With CAPE SAFARI @ 7-4 for ON THE MONEY, THE ACTUARY and SPEED HANDICAP plus LADY SYLVIA @ 5-1 we should have a small profit for the day BUT we have been robbed by a 80p in the pound RULE 4!
The Marias, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY The Actuary, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY Speed & Class, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY Trip Handicap, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY
The profitablity of each subscription service above is taken from 1st October 2011 and is based upon £20 level stakes

IMPORTANT UPDATE

After a great deal of deliberation and numerous complaints from those paying subscription fees, the decision has been made that as of the 1st March 2012 access to the blog will be restricted to subscribers ONLY.

The basis behind the decision is two fold. Rightly or wrongly, many subscribers believe that the popularity of the site has affected the prices of winning selections and that horse being selected by the subscription services are transparent to non-subscription customers.

I would like to thank all those not in a position to pay the subscription fees for their past support and hope you understand this decision.

From 1st March 2012 subscribers will revert back to the process used during 2009 replying to my invitation email and login in using the email address provided at the time of subscribing.

Horse Racing Tips: Kempton Park 26th January 2012

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Kempton Park racecourse on the evening of Wednesday 26th January 2012. A card of eight races is scheduled to begin at 16:35. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Kempton Park is forecast to be partly cloudy. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

4:35 32Red Handicap Cl6 1m
100.7% Karate 99.6%
100.4% Isdaal 99.8%
100.3% Rezwaan 97.1% 1ST 7-1
99.6% * Qeethaara 100.3% 3RD 11-2
99.1% Storm Runner 98.1%
98.5% Dichoh 99.9%
98.0% Gordy Bee
97.4% Gallantry 100.1% 2ND 20-1
97.1% Pie Poudre
94.0% Unbreak My Heart 94.0%
91.9% Putin 98.0%
Sabys Gem

5:05 32Red.com Handicap Cl7 7f
99.1% Jackie Love 98.7% 3RD 15-2
98.9% * Fearless Poet 1ST 7-2
98.9% Bunkered Again
98.4% Kyncraighe 97.1%
98.1% Royal Acclamation 99.7% 2ND 4-1
98.0% Set To Go 97.2%
97.1% Magical Star 97.3%
96.5% Rise To Glory
96.2% Blazing Apostle 95.8%
94.0% Whats Your Story 95.1%

5:35 32Red Casino Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
100.1% * Mister Mackenzie
99.0% Kalokagathia 99.0% 2ND 16-5
99.0% Ashdown Lad 3RD 4-1
98.2% Remix
96.9% Yalding Dancer 96.6%
96.1% Fleeting Indian
Fairway To Heaven 1ST 11-2
Red Trump

6:05 £32 Free At 32Red.com Handicap Cl5 2m
100.4% * Blackmore 99.6% 2ND 7-2
99.7% Steady Gaze 100.7% 1ST 5-2  TH 
99.0% First Rock
98.6% Sunset Place
97.5% Leyte Gulf 98.5% 3RD 10-1
95.4% Opera Prince
Unex Picasso

6:35 32RedBet.com Handicap Cl5 1m4f
101.7% * Rasheed 102.3% 3RD 9-2
100.8% Magicalmysterytour
100.4% Bennelong 102.4%
100.0% Switched Off 101.1%
99.3% Rocky Rebel 1ST 4-1
99.0% Kames Park 99.2%
98.4% Kidlat 100.8%
97.6% Rowan Ridge 101.3% 2ND 8-1
97.3% Sand Skier 102.2%

7:05 Florence Moore Big Birthday Handicap Cl4 6f
101.5% * Requisite 100.3%
100.4% Rylee Mooch 98.4%
100.3% Bandstand 100.0%
100.3% Titus Gent 99.8%
100.3% Lujeanie 100.2%
99.9% Dasho 101.0% 3RD 12-1
99.7% Evelyn May 100.4%
99.2% Earlsmedic 100.7% 2ND 8-1
98.8% Whaileyy 1ST 11-2
98.6% Clear Praise 101.4%
98.1% Taajub 100.5%
96.5% Local Singer 98.3%

