THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 26th March KEMPTON PARK- 27th March WOLVERHAMPTON- 29th March WOLVERHAMPTON - 30th March LINGFIELD PARK, KEMPTON PARK & SOUTHWELL - 31st March WOLVERHAMPTON & CHELMSFORD CITY - 1ST aPRIL LINGFIELD PARK & WOLVERHAMPTON - 2nd April KEMPTON PARK -

Bookmakers 4-13 The Actuary!

Yesterday heralded the last two All Weather meetings for July 2012 so the last opportunity for The Actuary Horse Racing Tips to add a little more profit to what has already been a reasonably profitable month.
The first selection for subscribers was Redair in Lingfield Parks opener. Doing all his best work at the end, Redair was given a mountain to climb by Paul Hanagan. 1-0 to the bookmakers!

Next saw our 2 point selection Dance Company advised at 6-1 hold the late charging Subtle Knife to a head victory.
Dance_company_6-1
Jim Crowley drives for the line (red) with Subtle Knife (white) closing with every stride.

Taking the last turn, victory look a forlorn hope with Jim Crowley pumping away on the selection Dance Company. Once they had straighten up and balanced, the win looked a certainty with the impetus of speed on our side. But just as you thought it was all over Subtle Knife sprouted wings and left me praying for the line. Bookmakers 1-12 The Actuary thanks to Paddy Powers generous 6-1. Dance Company won at SP 2-1

The very next race provided another Actuary winner in Aniseed advised at evens. Not very adventurous but a winner is a winner.

Aniseed_evens
Ryan Moore (red cap) Jim Crowley (green cap) fight out the finish of Lingfield 4:35

This was not exactly winning as an even money horse should as Ryan Moore had to work very hard to get Aniseed past the long term leader Caphira. Once past Jim Crowley's mount Aniseed appear to be pulling away in the final strides. Bookmakers 1-13 The Actuary.
  
If it carried on like this, what a day it would have been, but we followed up with three flops!

Frankie Dettori elected to give everything a head start on 13-8 fav Mizbah and was still last with a furlong to go but finished a creditable third. Cymeriad broke on terms to be prominent but found nothing off the bridle under Graham Gibbons, and finally Camache Queen who picked up well going for the line under Eddie Ahern but was third in a three-way photo.

A disappointing end to the day. A good end to the month and the final score on the day of Bookmakers 4-13 The Actuary which I would take everyday if offered :)    


      

30th July 2012 Wolverhampton


6:00 Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 5f20y
97.2% * Cymeriad 97.6%
Excel Yourself 1ST 10-3
Star Up In The Sky 2ND 15-8
Showtime Girl 3RD 7-1
Anna Isabella
Clean Blow
Dashing Storm
Girl At The Sands
Star Maid

6:30 Follow Us On Twitter @WolvesRaces Handicap Cl6 1m4f50y
100.1% * Honest Deal 101.8% 1ST 11-8
99.8% White Deer 101.4% 3RD 4-1
99.0% Breakheart
98.9% Layla´s Boy 100.7% 2ND 5-1
98.8% Redclue
98.1% Broughtons Swinger
97.0% Silent Energy
97.0% Rajeh
96.1% Blue Cossack 100.3%
Squirrel Wood

7:00 Like Us On Facebook Wolverhampton Racecourse Handicap Cl6 5f216y
101.0% * Aubrietia 100.9%
100.2% Glastonberry 100.8%
99.7% Almaty Express 100.2%
99.4% Mawjoodah 100.6% 2ND 13-2
99.2% Invigilator
98.5% Elegant Muse 100.3% 1ST 14-1
98.2% Men Don´t Cry 98.8%
98.0% Nine Before Ten 97.5%
97.9% Ace Of Spies 98.7%
97.9% Rightcar 97.7%
97.8% Irie Ute 100.2% 3RD 5-1
97.8% Juarla 97.6%
96.9% Imjin River

7:35 Download Our iPhone App Maiden Stakes Cl5 5f216y
94.5% * Quiet Prayer 3RD 8-1
Intibaah 1ST 7-2
Rising Legend 2ND 1-2
Chelsea Grey
Cos I Can
Eyeline
Gambino
My Sweet Lord
Pleasant Moment
Plexolini
Top Town Boy

8:05 Holiday Inn Wolverhampton Fillies´ Handicap Cl4 5f216y
100.3% * Camache Queen 100.6% 3RD 9-4
99.6% Kyanight
99.4% Supreme Spirit
99.3% Bouncy Bouncy 99.7%
99.2% Piddie´s Power 100.7%
99.1% My Own Way Home
98.1% Fenella Fudge 2ND 11-1
97.8% Bavarian Princess 1ST 17-2
97.3% Gap Princess 99.9%
96.3% Catflap 99.7%

8:35 The Black Country´s Only Racecourse Handicap Cl6 7f32y
99.3% Strong Man 1ST 10-1
98.8% Gala Spirit 99.3% 3RD 5-2
98.7% Vhujon 99.2%
98.7% Hyde Lea Flyer 99.0%
98.7% Whitstable Native 99.2%
98.6% Hold The Star 99.6%
98.6% July Days 99.3% 2ND 8-1
98.4% Prince Of Passion 98.3%
98.0% Born To Be Achamp 97.7%
97.4% Volcanic Jack
Maggie Mey

9:05 Book Tickets Online At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Cl5 1m1f103y
101.0% Matjar 99.9%
100.7% * Spanish Plume 99.4% 2ND 12-1
100.3% Noble Jack 1ST 11-2
100.0% Brigadoon 102.5%
99.7% Encompassing
99.4% Yaa Salam
99.3% Scamperdale 99.0%
99.1% Odd Ball
98.9% Spinning Ridge 98.3%
98.9% Nimble Thimble 100.2%
98.7% I Confess
96.5% Aragorn Rouge
96.4% Majuro 101.2% 3RD 14-1

30th July 2012 Lingfield Park


2:25 32RedBet.com Claiming Stakes Cl6 6f
99.6% * Redair 3RD 9-5
99.1% Ziefhd 1ST 11-4
98.8% Chalk And Cheese 99.0%
98.6% Adranian 101.4% 2ND 9-1
97.4% Saint Boniface
95.4% Johnny Splash
Asian Trader

2:55 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 6f
97.8% Spicy 97.9% 2ND 15-8
93.8% Iris Blue
City Girl 1ST 8-11
Our Three Graces 3RD 16-1
Idle Curiosity
Jubilini

3:30 32RedPoker.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
No Jet Lag 1ST 6-5
Mocenigo 2ND 6-4
Frege 3RD 9-2
Day In Day Out
Kimvara
Piper´s Lass
Ropehanger
Sakhee´s Ichigou

4:05 32Red.com Fillies´ Handicap Cl4 7f
99.8% Subtle Knife 2ND 9-2
99.3% Red Larkspur
99.1% * Dance Company 101.0% 1ST 2-1
99.1% Bint Alzain 99.4% 3RD 6-1
99.0% Cynthia Calhoun
98.0% Saratoga Slew 99.9%
94.8% Negin 96.7%
Balady

4:35 32Red Casino Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m4f
100.3% Bohemian Rhapsody
99.9% * Aniseed 1ST 4-5
99.9% Disposition 3RD 5-2
99.2% Caphira 2ND 8-1
98.9% Benartic 97.1%
Maun Vrat
Totally Addicted

5:10 32Red Handicap Cl4 1m4f
101.6% * Mizbah 3RD 13-8
100.6% Arch Villain 1ST 4-1
99.6% Hallmark Star
98.0% Three Bards 2ND 11-2
96.1% Dont Take Me Alive
Palus San Marco

5:40 32RedBingo.com Handicap Cl6 1m2f
99.5% * Welsh Nayber 1ST 9-2
99.5% Flamborough Breeze 96.3%
98.8% Chocolat Chaud
98.2% Wyebridge
97.9% Song Of Joy 98.6%
97.9% Jimmy The Lollipop
97.6% Norfolk Sky 2ND 6-1
97.2% Here Comes Jeanie
97.1% Neige D´Antan 3RD 9-1
97.0% Tigertoo
96.8% Supreme Rock
95.6% Rocco Breeze
92.1% You Got The Love 95.8%
Riviera Romance


Ostentatious Leonna Mayor takes the lucky last!

With no selections for subscribers to The Actuary Horse Racing Tips from Lingfield Parks two All Weather races on last nights six race card, I was hopeful for a good showing from the figures and stars for those wanting to make a play.

The first (8:00) was a little disappointing with Suzi's A Class Act, top rated and starred failing to get the gallop she needed as they dawdled over over Lingfield's 2 miles finishing fourth.

The last race was a split verdict with Ostentation getting the star rating over top rated Always Eager. After a quiet period for Leonna Mayor on the All Weather our love affair was rekindled with her ride on 10-1 Ostentation. Having decided on a slow start from a wide draw Ostentation found itself at the back of the pack. There was no fancy tactics at play here, Leonna simply kept the horse at an even pace throughout, encircling the field as Joe Fanning on Always Eager slowed the pace mid race. Ostentation found itself in front and on the bridle as they swept around the final bend and was simply kept going all the way to the line by Leonna. 


