THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 26th March KEMPTON PARK- 27th March WOLVERHAMPTON- 29th March WOLVERHAMPTON - 30th March LINGFIELD PARK, KEMPTON PARK & SOUTHWELL - 31st March WOLVERHAMPTON & CHELMSFORD CITY - 1ST aPRIL LINGFIELD PARK & WOLVERHAMPTON - 2nd April KEMPTON PARK -

Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 30th April 2013


30th April 2013 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no 
weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions


2:00 Your Guide To Lingfield At lingfieldracecoursetips.co.uk Claiming Stakes Cl6 7f
100.9%*Back On The Trail 
99.6%A Ladies Man 99.6%(1)
99.1%Claude Greenwood 
99.0%Bubbly Bailey 98.0%(2)
98.9%Carina Palace 
98.9%Princess Cammie 
98.0%Fiducia 
97.5%Everreadyneddy 

Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Monday 29th April 2013

29th April 2013 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no 
weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions


4:55 Your Guide To Lingfield At lingfieldracecoursetips.co.uk Handicap Cl6 1m
100.9%*Piccolo Mondo 99.6%(2)
99.9%Rock Anthem 
99.7%Strategic Action 99.3%(2)
99.3%Bold Ring 98.7%(3)
98.8%Indian Violet 98.6%(14)
98.5%Custom House 97.9%(2)
97.5%Zammy 

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Monday 29th April 2013

29th April 2013 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no 
weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions


1:50 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Handicap (Div I) Cl6 7f32y
99.8%*Romanticize 100.0%(4)
99.6%Striker Torres 99.9%(11)
99.3%Blue Noodles 99.7%(5)
99.3%Remix 98.8%(2)
99.2%Marshall Art 99.0%(3)
99.1%Hittin´The Skids 99.5%(4)
99.0%Sannibel 97.8%(2)
98.9%Prince Of Passion 97.2%(6)
97.9%Abhaath 99.8%(8)
Ferocious Fran 

Gerrard Butler claims more than 100 horses given steroids


A second Newmarket trainer admitted using anabolic steroids on his horses. Gerard Butler has told the BHA that several of his horses received treatment consisting of injections of anabolic steroids for injured joints. 

The trainer believes more than 100 racehorses across Newmarket may have been given the same treatment.

Butler said the treatment came recommended by vets and included the injections in his official medical records which were seen and returned by the BHA without comment.

"It did not cross my mind that there could be any problem with this medication. And, judging from the fact that the BHA said nothing about it when they saw my medical book, it does not seem to have crossed their minds, either."

Butler believes the medication, known as Sungate and containing the steroid stanozolol, to have been commonly recommended by vets in Newmarket for the treatment of joint injuries.

Mahmood Al Zarooni banned for eight years


Godolphin trainer Mahmood Al Zarooni was on Thursday banned for eight years by the disciplinary panel at the BHA's headquarters after being found guilty of doping offences which have rocked British racing.

The 15 horses Godolphin trainer Mahmood Al Zarooni has admitted doping with anabolic steroids have been banned from racing for six months.

The length of suspension reflects the period beyond which the BHA is confident that the horses in question can have derived no performance related benefit from the administration of these prohibited substances.
Sheikh Mohammed has announced he is to lock down the Newmarket stable occupied by Mahmood Al Zarooni with immediate effect in the wake of revelations at least 15 of the horses based at the yard were administered anabolic steroids.
He has also demanded a full round of blood samples and dope testing is done on every single horse in the yard - which includes last year's St Leger winner Encke - in a bid to try and restore public faith in the Godolphin operation.

Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 25th April 2013

25th April 2013 Lingfield Park
4:55 Hollow Lane Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 5f
98.0%*Limegrove 
Fine ´n Dandy 
Hot Stock 
Lucky Visione 
Quinta Feira 

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 25th April 2013

25th April 2013 Wolverhampton
2:25 Morris Site Machinery/Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Stakes Cl5 5f20y
Caesars Gift 
Pixmiester 
Will To Survive 
Lady Frances 
Lilo Lil 

BOG Bookmakers or Betfair?


