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Horse Racing Tips: Lingfield Park 24th January 2012

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Lingfield Park racecourse on the afternoon of Wednesday 25th January 2012. A card of eight races is scheduled to begin at 12:50. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Lingfield Park is forecast to be cloudy. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.
Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

Lingfield Park (To view the 30 day draw data and running styles CLICK HERE)

12:50 Blue Square Winter Carnival iPhone App Maiden Stakes Cl5 6f
98.0% * Fugitive Motel 3RD 8-1
97.5% Sujet Bellagio 97.8% 1ST 5-4
97.3% Vale Of Lingfield 97.5%
96.7% Marinus 97.0%
Ginger Monkey
Piece Of Cake 2ND 5-1
Sugar Prince

1:20 Tandridge Claiming Stakes Cl6 1m
100.5% Opus Maximus 103.2%
100.1% Spinning Ridge 99.5%
100.0% Marajaa 102.0% 3RD 7-4
100.0% * Wishformore 99.4%
99.4% Red Somerset 100.3% 2ND 7-1
99.2% Munsarim 1ST 5-2
97.8% Sunnyside Tom

1:50 Lingfield Park Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 1m4f
102.2% * Tappanappa 1ST 2-11  OTM   TA   S+C   TH 
97.7% Danaher
96.8% Gay Gallivanter
Candelita 3RD 5-1
Red Shuttle 2ND 20-1

2:20 lingfieldpark.co.uk Handicap (Div I) Cl5 1m
100.7% * Prince Of Burma 1ST 2-1  S+C 
100.6% Grand Theft Equine
100.5% Full Bloom 100.3%
100.4% Woolston Ferry 95.9%
99.8% Hereford Boy 100.8% 3RD 11-2
99.4% Master Of Dance 99.7% 2ND 12-1
99.3% City Legend
99.0% Salient 100.0%
98.7% Cativo Cavallino 99.6%
98.2% Casual Mover 98.3%

2:50 lingfieldpark.co.uk Handicap (Div II) Cl5 1m
100.9% Hip Hip Hooray 99.2%
99.8% * Aquarian Spirit 101.2% 1ST 4-1  S+C 
99.7% The Happy Hammer 100.6% 2ND 3-1
99.6% Getcarter
99.4% Mishrif 100.3%
99.4% Junket
99.0% Tiradito 3RD 8-1
98.7% Northern Spy 100.1%

3:20 Hollow Lane Handicap Cl6 1m5f
101.1% Sumani 100.0%
99.3% * Manshoor 101.6%
99.2% Broughtons Bandit 2ND 14-1
99.2% Celtic Charlie 1ST 8-1
99.0% Satwa Ballerina
99.0% Farmers Hill
98.7% Prince Blue 99.2%
98.5% Vehement
98.4% Vertueux 99.7% 3RD 10-1

3:50 Exclusive Live Shows At bluesq.com Handicap Cl4 7f
101.0% Shifting Star 100.4% 1ST 13-2
101.0% * Chilli Green 99.8% 2ND 9-2
100.7% Tislaam
100.6% Dozy Joe 98.4%
100.3% Arctic Lynx 3RD 9-2
100.0% Piceno
99.3% Frequency 98.9%
99.0% Podgies Boy 99.4%

4:20 Play Bingo Free At bluesq.com Apprentice Handicap Cl6 7f
100.7% * Waterloo Dock 98.9%
99.9% Crocodile Bay 1ST 4-1
99.6% Ermyntrude 96.9%
99.0% Lovat Lane 3RD 9-1
98.6% Monadreen Dancer 96.2% 2ND 13-2
98.2% Jonnie Skull 99.9%


Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Hello The Actuary

I must admit it's the first time I've seen this thread & personally I don't get involved too much in all-weather racing but I must commend you on the tremendous effort you put in & clearly you have a great knowledge & understanding of all-weather racing. I am certain that loads off gg.com members are finding this to be incredibly useful & benefitting from your work and this again illustrates the strengths & qualities of gg.com - all members prepared & willing to put time & effort in with the aim of helping fellow members achieve betting success & improve their knowledge. You have clearly had some very good results with your work & I commend you for that as I am sure all my fellow gg.com members do. You commented on

"it being a very disappointing last week. if it teaches me anything it will be to take nothing for granted" -

Now you said you made a profit in October so there is no need to worry or feel disappointment at a poor last week because that is the way when you study in depth because you can spend hours working on something only for it to all go wrong in a couple of minutes in a football match or matter of seconds in a horse race - I spend hours studying my football selections each week & yet in recent weeks it has been very frustrating with some poor results but that is not down to me doing things wrong but more to do with the random nature of football dictating that ultimately anything can & will happen. Horse races & football matches are random events that however much we assess & how much detailed analysis we do, the ultimate event is completely out of our control & as you quite rightly said you can take nothing for granted - horses that look certain to win easy run poorly, teams that look certain to win 3 or 4-0 lose 1-0 - that is the nature of sport & that is the nature of betting.As I said, I think the work you are doing is very informative & useful to gg.com members, so on behalf of my fellow members, here is a gg.com salute for you to show our appreciation.

THE ACTUARY - WE SALUTE YOU!!!

All the best with your all-weather bets & if I am considering having a bet on the all-weather I will definitely look for your work first to help me make my mind up.