8:30 Ladbrokes Game On! Handicap Cl6 1m2f
99.7%Always Eager 99.4%
99.1%Jordaura 100.0%
99.1%Top Frock 
99.1%Lytham 98.1%
99.1%Ishikawa 
98.9%Ebony Song 
98.6%Lisahane Bog 99.0%
98.4%*Ostentation 100.0%
98.3%Mount Abora 
98.2%Zenarinda 
97.6%Lightning Spirit 
96.8%Garzoni 
96.0%Opus Maximus 100.3%
Fuzzy Logic 
   


28th July 2012 Lingfield Park


5:55 Cyprium Bar At Marriott Lingfield Maiden Auction Stakes Cl6 5f
97.4% * Jet Acclaim 3RD 3-1
97.3% Ovett 1ST 15-8
95.1% Moonlit Dancer
Casta Diamante
Silverrica 2ND 11-4
Southern Sapphire


6:25 Breathe Spa At Marriott Lingfield Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
97.4% Catherine Laboure 1ST 5-4
95.9% * Pastures New 97.0%
95.7% Mulberry Brite
94.9% Yogic Flyer 96.0%
94.5% Saffron Park 95.6%
94.2% Aurens 95.3%
Gunner Will 2ND 9-2
Ifan 3RD 40-1
Captain Hero
Ever Fortune
Maligned
Neat Little Rows
Shore Performer
Siena Street


7:00 Follow Us On Twitter @LingfieldPark Handicap Cl5 7f
99.8% * Al´s Memory 2ND 4-1
99.2% The New Black
98.5% Arctic Stryker 99.1%
98.0% I´m Harry 3RD 12-1
97.6% Clapped
96.3% Silver Marizah 98.6%
Shena´s Dream 1ST 11-10
Operation Tracer


7:30 Lingfield Park Golf Club Handicap Cl6 7f140y
100.2% * Zaheeb
99.9% Know No Fear 3RD 9-2
99.7% For What 2ND 2-1
98.7% Comadoir
98.6% Amba 1ST 12-1
98.6% Unlimited
97.3% Tidy Affair
96.1% Navajo Charm
94.1% Eye For The Girls
89.2% Holyfield Warrior
Beauchamp Zorro
Luna Rosa
No Larking

8:00 Family Fun Day 10th August Handicap Cl5 2m
101.0% * Suzi´s A Class Act
99.8% Passion Play
99.8% No Time To Lose 1ST 6-1
99.0% Seven Veils 3RD 5-6
99.0% Bennelong
97.3% Quiet Appeal
89.6% Stentorian
Wayne Manor 2ND 14-1
Leopard Hills
Pepito Collonges
Tanjung Agas

8:30 Ladbrokes Game On! Handicap Cl6 1m2f
99.7% Always Eager 99.4%
99.1% Jordaura 100.0%
99.1% Top Frock 3RD 14-1
99.1% Lytham 98.1%
99.1% Ishikawa 2ND 3-1
98.9% Ebony Song
98.6% Lisahane Bog 99.0%
98.4% * Ostentation 100.0% 1ST 10-1
98.3% Mount Abora
98.2% Zenarinda
97.6% Lightning Spirit
96.8% Garzoni
96.0% Opus Maximus 100.3%
Fuzzy Logic

Exposed Zenaat 7-1 makes a profitable day for The Actuary

With little to get our teeth in to in the first two races at Lingfield Park, the first selection of the day for subscribers was the 3:10 in the form of Zenaat. Much like the first two races there was very little in the way of All Weather form to paint a picture of how the race might unfold but having watched a re-run of Zenaat's previous race felt rather smug that the race unfolded pretty much as I expected.

Zenaat_7-1
Ryan Moore rides second winner of six on the day oboard Zenaat at Lingfield Park

Ryan Moore got the perfect sit over Lingfields 1 mile and 1/2 and as the 2-5 fav and long time leader Mashaari came under the Paul Hanagan pump, Zenaat just kept on galloping. Cottesmore took up the running coming in to the straight. Zenaat just kept on galloping and went by half a furlong out. I don't think there was ever a burst of finishing speed from the selection. Zenaat was simply able to maintain the same relentless gallop as the others flagged. Returning at 7-1 guaranting The Actuary Horse Racing Tips subscribers a profit for the day with 3 selections still to run.

After side stepping the 3:40 the next race of interest 4:10 saw two selections in Holly Martins and Ukranian. Well, this is where the crystal ball appeared broken. If I was to be certain of anything on the day it would be Holly Martins and Ukranian bowling along clear of the field with the remainder sure that they would come back to them, but one would maintain the advantage to the line.

No, completely wrong. Holly Martins led but was pursued throughout by Regal Aura and was never more than two lengths ahead before fading tamely finishing out of the places. Our 2 point selection Ukranian, backed from 10-1 down to 9-2 made no show at all.

The final selection Blueberry Fizz in the next was done for after breaking slowly. Not something you can afford to do over 5 furlong at Lingfield.

In summary, not a pretty win to runners ratio of 20% but you cant bank ratios, you can bank the days 3 point profit :) 
      


      

25th July 2012 Lingfield Park


2:10 toteplacepot Win Without Backing A Winner Claiming Stakes Cl6 6f
96.3% * Suivez L´Argent
96.1% Grace Of Hearts 95.0% 1ST 20-1
95.7% Augustinian 2ND 15-8
Age Of Bronze 3RD 8-1
Alexandrakollontai
Hardy Blue
Just Past Andover
My Lagan Love


2:40 toteexacta Your Better Value Forecast Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
97.4% Bay Laurel
96.3% * Alpine Mysteries
90.6% Tough Question
Great Run 1ST 5-2
Labienus 2ND 5-2
Lord Of Leitrim 3RD 25-1
Canadian Run
Elvin
Hadeeya
Peace Treaty
Pink Mischief
Progenitor
Titled Gent

3:10 Thakeham Homes Franklins Gardens Maiden Stakes (Div I) Cl5 1m4f
99.1% * Zenaat 1ST 7-1
97.4% Dee Ee Williams
Cottesmore 2ND 8-1
Mashaari 3RD 2-5
Ahuqd
Al Mamzar
Benartic
Cometography
Ice Apple
Scotsbrook Cloud


3:40 Thakeham Homes Franklins Gardens Maiden Stakes (Div II) Cl5 1m4f
99.5% * Murphy
99.4% Stunning View 3RD 13-2
98.9% Pugnacious
97.0% Chella Thriller
Scottish Vespers 1ST 13-8
City Of Canton 2ND 15-8
Crystal Monarch
Lets Go Boogie
Mummyow

4:10 M & P Managing To Win Handicap Cl5 1m4f
101.6% * Ukrainian
100.5% Regal Aura
99.7% Holly Martins
99.5% Hector´s Chance
99.4% Tis Rock ´N´ Roll 2ND 5-2
98.8% District Attorney 3RD 4-1
98.7% Kiwayu 1ST 10-1
97.2% Between Us


4:40 Henry Streeter Ltd Handicap Cl6 5f
100.4% * Blueberry Fizz
99.1% Sherjawy 99.3%
98.5% Brandywell Boy 99.5% 2ND 9-1
98.1% Replicator 98.3%
98.1% Russian Bullet 99.6% 3RD 6-1
97.7% Christopher Chua 98.1%
97.4% Cincinnati Kit
97.2% Hannibal Hayes 1ST 4-1
96.4% Pharoh Jake 97.4%

5:10 Adrian Hall Memorial Handicap Cl5 6f
100.3% * Amba
100.0% Cheers
99.2% Proper Charlie 100.5% 1ST 5-1
99.1% Ghost Train 99.3% 2ND 6-5
99.0% Alfresco 100.3%
98.9% Hoover 99.7% 3RD 9-1
98.1% Chjimes 99.5%
97.0% Waterloo Dock 99.3%
97.0% Stevie Gee 101.8%
96.4% Cliffords Reprieve 101.4%
96.1% Elhamri 100.0%


5:40 Follow totepool On Facebook And Twitter Handicap Cl5 7f
100.5% * Cyflymder 100.2% 2ND 5-2
99.9% Paphos 98.6% 1ST 6-1
99.6% Zing Wing
99.4% Homeboy 3RD 9-2
99.4% Mudhish
98.6% Bold Ring 98.5%
98.2% Dvinsky 100.1%
98.2% Reginald Claude 99.0%
97.9% Diplomatic 97.7%
97.1% Greek Islands 98.1%
96.4% Perfect Ch´I 99.5%
96.2% Highland Harvest 98.4%
91.6% Primo Lady

