Fideles 
99.9% Taaluf 
99.6% Aru Cha Cha  65 99.4% (1)
96.6% Dylan Express  97.7% (2)
96.3% Hughs Flyer 
94.3% Intensified 
Roryslittlesister 
Broderick Falls 
Ko Samet 
Danz Gift 
Forebear 
Let Go Ego 
Chester Storm 
Sea Red 
Gaoth Tire 
Sirikoi 

A perfect 100% four out of four on an All Weather surface

Sandwiched between yesterday’s two winning selections at Kempton Park: 8:10 Ridgeway Storm (opened 6-4) who cantered to victory, and 9:10 Fiftyshadesofgrey (opened 7-1) who gained revenge for the narrow defeat the evening before, we witnessed Daaree bringing up a hat-trick of wins. That in itself is not so remarkable nowadays, but in my opinion the performance was remarkable.

Saeed bin Suroor is in excellent form with his All Weather runners at present and the performance of Daaree may see that run extending in to the new year. What captivated me with last night’s performance was the manner in which the horse appear to be doing just enough to maintain its healthy advantage.

Either the fast finisher, and there were several, were coming to the end of their limits, or Daaree had pulled out that little more under Paul Hannagan. My feeling is that the latter is the case. A horse we have had on our side in its two previous wins was overlooked this time as we gave the race a swerve, but surprisingly the horse still went off at 2-1 and put in the performance and time of the meeting.

Not only did Daaree notch up a hat-trick last night but remained unbeaten with a perfect 100% four out of four on an All Weathersurface. The speed figures of these wins make the horse a model of consistency which endorsement my opinion there is more in the locker. Ignore this horse at your peril!


Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 23rd October 2014

23rd October 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:40 Watch Racing UK Anywhere iPad App Nursery Handicap Cl6 1m
99.5% Jet Mate  98.7% (2)
99.4% * Just Marion 
98.8% Cascading Stars 
97.3% Horsetracker 
96.8% Lonely Ranger 
96.6% Skylight 
96.3% Prince Of Paris  96.3% (1)
96.2% Honey Required 
94.2% Emperors Warrior  94.2% (1)
94.0% Saint Honore 
Arthur´s Way 
Keen Move 
Inke 
Le Torrent 

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 22nd October 2014

22nd October 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:55 Betbright.com Download Our App Handicap Cl6 1m2f
100.2% * Mercury Magic 
99.9% Silken Waters  53
99.9% Hidden Asset  50
99.8% Mr Lando  63 101.2% (3)
99.7% Teide Peak  58 99.5% (1)
98.0% Lexington Blue 
98.0% Claude Greenwood 
97.9% Warbond  99.2% (1)
97.8% Purple Spot 
97.7% Highly Likely  55 96.5% (1)
97.5% Kingswinford  68
97.1% Berrahri 
97.1% Osorios Trial 
96.7% Nouvelle Ere 

Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Friday, October 31, 2014

Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 31st October 2014

31st October 2014 Dundalk
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:40 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden 5f
98.7% * Sassy But Classy  77 98.7% (1)
98.0% Daisy Bell 
97.7% Mc Diamond  97.7% (1)
97.1% Well Done Me  97.1% (1)
95.4% Ginger Muffin 
94.9% Coral Cluster 
Sakhees Jack 
Three Colours Red 
Zunera 

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 31st October 2014

31st October 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:25 Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta) (Div I) Cl5 1m141y
103.0% * Tayma 
100.8% Zaeem  58 100.3% (1)
100.5% Toto Skyllachy 
100.4% Set The Trend 
99.4% Mysterial 
99.3% Glennten  65 99.8% (1)
98.4% Rakaan  85
97.7% Steel Stockholder 
96.8% Gambino 
Tahaf 

The 4yo last seen on this surface 750 days ago in a 2yo Nursery

The passing of All Weather Horsing Racings 25th Anniversary, although moderately successful by Octobers standards generally, will not last long in my memory. The success of Pour La Victoire (opened 10-3) in the 4:20 Lingfield Park and 2 points New Colours (opened 13-8) in the 4:30 Kempton Park tipped the balance in our favour after earlier failures.