As a person who seldom uses the betting exchanges opting for the peace of mind that betting with BOG Bookmakers gives, I find myself now having to get up to speed with Betfair. With so many bookmakers restricting my bets a total switch to the exchanges looks inevitable.

Working on a new strategy outlined in previous posts where I am looking to put in a place order on Betfair at a predefined fraction of the opening show win odds achieved with a BOG bookmaker has astounded me.

I initially started with place bet orders at ¼ of the win odds which where all matched very early. The following day I adjusted this to 2/7th believing that 1/3 would be over optimistic and monitored the fluctuations throughout the day only to find even at a 1/3 of the odds I would be matched. In some cases I would have been disappointed to have set the bar at 1/3.

Case in point: Our sole selection yesterdays Nine Iron with an opening show of 4-1 was matched at 2-1 to be placed on the Betfair place market. This may well be an exception and for the immediate future I will continue at 1/3 with a proviso of taking SP if my order is filled at the off.

While trawling through the internet researching last night I tripped across a strategy that was termed as being an ATM for the Betfair Markets with claims that using the strategy could deliver $50 - $100 a day for those able to spend time on the in-running markets. I would like to make it clear that in no way am I endorsing the product as I am yet to use it after paying £87 last night but, if anyone is interested in a copy for a nominal fee drop me an email to theactuary@ymail.com.

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 23rd April 2013

23rd April 2013 Wolverhampton


The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no 
weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions
2:20 32RedPoker.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 1m1f103y
99.5%Florida Beat 
99.4%*Sian Gwalia 
98.2%Strategic Strike 
97.7%Bold Assertion 
97.3%Jullundar 97.6%(1)
96.6%Mr Blue Nose 
95.6%Carronade 
Anwyl House 
Eaton Oak 

Mahmood Al Zarooni faces the loss of his licence


Mahmood Al Zarooni  faces the loss of his licence after admitting being in breach of the rules of racing following  anabolic steroids being found in samples taken from several of his horses including top-class filly Certify who will not now be allowed to run in the Qipco 1,000 Guineas.

Following a BHA inspection of Al Zarooni's stables in Newmarket traces of prohibited substances were discovered in 11 of 45 horses tested.

Desert Blossom, Certify, Fair Hill, Ghostflower, Orkney Island, Sweet Rose and Valley Of Queens tested positive for ethylestranol and Artigiano, Bathrat Amal, Opinion Poll and Restraint Of Trade tested positive for stanozolol.

His Highness Sheikh Mohammed was absolutely appalled when he was told and this is completely unacceptable to him. Godolphin said it would will await the outcome of the BHA inquiry before taking any further internal action.

Al Zarooni said: "I deeply regret what has happened. I have made a catastrophic error. Because the horses involved were not racing at the time, I did not realise that what I was doing was in breach of the rules of racing. I can only apologise for the damage this will cause to Godolphin and to racing generally."

A disciplinary panel enquiry into the analysts' findings will take place at the first available opportunity. The horses which have produced positive tests will also not be permitted to race with immediate effect and for an extended period of time. 

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Monday 22nd April 2013

22nd April 2013 Wolverhampton


The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no 
weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions
5:50 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Apprentice Handicap Cl6 1m1f103y
100.3%*Downtown Boy 
100.2%Angelena Ballerina 98.3%(5)
100.1%*Just Five 98.9%(2)
99.5%Market Puzzle 98.9%(4)
99.2%The Yank 95.7%(2)
98.9%Miss Chardonay 95.1%(1)
98.4%Belle Park 97.9%(2)
98.4%Maz 98.7%(3)
97.6%Jordaura 98.7%(7)
90.2%Ernest Speak 
Dustland Fairytale 

Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Monday 22nd April 2013

22nd April 2013 Kempton Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no 
weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions


2:20 Mascot Grand National 06.05.13 Classified Stakes Cl6 7f
100.2%Boyzee 93.9%(1)
98.9%*Men Don´t Cry 98.3%(2)
98.8%*Poetic Belle 97.4%(2)
98.7%Idle Curiosity 98.7%(1)
98.5%Black Truffle 98.2%(2)
98.3%Marie´s Fantasy 
98.1%Bubblina 98.3%(2)
97.9%Otto The First 
97.6%Tartaria 
97.3%Shahrazad 97.5%(1)
96.7%Thomasina 96.8%(1)
96.0%Foie Gras 96.0%(1)
93.8%Sweet Piccolo 93.6%(2)
Princely Sum 