No consistency as Stewards allowed result to stand at Worcester

Paul Moloney weighed in one and a half pounds light on the well-backed winner Green To Gold at Worcester, co-owned by Sir Alex Ferguson and was still allowed to keep the race! To be consistent with similar past events the local stewards should have disqualified Green to Gold following the objection from the clerk of the scales as Moloney weighed in at 11st 8lb after weighing out at 11st 10lb.
However, they used their discretion and sited the extremely hot weather and Moloney's inability to rehydrate in-between races and stated 'these circumstances are exceptional so the stewards allowed the result to stand'.
Green For Gold, trained by Don Cantillon, was sent off the evens favourite for the Find Us On Facebook Handicap Chase and justified strong support with a convincing victory by five lengths.
"It's automatic that if a rider weighs in more than 1lb under weight, the clerk of the scales is obliged to report to the stewards" stipendiary steward Paul Barton told At The Races. 
The rule gives the stewards the power to disqualify if they aren't satisfied or even on some occasions where they are satisfied and they know the reason. If a rider lost a weight cloth in a race and it led to the 1lb under weight the horse would be disqualified, but the rider would not be penalised. What happened under these circumstances, and they are extremely unusual and I've not known this invoked before, is that Paul Moloney weighed out for the first race and at the same time weighed out for the second. We held a stewards' inquiry straight after the first race and came into our stewards' room which was extremely hot and sat in there, still sweating, and went out for the second race. He came back in and weighed in more than a pound under weight. The digital scales measure in half-pounds, not in ounces in between. What we heard from the clerk of the scales on his (Moloney's) body weight before he went out and when he came back in, the weight loss was caused by him sweating. All the lads can do is take a drink and hope they rehydrate. We had him in the stewards' room for five minutes or more, holding an inquiry, so he didn't get the opportunity to rehydrate.


      

Big prices at Southwell vindicate 'NO SELECTIONS'

Although The Actuary Horse Racing Tips top rated two of the six Southwell winners with Three Bards SP 11-4 and Soopacal 7-2, the return of 'NO SELECTIONS' for subscribers was, I feel vindicated with three winners coming from horses untried and unrated on the surface.

The first races saw Only Ten Per Cent do to Alpha Tauri what Alpha Tauri did to Only Ten Per Cent last time out over C&D. The next race saw the complete outsider Layla's Boy win by 12 lengths before what I would call a rational result in Three Bards SP 11--4, top rated and 'Pace and Going' highlighted beat the 11-10 favorite by 2.1/2 lengths.

Three_bards_right Three_bards_left
Three_bards_swerve_in_front_of Three_bards_right_again
Three Bards (green, red cao) swerving left and right accross the path of News Show

Three Bards margin of success would suggest a far more comfortable victory than it actually achieved. In fact I would go a further and say that News Show should have won but for the antics of Three Bards swerving under the whip from one side of the course to the other across the path of Alice Haynes aboard New Show. Not until Alice felt confident that there was enough distance between the two horses did she get in to the drive on News Show , closing all the way to the line.

The next race was one for a wide birth with four lightly raced 2yo Maiden, won by odds on favorite Hunting Rights SP 8-13 before returning to the ridiculous results with 40-1 Applaud taking the next. Never within 10 lengths of the winner in its last 6 races, Applaud bounded away from its rivals with consummate ease.

Soopacal_7-2
 Soopacal (yellow and red) comes in to the straight cantering as his rivals pump away.

Soopacal travelled well throughout the pen-ultimate race, which is no guarantee of success here at Southwell as we know from Yas Marinas last effort. From a wide draw, Soopacal had to travel three wide for the vast majority of the trip but was still the last off the bridle. Found itself in the lead as they swung for home ans stayed there with a minimal of effort under Dale Swift.

With half the field un-raced on the surface and the other half well exposed, no surprise that the winner was from the former bunch in the last in the form of Saaboog.

In all, a wise move to keep the powder dry for another day, just a little remorse that top-rated Soopacal went un-backed after such a facile win but hindsight is a wonderful thing :)
    


      

23rd July 2012 Southwell


2:10 32Red.com Handicap Cl4 7f
100.7% Follow The Flag 95.4% 3RD 25-1
100.4% * Alpha Tauri 100.1%
100.1% Mazovian 99.0%
99.7% Dark Falcon 100.7%
99.6% Flying Pickets 100.2%
99.4% Tahnee Mara 101.4%
98.7% Only Ten Per Cent 100.6% 1ST 15-2
Anton Chigurh 2ND 6-4

2:40 32RedPoker.com Handicap Cl6 1m4f
99.6% Bring Sweets 99.2%
99.4% Runaway Tiger
97.9% Sky Diamond
97.0% Lakeman 100.6% 2ND 12-1
93.5% Swords 100.1%
92.5% Darsan
Layla´s Boy 1ST 16-1
Naburn 3RD 3-1
Mahayogin

3:15 32Red Casino Handicap Cl5 1m4f
99.1% * Three Bards 1ST 11-4
97.1% Rano Pano 3RD 15-2
94.5% Tooley Woods
News Show 2ND 11-10
Zain Glory

3:45 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Maiden Stakes Cl5 7f
Hunting Rights 1ST 8-13
Zain Spirit 2ND 5-2
Holding Fast 3RD 20-1
Buxted´s Choice

4:20 32RedBet.com Handicap Cl6 1m
99.7% * Monzino 3RD 4-1
98.8% Brown Pete 99.5%
98.5% Yas Marina 99.4%
98.4% Bonnie Prince Blue 99.7%
98.3% Applaude 1ST 40-1
98.0% This Ones For Eddy 96.9%
97.6% Symphony Star 99.9% 2ND 4-1
97.5% Hilbre Court 100.4%
92.0% Irish Law
Allanit
Gifted Heir
One Bid Too Many

4:55 32RedBingo.com Handicap Cl6 7f
100.1% Soopacal 1ST 7-2
99.8% * Putin 99.0% 3RD 7-2
99.6% Elusive Warrior 99.2%
98.7% Beachwood Bay 101.6% 2ND 15-2
97.8% Spitfire
97.5% Norcroft 98.6%
96.7% Avec Moi 98.5%
95.6% Amber Moon 98.6%
-1.4% Crocodile Bay 98.1%
Abdul Malik
Bridal Medic
Kieron´s Rock

5:25 32Red Fillies´ Handicap Cl4 1m
99.4% Inpursuitoffreedom 99.6%
98.8% Cut The Cackle
98.8% * Imaginary World 101.0% 3RD 6-1
97.6% Hold The Star
Saaboog 1ST 4-1
Certral 2ND 2-1
Kampai
Shayla


Horse Racing Tips: Hayaku to fast at 22-1


There is no gratification in top rating a 22-1 winner that goes un-backed especially when that 22-1 winner was the highlight and the only thing to show for my hard work at Lingfield Park.

On the turf, no surprises in the first with top rated and the only highlighted ‘Pace and Going’ horse on the card, Tobacco Road winning at an SP of 13-8. The second race was given a wide birth with no points of reference. The third had my top two declare non-runners.

Hayaku 22-1 strikes the front with Roxelana (red sleeves and cap) beating a retreat

On to the AW we had three disappointments, two coming under the stewardship of Seb Sanders who gave both Potentiale and Aciano identical rides from the front finishing third and second respectively. The winner of Potentiale race Officer in Command was also top rated. The final insult to injury came with top rated Hayaku (Japanese for 'fast') winning the finale at 22-1 with the selection Roxelana finding reverse gear as they turned for home.

In summary three un-backed top rated winners from four races of interest equals total frustration!         

21st July 2012 Lingfield Park


6:15 Irish Stallion Farms E B F Maiden Stakes (Turf) Cl5 7f
98.4% * Tobacco Road 1ST 13-8
Swift Cedar 2ND 14-1
Digress 3RD 9-2
Fehaydi
Persian Marvel
Yellow Mountain
Yul Finegold


6:45 Crowhurst Nursery (Turf) Cl5 6f
Equitania 1ST 13-8
Frosted Off 2ND 10-1
Little Miss Zuri 3RD 8-1
Baltic Gin
Captain Blue
Risky Rizkova
Tough Lady


7:15 Lingfield Park Owners Group Handicap (Turf) Cl6 6f
99.2% Proper Charlie 100.5%
99.0% Silvee 98.0%
98.8% Sarangoo
98.3% Ansells Pride 2ND 33-1
98.1% Pose 96.8%
98.1% Danzoe 100.3%
98.0% Links Drive Lady 3RD 11-1
97.9% Huzzah
97.7% Golden Compass 1ST 13-2
96.7% Royale Ransom
96.4% Smoky Cloud 99.0%
95.6% Memphis Man 98.8%
94.7% Mary´s Pet 99.2%
92.7% Whiteoak Lady
Bermondsey Bob

7:45 Grease Night! Sat 11Th August Classified Selling Stakes Cl6 1m2f
99.7% Officer In Command 99.6% 1ST 2-1
99.2% Conducting 100.2% 2ND 3-1
99.1% * Potentiale 100.6% 3RD 9-2
96.5% Catchanova
94.5% Littlemissperfect 96.3%
93.4% Castalian Spring
The Boomingbittern

8:15 Porto Racing Claiming Stakes Cl6 1m
100.9% * Fremont
99.8% Fireback 98.9%
99.8% Titus Star 3RD 11-1
99.7% Aciano 2ND 15-2
98.4% Tiradito 100.7%
97.9% Sandbetweenourtoes
97.9% Darrow
97.1% Munsarim 102.1% 1ST 11-10
Medeeba

8:45 Ladbrokes Game On! Fillies´ Handicap Cl5 1m2f
100.4% Hayaku 1ST 22-1
100.1% Lashyn 98.1%
99.8% * Talk Of The North
99.6% Bramshill Lass 100.3%
99.3% Jewelled 2ND 33-1
99.2% Srinagar Girl 3RD 12-1
99.0% Roxelana
98.7% Song Of Joy
98.6% Midas Moment 100.8%
98.5% Ssafa
98.4% Sail Home 98.8%
Buzkashi
Vakiyla

Southwell Clerk Of The Course Roderick Duncan - All Weather

An interesting interview with Roderick Duncan Clerk of the Course at Southwell giving an insight into the All Weather course and the difference between poly and fibre, draw bias and weather effects on the course.

