THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 31ST MARCH SOUTHWELL - 1ST APRIL CHELMSFORD CITY, SOUTHWELL & DUNDALK - 2ND APRIL WOLVERHAMPTON - 3RD APRIL LINGFIELD PARK - 4TH APRIL KEMPTON PARK - 6TH APRIL - WOLVERHAMPTON -

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 18th April 2015

18th April 2015 Wolverhampton
                     
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. 
                     
6:10 Bet toteplacepot On All UK Meetings Amateur Riders´ Handicap Cl5 5f216y
100.5%   Kerbaaj  67 100.7% (1) 101.8%   99.1%  
100.2%   Red Invader    102.3% 92.9%  
100.1% * Secret Millionaire  66 100.1% (2)      
100.0%   Interchoice Star  55 99.0% (3) 101.2%   96.1%  
100.0%   Give Us A Belle    100.9%   98.5%  
99.8%   Mount Hollow  70 100.7% (2) 100.1%   98.3%  
99.4%   Jubilee Brig  75 97.0%   104.2%  
99.4%   Whipphound  62 99.1% (3) 98.2% 99.8%  
99.4%   Top Offer  70 100.2% 98.7%  
97.3%   Excellent Aim  62 100.9%   91.2%  
96.5%   All Or Nothin    99.7% 94.4%  
    Minister Of Fun         
    Balinus           
           
 B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             

Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 17th April 2015

17th April 2015 Dundalk
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. 
5:35 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Median Auction Maiden 5f
    Blood Moon     
    Chasing Tomorrow     
    Secret Wizard   
    Spader   
    Washington Dc   
    Athasach     
    Gealan   
    Nice And Dandy     
       
 B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             

Chelmsford City All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 16th April 2015

16th April 2015 Chelmsford City
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. 
5:50 Win Big With The totejackpot Maiden Auction Stakes Cl5 1m2f
100.3% * Scrutinise  98.7% 99.4%
98.8% Cafe Caprice  98.7% 92.3%
Dawn Missile 
Delaire 
The Special House 
 B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             


Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 15th April 2015

15th April 2015 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. 
5:45 32Red Casino Maiden Auction Stakes Cl5 6f
99.9% * Chapeau Bleu  98.4% 99.8%
97.5% Hurricane Alert  97.4% (2) 99.7% 91.0%
97.5% Acom  99.5% 93.6%
95.5% Lady Brambletye  95.4% 92.8%
Hugie Boy 
Wotnot 
Rock Follies 
 B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             


Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Hello The Actuary

I must admit it's the first time I've seen this thread & personally I don't get involved too much in all-weather racing but I must commend you on the tremendous effort you put in & clearly you have a great knowledge & understanding of all-weather racing. I am certain that loads off gg.com members are finding this to be incredibly useful & benefitting from your work and this again illustrates the strengths & qualities of gg.com - all members prepared & willing to put time & effort in with the aim of helping fellow members achieve betting success & improve their knowledge. You have clearly had some very good results with your work & I commend you for that as I am sure all my fellow gg.com members do. You commented on

"it being a very disappointing last week. if it teaches me anything it will be to take nothing for granted" -

Now you said you made a profit in October so there is no need to worry or feel disappointment at a poor last week because that is the way when you study in depth because you can spend hours working on something only for it to all go wrong in a couple of minutes in a football match or matter of seconds in a horse race - I spend hours studying my football selections each week & yet in recent weeks it has been very frustrating with some poor results but that is not down to me doing things wrong but more to do with the random nature of football dictating that ultimately anything can & will happen. Horse races & football matches are random events that however much we assess & how much detailed analysis we do, the ultimate event is completely out of our control & as you quite rightly said you can take nothing for granted - horses that look certain to win easy run poorly, teams that look certain to win 3 or 4-0 lose 1-0 - that is the nature of sport & that is the nature of betting.As I said, I think the work you are doing is very informative & useful to gg.com members, so on behalf of my fellow members, here is a gg.com salute for you to show our appreciation.

THE ACTUARY - WE SALUTE YOU!!!

All the best with your all-weather bets & if I am considering having a bet on the all-weather I will definitely look for your work first to help me make my mind up.

Tommy
Horse Racing - Trip Down Memory Lane

As there is no AWT racing until Monday 13th I decided to do some research and while thumbing through some old racing books found an old page from Raceform which bought back a great memory from my past carefully folded within the pages.

