THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 26th March KEMPTON PARK- 27th March WOLVERHAMPTON- 29th March WOLVERHAMPTON - 30th March LINGFIELD PARK, KEMPTON PARK & SOUTHWELL - 31st March WOLVERHAMPTON & CHELMSFORD CITY - 1ST aPRIL LINGFIELD PARK & WOLVERHAMPTON - 2nd April KEMPTON PARK -

Lets paint a brighter picture for the future and the GREAT things to come.

Escaping with a small profit from Saturdays Wolverhampton card courtesy of SHYRON (advised at 5-2) was a little disappointing having surrendered our 100% record for the week with a woeful ride by Julie Burke on The Dukkerer in the previous race.

There was an air of disbelief as SHYRON fell out the stalls and was a good 6 lengths to the rear of its nearest rival after two furlongs. The consummate ease of the subsequent 2 length victory spoke volumes of the very generous opening 5-2 show and why SHYRON returned 4-6. If you are yet to see the race it is well worth watching.
Only fitting on a Sunday that I should stand on my soap box and preach once again why it is so important to get those opening shows. Finally, in the run Pyjama Day never looked good enough to beat Lawyer who relished the step up to 7f leaving us a mere .5 point in profit for the day in what has been a good week from the limited opportunities.

Lets paint a brighter picture for the future.

I have never viewed backing each way as a viable avenue in the long term, but over the past couple of weeks the work put in to overcome the Wolverhampton going issues has delivered what I belief will be a very profitable avenue to exploit.

I am not aware of any research in this area so once again believe I am the first to break runs down in terms of going and previous performances. Once again yesterday this highlighted a golden opportunity.


For those unfamiliar with the layout, in the chart above we have a breakdown of each horses performances on going from 3.00 fast (left) to -3.00 slow (right). Rather than the black box depicting the expecting going as in previous charts I have published on the blog, it is now depicting the average requirement of horses to win in this class, over this trip at Wolverhampton.

What immediate attracts the attention is the prominent figures within the box for both Kyle Of Bute and Count Ceprano. I took Kyle Of Bute to Place at 8-1 and although tempted, felt that taking Count Ceprano, available at similar odds was a step too far and perhaps a little greedy. Given the favourite Cantor was 3-1 and Scepticism 7-2, there is no doubt where the value was in the race.

Although Cantor won by a comfortable margin, Kyle Of Bute second at 25-1 and Count Ceprano 3rd at 28-1 provided a far better return and would have paid the same as a 16-1 winner.


Have a fun day today and enjoy a couple of days rest before we hit the track again mid-week.

Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Sunday, October 13, 2013

Lets paint a brighter picture for the future and the GREAT things to come.

Escaping with a small profit from Saturdays Wolverhampton card courtesy of SHYRON (advised at 5-2) was a little disappointing having surrendered our 100% record for the week with a woeful ride by Julie Burke on The Dukkerer in the previous race.

There was an air of disbelief as SHYRON fell out the stalls and was a good 6 lengths to the rear of its nearest rival after two furlongs. The consummate ease of the subsequent 2 length victory spoke volumes of the very generous opening 5-2 show and why SHYRON returned 4-6. If you are yet to see the race it is well worth watching.
Only fitting on a Sunday that I should stand on my soap box and preach once again why it is so important to get those opening shows. Finally, in the run Pyjama Day never looked good enough to beat Lawyer who relished the step up to 7f leaving us a mere .5 point in profit for the day in what has been a good week from the limited opportunities.

Lets paint a brighter picture for the future.

I have never viewed backing each way as a viable avenue in the long term, but over the past couple of weeks the work put in to overcome the Wolverhampton going issues has delivered what I belief will be a very profitable avenue to exploit.

I am not aware of any research in this area so once again believe I am the first to break runs down in terms of going and previous performances. Once again yesterday this highlighted a golden opportunity.


For those unfamiliar with the layout, in the chart above we have a breakdown of each horses performances on going from 3.00 fast (left) to -3.00 slow (right). Rather than the black box depicting the expecting going as in previous charts I have published on the blog, it is now depicting the average requirement of horses to win in this class, over this trip at Wolverhampton.

What immediate attracts the attention is the prominent figures within the box for both Kyle Of Bute and Count Ceprano. I took Kyle Of Bute to Place at 8-1 and although tempted, felt that taking Count Ceprano, available at similar odds was a step too far and perhaps a little greedy. Given the favourite Cantor was 3-1 and Scepticism 7-2, there is no doubt where the value was in the race.

Although Cantor won by a comfortable margin, Kyle Of Bute second at 25-1 and Count Ceprano 3rd at 28-1 provided a far better return and would have paid the same as a 16-1 winner.


Have a fun day today and enjoy a couple of days rest before we hit the track again mid-week.