Like a thief in the night 11-8 BELLA OPHELIA for TRIP HANDICAP and THE ACTUARY with 2-7 LA ESTRELLA for TRIP HANDICAP provided todays profit for subscribers! Have I no shame
The Marias, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY The Actuary, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY Speed & Class, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY Trip Handicap, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY
The profitablity of each subscription service above is taken from 1st October 2011 and is based upon £20 level stakes

Horse Racing Tips: Kempton Park

22nd February 2012 Kempton Park


5:30 Free Entry For Betdaq Members Handicap Cl5 5f
101.3% * Triple Dream 99.7%
101.1% Island Legend 99.7%
100.8% Captain Scooby 100.3%
99.9% Estonia 99.6%
99.7% Fair Passion 99.8%
99.5% Baby Dottie 100.2%
98.8% Novabridge
98.5% Lucky Art 101.9%
97.9% Billy Red

6:00 Betdaq Multiples Handicap Cl5 1m2f
100.8% * Menadati 102.0%
100.7% Understory 101.4%
100.4% Lisahane Bog 101.4%
100.3% Edgewater
99.8% Hurricane Spirit 101.5%
99.6% John Louis
99.5% Hurricane Hymnbook 101.4%
98.4% Black Coffee
98.3% Silver Alliance
96.1% Lord Theo 100.5%

6:30 Back Or Lay At betdaq.com Claiming Stakes Cl6 7f
100.8% * Last Sovereign 100.6%
100.3% Mambo Spirit 100.2%
99.8% * Marajaa 101.1%
99.4% Whitechapel 100.3%
96.9% Best Trip 99.0%
96.6% Clone Devil 96.0%

7:00 Betdaq Mobile Apps Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 1m3f
98.9% * Avon Supreme
98.8% Oneiric
98.6% Munificence
Red Orator

7:30 Skysports Handicap Cl6 1m3f
100.7% Port Hill 99.5%
100.6% Land Hawk
100.6% Striding Edge
99.3% Beneath
99.1% Prince Of Thebes 99.8%
99.1% Trecase
98.9% * Safwaan
98.8% * Gower Rules 100.4%
98.6% Fire In Babylon 100.6%
98.6% Ivan The Terrible
96.0% Indus Valley
Agapanthus
Petit Ecuyer

8:00 Time Order Cards In Racing Plus Handicap Cl4 6f
100.5% * Clear Praise 100.9%
100.3% Pick A Little
100.3% Earlsmedic 100.7%
100.1% Torres Del Paine 99.9%
100.0% Where´s Reiley
99.7% Monsieur Jamie 99.8%
99.5% Arctic Lynx 100.1%
99.5% Roodee Queen 100.1%
99.1% Tislaam 100.3%
Rylee Mooch 96.3%

8:30 All-Weather "Hands And Heels" Apprentice Series Handicap (Racing Excellence Initiative) Cl7 1m
98.6% My Sister
98.6% Noinformation
98.5% * Inquisitress 98.8%
98.3% By Implication 99.0%
98.2% Le Reveur 99.5%
98.1% Rigid 99.2%
97.8% Rosy Dawn
97.4% Gambatte
97.4% Very Well Red 98.8%
97.2% Future Impact
96.9% Ellielusive
96.5% Mi Regalo
96.1% Dune Island 96.2%
91.8% During The War 98.1%


Horse Racing Tips: Lingfield Park

22nd February 2012 Lingfield Park


1:45 Bet And Watch At bluesq.com Claiming Stakes Cl6 5f
101.1% * Brenin Taran
100.1% Mottley Crewe
98.9% Drawnfromthepast 101.5%
98.9% Forty Proof 101.2%
98.3% Decider 99.4%

2:15 Lingfield Park Owners Club Selling Stakes Cl6 1m2f
99.7% * Daniel Thomas 99.7%
99.3% King´s Colour 100.3%
98.5% Jordaura 100.8%
98.4% Cheers Buddy
98.2% Alhaban 97.7%
98.2% Potentiale 100.9%
98.0% Ostentation 99.7%
97.0% Enriching 100.3%
95.7% Tiger Who