7:35 32RedPoker.com Handicap (Div I) Cl6 6f
99.6% * Rightcar 98.6% 1ST 3-1
99.1% * Prince Namid 99.6%
99.1% * Cut The Cackle 99.8% 2ND 3-1
99.0% Replicator 99.7%
98.9% Demoiselle Bond 98.0%
98.8% White Shift 98.9% 2ND 14-1
98.1% Microlight 98.3%
98.0% Mi Regalo 99.3%
98.0% Simple Rhythm 99.0%
95.9% C´Mon You Irons 98.9%
95.2% Fifth Auntie

8:05 32RedPoker.com Handicap (Div II) Cl6 6f
99.8% * Nacho Libre 3RD 10-11
99.1% Welcome Approach 99.8% 1ST 4-1
98.9% Metropolitan Chief 99.4%
98.4% Dingaan 99.9% 2ND 11-2
97.1% Green Warrior
96.1% Darwin Star 98.5%
94.7% Toms River Tess 99.0%


Hello The Actuary

I must admit it's the first time I've seen this thread & personally I don't get involved too much in all-weather racing but I must commend you on the tremendous effort you put in & clearly you have a great knowledge & understanding of all-weather racing. I am certain that loads off gg.com members are finding this to be incredibly useful & benefitting from your work and this again illustrates the strengths & qualities of gg.com - all members prepared & willing to put time & effort in with the aim of helping fellow members achieve betting success & improve their knowledge. You have clearly had some very good results with your work & I commend you for that as I am sure all my fellow gg.com members do. You commented on

"it being a very disappointing last week. if it teaches me anything it will be to take nothing for granted" -

Now you said you made a profit in October so there is no need to worry or feel disappointment at a poor last week because that is the way when you study in depth because you can spend hours working on something only for it to all go wrong in a couple of minutes in a football match or matter of seconds in a horse race - I spend hours studying my football selections each week & yet in recent weeks it has been very frustrating with some poor results but that is not down to me doing things wrong but more to do with the random nature of football dictating that ultimately anything can & will happen. Horse races & football matches are random events that however much we assess & how much detailed analysis we do, the ultimate event is completely out of our control & as you quite rightly said you can take nothing for granted - horses that look certain to win easy run poorly, teams that look certain to win 3 or 4-0 lose 1-0 - that is the nature of sport & that is the nature of betting.As I said, I think the work you are doing is very informative & useful to gg.com members, so on behalf of my fellow members, here is a gg.com salute for you to show our appreciation.

THE ACTUARY - WE SALUTE YOU!!!

All the best with your all-weather bets & if I am considering having a bet on the all-weather I will definitely look for your work first to help me make my mind up.

Tommy

Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Horse Racing Tips: Kempton Park 26th January 2012

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Kempton Park racecourse on the evening of Wednesday 26th January 2012. A card of eight races is scheduled to begin at 16:35. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Kempton Park is forecast to be partly cloudy. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

4:35 32Red Handicap Cl6 1m
100.7% Karate 99.6%
100.4% Isdaal 99.8%
100.3% Rezwaan 97.1% 1ST 7-1
99.6% * Qeethaara 100.3% 3RD 11-2
99.1% Storm Runner 98.1%
98.5% Dichoh 99.9%
98.0% Gordy Bee
97.4% Gallantry 100.1% 2ND 20-1
97.1% Pie Poudre
94.0% Unbreak My Heart 94.0%
91.9% Putin 98.0%
Sabys Gem

5:05 32Red.com Handicap Cl7 7f
99.1% Jackie Love 98.7% 3RD 15-2
98.9% * Fearless Poet 1ST 7-2
98.9% Bunkered Again
98.4% Kyncraighe 97.1%
98.1% Royal Acclamation 99.7% 2ND 4-1
98.0% Set To Go 97.2%
97.1% Magical Star 97.3%
96.5% Rise To Glory
96.2% Blazing Apostle 95.8%
94.0% Whats Your Story 95.1%

5:35 32Red Casino Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
100.1% * Mister Mackenzie
99.0% Kalokagathia 99.0% 2ND 16-5
99.0% Ashdown Lad 3RD 4-1
98.2% Remix
96.9% Yalding Dancer 96.6%
96.1% Fleeting Indian
Fairway To Heaven 1ST 11-2
Red Trump

6:05 £32 Free At 32Red.com Handicap Cl5 2m
100.4% * Blackmore 99.6% 2ND 7-2
99.7% Steady Gaze 100.7% 1ST 5-2  TH 
99.0% First Rock
98.6% Sunset Place
97.5% Leyte Gulf 98.5% 3RD 10-1
95.4% Opera Prince
Unex Picasso