40-1 boil-over in Wolverhampton opener


There was little to be gleaned on the backing exercise discussed in my post ‘Excellent Puck at a reasonable price!‘ on Saturday’s Wolverhampton card.  With two boil-overs in four of the races of interest to subscribers: Magical Speedfit 40-1 taking the opener and Idol Deputy 20-1 in the 8:45, the one thing that was immediately evident from the exercise was under-cooking my Betfair orders.

No surprise that there was insufficient liquidity in the place markets at the overnight stage to have any of my orders matched but I was surprised to find them matched early morning (Pre 07:00 a.m.)  having gone in at ¼ of the BOG win odds.

This proved costly in the case of Going French who placed at 16-1 after drifting from an overnight price of 11-1. I appreciate this will never be an exact science but having been matched so early would suggest that perhaps we should set the bar higher than ¼ of the BOG win odds.

I am sure that putting an order in at 1/3 of the BOG win price will be over optimistic so I will aim for a happy medium of 2/7 on tomorrow’s selections.   

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Saturday 20th April 2013


20th April 2013 Wolverhampton

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.
❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions

6:15 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Amateur Riders´ Handicap Cl5 5f216y
101.0%Holy Angel 100.4%(5)
100.9%Captain Kendall 
100.6%*Going French 99.8%(4)
100.4%Restless Bay 100.1%(21)
100.2%Lujeanie 101.0%(2)
100.2%M J Woodward 98.6%(4)
99.6%Angelo Poliziano 99.3%(3)
99.4%Welease Bwian 
99.4%Annes Rocket 
98.5%Gaelic Wizard 98.8%(1)
98.3%Methaaly 99.9%(33)
98.1%Rigolleto 
Magical Speedfit 

Excellent Puck at a reasonable price!


“Those that Hobgoblin call you and sweet Puck, You do their work, and they shall have good luck”

Although I wouldn't view yesterday success by 2 point selection Excellent Puck as luck, with no fewer than 26 placed selections in the past month in among the winners it was extremely rewarding, in every way to see Excellent Puck (advised overnight at 7-1) romped to victory beating 2-1 favourite Mizyen with consummate ease. The earlier success of our first selection on the card Requested (advised at 2-1) assisted in adding 16 points to the bank, a welcome shot in the arm for Aprils figures.

I am not usually an advocate of E.W. or Place betting but outside of the months winners we have suffered only 16 horses unplaced and the maths would suggest that we can gain greater stability and profit by doubling our betting stake and splitting it with half on the win and half on the place.

Unfortunately, it is neigh on impossible to get a retrospective view of place payouts so I will endeavor to make you aware of the pro’s and cons in real-time starting with Wolverhampton's meeting  tomorrow evening.

My intention will be to continue to place the win bet with a BOG and put in an order at a quarter of the win odds on Betfair to the same stake unless better is already available with ‘Take SP’ At In Play.   

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 18th April 2013

18th April 2013 Wolverhampton

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.
Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions
5:20 32RedPoker.com Handicap Cl6 5f216y
101.3%*Jawking 99.6%(4)
101.2%Invigilator 100.3%(9)
100.5%Available 99.7%(5)
100.1%Opus Dei 100.5%(2)
100.0%Muftarres 99.4%(3)
99.2%Flow Chart 98.3%(7)
98.8%Dickie Le Davoir 99.5%(14)
95.7%Quality Art 98.3%(1)



Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Wednesday 17th April 2013

17th April 2013 Kempton Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

5:55 Kempton For Summer Weddings Median Auction Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl6 1m3f
98.7% Always Gentle
98.5% * Permeate
95.7% American Kiss
95.4% Parsons Green 95.4% (1)
95.1% Ela Goog La Mou
Young Lisa
Abilene
Dawn Beat
Fenton
Nellie Forbush

A Different Standard Of Racing – Southwell


I had always made the assumption that the role of The Clerk of the Course, at any racecourse, was to maintain the racing surface to as close as possible to the norm. In the case of a turf course this would be 'good', on an all weather course 'standard'.

