THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 26TH AUGUST WOLVERHAMPTON - 27TH AUGUST LINGFIELD PARK & KEMPTON PARK - 28TH AUGUST LINGFIELD PARK - 29TH AUGUST WOLVERHAMPTON -

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 29th August 2014

29th August 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
6:00 Bet totejackpot Apprentice Handicap (Tapeta) Cl6 1m141y
101.0% Youm Jamil 
100.0% City Of Angkor Wat  99.6% (1)
99.7% Phils Wish 
99.6% * Eastward Ho  54
99.5% Jumbo Prado  60 99.1% (1)
99.4% Adimendis 
99.1% Just Five  51
98.6% Jayeff Herring 
98.4% Rio Yuma 
98.3% Katmai River  51 97.9% (1)
98.0% Mcmonagle 
97.9% Key To Your Heart 
91.9% Benidorm 

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 28th August 2014

28th August 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:40 Indus Catering Median Auction Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl6 5f
97.9% * Robin Hill 
96.5% One Moment 
Escrick 
Kylies Wild Card 
Margot Rose 
Swift Susie 

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 27th August 2014

27th August 2014 Kempton Park
                   
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
                   
5:55 Kempton Live With Dizzee Rascal 06.09.14 Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots Flat Series´ Qualifier) Cl6 6f
98.7%   Stapleford Lad               
98.5%   La Napoule             
98.1%   Monashka Bay    95.8% (2)      
98.0% * Dandys Perier  57          
97.4%   Baars Causeway    97.8% (3)      
97.2%   Shaft Of Light    98.2% (1)      
96.8%   Dylan´s Centenary             
96.1%   Bonnie Fairy               
94.7%   Song Of Rowland             
94.4%   Zafraaj    94.4% (1)      
92.8%   Maymyo             
    It´s A Yes From Me               
                   

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 27th August 2014

27th August 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
2:20 £10 Free Bet At 32RedSport.com Maiden Fillies´ Stakes (Bobis Race) Cl5 1m1y
99.1% * Turning Times 
Galileano 
Lexi´s Red Devil 
Madam Midnight 
Tepeleni 

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 26th August 2014

26th August 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
6:20 32Red Casino Apprentice Handicap (Tapeta) Cl5 1m141y
101.0%Dutch Rifle 
99.6%Allergic Reaction 
99.3%Solo Hunter 69
98.7%Dynamic Ranger 
98.7%*Heska 66
96.2%Hannington 
95.1%Quantum Dot 
89.7%Its Not Me Its You 
Derbyshire 
Tancred 

Ooops 67-1! Makes the 7:40 Hamilton one of the most interesting races of the day.

A great story unfolded this morning as Sporting bet offered 67-1 against Potent Embrace in Hamilton's four horse 7:40 while their counterparts were offering 6-1 at best. Available to lay at 6.2 and upward on the Betfair exchange to small stakes, a flurry of activity ensued as Arb bettors took advantage.

Although I have put myself in a position to win just short of £100 on the race regardless of the outcome, in the pit of my stomach I feel that there will be an orchestrated repercussion unfavourable to the punters that took aim. It will be interesting to see how this plays out and whether Sporting Bet show the integrity to stand by their laurels and honour the wagers placed.


Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Hello The Actuary

I must admit it's the first time I've seen this thread & personally I don't get involved too much in all-weather racing but I must commend you on the tremendous effort you put in & clearly you have a great knowledge & understanding of all-weather racing. I am certain that loads off gg.com members are finding this to be incredibly useful & benefitting from your work and this again illustrates the strengths & qualities of gg.com - all members prepared & willing to put time & effort in with the aim of helping fellow members achieve betting success & improve their knowledge. You have clearly had some very good results with your work & I commend you for that as I am sure all my fellow gg.com members do. You commented on

"it being a very disappointing last week. if it teaches me anything it will be to take nothing for granted" -

Now you said you made a profit in October so there is no need to worry or feel disappointment at a poor last week because that is the way when you study in depth because you can spend hours working on something only for it to all go wrong in a couple of minutes in a football match or matter of seconds in a horse race - I spend hours studying my football selections each week & yet in recent weeks it has been very frustrating with some poor results but that is not down to me doing things wrong but more to do with the random nature of football dictating that ultimately anything can & will happen. Horse races & football matches are random events that however much we assess & how much detailed analysis we do, the ultimate event is completely out of our control & as you quite rightly said you can take nothing for granted - horses that look certain to win easy run poorly, teams that look certain to win 3 or 4-0 lose 1-0 - that is the nature of sport & that is the nature of betting.As I said, I think the work you are doing is very informative & useful to gg.com members, so on behalf of my fellow members, here is a gg.com salute for you to show our appreciation.

THE ACTUARY - WE SALUTE YOU!!!

All the best with your all-weather bets & if I am considering having a bet on the all-weather I will definitely look for your work first to help me make my mind up.

Tommy
Horse Racing - Trip Down Memory Lane

As there is no AWT racing until Monday 13th I decided to do some research and while thumbing through some old racing books found an old page from Raceform which bought back a great memory from my past carefully folded within the pages.