It was the win of Steelriver (opened 9-1) 5:30 Kempton Park that gave us the assurance of a profitable day before being reminded of the previous two days of post-hitting when Tigers Tail (opened 14-1) and Rocky’s Pride (opened 14-1) in the 6:30 and 7:30 Kempton Park repeated the feat when finishing 2nd in their respective races!

Two jockeys that will have fonder memories of the day will be Shane Kelly and Alan Kirby, both riding across the card trebles.

If there was an unlucky performance to take out of the day it would undoubtedly be Miss Marjurie in the Lingfield Park 3:20. Towards the rear of the pack for the vast majority of the 1m 5f trip, Miss Marjurie and Pat Cosgrave made a few unsuccessful attempts to extract themselves from a pocket on the rail. Once able to switch out and deliver a challenge well into the straight, Miss Marjurie finished fast enough to gobble up all but the winner Hidden Gold to finish second by an ever decreasing 1.1/4 lengths.


The last time Miss Marjurie was seen on this surface was 750 days ago in a 2yo Nursery back in October 2013 but there is no doubt that a first win on the All Weather is not far away if connections can find a similar opportunity. The time recorded by Hidden Gold was the best performance on the day at Lingfield Park making the performance of Miss Marjurie even more noteworthy and one for the tracker. Unfortunately I doubt we will be seeing the 25-1 SP returned yesterday repeated on its next outing.


Thursday, October 30, 2014

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 30th October 2014

30th October 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:30 Come Jump Racing At Kempton 03.11.14 Selling Stakes Cl6 1m3f
100.6% * New Colours 
98.2% Emperor Ferdinand 
97.4% Les Gar Gan 
95.8% Worcharlie´slass 

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 30th October 2014

30th October 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
12:50 32Red Casino/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies´ Stakes (Bobis Race) (Div I) Cl5 7f1y
99.4% * Vixen Hill 
98.3% Lady Hare 
96.6% Makramah 
Colorada 
Crystal Zvezda 
Farletti 
Fine View 
Nancy Astor 
Regal Ways 
Rock Heroine 
Sweet Persuasion 

Dont let it be a dire day on the 25th Anniversary of All Weather Horse Racing!

On every front, the events of the week to date have been pretty miserable. While recharging the batteries in readiness for the onslaught of the All Weather Horse Racing season proper, to receive the news that a close family friend 10 years my junior had passed away. To then arrive back to the UK after enjoying the summer temperatures of the Rambla de Oria to pouring rain yesterday was perhaps to be expected.

I was hopeful that after the extraordinary bad luck we suffered on Tuesday evening at Wolverhampton would all be put to rest at Kempton Park. Most notably, the narrow defeat of Pimm Street (8-1) who I was convinced had won! and 2 point selection Lyfka who was almost bought down in the straight and never able to recover to mount a challenge.

Unfortunately all we achieved was to rack up more placed horses: Sabre Rock (3rd 8-1), Amood (2nd 5-1), Footstepsintherain (3rd 10-1), Tabjeel (2nd 85-40) and Set The Trend (2nd 3-1). Perhaps we are paying for the earlier great successes of October and given the narrow margins of defeat of several selections over the past 2 days I feel not adding to the tally over the last couple of days in Octiber would be an injustice.

More of a tragedy would be if we can’t remember such an auspicious day, as we celebrate 25 years of All Weather Horse Racing, (and I am old enough to remember that first All Weather meeting back in October 1989) by rowing in with some nice priced winners.

To put the growth of All Weather Horse Racing in to perspective, it now accounts for 20% of British racing. We have also seen the quality of horse racing on artificial surfaces improving dramatically with Group races now taking place and the likes of Aidan O’Brien using Southwell and Lingfield Park to test Giant’s Causeway, Galileo, Hawk Wing and Rock of Gibraltar.