Yesterday, I was left asking myself, after returning the times from Southwell, why no attempt was made to water the track to bring it closer to standard.

I appreciate that after the winter flooding Roderick Duncan might be sick of the sight of water and after re-opening in early February the times returned suggested business as usual. Whereas the times being returned since the 2nd March 2013 would suggest a gradual deterioration of the racing surface to the degree that if Southwell all weather course was a turf track the meetings would have been abandoned.

I would exercise some caution and be very skeptical of the form lines coming from Southwell over the last month unless the horses that have prevailed were to be facing bottomless ground. Or perhaps we are looking at a new standard of racing at Southwell.

Southwell All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 16th April 2013

16th April 2013 Southwell


The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

2:10 Binary Trends - Triple Your Investment Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 1m
100.3% * Solarmaite 98.9% (3)
98.8% Guishan
Pretty Prisca
Glacial Age
San Gabriel
Wadacre Sarko
Camilla De Rossi

Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Saturday 13th April 2013

13th April 2013 Kempton Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

1:35 Betfred Mobile Sports/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes Cl4 5f
Dovil´s Duel
Meritocracy
Montaigne
Skye´s The Limit
Vodka Time
Fig Roll
Rough Courte

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Friday 12th April 2013

12th April 2013 Wolverhampton

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

5:50 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 5f216y
98.9% Jontleman
98.4% * Aljosan 97.7% (2)
96.9% Carrera
94.4% Mid Yorkshire Golf
Emjayem
Spirit Of Parkes
Kwanto

Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Friday 12th April 2013

12th April 2013 Lingfield Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

2:00 Bhest Racing To School Maiden Auction Stakes Cl6 5f
95.4% * Nomathemba
95.1% Brockholes Flyer 95.1% (1)
91.8% Smugglers Gold 91.8% (1)
Flying Kyte
Red Oasis
Bonnie Wee Lassie
Kidmenot
Under Your Thumb
Weisse Girl
Notnow Penny

Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 11th April 2013

11th April 2013 Kempton Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

4:55 Mike The Knight 13.04.13 Classified Claiming Stakes Cl6 1m
101.7% * Mr Knightley 99.3% (5)
101.5% Officer In Command 100.5% (8)
101.2% Hurricane Spirit 100.6% (9)
99.2% Benandonner 101.0% (6)
97.4% Alhaban 100.2% (4)

Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Wednesday 10th April 2013

10th April 2013 Kempton Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

5:30 Family Fun With Mike The Knight Apprentice Handicap Cl6 1m2f
100.0% * Manomine 98.9% (1)
99.4% May´s Boy 100.5% (1)
99.3% * Stag Hill
98.9% Comedy House
98.9% James Pollard 98.9% (2)
98.7% Kingscombe
97.6% Handheld
96.0% Grace And Beauty

Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Wednesday 10th April 2013

10th April 2013 Lingfield Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

2:00 Your Guide To Lingfield At lingfieldracecoursetips.co.uk Handicap (Div I) Cl6 1m
100.9% Amber Moon 100.0% (4)
100.4% Teth 100.3% (2)
99.8% * Crucis Abbey
99.7% Archelao 98.9% (2)
99.0% Cuthbert 100.7% (3)
98.9% Titan Diamond 97.5% (2)
97.5% Indian Violet 98.5% (13)
96.7% I´m Harry
91.7% Baytown Bertie 95.3% (1)
90.8% Queenie´s Star 98.3% (3)

Southwell All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 9th April 2013

9th April 2013 Southwell

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

2:00 British Stallion Studs E.B.F 32Red.com Maiden Stakes Cl5 5f
Jaga Time
Split Rock
Claudia Octavia
Kitty Brown
Livia Drusilla

Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Monday 8th April 2013

8th April 2013 Kempton Park


The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

2:20 BetVictor.com Maiden Auction Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 5f
97.7% * Memory Styx
Alutiq
Princess Tamay
Hedge End
Luv U Honey
Evacusafe Lady
Honey Meadow
Iseemist

Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Tuesday, April 30, 2013

Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 30th April 2013


30th April 2013 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no 
weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions


2:00 Your Guide To Lingfield At lingfieldracecoursetips.co.uk Claiming Stakes Cl6 7f
100.9%*Back On The Trail 
99.6%A Ladies Man 99.6%(1)
99.1%Claude Greenwood 
99.0%Bubbly Bailey 98.0%(2)
98.9%Carina Palace 
98.9%Princess Cammie 
98.0%Fiducia 
97.5%Everreadyneddy 

Monday, April 29, 2013

Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Monday 29th April 2013

29th April 2013 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no 
weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions


4:55 Your Guide To Lingfield At lingfieldracecoursetips.co.uk Handicap Cl6 1m
100.9%*Piccolo Mondo 99.6%(2)
99.9%Rock Anthem 
99.7%Strategic Action 99.3%(2)
99.3%Bold Ring 98.7%(3)
98.8%Indian Violet 98.6%(14)
98.5%Custom House 97.9%(2)
97.5%Zammy 

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Monday 29th April 2013

29th April 2013 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no 
weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions


1:50 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Handicap (Div I) Cl6 7f32y
99.8%*Romanticize 100.0%(4)
99.6%Striker Torres 99.9%(11)
99.3%Blue Noodles 99.7%(5)
99.3%Remix 98.8%(2)
99.2%Marshall Art 99.0%(3)
99.1%Hittin´The Skids 99.5%(4)
99.0%Sannibel 97.8%(2)
98.9%Prince Of Passion 97.2%(6)
97.9%Abhaath 99.8%(8)
Ferocious Fran 

Gerrard Butler claims more than 100 horses given steroids


A second Newmarket trainer admitted using anabolic steroids on his horses. Gerard Butler has told the BHA that several of his horses received treatment consisting of injections of anabolic steroids for injured joints. 

The trainer believes more than 100 racehorses across Newmarket may have been given the same treatment.

Butler said the treatment came recommended by vets and included the injections in his official medical records which were seen and returned by the BHA without comment.

"It did not cross my mind that there could be any problem with this medication. And, judging from the fact that the BHA said nothing about it when they saw my medical book, it does not seem to have crossed their minds, either."

Butler believes the medication, known as Sungate and containing the steroid stanozolol, to have been commonly recommended by vets in Newmarket for the treatment of joint injuries.

Friday, April 26, 2013

Mahmood Al Zarooni banned for eight years


Godolphin trainer Mahmood Al Zarooni was on Thursday banned for eight years by the disciplinary panel at the BHA's headquarters after being found guilty of doping offences which have rocked British racing.

The 15 horses Godolphin trainer Mahmood Al Zarooni has admitted doping with anabolic steroids have been banned from racing for six months.

The length of suspension reflects the period beyond which the BHA is confident that the horses in question can have derived no performance related benefit from the administration of these prohibited substances.
Sheikh Mohammed has announced he is to lock down the Newmarket stable occupied by Mahmood Al Zarooni with immediate effect in the wake of revelations at least 15 of the horses based at the yard were administered anabolic steroids.
He has also demanded a full round of blood samples and dope testing is done on every single horse in the yard - which includes last year's St Leger winner Encke - in a bid to try and restore public faith in the Godolphin operation.

Thursday, April 25, 2013

Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 25th April 2013

25th April 2013 Lingfield Park
4:55 Hollow Lane Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 5f
98.0%*Limegrove 
Fine ´n Dandy 
Hot Stock 
Lucky Visione 
Quinta Feira 

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 25th April 2013

25th April 2013 Wolverhampton
2:25 Morris Site Machinery/Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Stakes Cl5 5f20y
Caesars Gift 
Pixmiester 
Will To Survive 
Lady Frances 
Lilo Lil 

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

BOG Bookmakers or Betfair?


As a person who seldom uses the betting exchanges opting for the peace of mind that betting with BOG Bookmakers gives, I find myself now having to get up to speed with Betfair. With so many bookmakers restricting my bets a total switch to the exchanges looks inevitable.

Working on a new strategy outlined in previous posts where I am looking to put in a place order on Betfair at a predefined fraction of the opening show win odds achieved with a BOG bookmaker has astounded me.