Saturday, April 18, 2015

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 18th April 2015

18th April 2015 Wolverhampton
                     
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. 
                     
6:10 Bet toteplacepot On All UK Meetings Amateur Riders´ Handicap Cl5 5f216y
100.5%   Kerbaaj  67 100.7% (1) 101.8%   99.1%  
100.2%   Red Invader    102.3% 92.9%  
100.1% * Secret Millionaire  66 100.1% (2)      
100.0%   Interchoice Star  55 99.0% (3) 101.2%   96.1%  
100.0%   Give Us A Belle    100.9%   98.5%  
99.8%   Mount Hollow  70 100.7% (2) 100.1%   98.3%  
99.4%   Jubilee Brig  75 97.0%   104.2%  
99.4%   Whipphound  62 99.1% (3) 98.2% 99.8%  
99.4%   Top Offer  70 100.2% 98.7%  
97.3%   Excellent Aim  62 100.9%   91.2%  
96.5%   All Or Nothin    99.7% 94.4%  
    Minister Of Fun         
    Balinus           
           
 B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             

Friday, April 17, 2015

Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 17th April 2015

17th April 2015 Dundalk
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. 
5:35 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Median Auction Maiden 5f
    Blood Moon     
    Chasing Tomorrow     
    Secret Wizard   
    Spader   
    Washington Dc   
    Athasach     
    Gealan   
    Nice And Dandy     
       
 B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             

Thursday, April 16, 2015

Chelmsford City All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 16th April 2015

16th April 2015 Chelmsford City
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. 
5:50 Win Big With The totejackpot Maiden Auction Stakes Cl5 1m2f
100.3% * Scrutinise  98.7% 99.4%
98.8% Cafe Caprice  98.7% 92.3%
Dawn Missile 
Delaire 
The Special House 
 B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             


Wednesday, April 15, 2015

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 15th April 2015

15th April 2015 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. 
5:45 32Red Casino Maiden Auction Stakes Cl5 6f
99.9% * Chapeau Bleu  98.4% 99.8%
97.5% Hurricane Alert  97.4% (2) 99.7% 91.0%
97.5% Acom  99.5% 93.6%
95.5% Lady Brambletye  95.4% 92.8%
Hugie Boy 
Wotnot 
Rock Follies 
 B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             


How attractive a proposition was Pipssalio. Still a Maiden after 4 outings, its 3 outings as a 2yo read beaten 16 lengths in Class 5 3k Novice, beaten 16 lengths in a Class 6 2k Maiden, Beaten 14 lengths in a Class 4 3k Maiden. 1 outing as a 3yo beaten ½ length in a Class 4 4k Handicap. Looked to be way out of its depth being entered in a Class 3 14k Handicap. Pipssalio was 10lb out of the handicap and the jockey (Francis Norton) was putting up 2lb over weight.

My speed figures told me a different story. In fact I can remember being so bullish I was nailing my colours to the mast on all the forums and to the Raceform. This for me was the outstanding bet of the following day, the outstanding bet of the week and of the month. I went to bed unable to sleep with anticipation for the following day fully confident I would be making a lot of money. As soon as I got up on the day of the race I started checking the prices to ensure the tissue given the evening before was correct. Pipssalio was still 20-1.

The time of the race had arrived and in horror I watched as Pipssalio fell out of the stalls. By the time they had reached half-way in the 1 mile contest it was flat to the boards well adrift of the rest of the field with Franny Norton rowing away and beating the horse to death!

My feelings at the time were partly embarrassment due to the comments I had made on various forums , partly anger and all confidence in my ability to create meaningful speed figures gone in 60 seconds but being the eternal optimist still a slither of hope.

With 2 furlongs to go Pipssalio started to reduce the gap. With a furlong to go the rest of the field started to paddle and Pipssalio appeared to have sprouted wings and was closing on the leaders at an unbelievable rate. As they flashed passed the post Franny Norton had driven Pipssalio between the two leaders to make a three way photo finish. Even though I believed Pipssalio had got there it was going to be on the nod. Pipssalio got the verdict beating 2nd Everest by a short-head who in turn had beaten 3rd Tumbleweed Tor by a short-head.

That is the margin between winning or losing. The difference between the feeling of abject failure and believing you can walk on water.