18th July 2012 Lingfield Park


2:00 Lingfield Park Ladies Evening 21st July Maiden Stakes (Div I) Cl5 1m
98.5% * Gold Edition 2ND 9-2
Royal Empire 1ST 5-4
Keyaadi 3RD 5-1
Cluaindubhloch
Fly Haaf
Mutasadder
Pugnacious
Shahrazad
Simply
The Baronet
Ukrainian Princess

2:30 Lingfield Park Ladies Evening 21st July Maiden Stakes (Div II) Cl5 1m
99.7% * Niger 1ST 6-4
96.9% Friends Of Ama Gi 98.2%
Centrifugal 2ND 6-1
Narcissist 3RD 7-2
Any Other Day
Clowance Keys
Eamaadd
Iz She
Rowan Rhapsody
Suedehead

3:00 Breathe Spa At Lingfield Marriott Handicap Cl6 1m4f
99.1% * Lady Romanza
98.7% Angel Cake 97.8% 3RD 20-1
98.1% Silver Six 97.8% 2ND 9-1
97.3% Kaiser Wilhelm 1ST 5-1
97.0% Red Mystique
96.9% Blue Pencil
96.8% Zarosa
96.4% Polydamos
96.1% Elammato
95.8% Flamborough Breeze
Dangerous To Know
Despatch
Doyle´s Dream
Imperial Wave

3:30 Lingfield Park Owners Group Handicap Cl5 2m
100.6% Trovare 2ND 85-40
100.0% Frederick William 96.7%
99.4% * Legend Erry
97.4% Alfraamsey 99.8% 3RD 11-4
96.9% Courtesy Call 1ST 9-4
Native Colony

4:00 Paul Kelleway Memorial Handicap Cl3 1m5f
102.1% * Silent Moment
101.9% * Old Hundred
101.4% Alsadaa
101.2% Aurorian
100.9% Viking Storm 1ST 14-1
100.7% Sand Skier 100.1%
100.5% Kuda Huraa
100.1% Layline
100.1% Albaraka
99.0% The Holyman 99.6% 3RD 20-1
97.6% Bute Hall
Biographer 2ND 4-1

4:30 British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E B F Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 6f
99.0% * Sugar House 1ST 15-8
96.9% Our Golden Girl
Spicy 2ND 7-1
Ghostflower 3RD 11-4
Choral Rhythm
Elounta
Flywheel
Kunzea
Misty Secret
Pastoral Symphony
Starlight Symphony

5:00 Racing & Music Nights At Lingfield Park Handicap Cl5 6f
100.4% Ghost Train 2ND 11-2
100.0% Raffinn 96.1%
100.0% Bint Alzain
99.7% * Chalk And Cheese
98.6% Boudoir 3RD 16-1
98.5% Sujet Bellagio 98.8%
98.1% Sunley Pride
97.8% Mister Mackenzie 98.0%
97.5% Take A Note 1ST 7-2
97.3% Sweet Ovation 99.6%
95.9% Topflight Princess

5:30 Ladbrokes Game On! Handicap Cl6 1m2f
100.0% * Land Hawk 101.2%
99.0% Mitch Rapp
98.7% Lytham 97.4%
98.6% Lord Of The Storm 99.4%
98.6% Secret Era 2ND 9-1
98.2% Jordaura 100.2% 1ST 16-1
98.1% Gallantry 99.6%
97.7% Beat Up 98.0%
97.3% Formidable Guest 99.4% 3RD 10-1
96.8% Jumeirah Liberty 98.9%
95.9% Breakheart
94.9% Night Sky


Do you know when to Back and Lay?

After a period of feeling we can walk on water The Actuary Horse Racing Tips had a thoroughly miserable Monday with nothing positive to report after a very careful retrospective scrutiny of the cards and results. Well, we got back to winning ways yesterday. Nothing major but a little profit after a bad day is always nice.
Strictly Pink getting squashed in to the rail to start proceedings left me feeling we may be in for more punishment but the manner of victory of The Actuary selection in the second race was ironically a reverse of what did for our selection in the third.
So lets play a little game of BACK or LAY!
Click the picture below to watch the clip and decide which you are going to do :)



So would you BACK or LAY? Here is the finish



OK, I appreciate that was a tough one, here is an easier one with The Actuary selection in the very next race. Click the image below to play the clip.


So would you BACK or LAY? Click the image below for the finish



If you got 2 out of 2 and didn't know the results you could make a living from trading!
Our final winning selection of the day was the short priced Kung Hei Fat Choy available at 11-10. Full respect to Graham Lee who was in Leonna Major's slip stream for most of the race and must have been sorely tempted to stay there and asking her to go around again!



      

17th July 2012 Southwell


6:00 Bet toteplacepot Text tote To 89660 Handicap Cl5 5f
100.5% Colourbearer 101.0%
100.2% Love You Louis 100.7%
100.2% * Strictly Pink
99.8% Wreningham 101.1% 3RD 16-1
99.4% Soopacal 99.9%
99.2% The Magic Of Rio 98.3%
96.8% Wake Up Sioux 96.6%
96.3% Itum 98.1%
95.9% Irish Boy 96.6%
94.7% Boucher Garcon 95.0%
92.9% Spic ´n Span 98.9% 2ND 12-1
Just Like Heaven 1ST 13-2

6:30 Bet totepool Text tote To 89660 Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m4f
97.6% * Adili 1ST 7-2
Echo Of Dream 2ND 25-1
Badea 3RD 15-8
Muhamee
Omega Omega
Primacy
Spanish Trail

7:00 Bet totequadpot Text tote To 89660 Handicap Cl6 1m3f
99.8% The Blue Dog
99.0% Run Of The Day 100.9%
98.6% Tyrana
98.0% Bring Sweets 2ND 8-1
97.9% Nha Trang 101.6%
97.3% * Yas Marina 3RD 7-2
96.4% Kingaroo 99.1% 1ST 7-1
96.2% Sweet Grace
95.1% Magnitude 97.7%
Caledonian Lad
Moonstreaker
Thoroughly Red

7:30 Racing Post Form With totepool Mobile Handicap Cl4 7f
101.1% Alpha Tauri 99.9% 2ND 11-2
100.8% * St Oswald 101.7%
100.5% George Benjamin 3RD 16-1
100.1% Snow Bay 97.0%
99.9% Mingun Bell 1ST 15-8
93.9% Eastern Hills 96.4%
Point North

8:00 Play Golf At Southwell Golf Club Claiming Stakes Cl6 6f
Lord Avonbrook 1ST 15-2
Fly Fisher 2ND 7-2
Vegas Belle 3RD 11-4
Lexi The Princess
Northern Harbour

8:30 Anchor Inn Worksop Handicap Cl6 7f
98.6% Ace Of Spies 99.5%
98.5% Boy The Bell 99.2%
98.2% King´s Sabre 98.2%
97.5% Bonnie Prince Blue 100.0%
97.3% Rapid Water 3RD 5-1
97.1% This Ones For Eddy 100.0%
97.0% Royal Holiday 2ND 33-1
94.0% Jonnie Skull 99.3%
Monzino 1ST 12-1
Alabanda
Brailsford
Eye For The Girls

9:00 Membership Available At Southwell Golf Club Handicap Cl6 1m
99.4% Bond Blade
99.0% Orpen Wide 97.1%
99.0% * Kung Hei Fat Choy 101.2% 1ST 8-11
98.4% Putin 99.3% 2ND 12-1
98.4% Smart Affair 100.0% 3RD 5-1
97.9% Avalon Bay 97.1%
97.6% Hilbre Court 100.7%
95.7% Godwit
Gazboolou
Praxios
Titan Diamond


Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Tuesday, July 31, 2012

Bookmakers 4-13 The Actuary!