I initially started with place bet orders at ¼ of the win odds which where all matched very early. The following day I adjusted this to 2/7th believing that 1/3 would be over optimistic and monitored the fluctuations throughout the day only to find even at a 1/3 of the odds I would be matched. In some cases I would have been disappointed to have set the bar at 1/3.

Case in point: Our sole selection yesterdays Nine Iron with an opening show of 4-1 was matched at 2-1 to be placed on the Betfair place market. This may well be an exception and for the immediate future I will continue at 1/3 with a proviso of taking SP if my order is filled at the off.

While trawling through the internet researching last night I tripped across a strategy that was termed as being an ATM for the Betfair Markets with claims that using the strategy could deliver $50 - $100 a day for those able to spend time on the in-running markets. I would like to make it clear that in no way am I endorsing the product as I am yet to use it after paying £87 last night but, if anyone is interested in a copy for a nominal fee drop me an email to theactuary@ymail.com.

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 23rd April 2013

23rd April 2013 Wolverhampton


The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no 
weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions
2:20 32RedPoker.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 1m1f103y
99.5%Florida Beat 
99.4%*Sian Gwalia 
98.2%Strategic Strike 
97.7%Bold Assertion 
97.3%Jullundar 97.6%(1)
96.6%Mr Blue Nose 
95.6%Carronade 
Anwyl House 
Eaton Oak 

Monday, April 22, 2013

Mahmood Al Zarooni faces the loss of his licence


Mahmood Al Zarooni  faces the loss of his licence after admitting being in breach of the rules of racing following  anabolic steroids being found in samples taken from several of his horses including top-class filly Certify who will not now be allowed to run in the Qipco 1,000 Guineas.

Following a BHA inspection of Al Zarooni's stables in Newmarket traces of prohibited substances were discovered in 11 of 45 horses tested.

Desert Blossom, Certify, Fair Hill, Ghostflower, Orkney Island, Sweet Rose and Valley Of Queens tested positive for ethylestranol and Artigiano, Bathrat Amal, Opinion Poll and Restraint Of Trade tested positive for stanozolol.

His Highness Sheikh Mohammed was absolutely appalled when he was told and this is completely unacceptable to him. Godolphin said it would will await the outcome of the BHA inquiry before taking any further internal action.

Al Zarooni said: "I deeply regret what has happened. I have made a catastrophic error. Because the horses involved were not racing at the time, I did not realise that what I was doing was in breach of the rules of racing. I can only apologise for the damage this will cause to Godolphin and to racing generally."

A disciplinary panel enquiry into the analysts' findings will take place at the first available opportunity. The horses which have produced positive tests will also not be permitted to race with immediate effect and for an extended period of time. 

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Monday 22nd April 2013

22nd April 2013 Wolverhampton


The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no 
weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions
5:50 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Apprentice Handicap Cl6 1m1f103y
100.3%*Downtown Boy 
100.2%Angelena Ballerina 98.3%(5)
100.1%*Just Five 98.9%(2)
99.5%Market Puzzle 98.9%(4)
99.2%The Yank 95.7%(2)
98.9%Miss Chardonay 95.1%(1)
98.4%Belle Park 97.9%(2)
98.4%Maz 98.7%(3)
97.6%Jordaura 98.7%(7)
90.2%Ernest Speak 
Dustland Fairytale 

Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Monday 22nd April 2013

22nd April 2013 Kempton Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no 
weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions


2:20 Mascot Grand National 06.05.13 Classified Stakes Cl6 7f
100.2%Boyzee 93.9%(1)
98.9%*Men Don´t Cry 98.3%(2)
98.8%*Poetic Belle 97.4%(2)
98.7%Idle Curiosity 98.7%(1)
98.5%Black Truffle 98.2%(2)
98.3%Marie´s Fantasy 
98.1%Bubblina 98.3%(2)
97.9%Otto The First 
97.6%Tartaria 
97.3%Shahrazad 97.5%(1)
96.7%Thomasina 96.8%(1)
96.0%Foie Gras 96.0%(1)
93.8%Sweet Piccolo 93.6%(2)
Princely Sum 

Sunday, April 21, 2013

40-1 boil-over in Wolverhampton opener


There was little to be gleaned on the backing exercise discussed in my post ‘Excellent Puck at a reasonable price!‘ on Saturday’s Wolverhampton card.  With two boil-overs in four of the races of interest to subscribers: Magical Speedfit 40-1 taking the opener and Idol Deputy 20-1 in the 8:45, the one thing that was immediately evident from the exercise was under-cooking my Betfair orders.

