THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 26TH MAY LINGFIELD PARK - 27TH MAY KEMPTON PARK - 28TH MAY LINGFIELD PARK - 1ST JUNE LINGFIELD PARK - 2ND JUNE WOLVERHAMPTON - 3RD JUNE - CHELMSFORD CITY & WOLVERHAMPTON -

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 28th May 2015

28th May 2015 Lingfield Park
                     
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run going adjusted. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. The final two columns are sectional times from the horses LTO with the first figure being the pace and the final column the finishing speed, both figures are not going adjusted (Chelmsford City, Kempton Park, Lingfield Park and Wolverhampton only). Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.
                     
2:00 Hickstead Show Ground Handicap Cl5 1m1y
100.1% * With Approval  68 98.8% (2) 100.6% 100.2%
98.9%   Sea Of Red    98.4% (1) 98.6% 104.3%
98.9%   Van Huysen    98.9% (1) 96.7% 107.7%
98.8%   Gavarnie Encore  58 101.0% 92.3%
98.7%   Down To Earth    98.7% (1)        
98.0%   Only Joking       
97.8%   Tadarrok    97.6%   100.6%  
97.2%   Wally´s Wisdom    99.9% (1) 99.8% 91.6%
96.9%   My Mistress    100.7% 94.1%
96.7%   Lord Yatesbury    99.7%   89.5%  
94.9%   Forbidden Love    97.6% 89.5%
    Henryhudsonbridge       
         
B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 27th May 2015

27th May 2015 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run going adjusted. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. The final two columns are sectional times from the horses LTO with the first figure being the pace and the final column the finishing speed, both figures are not going adjusted (Chelmsford City, Kempton Park, Lingfield Park and Wolverhampton only). Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.
6:40 32Red Casino Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl5 1m
100.3% Munsarim  73 98.1% (5) 100.1% 99.7%
100.3% Windy Citi  63 100.3% (3)
100.2% After The Sunset  98.7% 104.1%
99.9% * Water Dancer  98.1% (1) 102.7% 91.3%
99.7% Embankment  71 99.2% (15) 103.0% 90.9%
99.7% Picks Pinta  99.0% 99.3%
99.5% Fantasy Gladiator  80 100.5% (9) 99.9% 100.1%
99.2% Tyrsal  54 98.7% (3) 99.4% 99.3%
99.0% Quadriga  58 99.1% (4) 98.9% 99.6%
98.5% Swordbearer  70 100.0% (4) 100.3% 93.0%
B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 26th May 2015

26th May 2015 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run going adjusted. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. The final two columns are sectional times from the horses LTO with the first figure being the pace and the final column the finishing speed, both figures are not going adjusted (Chelmsford City, Kempton Park, Lingfield Park and Wolverhampton only). Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.
2:10 British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies´ Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl5 6f1y
Ae Fananah 
Burning Love 
Dalalah 
Kashtan 
Lolla Fincess 
Olivia Pope 
Pretty Jewel 
Tutu Nguru 
B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             


Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 20th May 2015

20th May 2015 Kempton Park
                     
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run going adjusted. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. The final two columns are sectional times from the horses LTO with the first figure being the pace and the final column the finishing speed, both figures are not going adjusted (Chelmsford City, Kempton Park, Lingfield Park and Wolverhampton only). Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. 
                     
6:10 £10 Free Bet 32RedSport.com Apprentice Handicap Cl5 1m3f
102.1%   Chantecler       
101.8% * Vainglory           
101.0%   Thecornishcowboy    101.1% (4) 99.7% 98.1%
100.7%   Third Strike    100.3%   102.3%  
100.0%   Estibdaad  59 100.2% (4) 100.3%   100.2%  
99.9%   The Ginger Berry    99.9% (1) 100.3% 99.6%
99.7%   Runaiocht    101.4% (1) 100.0% 102.3%
99.5%   Thane Of Cawdor  58 100.3% (9) 101.0%   94.0%  
98.3%   Songsmith           
96.9%   Bennelong  58 99.6% (6) 102.6%   85.3%  
             