2:50 lingfieldpark.co.uk Handicap Cl5 1m2f
99.5% King´s Wharf
98.1% * Bramshill Lass 100.6%
97.8% Good Morning Star 97.9%
97.5% King Of Wing
97.4% Athletic 97.7%
97.3% Palmyra
96.7% Next Cry

3:20 Bet At Blue Square Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 6f
98.9% * Performing Pocket
97.6% Look At Me Now
97.5% The Kicking Lord
96.1% Miakora 98.0%
96.0% Flying Kitty

3:55 Cyprium Bar At Marriott Lingfield Handicap Cl6 6f
99.8% Dvinsky 99.1%
99.8% * Diamond Vine 99.9%
99.7% Meia Noite
99.3% Catalinas Diamond 100.2%
99.1% Riflessione 99.2%
98.9% Amosite 99.3%
97.5% Even Bolder 100.5%
97.0% Rio Royale 99.3%

4:30 marriottlingfieldpark.co.uk Handicap Cl4 6f
100.9% * Pale Orchid
100.5% Waseem Faris 100.0%
99.7% Sweet Ovation 100.4%
99.5% Abi Scarlet
99.4% Oratorian
99.1% Adranian
98.7% Chapellerie 100.3%

5:00 Bet At Blue Square On Your Mobile Handicap Cl6 7f
99.7% Lana 99.8%
99.3% First Bid
99.1% Songbird Blues 99.6%
99.0% Purple Affair
98.9% Finalist 99.7%
98.7% * Source Of Light
98.0% Here Comes Jeanie
97.0% Umph
96.9% Sea Anemone 98.3%
96.8% Tectonic 97.7%
96.7% King´s Future
95.8% Emirates Jack
94.3% Sweetest Friend 97.9%
Drinmoy Lad


Horse Racing Tips: Southwell

21st February 2012 Southwell


1:50 Place Only Betting At bluesq.com Selling Stakes Cl6 6f
100.8% * Pilgrim Dancer 100.5% 3RD 10-1
100.7% Ingleby Arch 101.2% 1ST EVENS
98.8% Punching 100.2% 2ND 9-4
97.5% Cape Of Storms 98.8%

2:20 Golf And Racing At Southwell Handicap Cl6 1m
99.4% Pelican Rock 98.9% 2ND 5-4
98.9% * Samasana 99.8% 1ST 9-4
98.2% J J Leary 98.6%
92.4% Canning Vale 93.9%
Smart Affair 3RD 14-1
Angel Warrior

2:50 southwell-racecourse.co.uk Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m3f
96.5% * Dewala 3RD 66-1
Artisan 1ST 9-2
Cotton Trader 2ND 2-5
Authentication

3:25 Dine In The Pantry Claiming Stakes Cl6 1m6f
102.1% * La Estrella 101.0% 1ST 1-6
96.3% Chookie Hamilton 3RD 9-1
Halla San 2ND 8-1

4:00 Play Golf Before Racing At Southwell Handicap Cl6 1m4f
99.3% Mister Frosty 98.4% 3RD 10-1
99.3% Spartan King
98.3% Brunello 100.4%
98.2% Cloudy Start 98.8%
98.1% Seawood 93.6%
98.0% Final Tune 98.7%
97.6% * Newport Arch 100.6% 1ST 11-2
96.1% Effervesce 96.8% 2ND 2-1

4:35 Download The Blue Square Bet App Handicap Cl4 5f
100.9% * Bella Ophelia 103.0% 1ST 11-10
97.9% Reve Du Jour 2ND 3-1
96.8% Ishiamiracle 103.0% 3RD 7-1
Bubbly Ballerina

5:10 Get Your Bet On At bluesq.com Handicap Cl5 1m
100.3% * St Oswald 99.5% 1ST 7-4
99.0% Rock Anthem 97.9%
97.7% General Tufto 99.7% 3RD 6-1
97.5% D´Urberville 99.4% 2ND 3-1
Reason To Believe
Thatcherite


Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)
Hello The Actuary

I must admit it's the first time I've seen this thread & personally I don't get involved too much in all-weather racing but I must commend you on the tremendous effort you put in & clearly you have a great knowledge & understanding of all-weather racing. I am certain that loads off gg.com members are finding this to be incredibly useful & benefitting from your work and this again illustrates the strengths & qualities of gg.com - all members prepared & willing to put time & effort in with the aim of helping fellow members achieve betting success & improve their knowledge. You have clearly had some very good results with your work & I commend you for that as I am sure all my fellow gg.com members do. You commented on

"it being a very disappointing last week. if it teaches me anything it will be to take nothing for granted" -

Now you said you made a profit in October so there is no need to worry or feel disappointment at a poor last week because that is the way when you study in depth because you can spend hours working on something only for it to all go wrong in a couple of minutes in a football match or matter of seconds in a horse race - I spend hours studying my football selections each week & yet in recent weeks it has been very frustrating with some poor results but that is not down to me doing things wrong but more to do with the random nature of football dictating that ultimately anything can & will happen. Horse races & football matches are random events that however much we assess & how much detailed analysis we do, the ultimate event is completely out of our control & as you quite rightly said you can take nothing for granted - horses that look certain to win easy run poorly, teams that look certain to win 3 or 4-0 lose 1-0 - that is the nature of sport & that is the nature of betting.As I said, I think the work you are doing is very informative & useful to gg.com members, so on behalf of my fellow members, here is a gg.com salute for you to show our appreciation.

THE ACTUARY - WE SALUTE YOU!!!

All the best with your all-weather bets & if I am considering having a bet on the all-weather I will definitely look for your work first to help me make my mind up.

Tommy

Tuesday, February 21, 2012

Horse Racing Tips: Kempton Park

22nd February 2012 Kempton Park


5:30 Free Entry For Betdaq Members Handicap Cl5 5f
101.3% * Triple Dream 99.7%
101.1% Island Legend 99.7%
100.8% Captain Scooby 100.3%
99.9% Estonia 99.6%
99.7% Fair Passion 99.8%
99.5% Baby Dottie 100.2%
98.8% Novabridge
98.5% Lucky Art 101.9%
97.9% Billy Red

6:00 Betdaq Multiples Handicap Cl5 1m2f
100.8% * Menadati 102.0%
100.7% Understory 101.4%
100.4% Lisahane Bog 101.4%
100.3% Edgewater
99.8% Hurricane Spirit 101.5%
99.6% John Louis
99.5% Hurricane Hymnbook 101.4%
98.4% Black Coffee
98.3% Silver Alliance
96.1% Lord Theo 100.5%

6:30 Back Or Lay At betdaq.com Claiming Stakes Cl6 7f
100.8% * Last Sovereign 100.6%
100.3% Mambo Spirit 100.2%
99.8% * Marajaa 101.1%
99.4% Whitechapel 100.3%
96.9% Best Trip 99.0%
96.6% Clone Devil 96.0%

7:00 Betdaq Mobile Apps Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 1m3f
98.9% * Avon Supreme
98.8% Oneiric
98.6% Munificence
Red Orator

7:30 Skysports Handicap Cl6 1m3f
100.7% Port Hill 99.5%
100.6% Land Hawk
100.6% Striding Edge
99.3% Beneath
99.1% Prince Of Thebes 99.8%
99.1% Trecase
98.9% * Safwaan
98.8% * Gower Rules 100.4%
98.6% Fire In Babylon 100.6%
98.6% Ivan The Terrible
96.0% Indus Valley
Agapanthus
Petit Ecuyer

8:00 Time Order Cards In Racing Plus Handicap Cl4 6f
100.5% * Clear Praise 100.9%
100.3% Pick A Little
100.3% Earlsmedic 100.7%
100.1% Torres Del Paine 99.9%
100.0% Where´s Reiley
99.7% Monsieur Jamie 99.8%
99.5% Arctic Lynx 100.1%
99.5% Roodee Queen 100.1%
99.1% Tislaam 100.3%
Rylee Mooch 96.3%

