THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 23RD JULY LINGFIELD PARK - 24TH JULY LINGFIELD PARK - 25TH JULY LINGFIELD PARK - 26TH JULY LINGFIELD PARK - 28TH JULY LINGFIELD PARK

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 24th July 2014

24th July 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:30 All New 32RedSport.com Nursery Handicap Cl6 5f6y
98.7% * One Moment 
96.0% Tommys Geal 
Clodovil Doll 
Loumarin 
Lady Marita 
Lyfka 
Toytown 
Somedaysrdiamonds 

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 23rd July 2014

23rd July 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
2:00 188Bet Maiden Auction Stakes Cl6 7f1y
98.4% * Bannister Bell 
96.8% Cahar Fad  96.8% (1)
Toast Of Newbury 
Cool Choice 
Ragtime Dancer 
Little Miss Mighty 
New Abbey Dancer 
Saumur 
Edge Of Heaven 

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 19th July 2014

19th July 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:30 Ladbrokes Handicap Cl6 7f
100.5% * The Happy Hammer 
100.4% My Manekineko 
99.8% Substantivo 
99.8% Belle Bayardo 
99.7% Encapsulated 
98.8% Byrd In Hand 
98.6% Darnathean 
98.3% Eager To Bow 
98.1% Popping Candy 
97.7% Dancing Sal 
97.2% Lady Crossmar 
Strike A Light 

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 16th July 2014

16th July 2014 Lingfield Park
                     
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.  
                     
2:10 British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies´ Stakes (Bobis Race) Cl5 6f1y
    Belle Dormant               
    Fleetwood Poppy             
    Gumhrear               
    Its Lady Mary             
    L´Addition               
    Local Time               
    Malarkey               
    Primrose Valley             
    Quite Smart               
    Recover                 
    With Charm               
    World Fair               
                     

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Monday 14th July 2014

14th July 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:50 Racing Specials At 32RedSport.com Maiden Auction Stakes Cl5 6f1y
Bannister Bell 
Cartmell Cleave 
The Dapper Tapper 
Willow Creek 
Snappy Mann 
White Vin Jan 
Dark Symphony 
Lady Maesmor 

Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Hello The Actuary

I must admit it's the first time I've seen this thread & personally I don't get involved too much in all-weather racing but I must commend you on the tremendous effort you put in & clearly you have a great knowledge & understanding of all-weather racing. I am certain that loads off gg.com members are finding this to be incredibly useful & benefitting from your work and this again illustrates the strengths & qualities of gg.com - all members prepared & willing to put time & effort in with the aim of helping fellow members achieve betting success & improve their knowledge. You have clearly had some very good results with your work & I commend you for that as I am sure all my fellow gg.com members do. You commented on

"it being a very disappointing last week. if it teaches me anything it will be to take nothing for granted" -

Now you said you made a profit in October so there is no need to worry or feel disappointment at a poor last week because that is the way when you study in depth because you can spend hours working on something only for it to all go wrong in a couple of minutes in a football match or matter of seconds in a horse race - I spend hours studying my football selections each week & yet in recent weeks it has been very frustrating with some poor results but that is not down to me doing things wrong but more to do with the random nature of football dictating that ultimately anything can & will happen. Horse races & football matches are random events that however much we assess & how much detailed analysis we do, the ultimate event is completely out of our control & as you quite rightly said you can take nothing for granted - horses that look certain to win easy run poorly, teams that look certain to win 3 or 4-0 lose 1-0 - that is the nature of sport & that is the nature of betting.As I said, I think the work you are doing is very informative & useful to gg.com members, so on behalf of my fellow members, here is a gg.com salute for you to show our appreciation.

THE ACTUARY - WE SALUTE YOU!!!

All the best with your all-weather bets & if I am considering having a bet on the all-weather I will definitely look for your work first to help me make my mind up.

Tommy
Horse Racing - Trip Down Memory Lane

As there is no AWT racing until Monday 13th I decided to do some research and while thumbing through some old racing books found an old page from Raceform which bought back a great memory from my past carefully folded within the pages.