B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             

Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Hello The Actuary

I must admit it's the first time I've seen this thread & personally I don't get involved too much in all-weather racing but I must commend you on the tremendous effort you put in & clearly you have a great knowledge & understanding of all-weather racing. I am certain that loads off gg.com members are finding this to be incredibly useful & benefitting from your work and this again illustrates the strengths & qualities of gg.com - all members prepared & willing to put time & effort in with the aim of helping fellow members achieve betting success & improve their knowledge. You have clearly had some very good results with your work & I commend you for that as I am sure all my fellow gg.com members do. You commented on

"it being a very disappointing last week. if it teaches me anything it will be to take nothing for granted" -

Now you said you made a profit in October so there is no need to worry or feel disappointment at a poor last week because that is the way when you study in depth because you can spend hours working on something only for it to all go wrong in a couple of minutes in a football match or matter of seconds in a horse race - I spend hours studying my football selections each week & yet in recent weeks it has been very frustrating with some poor results but that is not down to me doing things wrong but more to do with the random nature of football dictating that ultimately anything can & will happen. Horse races & football matches are random events that however much we assess & how much detailed analysis we do, the ultimate event is completely out of our control & as you quite rightly said you can take nothing for granted - horses that look certain to win easy run poorly, teams that look certain to win 3 or 4-0 lose 1-0 - that is the nature of sport & that is the nature of betting.As I said, I think the work you are doing is very informative & useful to gg.com members, so on behalf of my fellow members, here is a gg.com salute for you to show our appreciation.

THE ACTUARY - WE SALUTE YOU!!!

All the best with your all-weather bets & if I am considering having a bet on the all-weather I will definitely look for your work first to help me make my mind up.

Tommy
Horse Racing - Trip Down Memory Lane

As there is no AWT racing until Monday 13th I decided to do some research and while thumbing through some old racing books found an old page from Raceform which bought back a great memory from my past carefully folded within the pages.

Thursday, May 28, 2015

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 28th May 2015

28th May 2015 Lingfield Park
                     
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run going adjusted. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. The final two columns are sectional times from the horses LTO with the first figure being the pace and the final column the finishing speed, both figures are not going adjusted (Chelmsford City, Kempton Park, Lingfield Park and Wolverhampton only). Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.
                     
2:00 Hickstead Show Ground Handicap Cl5 1m1y
100.1% * With Approval  68 98.8% (2) 100.6% 100.2%
98.9%   Sea Of Red    98.4% (1) 98.6% 104.3%
98.9%   Van Huysen    98.9% (1) 96.7% 107.7%
98.8%   Gavarnie Encore  58 101.0% 92.3%
98.7%   Down To Earth    98.7% (1)        
98.0%   Only Joking       
97.8%   Tadarrok    97.6%   100.6%  
97.2%   Wally´s Wisdom    99.9% (1) 99.8% 91.6%
96.9%   My Mistress    100.7% 94.1%
96.7%   Lord Yatesbury    99.7%   89.5%  
94.9%   Forbidden Love    97.6% 89.5%
    Henryhudsonbridge       
         
B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             

Wednesday, May 27, 2015

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 27th May 2015

27th May 2015 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run going adjusted. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. The final two columns are sectional times from the horses LTO with the first figure being the pace and the final column the finishing speed, both figures are not going adjusted (Chelmsford City, Kempton Park, Lingfield Park and Wolverhampton only). Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.
6:40 32Red Casino Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl5 1m
100.3% Munsarim  73 98.1% (5) 100.1% 99.7%
100.3% Windy Citi  63 100.3% (3)
100.2% After The Sunset  98.7% 104.1%
99.9% * Water Dancer  98.1% (1) 102.7% 91.3%
99.7% Embankment  71 99.2% (15) 103.0% 90.9%
99.7% Picks Pinta  99.0% 99.3%
99.5% Fantasy Gladiator  80 100.5% (9) 99.9% 100.1%
99.2% Tyrsal  54 98.7% (3) 99.4% 99.3%
99.0% Quadriga  58 99.1% (4) 98.9% 99.6%
98.5% Swordbearer  70 100.0% (4) 100.3% 93.0%
B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             