8:30 All-Weather "Hands And Heels" Apprentice Series Handicap (Racing Excellence Initiative) Cl7 1m
98.6% My Sister
98.6% Noinformation
98.5% * Inquisitress 98.8%
98.3% By Implication 99.0%
98.2% Le Reveur 99.5%
98.1% Rigid 99.2%
97.8% Rosy Dawn
97.4% Gambatte
97.4% Very Well Red 98.8%
97.2% Future Impact
96.9% Ellielusive
96.5% Mi Regalo
96.1% Dune Island 96.2%
91.8% During The War 98.1%


Posted by at 8:00 PM
Labels: , , , , ,

Horse Racing Tips: Lingfield Park

22nd February 2012 Lingfield Park


1:45 Bet And Watch At bluesq.com Claiming Stakes Cl6 5f
101.1% * Brenin Taran
100.1% Mottley Crewe
98.9% Drawnfromthepast 101.5%
98.9% Forty Proof 101.2%
98.3% Decider 99.4%

2:15 Lingfield Park Owners Club Selling Stakes Cl6 1m2f
99.7% * Daniel Thomas 99.7%
99.3% King´s Colour 100.3%
98.5% Jordaura 100.8%
98.4% Cheers Buddy
98.2% Alhaban 97.7%
98.2% Potentiale 100.9%
98.0% Ostentation 99.7%
97.0% Enriching 100.3%
95.7% Tiger Who

2:50 lingfieldpark.co.uk Handicap Cl5 1m2f
99.5% King´s Wharf
98.1% * Bramshill Lass 100.6%
97.8% Good Morning Star 97.9%
97.5% King Of Wing
97.4% Athletic 97.7%
97.3% Palmyra
96.7% Next Cry

3:20 Bet At Blue Square Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 6f
98.9% * Performing Pocket
97.6% Look At Me Now
97.5% The Kicking Lord
96.1% Miakora 98.0%
96.0% Flying Kitty

3:55 Cyprium Bar At Marriott Lingfield Handicap Cl6 6f
99.8% Dvinsky 99.1%
99.8% * Diamond Vine 99.9%
99.7% Meia Noite
99.3% Catalinas Diamond 100.2%
99.1% Riflessione 99.2%
98.9% Amosite 99.3%
97.5% Even Bolder 100.5%
97.0% Rio Royale 99.3%

4:30 marriottlingfieldpark.co.uk Handicap Cl4 6f
100.9% * Pale Orchid
100.5% Waseem Faris 100.0%
99.7% Sweet Ovation 100.4%
99.5% Abi Scarlet
99.4% Oratorian
99.1% Adranian
98.7% Chapellerie 100.3%

5:00 Bet At Blue Square On Your Mobile Handicap Cl6 7f
99.7% Lana 99.8%
99.3% First Bid
99.1% Songbird Blues 99.6%
99.0% Purple Affair
98.9% Finalist 99.7%
98.7% * Source Of Light
98.0% Here Comes Jeanie
97.0% Umph
96.9% Sea Anemone 98.3%
96.8% Tectonic 97.7%
96.7% King´s Future
95.8% Emirates Jack
94.3% Sweetest Friend 97.9%
Drinmoy Lad


Posted by at 7:30 PM
Labels: , , , , ,

Monday, February 20, 2012

Horse Racing Tips: Southwell

21st February 2012 Southwell


1:50 Place Only Betting At bluesq.com Selling Stakes Cl6 6f
100.8% * Pilgrim Dancer 100.5% 3RD 10-1
100.7% Ingleby Arch 101.2% 1ST EVENS
98.8% Punching 100.2% 2ND 9-4
97.5% Cape Of Storms 98.8%