Thursday, July 24, 2014

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 24th July 2014

24th July 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:30 All New 32RedSport.com Nursery Handicap Cl6 5f6y
98.7% * One Moment 
96.0% Tommys Geal 
Clodovil Doll 
Loumarin 
Lady Marita 
Lyfka 
Toytown 
Somedaysrdiamonds 

Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 23rd July 2014

23rd July 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
2:00 188Bet Maiden Auction Stakes Cl6 7f1y
98.4% * Bannister Bell 
96.8% Cahar Fad  96.8% (1)
Toast Of Newbury 
Cool Choice 
Ragtime Dancer 
Little Miss Mighty 
New Abbey Dancer 
Saumur 
Edge Of Heaven 

Saturday, July 19, 2014

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 19th July 2014

19th July 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:30 Ladbrokes Handicap Cl6 7f
100.5% * The Happy Hammer 
100.4% My Manekineko 
99.8% Substantivo 
99.8% Belle Bayardo 
99.7% Encapsulated 
98.8% Byrd In Hand 
98.6% Darnathean 
98.3% Eager To Bow 
98.1% Popping Candy 
97.7% Dancing Sal 
97.2% Lady Crossmar 
Strike A Light 

Wednesday, July 16, 2014

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 16th July 2014

16th July 2014 Lingfield Park
                     
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.  
                     
2:10 British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies´ Stakes (Bobis Race) Cl5 6f1y
    Belle Dormant               
    Fleetwood Poppy             
    Gumhrear               
    Its Lady Mary             
    L´Addition               
    Local Time               
    Malarkey               
    Primrose Valley             
    Quite Smart               
    Recover                 
    With Charm               
    World Fair               
                     

Monday, July 14, 2014

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Monday 14th July 2014

14th July 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:50 Racing Specials At 32RedSport.com Maiden Auction Stakes Cl5 6f1y
Bannister Bell 
Cartmell Cleave 
The Dapper Tapper 
Willow Creek 
Snappy Mann 
White Vin Jan 
Dark Symphony 
Lady Maesmor 

How attractive a proposition was Pipssalio. Still a Maiden after 4 outings, its 3 outings as a 2yo read beaten 16 lengths in Class 5 3k Novice, beaten 16 lengths in a Class 6 2k Maiden, Beaten 14 lengths in a Class 4 3k Maiden. 1 outing as a 3yo beaten ½ length in a Class 4 4k Handicap. Looked to be way out of its depth being entered in a Class 3 14k Handicap. Pipssalio was 10lb out of the handicap and the jockey (Francis Norton) was putting up 2lb over weight.

My speed figures told me a different story. In fact I can remember being so bullish I was nailing my colours to the mast on all the forums and to the Raceform. This for me was the outstanding bet of the following day, the outstanding bet of the week and of the month. I went to bed unable to sleep with anticipation for the following day fully confident I would be making a lot of money. As soon as I got up on the day of the race I started checking the prices to ensure the tissue given the evening before was correct. Pipssalio was still 20-1.

The time of the race had arrived and in horror I watched as Pipssalio fell out of the stalls. By the time they had reached half-way in the 1 mile contest it was flat to the boards well adrift of the rest of the field with Franny Norton rowing away and beating the horse to death!

My feelings at the time were partly embarrassment due to the comments I had made on various forums , partly anger and all confidence in my ability to create meaningful speed figures gone in 60 seconds but being the eternal optimist still a slither of hope.

With 2 furlongs to go Pipssalio started to reduce the gap. With a furlong to go the rest of the field started to paddle and Pipssalio appeared to have sprouted wings and was closing on the leaders at an unbelievable rate. As they flashed passed the post Franny Norton had driven Pipssalio between the two leaders to make a three way photo finish. Even though I believed Pipssalio had got there it was going to be on the nod. Pipssalio got the verdict beating 2nd Everest by a short-head who in turn had beaten 3rd Tumbleweed Tor by a short-head.

That is the margin between winning or losing. The difference between the feeling of abject failure and believing you can walk on water.