Tommy

Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Horse Racing Tips: Lingfield Park 24th January 2012

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Lingfield Park racecourse on the afternoon of Wednesday 25th January 2012. A card of eight races is scheduled to begin at 12:50. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Lingfield Park is forecast to be cloudy. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.
Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

Lingfield Park (To view the 30 day draw data and running styles CLICK HERE)

12:50 Blue Square Winter Carnival iPhone App Maiden Stakes Cl5 6f
98.0% * Fugitive Motel 3RD 8-1
97.5% Sujet Bellagio 97.8% 1ST 5-4
97.3% Vale Of Lingfield 97.5%
96.7% Marinus 97.0%
Ginger Monkey
Piece Of Cake 2ND 5-1
Sugar Prince

1:20 Tandridge Claiming Stakes Cl6 1m
100.5% Opus Maximus 103.2%
100.1% Spinning Ridge 99.5%
100.0% Marajaa 102.0% 3RD 7-4
100.0% * Wishformore 99.4%
99.4% Red Somerset 100.3% 2ND 7-1
99.2% Munsarim 1ST 5-2
97.8% Sunnyside Tom

1:50 Lingfield Park Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 1m4f
102.2% * Tappanappa 1ST 2-11  OTM   TA   S+C   TH 
97.7% Danaher
96.8% Gay Gallivanter
Candelita 3RD 5-1
Red Shuttle 2ND 20-1

2:20 lingfieldpark.co.uk Handicap (Div I) Cl5 1m
100.7% * Prince Of Burma 1ST 2-1  S+C 
100.6% Grand Theft Equine
100.5% Full Bloom 100.3%
100.4% Woolston Ferry 95.9%
99.8% Hereford Boy 100.8% 3RD 11-2
99.4% Master Of Dance 99.7% 2ND 12-1
99.3% City Legend
99.0% Salient 100.0%
98.7% Cativo Cavallino 99.6%
98.2% Casual Mover 98.3%

2:50 lingfieldpark.co.uk Handicap (Div II) Cl5 1m
100.9% Hip Hip Hooray 99.2%
99.8% * Aquarian Spirit 101.2% 1ST 4-1  S+C 
99.7% The Happy Hammer 100.6% 2ND 3-1
99.6% Getcarter
99.4% Mishrif 100.3%
99.4% Junket
99.0% Tiradito 3RD 8-1
98.7% Northern Spy 100.1%

3:20 Hollow Lane Handicap Cl6 1m5f
101.1% Sumani 100.0%
99.3% * Manshoor 101.6%
99.2% Broughtons Bandit 2ND 14-1
99.2% Celtic Charlie 1ST 8-1
99.0% Satwa Ballerina
99.0% Farmers Hill
98.7% Prince Blue 99.2%
98.5% Vehement
98.4% Vertueux 99.7% 3RD 10-1

3:50 Exclusive Live Shows At bluesq.com Handicap Cl4 7f
101.0% Shifting Star 100.4% 1ST 13-2
101.0% * Chilli Green 99.8% 2ND 9-2
100.7% Tislaam
100.6% Dozy Joe 98.4%
100.3% Arctic Lynx 3RD 9-2
100.0% Piceno
99.3% Frequency 98.9%
99.0% Podgies Boy 99.4%

4:20 Play Bingo Free At bluesq.com Apprentice Handicap Cl6 7f
100.7% * Waterloo Dock 98.9%
99.9% Crocodile Bay 1ST 4-1
99.6% Ermyntrude 96.9%
99.0% Lovat Lane 3RD 9-1
98.6% Monadreen Dancer 96.2% 2ND 13-2
98.2% Jonnie Skull 99.9%


Horse Racing - Trip Down Memory Lane

As there is no AWT racing until Monday 13th I decided to do some research and while thumbing through some old racing books found an old page from Raceform which bought back a great memory from my past carefully folded within the pages.
How attractive a proposition was Pipssalio. Still a Maiden after 4 outings, its 3 outings as a 2yo read beaten 16 lengths in Class 5 3k Novice, beaten 16 lengths in a Class 6 2k Maiden, Beaten 14 lengths in a Class 4 3k Maiden. 1 outing as a 3yo beaten ½ length in a Class 4 4k Handicap. Looked to be way out of its depth being entered in a Class 3 14k Handicap. Pipssalio was 10lb out of the handicap and the jockey (Francis Norton) was putting up 2lb over weight.

My speed figures told me a different story. In fact I can remember being so bullish I was nailing my colours to the mast on all the forums and to the Raceform. This for me was the outstanding bet of the following day, the outstanding bet of the week and of the month. I went to bed unable to sleep with anticipation for the following day fully confident I would be making a lot of money. As soon as I got up on the day of the race I started checking the prices to ensure the tissue given the evening before was correct. Pipssalio was still 20-1.

The time of the race had arrived and in horror I watched as Pipssalio fell out of the stalls. By the time they had reached half-way in the 1 mile contest it was flat to the boards well adrift of the rest of the field with Franny Norton rowing away and beating the horse to death!

My feelings at the time were partly embarrassment due to the comments I had made on various forums , partly anger and all confidence in my ability to create meaningful speed figures gone in 60 seconds but being the eternal optimist still a slither of hope.

With 2 furlongs to go Pipssalio started to reduce the gap. With a furlong to go the rest of the field started to paddle and Pipssalio appeared to have sprouted wings and was closing on the leaders at an unbelievable rate. As they flashed passed the post Franny Norton had driven Pipssalio between the two leaders to make a three way photo finish. Even though I believed Pipssalio had got there it was going to be on the nod. Pipssalio got the verdict beating 2nd Everest by a short-head who in turn had beaten 3rd Tumbleweed Tor by a short-head.

That is the margin between winning or losing. The difference between the feeling of abject failure and believing you can walk on water.