While the UK public still stigmatise racing on an artificial surface, some of the best races in the world, in Dubai and America are run on the all-weather and nearly ALL trainers work their horses on the surface.


Like it or loathe it, all-weather is here to stay.


Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 29th October 2014

29th October 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:55 Book Christmas Festival Tickets Now Handicap (Div I) Cl6 1m2f
101.4% Coillte Cailin  65
100.7% Snow Conditions 
100.5% * Assoluta  96.7% (1)
100.4% Sabre Rock  100.0% (1)
100.4% Mr Fickle  99.8% (1)
100.3% Warden Bond  52 100.5% (3)
99.4% Gentlemax 
99.3% Brave Decision  53 99.9% (3)
97.7% Always Resolute 
Highsalvia Cosmos 

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 28th October 2014

28th October 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:40 Download The Free App @ Bookies.com Handicap (Tapeta) (Div I) Cl6 5f20y
100.2% * Warm Order  48 100.2% (1)
99.6% * Your Gifted  57 99.8% (3)
99.2% Danzoe  63 99.4% (2)
98.9% Lizzy´s Dream  47
98.9% Lazy Sioux  46 98.9% (1)
98.7% Interchoice Star  56 98.3% (1)
98.5% Play The Blues  45
98.2% Dream Sika  50 98.9% (3)
97.7% Little Briar Rose  99.6% (1)
97.7% On The High Tops 
93.8% Ichimoku 

Saturday, October 25, 2014

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 25th October 2014

25th October 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:45 Get Live Score Updates @ Footballscores.com Nursery Handicap (Tapeta) Cl6 5f20y
98.1% * Sparbrook  59
97.8% Most Tempting  55
97.5% Sky Steps 
97.3% Jimmy´s Girl  57 95.6% (1)
96.8% Don Ricardo 
96.7% Kylies Wild Card 
96.5% Air Of York 
95.2% Junior Ben  96.3% (1)
94.7% Macarthurs Park  94.4% (1)
94.5% Featsdontfailmenow 
Penalty Scorer 
Lydiate Lady 
Toni´s A Star 

More big priced winners and more selections.

In a magnificent week with double digit winners at 50-1, 22-1, 20-1, and last night rowing in with an 11-1 winner to add to the haul, the number one question from subscribers this week relates to the increase in the number of races carrying multiple selections for the ‘On The Money’ method.

Last night was no exception with one race carrying 2 selections (7:20) and one race (8:50) carrying three selections. It was the 8:50 which provided us with Innoko @ 11-1 with another of the selections Bridge That Gap (8-1) finishing 2nd. The race is an excellent example of why there has been a slight shift in the selection process.

Of all the four methods of selection the margins for ‘On The Money’ are the finest. What has been noticeable over the years (since 2008) is that all too frequently we are missing out on winners, in most cases big priced winners, by very narrow margins in selecting only the top qualifying horse.

With a qualifying score of 20% (what this relates to is irrelevant but has been carefully crafted ;) ) pictured here is how the 8:50 broke down:

Qualifiers in order were Bridge That Gap 24.5%, Lola Montez 21.7% and Innoko 21.4% and as tight as the finish was between Bridge The Gap (8-1) and Innoko (11-1) we would have been left extremely disappointed under the old rules! 

In what might have been a miserable day, hitting the post with Kelamita (10-1), Humour (11-8) and in my opinion the horse that should have won the 8:20 Classic Villager (3-1) who appeared to lug in behind the winner Jamie Osborne’s Life Less Ordinary until you see the head on which shows the latter continually edging in to Classic Villager for the whole of the final furlong stopping it from going past, Innoko was the difference. Having stood still and using the old method of selection we would have been looking at hitting the post again with Bridge The Gap (8-1).