6:35 32RedBet.com Handicap Cl5 1m4f
101.7% * Rasheed 102.3% 3RD 9-2
100.8% Magicalmysterytour
100.4% Bennelong 102.4%
100.0% Switched Off 101.1%
99.3% Rocky Rebel 1ST 4-1
99.0% Kames Park 99.2%
98.4% Kidlat 100.8%
97.6% Rowan Ridge 101.3% 2ND 8-1
97.3% Sand Skier 102.2%

7:05 Florence Moore Big Birthday Handicap Cl4 6f
101.5% * Requisite 100.3%
100.4% Rylee Mooch 98.4%
100.3% Bandstand 100.0%
100.3% Titus Gent 99.8%
100.3% Lujeanie 100.2%
99.9% Dasho 101.0% 3RD 12-1
99.7% Evelyn May 100.4%
99.2% Earlsmedic 100.7% 2ND 8-1
98.8% Whaileyy 1ST 11-2
98.6% Clear Praise 101.4%
98.1% Taajub 100.5%
96.5% Local Singer 98.3%

7:35 32RedPoker.com Handicap (Div I) Cl6 6f
99.6% * Rightcar 98.6% 1ST 3-1
99.1% * Prince Namid 99.6%
99.1% * Cut The Cackle 99.8% 2ND 3-1
99.0% Replicator 99.7%
98.9% Demoiselle Bond 98.0%
98.8% White Shift 98.9% 2ND 14-1
98.1% Microlight 98.3%
98.0% Mi Regalo 99.3%
98.0% Simple Rhythm 99.0%
95.9% C´Mon You Irons 98.9%
95.2% Fifth Auntie

8:05 32RedPoker.com Handicap (Div II) Cl6 6f
99.8% * Nacho Libre 3RD 10-11
99.1% Welcome Approach 99.8% 1ST 4-1
98.9% Metropolitan Chief 99.4%
98.4% Dingaan 99.9% 2ND 11-2
97.1% Green Warrior
96.1% Darwin Star 98.5%
94.7% Toms River Tess 99.0%


Posted by at 10:02 PM
Labels: , , , , ,
Horse Racing - Trip Down Memory Lane

As there is no AWT racing until Monday 13th I decided to do some research and while thumbing through some old racing books found an old page from Raceform which bought back a great memory from my past carefully folded within the pages.
How attractive a proposition was Pipssalio. Still a Maiden after 4 outings, its 3 outings as a 2yo read beaten 16 lengths in Class 5 3k Novice, beaten 16 lengths in a Class 6 2k Maiden, Beaten 14 lengths in a Class 4 3k Maiden. 1 outing as a 3yo beaten ½ length in a Class 4 4k Handicap. Looked to be way out of its depth being entered in a Class 3 14k Handicap. Pipssalio was 10lb out of the handicap and the jockey (Francis Norton) was putting up 2lb over weight.

My speed figures told me a different story. In fact I can remember being so bullish I was nailing my colours to the mast on all the forums and to the Raceform. This for me was the outstanding bet of the following day, the outstanding bet of the week and of the month. I went to bed unable to sleep with anticipation for the following day fully confident I would be making a lot of money. As soon as I got up on the day of the race I started checking the prices to ensure the tissue given the evening before was correct. Pipssalio was still 20-1.

The time of the race had arrived and in horror I watched as Pipssalio fell out of the stalls. By the time they had reached half-way in the 1 mile contest it was flat to the boards well adrift of the rest of the field with Franny Norton rowing away and beating the horse to death!

My feelings at the time were partly embarrassment due to the comments I had made on various forums , partly anger and all confidence in my ability to create meaningful speed figures gone in 60 seconds but being the eternal optimist still a slither of hope.

With 2 furlongs to go Pipssalio started to reduce the gap. With a furlong to go the rest of the field started to paddle and Pipssalio appeared to have sprouted wings and was closing on the leaders at an unbelievable rate. As they flashed passed the post Franny Norton had driven Pipssalio between the two leaders to make a three way photo finish. Even though I believed Pipssalio had got there it was going to be on the nod. Pipssalio got the verdict beating 2nd Everest by a short-head who in turn had beaten 3rd Tumbleweed Tor by a short-head.

That is the margin between winning or losing. The difference between the feeling of abject failure and believing you can walk on water.