No surprise that there was insufficient liquidity in the place markets at the overnight stage to have any of my orders matched but I was surprised to find them matched early morning (Pre 07:00 a.m.)  having gone in at ¼ of the BOG win odds.

This proved costly in the case of Going French who placed at 16-1 after drifting from an overnight price of 11-1. I appreciate this will never be an exact science but having been matched so early would suggest that perhaps we should set the bar higher than ¼ of the BOG win odds.

I am sure that putting an order in at 1/3 of the BOG win price will be over optimistic so I will aim for a happy medium of 2/7 on tomorrow’s selections.   

Saturday, April 20, 2013

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Saturday 20th April 2013


20th April 2013 Wolverhampton

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.
❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions

6:15 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Amateur Riders´ Handicap Cl5 5f216y
101.0%Holy Angel 100.4%(5)
100.9%Captain Kendall 
100.6%*Going French 99.8%(4)
100.4%Restless Bay 100.1%(21)
100.2%Lujeanie 101.0%(2)
100.2%M J Woodward 98.6%(4)
99.6%Angelo Poliziano 99.3%(3)
99.4%Welease Bwian 
99.4%Annes Rocket 
98.5%Gaelic Wizard 98.8%(1)
98.3%Methaaly 99.9%(33)
98.1%Rigolleto 
Magical Speedfit 

Friday, April 19, 2013

Excellent Puck at a reasonable price!


“Those that Hobgoblin call you and sweet Puck, You do their work, and they shall have good luck”

Although I wouldn't view yesterday success by 2 point selection Excellent Puck as luck, with no fewer than 26 placed selections in the past month in among the winners it was extremely rewarding, in every way to see Excellent Puck (advised overnight at 7-1) romped to victory beating 2-1 favourite Mizyen with consummate ease. The earlier success of our first selection on the card Requested (advised at 2-1) assisted in adding 16 points to the bank, a welcome shot in the arm for Aprils figures.

I am not usually an advocate of E.W. or Place betting but outside of the months winners we have suffered only 16 horses unplaced and the maths would suggest that we can gain greater stability and profit by doubling our betting stake and splitting it with half on the win and half on the place.

Unfortunately, it is neigh on impossible to get a retrospective view of place payouts so I will endeavor to make you aware of the pro’s and cons in real-time starting with Wolverhampton's meeting  tomorrow evening.

My intention will be to continue to place the win bet with a BOG and put in an order at a quarter of the win odds on Betfair to the same stake unless better is already available with ‘Take SP’ At In Play.   

Thursday, April 18, 2013

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 18th April 2013

18th April 2013 Wolverhampton

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.
Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions
5:20 32RedPoker.com Handicap Cl6 5f216y
101.3%*Jawking 99.6%(4)
101.2%Invigilator 100.3%(9)
100.5%Available 99.7%(5)
100.1%Opus Dei 100.5%(2)
100.0%Muftarres 99.4%(3)
99.2%Flow Chart 98.3%(7)
98.8%Dickie Le Davoir 99.5%(14)
95.7%Quality Art 98.3%(1)



Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Wednesday 17th April 2013

17th April 2013 Kempton Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

5:55 Kempton For Summer Weddings Median Auction Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl6 1m3f
98.7% Always Gentle
98.5% * Permeate
95.7% American Kiss
95.4% Parsons Green 95.4% (1)
95.1% Ela Goog La Mou
Young Lisa
Abilene
Dawn Beat
Fenton
Nellie Forbush

A Different Standard Of Racing – Southwell


I had always made the assumption that the role of The Clerk of the Course, at any racecourse, was to maintain the racing surface to as close as possible to the norm. In the case of a turf course this would be 'good', on an all weather course 'standard'.