On a poor day the selection of Innoko turned what could have a 9 point loss into 3 points gained at SP’s. A five year history would suggest that these big priced winners are not a blip, more an example of what the method is going to keep providing for us, more big priced winners and more selections. This will comprise strike rate With 5 races having ‘On The Money’ selections tonight I am hopeful of a very good evening ;)     

    

Friday, October 24, 2014

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 24th October 2014

24th October 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:40 Monsterbet Classified Stakes (Tapeta) Cl6 5f216y
100.0% Wedgewood Estates  54
99.7% * Encapsulated 
99.1% Thewestwalian 
98.8% Princess Rose  70
98.6% Daneglow  49
98.2% Aphrilis  98.2% (1)
98.0% Clear Focus 
97.7% Brean Splash Susie 
96.8% High Tone  49 99.8% (1)
96.5% Redalani 
94.4% Kingsway Lad 
Fujin 
Secret Applause 

Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 24th October 2014

24th October 2014 Dundalk
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:35 Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Maiden 6f
100.4% * Adeste Fideles 
99.9% Taaluf 
99.6% Aru Cha Cha  65 99.4% (1)
96.6% Dylan Express  97.7% (2)
96.3% Hughs Flyer 
94.3% Intensified 
Roryslittlesister 
Broderick Falls 
Ko Samet 
Danz Gift 
Forebear 
Let Go Ego 
Chester Storm 
Sea Red 
Gaoth Tire 
Sirikoi 

A perfect 100% four out of four on an All Weather surface

Sandwiched between yesterday’s two winning selections at Kempton Park: 8:10 Ridgeway Storm (opened 6-4) who cantered to victory, and 9:10 Fiftyshadesofgrey (opened 7-1) who gained revenge for the narrow defeat the evening before, we witnessed Daaree bringing up a hat-trick of wins. That in itself is not so remarkable nowadays, but in my opinion the performance was remarkable.

Saeed bin Suroor is in excellent form with his All Weather runners at present and the performance of Daaree may see that run extending in to the new year. What captivated me with last night’s performance was the manner in which the horse appear to be doing just enough to maintain its healthy advantage.

Either the fast finisher, and there were several, were coming to the end of their limits, or Daaree had pulled out that little more under Paul Hannagan. My feeling is that the latter is the case. A horse we have had on our side in its two previous wins was overlooked this time as we gave the race a swerve, but surprisingly the horse still went off at 2-1 and put in the performance and time of the meeting.

Not only did Daaree notch up a hat-trick last night but remained unbeaten with a perfect 100% four out of four on an All Weathersurface. The speed figures of these wins make the horse a model of consistency which endorsement my opinion there is more in the locker. Ignore this horse at your peril!


Thursday, October 23, 2014

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 23rd October 2014

23rd October 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:40 Watch Racing UK Anywhere iPad App Nursery Handicap Cl6 1m
99.5% Jet Mate  98.7% (2)
99.4% * Just Marion 
98.8% Cascading Stars 
97.3% Horsetracker 
96.8% Lonely Ranger 
96.6% Skylight 
96.3% Prince Of Paris  96.3% (1)
96.2% Honey Required 
94.2% Emperors Warrior  94.2% (1)
94.0% Saint Honore 
Arthur´s Way 
Keen Move 
Inke 
Le Torrent 

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 22nd October 2014

22nd October 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:55 Betbright.com Download Our App Handicap Cl6 1m2f
100.2% * Mercury Magic 
99.9% Silken Waters  53
99.9% Hidden Asset  50
99.8% Mr Lando  63 101.2% (3)
99.7% Teide Peak  58 99.5% (1)
98.0% Lexington Blue 
98.0% Claude Greenwood 
97.9% Warbond  99.2% (1)
97.8% Purple Spot 
97.7% Highly Likely  55 96.5% (1)
97.5% Kingswinford  68
97.1% Berrahri 
97.1% Osorios Trial 
96.7% Nouvelle Ere