Yesterday heralded the last two All Weather meetings for July 2012 so the last opportunity for The Actuary Horse Racing Tips to add a little more profit to what has already been a reasonably profitable month.
The first selection for subscribers was Redair in Lingfield Parks opener. Doing all his best work at the end, Redair was given a mountain to climb by Paul Hanagan. 1-0 to the bookmakers!

Next saw our 2 point selection Dance Company advised at 6-1 hold the late charging Subtle Knife to a head victory.
Dance_company_6-1
Jim Crowley drives for the line (red) with Subtle Knife (white) closing with every stride.

Taking the last turn, victory look a forlorn hope with Jim Crowley pumping away on the selection Dance Company. Once they had straighten up and balanced, the win looked a certainty with the impetus of speed on our side. But just as you thought it was all over Subtle Knife sprouted wings and left me praying for the line. Bookmakers 1-12 The Actuary thanks to Paddy Powers generous 6-1. Dance Company won at SP 2-1

The very next race provided another Actuary winner in Aniseed advised at evens. Not very adventurous but a winner is a winner.

Aniseed_evens
Ryan Moore (red cap) Jim Crowley (green cap) fight out the finish of Lingfield 4:35

This was not exactly winning as an even money horse should as Ryan Moore had to work very hard to get Aniseed past the long term leader Caphira. Once past Jim Crowley's mount Aniseed appear to be pulling away in the final strides. Bookmakers 1-13 The Actuary.
  
If it carried on like this, what a day it would have been, but we followed up with three flops!

Frankie Dettori elected to give everything a head start on 13-8 fav Mizbah and was still last with a furlong to go but finished a creditable third. Cymeriad broke on terms to be prominent but found nothing off the bridle under Graham Gibbons, and finally Camache Queen who picked up well going for the line under Eddie Ahern but was third in a three-way photo.

A disappointing end to the day. A good end to the month and the final score on the day of Bookmakers 4-13 The Actuary which I would take everyday if offered :)    


      

30th July 2012 Wolverhampton


6:00 Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 5f20y
97.2% * Cymeriad 97.6%
Excel Yourself 1ST 10-3
Star Up In The Sky 2ND 15-8
Showtime Girl 3RD 7-1
Anna Isabella
Clean Blow
Dashing Storm
Girl At The Sands
Star Maid

6:30 Follow Us On Twitter @WolvesRaces Handicap Cl6 1m4f50y
100.1% * Honest Deal 101.8% 1ST 11-8
99.8% White Deer 101.4% 3RD 4-1
99.0% Breakheart
98.9% Layla´s Boy 100.7% 2ND 5-1
98.8% Redclue
98.1% Broughtons Swinger
97.0% Silent Energy
97.0% Rajeh
96.1% Blue Cossack 100.3%
Squirrel Wood

7:00 Like Us On Facebook Wolverhampton Racecourse Handicap Cl6 5f216y
101.0% * Aubrietia 100.9%
100.2% Glastonberry 100.8%
99.7% Almaty Express 100.2%
99.4% Mawjoodah 100.6% 2ND 13-2
99.2% Invigilator
98.5% Elegant Muse 100.3% 1ST 14-1
98.2% Men Don´t Cry 98.8%
98.0% Nine Before Ten 97.5%
97.9% Ace Of Spies 98.7%
97.9% Rightcar 97.7%
97.8% Irie Ute 100.2% 3RD 5-1
97.8% Juarla 97.6%
96.9% Imjin River

7:35 Download Our iPhone App Maiden Stakes Cl5 5f216y
94.5% * Quiet Prayer 3RD 8-1
Intibaah 1ST 7-2
Rising Legend 2ND 1-2
Chelsea Grey
Cos I Can
Eyeline
Gambino
My Sweet Lord
Pleasant Moment
Plexolini
Top Town Boy

8:05 Holiday Inn Wolverhampton Fillies´ Handicap Cl4 5f216y
100.3% * Camache Queen 100.6% 3RD 9-4
99.6% Kyanight
99.4% Supreme Spirit
99.3% Bouncy Bouncy 99.7%
99.2% Piddie´s Power 100.7%
99.1% My Own Way Home
98.1% Fenella Fudge 2ND 11-1
97.8% Bavarian Princess 1ST 17-2
97.3% Gap Princess 99.9%
96.3% Catflap 99.7%

8:35 The Black Country´s Only Racecourse Handicap Cl6 7f32y
99.3% Strong Man 1ST 10-1
98.8% Gala Spirit 99.3% 3RD 5-2
98.7% Vhujon 99.2%
98.7% Hyde Lea Flyer 99.0%
98.7% Whitstable Native 99.2%
98.6% Hold The Star 99.6%
98.6% July Days 99.3% 2ND 8-1
98.4% Prince Of Passion 98.3%
98.0% Born To Be Achamp 97.7%
97.4% Volcanic Jack
Maggie Mey

9:05 Book Tickets Online At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Cl5 1m1f103y
101.0% Matjar 99.9%
100.7% * Spanish Plume 99.4% 2ND 12-1
100.3% Noble Jack 1ST 11-2
100.0% Brigadoon 102.5%
99.7% Encompassing
99.4% Yaa Salam
99.3% Scamperdale 99.0%
99.1% Odd Ball
98.9% Spinning Ridge 98.3%
98.9% Nimble Thimble 100.2%
98.7% I Confess
96.5% Aragorn Rouge
96.4% Majuro 101.2% 3RD 14-1

30th July 2012 Lingfield Park


2:25 32RedBet.com Claiming Stakes Cl6 6f
99.6% * Redair 3RD 9-5
99.1% Ziefhd 1ST 11-4
98.8% Chalk And Cheese 99.0%
98.6% Adranian 101.4% 2ND 9-1
97.4% Saint Boniface
95.4% Johnny Splash
Asian Trader

2:55 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 6f
97.8% Spicy 97.9% 2ND 15-8
93.8% Iris Blue
City Girl 1ST 8-11
Our Three Graces 3RD 16-1
Idle Curiosity
Jubilini

3:30 32RedPoker.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
No Jet Lag 1ST 6-5
Mocenigo 2ND 6-4
Frege 3RD 9-2
Day In Day Out
Kimvara
Piper´s Lass
Ropehanger
Sakhee´s Ichigou

4:05 32Red.com Fillies´ Handicap Cl4 7f
99.8% Subtle Knife 2ND 9-2
99.3% Red Larkspur
99.1% * Dance Company 101.0% 1ST 2-1
99.1% Bint Alzain 99.4% 3RD 6-1
99.0% Cynthia Calhoun
98.0% Saratoga Slew 99.9%
94.8% Negin 96.7%
Balady

4:35 32Red Casino Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m4f
100.3% Bohemian Rhapsody
99.9% * Aniseed 1ST 4-5
99.9% Disposition 3RD 5-2
99.2% Caphira 2ND 8-1
98.9% Benartic 97.1%
Maun Vrat
Totally Addicted

5:10 32Red Handicap Cl4 1m4f
101.6% * Mizbah 3RD 13-8
100.6% Arch Villain 1ST 4-1
99.6% Hallmark Star
98.0% Three Bards 2ND 11-2
96.1% Dont Take Me Alive
Palus San Marco

5:40 32RedBingo.com Handicap Cl6 1m2f
99.5% * Welsh Nayber 1ST 9-2
99.5% Flamborough Breeze 96.3%
98.8% Chocolat Chaud
98.2% Wyebridge
97.9% Song Of Joy 98.6%
97.9% Jimmy The Lollipop
97.6% Norfolk Sky 2ND 6-1
97.2% Here Comes Jeanie
97.1% Neige D´Antan 3RD 9-1
97.0% Tigertoo
96.8% Supreme Rock
95.6% Rocco Breeze
92.1% You Got The Love 95.8%
Riviera Romance


Sunday, July 29, 2012

Ostentatious Leonna Mayor takes the lucky last!

With no selections for subscribers to The Actuary Horse Racing Tips from Lingfield Parks two All Weather races on last nights six race card, I was hopeful for a good showing from the figures and stars for those wanting to make a play.

The first (8:00) was a little disappointing with Suzi's A Class Act, top rated and starred failing to get the gallop she needed as they dawdled over over Lingfield's 2 miles finishing fourth.

The last race was a split verdict with Ostentation getting the star rating over top rated Always Eager. After a quiet period for Leonna Mayor on the All Weather our love affair was rekindled with her ride on 10-1 Ostentation. Having decided on a slow start from a wide draw Ostentation found itself at the back of the pack. There was no fancy tactics at play here, Leonna simply kept the horse at an even pace throughout, encircling the field as Joe Fanning on Always Eager slowed the pace mid race. Ostentation found itself in front and on the bridle as they swept around the final bend and was simply kept going all the way to the line by Leonna. 