Yesterday, I was left asking myself, after returning the times from Southwell, why no attempt was made to water the track to bring it closer to standard.

I appreciate that after the winter flooding Roderick Duncan might be sick of the sight of water and after re-opening in early February the times returned suggested business as usual. Whereas the times being returned since the 2nd March 2013 would suggest a gradual deterioration of the racing surface to the degree that if Southwell all weather course was a turf track the meetings would have been abandoned.

I would exercise some caution and be very skeptical of the form lines coming from Southwell over the last month unless the horses that have prevailed were to be facing bottomless ground. Or perhaps we are looking at a new standard of racing at Southwell.

Tuesday, April 16, 2013

Southwell All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 16th April 2013

16th April 2013 Southwell


The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

2:10 Binary Trends - Triple Your Investment Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 1m
100.3% * Solarmaite 98.9% (3)
98.8% Guishan
Pretty Prisca
Glacial Age
San Gabriel
Wadacre Sarko
Camilla De Rossi

Saturday, April 13, 2013

Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Saturday 13th April 2013

13th April 2013 Kempton Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

1:35 Betfred Mobile Sports/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes Cl4 5f
Dovil´s Duel
Meritocracy
Montaigne
Skye´s The Limit
Vodka Time
Fig Roll
Rough Courte

Friday, April 12, 2013

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Friday 12th April 2013

12th April 2013 Wolverhampton

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

5:50 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 5f216y
98.9% Jontleman
98.4% * Aljosan 97.7% (2)
96.9% Carrera
94.4% Mid Yorkshire Golf
Emjayem
Spirit Of Parkes
Kwanto

Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Friday 12th April 2013

12th April 2013 Lingfield Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

2:00 Bhest Racing To School Maiden Auction Stakes Cl6 5f
95.4% * Nomathemba
95.1% Brockholes Flyer 95.1% (1)
91.8% Smugglers Gold 91.8% (1)
Flying Kyte
Red Oasis
Bonnie Wee Lassie
Kidmenot
Under Your Thumb
Weisse Girl
Notnow Penny

Thursday, April 11, 2013

Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 11th April 2013

11th April 2013 Kempton Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

4:55 Mike The Knight 13.04.13 Classified Claiming Stakes Cl6 1m
101.7% * Mr Knightley 99.3% (5)
101.5% Officer In Command 100.5% (8)
101.2% Hurricane Spirit 100.6% (9)
99.2% Benandonner 101.0% (6)
97.4% Alhaban 100.2% (4)

Wednesday, April 10, 2013

Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Wednesday 10th April 2013

10th April 2013 Kempton Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

5:30 Family Fun With Mike The Knight Apprentice Handicap Cl6 1m2f
100.0% * Manomine 98.9% (1)
99.4% May´s Boy 100.5% (1)
99.3% * Stag Hill
98.9% Comedy House
98.9% James Pollard 98.9% (2)
98.7% Kingscombe
97.6% Handheld
96.0% Grace And Beauty

Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Wednesday 10th April 2013

10th April 2013 Lingfield Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

2:00 Your Guide To Lingfield At lingfieldracecoursetips.co.uk Handicap (Div I) Cl6 1m
100.9% Amber Moon 100.0% (4)
100.4% Teth 100.3% (2)
99.8% * Crucis Abbey
99.7% Archelao 98.9% (2)
99.0% Cuthbert 100.7% (3)
98.9% Titan Diamond 97.5% (2)
97.5% Indian Violet 98.5% (13)
96.7% I´m Harry
91.7% Baytown Bertie 95.3% (1)
90.8% Queenie´s Star 98.3% (3)

Tuesday, April 09, 2013

Southwell All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 9th April 2013

9th April 2013 Southwell

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

2:00 British Stallion Studs E.B.F 32Red.com Maiden Stakes Cl5 5f
Jaga Time
Split Rock
Claudia Octavia
Kitty Brown
Livia Drusilla

Monday, April 08, 2013

Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Monday 8th April 2013

8th April 2013 Kempton Park


The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

2:20 BetVictor.com Maiden Auction Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 5f
97.7% * Memory Styx
Alutiq
Princess Tamay
Hedge End
Luv U Honey
Evacusafe Lady
Honey Meadow
Iseemist