THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 29TH MARCH KEMPTON PARK - 31ST MARCH KEMPTON PARK - 1ST APRIL KEMPTON PARK & SOUTHWELL - 2ND APRIL KEMPTON PARK, LINGFIELD PARK & SOUTHWELL - 4TH APRIL WOLVERHAMPTON & DUNDALK - 5TH APRIL LINGFIELD PARK & WOLVERHAMPTON -

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 22nd April 2014

22nd April 2014 Wolverhampton
                 
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
                 
5:45 Quicksilverslots Play £500 Jackpot Rainbow Riches Handicap Cl6 5f20y
98.7% * Literally On Fire         
97.8%   Brean Splash Susie  96.6% (1)        
97.6%   Trefnant           
97.2%   Clear Focus  95.8% (2)      
97.2%   Biscuiteer  97.7% (3)      
96.9%   Maro  92.6% (1)        
96.4%   Jazz Bay   
       
    Bountiful Forest           
                 

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 19th April 2014

19th April 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
1:45 Betfred TV/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (Bobis Race) Cl4 5f
95.9% * Johnny Sorrento 
95.5% Designate 
95.1% Mark´s Whisper 
Be Bold 
Colour Catcher 
Escalating 
Ivors Involvement 
Ivors Rebel 
King Crimson 
Mary Ann Bugg 

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 18th April 2014

18th April 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
1:45 coral.co.uk All-Weather Championships Apprentice Handicap Cl2 1m4f
102.1% Asia Minor 
101.8% * Grendisar  102.2% (4)
101.8% Scottish Star  100.9% (3)
101.3% Icebuster 
101.3% Aryal  98.0% (1)
100.8% The Lock Master 
100.6% Mica Mika  100.5% (2)
99.6% Viewpoint  100.5% (2)
99.1% Commissar  99.1% (1)
98.8% Lady Lunchalot  98.8% (1)
96.5% Honoured  100.5% (2)

Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 16th April 2014

16th April 2014 Dundalk
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:45 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Median Auction Maiden 5f
94.8% * Wee Monster  94.8% (1)
Cappella Sansevero 
Cleveland Street 
No Way Jack 
Ace Of Arts 
Arterial 

Southwell All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 15th April 2014

15th April 2014 Southwell
                 
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
                 
2:20 Coral App Download From The App Store Claiming Stakes Cl6 1m3f
101.3% * Lean On Pete  101.7% (2)      
100.0%   Crooked Arrow  100.1% (1)        
99.2%   Back Burner  99.2% (1)        
94.9%   Stand Guard  101.4% (2)      
    Licence To Till             
                 

Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Hello The Actuary

I must admit it's the first time I've seen this thread & personally I don't get involved too much in all-weather racing but I must commend you on the tremendous effort you put in & clearly you have a great knowledge & understanding of all-weather racing. I am certain that loads off gg.com members are finding this to be incredibly useful & benefitting from your work and this again illustrates the strengths & qualities of gg.com - all members prepared & willing to put time & effort in with the aim of helping fellow members achieve betting success & improve their knowledge. You have clearly had some very good results with your work & I commend you for that as I am sure all my fellow gg.com members do. You commented on

"it being a very disappointing last week. if it teaches me anything it will be to take nothing for granted" -

Now you said you made a profit in October so there is no need to worry or feel disappointment at a poor last week because that is the way when you study in depth because you can spend hours working on something only for it to all go wrong in a couple of minutes in a football match or matter of seconds in a horse race - I spend hours studying my football selections each week & yet in recent weeks it has been very frustrating with some poor results but that is not down to me doing things wrong but more to do with the random nature of football dictating that ultimately anything can & will happen. Horse races & football matches are random events that however much we assess & how much detailed analysis we do, the ultimate event is completely out of our control & as you quite rightly said you can take nothing for granted - horses that look certain to win easy run poorly, teams that look certain to win 3 or 4-0 lose 1-0 - that is the nature of sport & that is the nature of betting.As I said, I think the work you are doing is very informative & useful to gg.com members, so on behalf of my fellow members, here is a gg.com salute for you to show our appreciation.

THE ACTUARY - WE SALUTE YOU!!!

All the best with your all-weather bets & if I am considering having a bet on the all-weather I will definitely look for your work first to help me make my mind up.