8:30 Ladbrokes Game On! Handicap Cl6 1m2f
99.7%Always Eager 99.4%
99.1%Jordaura 100.0%
99.1%Top Frock 
99.1%Lytham 98.1%
99.1%Ishikawa 
98.9%Ebony Song 
98.6%Lisahane Bog 99.0%
98.4%*Ostentation 100.0%
98.3%Mount Abora 
98.2%Zenarinda 
97.6%Lightning Spirit 
96.8%Garzoni 
96.0%Opus Maximus 100.3%
Fuzzy Logic 
   


Saturday, July 28, 2012

28th July 2012 Lingfield Park


5:55 Cyprium Bar At Marriott Lingfield Maiden Auction Stakes Cl6 5f
97.4% * Jet Acclaim 3RD 3-1
97.3% Ovett 1ST 15-8
95.1% Moonlit Dancer
Casta Diamante
Silverrica 2ND 11-4
Southern Sapphire


6:25 Breathe Spa At Marriott Lingfield Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
97.4% Catherine Laboure 1ST 5-4
95.9% * Pastures New 97.0%
95.7% Mulberry Brite
94.9% Yogic Flyer 96.0%
94.5% Saffron Park 95.6%
94.2% Aurens 95.3%
Gunner Will 2ND 9-2
Ifan 3RD 40-1
Captain Hero
Ever Fortune
Maligned
Neat Little Rows
Shore Performer
Siena Street


7:00 Follow Us On Twitter @LingfieldPark Handicap Cl5 7f
99.8% * Al´s Memory 2ND 4-1
99.2% The New Black
98.5% Arctic Stryker 99.1%
98.0% I´m Harry 3RD 12-1
97.6% Clapped
96.3% Silver Marizah 98.6%
Shena´s Dream 1ST 11-10
Operation Tracer


7:30 Lingfield Park Golf Club Handicap Cl6 7f140y
100.2% * Zaheeb
99.9% Know No Fear 3RD 9-2
99.7% For What 2ND 2-1
98.7% Comadoir
98.6% Amba 1ST 12-1
98.6% Unlimited
97.3% Tidy Affair
96.1% Navajo Charm
94.1% Eye For The Girls
89.2% Holyfield Warrior
Beauchamp Zorro
Luna Rosa
No Larking

8:00 Family Fun Day 10th August Handicap Cl5 2m
101.0% * Suzi´s A Class Act
99.8% Passion Play
99.8% No Time To Lose 1ST 6-1
99.0% Seven Veils 3RD 5-6
99.0% Bennelong
97.3% Quiet Appeal
89.6% Stentorian
Wayne Manor 2ND 14-1
Leopard Hills
Pepito Collonges
Tanjung Agas

8:30 Ladbrokes Game On! Handicap Cl6 1m2f
99.7% Always Eager 99.4%
99.1% Jordaura 100.0%
99.1% Top Frock 3RD 14-1
99.1% Lytham 98.1%
99.1% Ishikawa 2ND 3-1
98.9% Ebony Song
98.6% Lisahane Bog 99.0%
98.4% * Ostentation 100.0% 1ST 10-1
98.3% Mount Abora
98.2% Zenarinda
97.6% Lightning Spirit
96.8% Garzoni
96.0% Opus Maximus 100.3%
Fuzzy Logic

Thursday, July 26, 2012

Exposed Zenaat 7-1 makes a profitable day for The Actuary

With little to get our teeth in to in the first two races at Lingfield Park, the first selection of the day for subscribers was the 3:10 in the form of Zenaat. Much like the first two races there was very little in the way of All Weather form to paint a picture of how the race might unfold but having watched a re-run of Zenaat's previous race felt rather smug that the race unfolded pretty much as I expected.

Zenaat_7-1
Ryan Moore rides second winner of six on the day oboard Zenaat at Lingfield Park

Ryan Moore got the perfect sit over Lingfields 1 mile and 1/2 and as the 2-5 fav and long time leader Mashaari came under the Paul Hanagan pump, Zenaat just kept on galloping. Cottesmore took up the running coming in to the straight. Zenaat just kept on galloping and went by half a furlong out. I don't think there was ever a burst of finishing speed from the selection. Zenaat was simply able to maintain the same relentless gallop as the others flagged. Returning at 7-1 guaranting The Actuary Horse Racing Tips subscribers a profit for the day with 3 selections still to run.

After side stepping the 3:40 the next race of interest 4:10 saw two selections in Holly Martins and Ukranian. Well, this is where the crystal ball appeared broken. If I was to be certain of anything on the day it would be Holly Martins and Ukranian bowling along clear of the field with the remainder sure that they would come back to them, but one would maintain the advantage to the line.

No, completely wrong. Holly Martins led but was pursued throughout by Regal Aura and was never more than two lengths ahead before fading tamely finishing out of the places. Our 2 point selection Ukranian, backed from 10-1 down to 9-2 made no show at all.

The final selection Blueberry Fizz in the next was done for after breaking slowly. Not something you can afford to do over 5 furlong at Lingfield.

In summary, not a pretty win to runners ratio of 20% but you cant bank ratios, you can bank the days 3 point profit :) 
      


      

Wednesday, July 25, 2012

25th July 2012 Lingfield Park


2:10 toteplacepot Win Without Backing A Winner Claiming Stakes Cl6 6f
96.3% * Suivez L´Argent
96.1% Grace Of Hearts 95.0% 1ST 20-1
95.7% Augustinian 2ND 15-8
Age Of Bronze 3RD 8-1
Alexandrakollontai
Hardy Blue
Just Past Andover
My Lagan Love


2:40 toteexacta Your Better Value Forecast Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
97.4% Bay Laurel
96.3% * Alpine Mysteries
90.6% Tough Question
Great Run 1ST 5-2
Labienus 2ND 5-2
Lord Of Leitrim 3RD 25-1
Canadian Run
Elvin
Hadeeya
Peace Treaty
Pink Mischief
Progenitor
Titled Gent

3:10 Thakeham Homes Franklins Gardens Maiden Stakes (Div I) Cl5 1m4f
99.1% * Zenaat 1ST 7-1
97.4% Dee Ee Williams
Cottesmore 2ND 8-1
Mashaari 3RD 2-5
Ahuqd
Al Mamzar
Benartic
Cometography
Ice Apple
Scotsbrook Cloud


3:40 Thakeham Homes Franklins Gardens Maiden Stakes (Div II) Cl5 1m4f
99.5% * Murphy
99.4% Stunning View 3RD 13-2
98.9% Pugnacious
97.0% Chella Thriller
Scottish Vespers 1ST 13-8
City Of Canton 2ND 15-8
Crystal Monarch
Lets Go Boogie
Mummyow

4:10 M & P Managing To Win Handicap Cl5 1m4f
101.6% * Ukrainian
100.5% Regal Aura
99.7% Holly Martins
99.5% Hector´s Chance
99.4% Tis Rock ´N´ Roll 2ND 5-2
98.8% District Attorney 3RD 4-1
98.7% Kiwayu 1ST 10-1
97.2% Between Us


4:40 Henry Streeter Ltd Handicap Cl6 5f
100.4% * Blueberry Fizz
99.1% Sherjawy 99.3%
98.5% Brandywell Boy 99.5% 2ND 9-1
98.1% Replicator 98.3%
98.1% Russian Bullet 99.6% 3RD 6-1
97.7% Christopher Chua 98.1%
97.4% Cincinnati Kit
97.2% Hannibal Hayes 1ST 4-1
96.4% Pharoh Jake 97.4%

5:10 Adrian Hall Memorial Handicap Cl5 6f
100.3% * Amba
100.0% Cheers
99.2% Proper Charlie 100.5% 1ST 5-1
99.1% Ghost Train 99.3% 2ND 6-5
99.0% Alfresco 100.3%
98.9% Hoover 99.7% 3RD 9-1
98.1% Chjimes 99.5%
97.0% Waterloo Dock 99.3%
97.0% Stevie Gee 101.8%
96.4% Cliffords Reprieve 101.4%
96.1% Elhamri 100.0%


5:40 Follow totepool On Facebook And Twitter Handicap Cl5 7f
100.5% * Cyflymder 100.2% 2ND 5-2
99.9% Paphos 98.6% 1ST 6-1
99.6% Zing Wing
99.4% Homeboy 3RD 9-2
99.4% Mudhish
98.6% Bold Ring 98.5%
98.2% Dvinsky 100.1%
98.2% Reginald Claude 99.0%
97.9% Diplomatic 97.7%
97.1% Greek Islands 98.1%
96.4% Perfect Ch´I 99.5%
96.2% Highland Harvest 98.4%
91.6% Primo Lady