Tuesday, May 26, 2015

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 26th May 2015

26th May 2015 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run going adjusted. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. The final two columns are sectional times from the horses LTO with the first figure being the pace and the final column the finishing speed, both figures are not going adjusted (Chelmsford City, Kempton Park, Lingfield Park and Wolverhampton only). Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.
2:10 British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies´ Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl5 6f1y
Ae Fananah 
Burning Love 
Dalalah 
Kashtan 
Lolla Fincess 
Olivia Pope 
Pretty Jewel 
Tutu Nguru 
B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             


Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 20th May 2015

20th May 2015 Kempton Park
                     
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run going adjusted. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. The final two columns are sectional times from the horses LTO with the first figure being the pace and the final column the finishing speed, both figures are not going adjusted (Chelmsford City, Kempton Park, Lingfield Park and Wolverhampton only). Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. 
                     
6:10 £10 Free Bet 32RedSport.com Apprentice Handicap Cl5 1m3f
102.1%   Chantecler       
101.8% * Vainglory           
101.0%   Thecornishcowboy    101.1% (4) 99.7% 98.1%
100.7%   Third Strike    100.3%   102.3%  
100.0%   Estibdaad  59 100.2% (4) 100.3%   100.2%  
99.9%   The Ginger Berry    99.9% (1) 100.3% 99.6%
99.7%   Runaiocht    101.4% (1) 100.0% 102.3%
99.5%   Thane Of Cawdor  58 100.3% (9) 101.0%   94.0%  
98.3%   Songsmith           
96.9%   Bennelong  58 99.6% (6) 102.6%   85.3%  
             
B.O.G. BOOKMAKER LINKS:             

How attractive a proposition was Pipssalio. Still a Maiden after 4 outings, its 3 outings as a 2yo read beaten 16 lengths in Class 5 3k Novice, beaten 16 lengths in a Class 6 2k Maiden, Beaten 14 lengths in a Class 4 3k Maiden. 1 outing as a 3yo beaten ½ length in a Class 4 4k Handicap. Looked to be way out of its depth being entered in a Class 3 14k Handicap. Pipssalio was 10lb out of the handicap and the jockey (Francis Norton) was putting up 2lb over weight.

My speed figures told me a different story. In fact I can remember being so bullish I was nailing my colours to the mast on all the forums and to the Raceform. This for me was the outstanding bet of the following day, the outstanding bet of the week and of the month. I went to bed unable to sleep with anticipation for the following day fully confident I would be making a lot of money. As soon as I got up on the day of the race I started checking the prices to ensure the tissue given the evening before was correct. Pipssalio was still 20-1.

The time of the race had arrived and in horror I watched as Pipssalio fell out of the stalls. By the time they had reached half-way in the 1 mile contest it was flat to the boards well adrift of the rest of the field with Franny Norton rowing away and beating the horse to death!

My feelings at the time were partly embarrassment due to the comments I had made on various forums , partly anger and all confidence in my ability to create meaningful speed figures gone in 60 seconds but being the eternal optimist still a slither of hope.

With 2 furlongs to go Pipssalio started to reduce the gap. With a furlong to go the rest of the field started to paddle and Pipssalio appeared to have sprouted wings and was closing on the leaders at an unbelievable rate. As they flashed passed the post Franny Norton had driven Pipssalio between the two leaders to make a three way photo finish. Even though I believed Pipssalio had got there it was going to be on the nod. Pipssalio got the verdict beating 2nd Everest by a short-head who in turn had beaten 3rd Tumbleweed Tor by a short-head.

That is the margin between winning or losing. The difference between the feeling of abject failure and believing you can walk on water.