Tommy
Horse Racing - Trip Down Memory Lane

As there is no AWT racing until Monday 13th I decided to do some research and while thumbing through some old racing books found an old page from Raceform which bought back a great memory from my past carefully folded within the pages.

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 22nd April 2014

22nd April 2014 Wolverhampton
                 
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
                 
5:45 Quicksilverslots Play £500 Jackpot Rainbow Riches Handicap Cl6 5f20y
98.7% * Literally On Fire         
97.8%   Brean Splash Susie  96.6% (1)        
97.6%   Trefnant           
97.2%   Clear Focus  95.8% (2)      
97.2%   Biscuiteer  97.7% (3)      
96.9%   Maro  92.6% (1)        
96.4%   Jazz Bay   
       
    Bountiful Forest           
                 

Saturday, April 19, 2014

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 19th April 2014

19th April 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
1:45 Betfred TV/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (Bobis Race) Cl4 5f
95.9% * Johnny Sorrento 
95.5% Designate 
95.1% Mark´s Whisper 
Be Bold 
Colour Catcher 
Escalating 
Ivors Involvement 
Ivors Rebel 
King Crimson 
Mary Ann Bugg 

Friday, April 18, 2014

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 18th April 2014

18th April 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
1:45 coral.co.uk All-Weather Championships Apprentice Handicap Cl2 1m4f
102.1% Asia Minor 
101.8% * Grendisar  102.2% (4)
101.8% Scottish Star  100.9% (3)
101.3% Icebuster 
101.3% Aryal  98.0% (1)
100.8% The Lock Master 
100.6% Mica Mika  100.5% (2)
99.6% Viewpoint  100.5% (2)
99.1% Commissar  99.1% (1)
98.8% Lady Lunchalot  98.8% (1)
96.5% Honoured  100.5% (2)

Wednesday, April 16, 2014

Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 16th April 2014

16th April 2014 Dundalk
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:45 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Median Auction Maiden 5f
94.8% * Wee Monster  94.8% (1)
Cappella Sansevero 
Cleveland Street 
No Way Jack 
Ace Of Arts 
Arterial 

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

Southwell All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 15th April 2014

15th April 2014 Southwell
                 
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
                 
2:20 Coral App Download From The App Store Claiming Stakes Cl6 1m3f
101.3% * Lean On Pete  101.7% (2)      
100.0%   Crooked Arrow  100.1% (1)        
99.2%   Back Burner  99.2% (1)        
94.9%   Stand Guard  101.4% (2)      
    Licence To Till             
                 
How attractive a proposition was Pipssalio. Still a Maiden after 4 outings, its 3 outings as a 2yo read beaten 16 lengths in Class 5 3k Novice, beaten 16 lengths in a Class 6 2k Maiden, Beaten 14 lengths in a Class 4 3k Maiden. 1 outing as a 3yo beaten ½ length in a Class 4 4k Handicap. Looked to be way out of its depth being entered in a Class 3 14k Handicap. Pipssalio was 10lb out of the handicap and the jockey (Francis Norton) was putting up 2lb over weight.

My speed figures told me a different story. In fact I can remember being so bullish I was nailing my colours to the mast on all the forums and to the Raceform. This for me was the outstanding bet of the following day, the outstanding bet of the week and of the month. I went to bed unable to sleep with anticipation for the following day fully confident I would be making a lot of money. As soon as I got up on the day of the race I started checking the prices to ensure the tissue given the evening before was correct. Pipssalio was still 20-1.

The time of the race had arrived and in horror I watched as Pipssalio fell out of the stalls. By the time they had reached half-way in the 1 mile contest it was flat to the boards well adrift of the rest of the field with Franny Norton rowing away and beating the horse to death!

My feelings at the time were partly embarrassment due to the comments I had made on various forums , partly anger and all confidence in my ability to create meaningful speed figures gone in 60 seconds but being the eternal optimist still a slither of hope.

With 2 furlongs to go Pipssalio started to reduce the gap. With a furlong to go the rest of the field started to paddle and Pipssalio appeared to have sprouted wings and was closing on the leaders at an unbelievable rate. As they flashed passed the post Franny Norton had driven Pipssalio between the two leaders to make a three way photo finish. Even though I believed Pipssalio had got there it was going to be on the nod. Pipssalio got the verdict beating 2nd Everest by a short-head who in turn had beaten 3rd Tumbleweed Tor by a short-head.

That is the margin between winning or losing. The difference between the feeling of abject failure and believing you can walk on water.