No consistency as Stewards allowed result to stand at Worcester

Paul Moloney weighed in one and a half pounds light on the well-backed winner Green To Gold at Worcester, co-owned by Sir Alex Ferguson and was still allowed to keep the race! To be consistent with similar past events the local stewards should have disqualified Green to Gold following the objection from the clerk of the scales as Moloney weighed in at 11st 8lb after weighing out at 11st 10lb.
However, they used their discretion and sited the extremely hot weather and Moloney's inability to rehydrate in-between races and stated 'these circumstances are exceptional so the stewards allowed the result to stand'.
Green For Gold, trained by Don Cantillon, was sent off the evens favourite for the Find Us On Facebook Handicap Chase and justified strong support with a convincing victory by five lengths.
"It's automatic that if a rider weighs in more than 1lb under weight, the clerk of the scales is obliged to report to the stewards" stipendiary steward Paul Barton told At The Races. 
The rule gives the stewards the power to disqualify if they aren't satisfied or even on some occasions where they are satisfied and they know the reason. If a rider lost a weight cloth in a race and it led to the 1lb under weight the horse would be disqualified, but the rider would not be penalised. What happened under these circumstances, and they are extremely unusual and I've not known this invoked before, is that Paul Moloney weighed out for the first race and at the same time weighed out for the second. We held a stewards' inquiry straight after the first race and came into our stewards' room which was extremely hot and sat in there, still sweating, and went out for the second race. He came back in and weighed in more than a pound under weight. The digital scales measure in half-pounds, not in ounces in between. What we heard from the clerk of the scales on his (Moloney's) body weight before he went out and when he came back in, the weight loss was caused by him sweating. All the lads can do is take a drink and hope they rehydrate. We had him in the stewards' room for five minutes or more, holding an inquiry, so he didn't get the opportunity to rehydrate.


      

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Big prices at Southwell vindicate 'NO SELECTIONS'

Although The Actuary Horse Racing Tips top rated two of the six Southwell winners with Three Bards SP 11-4 and Soopacal 7-2, the return of 'NO SELECTIONS' for subscribers was, I feel vindicated with three winners coming from horses untried and unrated on the surface.

The first races saw Only Ten Per Cent do to Alpha Tauri what Alpha Tauri did to Only Ten Per Cent last time out over C&D. The next race saw the complete outsider Layla's Boy win by 12 lengths before what I would call a rational result in Three Bards SP 11--4, top rated and 'Pace and Going' highlighted beat the 11-10 favorite by 2.1/2 lengths.

Three_bards_right Three_bards_left
Three_bards_swerve_in_front_of Three_bards_right_again
Three Bards (green, red cao) swerving left and right accross the path of News Show

Three Bards margin of success would suggest a far more comfortable victory than it actually achieved. In fact I would go a further and say that News Show should have won but for the antics of Three Bards swerving under the whip from one side of the course to the other across the path of Alice Haynes aboard New Show. Not until Alice felt confident that there was enough distance between the two horses did she get in to the drive on News Show , closing all the way to the line.

The next race was one for a wide birth with four lightly raced 2yo Maiden, won by odds on favorite Hunting Rights SP 8-13 before returning to the ridiculous results with 40-1 Applaud taking the next. Never within 10 lengths of the winner in its last 6 races, Applaud bounded away from its rivals with consummate ease.

Soopacal_7-2
 Soopacal (yellow and red) comes in to the straight cantering as his rivals pump away.

Soopacal travelled well throughout the pen-ultimate race, which is no guarantee of success here at Southwell as we know from Yas Marinas last effort. From a wide draw, Soopacal had to travel three wide for the vast majority of the trip but was still the last off the bridle. Found itself in the lead as they swung for home ans stayed there with a minimal of effort under Dale Swift.

With half the field un-raced on the surface and the other half well exposed, no surprise that the winner was from the former bunch in the last in the form of Saaboog.

In all, a wise move to keep the powder dry for another day, just a little remorse that top-rated Soopacal went un-backed after such a facile win but hindsight is a wonderful thing :)
    


      

Monday, July 23, 2012

23rd July 2012 Southwell


2:10 32Red.com Handicap Cl4 7f
100.7% Follow The Flag 95.4% 3RD 25-1
100.4% * Alpha Tauri 100.1%
100.1% Mazovian 99.0%
99.7% Dark Falcon 100.7%
99.6% Flying Pickets 100.2%
99.4% Tahnee Mara 101.4%
98.7% Only Ten Per Cent 100.6% 1ST 15-2
Anton Chigurh 2ND 6-4

2:40 32RedPoker.com Handicap Cl6 1m4f
99.6% Bring Sweets 99.2%
99.4% Runaway Tiger
97.9% Sky Diamond
97.0% Lakeman 100.6% 2ND 12-1
93.5% Swords 100.1%
92.5% Darsan
Layla´s Boy 1ST 16-1
Naburn 3RD 3-1
Mahayogin

3:15 32Red Casino Handicap Cl5 1m4f
99.1% * Three Bards 1ST 11-4
97.1% Rano Pano 3RD 15-2
94.5% Tooley Woods
News Show 2ND 11-10
Zain Glory

3:45 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Maiden Stakes Cl5 7f
Hunting Rights 1ST 8-13
Zain Spirit 2ND 5-2
Holding Fast 3RD 20-1
Buxted´s Choice

4:20 32RedBet.com Handicap Cl6 1m
99.7% * Monzino 3RD 4-1
98.8% Brown Pete 99.5%
98.5% Yas Marina 99.4%
98.4% Bonnie Prince Blue 99.7%
98.3% Applaude 1ST 40-1
98.0% This Ones For Eddy 96.9%
97.6% Symphony Star 99.9% 2ND 4-1
97.5% Hilbre Court 100.4%
92.0% Irish Law
Allanit
Gifted Heir
One Bid Too Many

4:55 32RedBingo.com Handicap Cl6 7f
100.1% Soopacal 1ST 7-2
99.8% * Putin 99.0% 3RD 7-2
99.6% Elusive Warrior 99.2%
98.7% Beachwood Bay 101.6% 2ND 15-2
97.8% Spitfire
97.5% Norcroft 98.6%
96.7% Avec Moi 98.5%
95.6% Amber Moon 98.6%
-1.4% Crocodile Bay 98.1%
Abdul Malik
Bridal Medic
Kieron´s Rock

5:25 32Red Fillies´ Handicap Cl4 1m
99.4% Inpursuitoffreedom 99.6%
98.8% Cut The Cackle
98.8% * Imaginary World 101.0% 3RD 6-1
97.6% Hold The Star
Saaboog 1ST 4-1
Certral 2ND 2-1
Kampai
Shayla


Sunday, July 22, 2012

Horse Racing Tips: Hayaku to fast at 22-1


There is no gratification in top rating a 22-1 winner that goes un-backed especially when that 22-1 winner was the highlight and the only thing to show for my hard work at Lingfield Park.

On the turf, no surprises in the first with top rated and the only highlighted ‘Pace and Going’ horse on the card, Tobacco Road winning at an SP of 13-8. The second race was given a wide birth with no points of reference. The third had my top two declare non-runners.

Hayaku 22-1 strikes the front with Roxelana (red sleeves and cap) beating a retreat

On to the AW we had three disappointments, two coming under the stewardship of Seb Sanders who gave both Potentiale and Aciano identical rides from the front finishing third and second respectively. The winner of Potentiale race Officer in Command was also top rated. The final insult to injury came with top rated Hayaku (Japanese for 'fast') winning the finale at 22-1 with the selection Roxelana finding reverse gear as they turned for home.

In summary three un-backed top rated winners from four races of interest equals total frustration!         

Saturday, July 21, 2012

21st July 2012 Lingfield Park


6:15 Irish Stallion Farms E B F Maiden Stakes (Turf) Cl5 7f
98.4% * Tobacco Road 1ST 13-8
Swift Cedar 2ND 14-1
Digress 3RD 9-2
Fehaydi
Persian Marvel
Yellow Mountain
Yul Finegold


6:45 Crowhurst Nursery (Turf) Cl5 6f
Equitania 1ST 13-8
Frosted Off 2ND 10-1
Little Miss Zuri 3RD 8-1
Baltic Gin
Captain Blue
Risky Rizkova
Tough Lady


7:15 Lingfield Park Owners Group Handicap (Turf) Cl6 6f
99.2% Proper Charlie 100.5%
99.0% Silvee 98.0%
98.8% Sarangoo
98.3% Ansells Pride 2ND 33-1
98.1% Pose 96.8%
98.1% Danzoe 100.3%
98.0% Links Drive Lady 3RD 11-1
97.9% Huzzah
97.7% Golden Compass 1ST 13-2
96.7% Royale Ransom
96.4% Smoky Cloud 99.0%
95.6% Memphis Man 98.8%
94.7% Mary´s Pet 99.2%
92.7% Whiteoak Lady
Bermondsey Bob

7:45 Grease Night! Sat 11Th August Classified Selling Stakes Cl6 1m2f
99.7% Officer In Command 99.6% 1ST 2-1
99.2% Conducting 100.2% 2ND 3-1
99.1% * Potentiale 100.6% 3RD 9-2
96.5% Catchanova
94.5% Littlemissperfect 96.3%
93.4% Castalian Spring
The Boomingbittern

8:15 Porto Racing Claiming Stakes Cl6 1m
100.9% * Fremont
99.8% Fireback 98.9%
99.8% Titus Star 3RD 11-1
99.7% Aciano 2ND 15-2
98.4% Tiradito 100.7%
97.9% Sandbetweenourtoes
97.9% Darrow
97.1% Munsarim 102.1% 1ST 11-10
Medeeba

8:45 Ladbrokes Game On! Fillies´ Handicap Cl5 1m2f
100.4% Hayaku 1ST 22-1
100.1% Lashyn 98.1%
99.8% * Talk Of The North
99.6% Bramshill Lass 100.3%
99.3% Jewelled 2ND 33-1
99.2% Srinagar Girl 3RD 12-1
99.0% Roxelana
98.7% Song Of Joy
98.6% Midas Moment 100.8%
98.5% Ssafa
98.4% Sail Home 98.8%
Buzkashi
Vakiyla

Wednesday, July 18, 2012

Southwell Clerk Of The Course Roderick Duncan - All Weather

An interesting interview with Roderick Duncan Clerk of the Course at Southwell giving an insight into the All Weather course and the difference between poly and fibre, draw bias and weather effects on the course.