2:20 Golf And Racing At Southwell Handicap Cl6 1m
99.4% Pelican Rock 98.9% 2ND 5-4
98.9% * Samasana 99.8% 1ST 9-4
98.2% J J Leary 98.6%
92.4% Canning Vale 93.9%
Smart Affair 3RD 14-1
Angel Warrior

2:50 southwell-racecourse.co.uk Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m3f
96.5% * Dewala 3RD 66-1
Artisan 1ST 9-2
Cotton Trader 2ND 2-5
Authentication

3:25 Dine In The Pantry Claiming Stakes Cl6 1m6f
102.1% * La Estrella 101.0% 1ST 1-6
96.3% Chookie Hamilton 3RD 9-1
Halla San 2ND 8-1

4:00 Play Golf Before Racing At Southwell Handicap Cl6 1m4f
99.3% Mister Frosty 98.4% 3RD 10-1
99.3% Spartan King
98.3% Brunello 100.4%
98.2% Cloudy Start 98.8%
98.1% Seawood 93.6%
98.0% Final Tune 98.7%
97.6% * Newport Arch 100.6% 1ST 11-2
96.1% Effervesce 96.8% 2ND 2-1

4:35 Download The Blue Square Bet App Handicap Cl4 5f
100.9% * Bella Ophelia 103.0% 1ST 11-10
97.9% Reve Du Jour 2ND 3-1
96.8% Ishiamiracle 103.0% 3RD 7-1
Bubbly Ballerina

5:10 Get Your Bet On At bluesq.com Handicap Cl5 1m
100.3% * St Oswald 99.5% 1ST 7-4
99.0% Rock Anthem 97.9%
97.7% General Tufto 99.7% 3RD 6-1
97.5% D´Urberville 99.4% 2ND 3-1
Reason To Believe
Thatcherite


Posted by at 8:04 PM
Labels: , , , , ,
Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)
Horse Racing - Trip Down Memory Lane

As there is no AWT racing until Monday 13th I decided to do some research and while thumbing through some old racing books found an old page from Raceform which bought back a great memory from my past carefully folded within the pages.
How attractive a proposition was Pipssalio. Still a Maiden after 4 outings, its 3 outings as a 2yo read beaten 16 lengths in Class 5 3k Novice, beaten 16 lengths in a Class 6 2k Maiden, Beaten 14 lengths in a Class 4 3k Maiden. 1 outing as a 3yo beaten ½ length in a Class 4 4k Handicap. Looked to be way out of its depth being entered in a Class 3 14k Handicap. Pipssalio was 10lb out of the handicap and the jockey (Francis Norton) was putting up 2lb over weight.

My speed figures told me a different story. In fact I can remember being so bullish I was nailing my colours to the mast on all the forums and to the Raceform. This for me was the outstanding bet of the following day, the outstanding bet of the week and of the month. I went to bed unable to sleep with anticipation for the following day fully confident I would be making a lot of money. As soon as I got up on the day of the race I started checking the prices to ensure the tissue given the evening before was correct. Pipssalio was still 20-1.

The time of the race had arrived and in horror I watched as Pipssalio fell out of the stalls. By the time they had reached half-way in the 1 mile contest it was flat to the boards well adrift of the rest of the field with Franny Norton rowing away and beating the horse to death!

My feelings at the time were partly embarrassment due to the comments I had made on various forums , partly anger and all confidence in my ability to create meaningful speed figures gone in 60 seconds but being the eternal optimist still a slither of hope.

With 2 furlongs to go Pipssalio started to reduce the gap. With a furlong to go the rest of the field started to paddle and Pipssalio appeared to have sprouted wings and was closing on the leaders at an unbelievable rate. As they flashed passed the post Franny Norton had driven Pipssalio between the two leaders to make a three way photo finish. Even though I believed Pipssalio had got there it was going to be on the nod. Pipssalio got the verdict beating 2nd Everest by a short-head who in turn had beaten 3rd Tumbleweed Tor by a short-head.

That is the margin between winning or losing. The difference between the feeling of abject failure and believing you can walk on water.