Friday, August 29, 2014

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 29th August 2014

29th August 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
6:00 Bet totejackpot Apprentice Handicap (Tapeta) Cl6 1m141y
101.0% Youm Jamil 
100.0% City Of Angkor Wat  99.6% (1)
99.7% Phils Wish 
99.6% * Eastward Ho  54
99.5% Jumbo Prado  60 99.1% (1)
99.4% Adimendis 
99.1% Just Five  51
98.6% Jayeff Herring 
98.4% Rio Yuma 
98.3% Katmai River  51 97.9% (1)
98.0% Mcmonagle 
97.9% Key To Your Heart 
91.9% Benidorm 

Thursday, August 28, 2014

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 28th August 2014

28th August 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:40 Indus Catering Median Auction Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl6 5f
97.9% * Robin Hill 
96.5% One Moment 
Escrick 
Kylies Wild Card 
Margot Rose 
Swift Susie 

Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 27th August 2014

27th August 2014 Kempton Park
                   
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
                   
5:55 Kempton Live With Dizzee Rascal 06.09.14 Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots Flat Series´ Qualifier) Cl6 6f
98.7%   Stapleford Lad               
98.5%   La Napoule             
98.1%   Monashka Bay    95.8% (2)      
98.0% * Dandys Perier  57          
97.4%   Baars Causeway    97.8% (3)      
97.2%   Shaft Of Light    98.2% (1)      
96.8%   Dylan´s Centenary             
96.1%   Bonnie Fairy               
94.7%   Song Of Rowland             
94.4%   Zafraaj    94.4% (1)      
92.8%   Maymyo             
    It´s A Yes From Me               
                   

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 27th August 2014

27th August 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
2:20 £10 Free Bet At 32RedSport.com Maiden Fillies´ Stakes (Bobis Race) Cl5 1m1y
99.1% * Turning Times 
Galileano 
Lexi´s Red Devil 
Madam Midnight 
Tepeleni 

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 26th August 2014

26th August 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
6:20 32Red Casino Apprentice Handicap (Tapeta) Cl5 1m141y
101.0%Dutch Rifle 
99.6%Allergic Reaction 
99.3%Solo Hunter 69
98.7%Dynamic Ranger 
98.7%*Heska 66
96.2%Hannington 
95.1%Quantum Dot 
89.7%Its Not Me Its You 
Derbyshire 
Tancred 

Friday, August 22, 2014

Ooops 67-1! Makes the 7:40 Hamilton one of the most interesting races of the day.

A great story unfolded this morning as Sporting bet offered 67-1 against Potent Embrace in Hamilton's four horse 7:40 while their counterparts were offering 6-1 at best. Available to lay at 6.2 and upward on the Betfair exchange to small stakes, a flurry of activity ensued as Arb bettors took advantage.

Although I have put myself in a position to win just short of £100 on the race regardless of the outcome, in the pit of my stomach I feel that there will be an orchestrated repercussion unfavourable to the punters that took aim. It will be interesting to see how this plays out and whether Sporting Bet show the integrity to stand by their laurels and honour the wagers placed.


How attractive a proposition was Pipssalio. Still a Maiden after 4 outings, its 3 outings as a 2yo read beaten 16 lengths in Class 5 3k Novice, beaten 16 lengths in a Class 6 2k Maiden, Beaten 14 lengths in a Class 4 3k Maiden. 1 outing as a 3yo beaten ½ length in a Class 4 4k Handicap. Looked to be way out of its depth being entered in a Class 3 14k Handicap. Pipssalio was 10lb out of the handicap and the jockey (Francis Norton) was putting up 2lb over weight.

My speed figures told me a different story. In fact I can remember being so bullish I was nailing my colours to the mast on all the forums and to the Raceform. This for me was the outstanding bet of the following day, the outstanding bet of the week and of the month. I went to bed unable to sleep with anticipation for the following day fully confident I would be making a lot of money. As soon as I got up on the day of the race I started checking the prices to ensure the tissue given the evening before was correct. Pipssalio was still 20-1.

The time of the race had arrived and in horror I watched as Pipssalio fell out of the stalls. By the time they had reached half-way in the 1 mile contest it was flat to the boards well adrift of the rest of the field with Franny Norton rowing away and beating the horse to death!

My feelings at the time were partly embarrassment due to the comments I had made on various forums , partly anger and all confidence in my ability to create meaningful speed figures gone in 60 seconds but being the eternal optimist still a slither of hope.

With 2 furlongs to go Pipssalio started to reduce the gap. With a furlong to go the rest of the field started to paddle and Pipssalio appeared to have sprouted wings and was closing on the leaders at an unbelievable rate. As they flashed passed the post Franny Norton had driven Pipssalio between the two leaders to make a three way photo finish. Even though I believed Pipssalio had got there it was going to be on the nod. Pipssalio got the verdict beating 2nd Everest by a short-head who in turn had beaten 3rd Tumbleweed Tor by a short-head.

That is the margin between winning or losing. The difference between the feeling of abject failure and believing you can walk on water.