18th July 2012 Lingfield Park


2:00 Lingfield Park Ladies Evening 21st July Maiden Stakes (Div I) Cl5 1m
98.5% * Gold Edition 2ND 9-2
Royal Empire 1ST 5-4
Keyaadi 3RD 5-1
Cluaindubhloch
Fly Haaf
Mutasadder
Pugnacious
Shahrazad
Simply
The Baronet
Ukrainian Princess

2:30 Lingfield Park Ladies Evening 21st July Maiden Stakes (Div II) Cl5 1m
99.7% * Niger 1ST 6-4
96.9% Friends Of Ama Gi 98.2%
Centrifugal 2ND 6-1
Narcissist 3RD 7-2
Any Other Day
Clowance Keys
Eamaadd
Iz She
Rowan Rhapsody
Suedehead

3:00 Breathe Spa At Lingfield Marriott Handicap Cl6 1m4f
99.1% * Lady Romanza
98.7% Angel Cake 97.8% 3RD 20-1
98.1% Silver Six 97.8% 2ND 9-1
97.3% Kaiser Wilhelm 1ST 5-1
97.0% Red Mystique
96.9% Blue Pencil
96.8% Zarosa
96.4% Polydamos
96.1% Elammato
95.8% Flamborough Breeze
Dangerous To Know
Despatch
Doyle´s Dream
Imperial Wave

3:30 Lingfield Park Owners Group Handicap Cl5 2m
100.6% Trovare 2ND 85-40
100.0% Frederick William 96.7%
99.4% * Legend Erry
97.4% Alfraamsey 99.8% 3RD 11-4
96.9% Courtesy Call 1ST 9-4
Native Colony

4:00 Paul Kelleway Memorial Handicap Cl3 1m5f
102.1% * Silent Moment
101.9% * Old Hundred
101.4% Alsadaa
101.2% Aurorian
100.9% Viking Storm 1ST 14-1
100.7% Sand Skier 100.1%
100.5% Kuda Huraa
100.1% Layline
100.1% Albaraka
99.0% The Holyman 99.6% 3RD 20-1
97.6% Bute Hall
Biographer 2ND 4-1

4:30 British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E B F Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 6f
99.0% * Sugar House 1ST 15-8
96.9% Our Golden Girl
Spicy 2ND 7-1
Ghostflower 3RD 11-4
Choral Rhythm
Elounta
Flywheel
Kunzea
Misty Secret
Pastoral Symphony
Starlight Symphony

5:00 Racing & Music Nights At Lingfield Park Handicap Cl5 6f
100.4% Ghost Train 2ND 11-2
100.0% Raffinn 96.1%
100.0% Bint Alzain
99.7% * Chalk And Cheese
98.6% Boudoir 3RD 16-1
98.5% Sujet Bellagio 98.8%
98.1% Sunley Pride
97.8% Mister Mackenzie 98.0%
97.5% Take A Note 1ST 7-2
97.3% Sweet Ovation 99.6%
95.9% Topflight Princess

5:30 Ladbrokes Game On! Handicap Cl6 1m2f
100.0% * Land Hawk 101.2%
99.0% Mitch Rapp
98.7% Lytham 97.4%
98.6% Lord Of The Storm 99.4%
98.6% Secret Era 2ND 9-1
98.2% Jordaura 100.2% 1ST 16-1
98.1% Gallantry 99.6%
97.7% Beat Up 98.0%
97.3% Formidable Guest 99.4% 3RD 10-1
96.8% Jumeirah Liberty 98.9%
95.9% Breakheart
94.9% Night Sky


Do you know when to Back and Lay?

After a period of feeling we can walk on water The Actuary Horse Racing Tips had a thoroughly miserable Monday with nothing positive to report after a very careful retrospective scrutiny of the cards and results. Well, we got back to winning ways yesterday. Nothing major but a little profit after a bad day is always nice.
Strictly Pink getting squashed in to the rail to start proceedings left me feeling we may be in for more punishment but the manner of victory of The Actuary selection in the second race was ironically a reverse of what did for our selection in the third.
So lets play a little game of BACK or LAY!
Click the picture below to watch the clip and decide which you are going to do :)



So would you BACK or LAY? Here is the finish



OK, I appreciate that was a tough one, here is an easier one with The Actuary selection in the very next race. Click the image below to play the clip.


So would you BACK or LAY? Click the image below for the finish



If you got 2 out of 2 and didn't know the results you could make a living from trading!
Our final winning selection of the day was the short priced Kung Hei Fat Choy available at 11-10. Full respect to Graham Lee who was in Leonna Major's slip stream for most of the race and must have been sorely tempted to stay there and asking her to go around again!



      

Tuesday, July 17, 2012

17th July 2012 Southwell


6:00 Bet toteplacepot Text tote To 89660 Handicap Cl5 5f
100.5% Colourbearer 101.0%
100.2% Love You Louis 100.7%
100.2% * Strictly Pink
99.8% Wreningham 101.1% 3RD 16-1
99.4% Soopacal 99.9%
99.2% The Magic Of Rio 98.3%
96.8% Wake Up Sioux 96.6%
96.3% Itum 98.1%
95.9% Irish Boy 96.6%
94.7% Boucher Garcon 95.0%
92.9% Spic ´n Span 98.9% 2ND 12-1
Just Like Heaven 1ST 13-2

6:30 Bet totepool Text tote To 89660 Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m4f
97.6% * Adili 1ST 7-2
Echo Of Dream 2ND 25-1
Badea 3RD 15-8
Muhamee
Omega Omega
Primacy
Spanish Trail

7:00 Bet totequadpot Text tote To 89660 Handicap Cl6 1m3f
99.8% The Blue Dog
99.0% Run Of The Day 100.9%
98.6% Tyrana
98.0% Bring Sweets 2ND 8-1
97.9% Nha Trang 101.6%
97.3% * Yas Marina 3RD 7-2
96.4% Kingaroo 99.1% 1ST 7-1
96.2% Sweet Grace
95.1% Magnitude 97.7%
Caledonian Lad
Moonstreaker
Thoroughly Red

7:30 Racing Post Form With totepool Mobile Handicap Cl4 7f
101.1% Alpha Tauri 99.9% 2ND 11-2
100.8% * St Oswald 101.7%
100.5% George Benjamin 3RD 16-1
100.1% Snow Bay 97.0%
99.9% Mingun Bell 1ST 15-8
93.9% Eastern Hills 96.4%
Point North

8:00 Play Golf At Southwell Golf Club Claiming Stakes Cl6 6f
Lord Avonbrook 1ST 15-2
Fly Fisher 2ND 7-2
Vegas Belle 3RD 11-4
Lexi The Princess
Northern Harbour

8:30 Anchor Inn Worksop Handicap Cl6 7f
98.6% Ace Of Spies 99.5%
98.5% Boy The Bell 99.2%
98.2% King´s Sabre 98.2%
97.5% Bonnie Prince Blue 100.0%
97.3% Rapid Water 3RD 5-1
97.1% This Ones For Eddy 100.0%
97.0% Royal Holiday 2ND 33-1
94.0% Jonnie Skull 99.3%
Monzino 1ST 12-1
Alabanda
Brailsford
Eye For The Girls

9:00 Membership Available At Southwell Golf Club Handicap Cl6 1m
99.4% Bond Blade
99.0% Orpen Wide 97.1%
99.0% * Kung Hei Fat Choy 101.2% 1ST 8-11
98.4% Putin 99.3% 2ND 12-1
98.4% Smart Affair 100.0% 3RD 5-1
97.9% Avalon Bay 97.1%
97.6% Hilbre Court 100.7%
95.7% Godwit
Gazboolou
Praxios
Titan Diamond