A strange day with some strange rides!
The Marias, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY The Actuary, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY Speed & Class, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY Trip Handicap, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY
The profitablity of each subscription service above is taken from 1st October 2011 and is based upon £20 level stakes

IMPORTANT UPDATE

After a great deal of deliberation and numerous complaints from those paying subscription fees, the decision has been made that as of the 1st March 2012 access to the daily speed figures will be restricted to subscribers ONLY.

The basis behind the decision is two fold. Rightly or wrongly, many subscribers believe that the popularity of the site has affected the prices of winning selections, also that horse being selected by the subscription services are transparent through the blog to non-subscription customers.

I apologise to non subscription readers and would like to thank all those not in a position to pay the subscription fees for their past support and hope you understand this decision.

From 1st March 2012 subscribers will revert back to the process used during 2009 replying to my invitation email and login in using the email address provided at the time of subscribing.

Horse Racing Tips: Kempton Park 24th January 2012

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Kempton Park racecourse on the evening of Wednesday 25th January 2012. A card of seven races is scheduled to begin at 16:40. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Kempton Park is forecast to be light rain. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

4:40 Free Entry For Betdaq Members Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 7f
98.5% * Jellicle 99.2% 1ST 11-10
97.4% Chatterati 97.5% 2ND 4-1
96.6% Jolie Etoile
96.0% Queen Of Heaven
94.7% Jacasa Too
Barbarella Blue 3RD 9-4
Roundelay

5:10 Betdaq Multiples Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m3f
101.4% * Hawawi 2ND 11-8
97.7% Lyrical Gangster
97.6% Stars In Your Eyes 3RD 5-2
96.5% Finlodex
93.3% Midnight Sequel
Midnight Opera
Queen Of Denmark 1ST 7-2

5:40 Back Or Lay At betdaq.com Handicap Cl6 1m
99.7% * Monashee Rock 100.6%
99.0% Daniel Thomas 100.7% 1ST 9-2
99.0% Renoir´s Lady
98.5% Sir Ike 100.1%
98.5% Gazboolou 100.2%
98.0% Querido 98.7% 3RD 8-1
97.6% Ain´t Talkin´ 98.4%
97.6% Very Well Red 98.9%
97.4% Emerald Royal 2ND 20-1
96.7% Ragda

6:10 Betdaq Mobile Apps Handicap Cl6 1m
99.2% * My Scat Daddy
98.0% Ice Loch
98.0% Auntie Kathryn 98.0%
97.4% Siouxies Dream 98.2% 2ND 10-1
97.0% Liquid Sunshine 1ST 16-1
97.0% Meet Joe Black 99.2% 3RD 9-1
96.6% Bellinda 94.9%
96.1% Gabrial The Prince 96.1%
96.0% Can Do Les 97.7%
95.4% Rainbow Riches
94.6% L´Arlesienne
90.6% Luna Vale 89.6%

6:40 skysports.com Handicap Cl4 6f
101.0% * Pale Orchid 98.7% 1ST 3-1
100.9% Dark Castle 101.1% 2ND 8-13
99.5% Taffe 99.5%
98.7% Waseem Faris 99.6% 3RD 12-1
98.5% Worth 99.0%
96.0% Roy´s Legacy

7:10 Ellen Westcott Memorial Handicap Cl6 1m4f
100.7% * Sovento 101.3% 3RD DH
100.7% Valmari 98.8%
100.1% Time Square 101.2%
99.0% Shirataki 98.7% 3RD DH 11-4
98.7% Honourable Knight 101.0% 1ST 4-1
98.1% Bin End 99.9%
98.0% Beggers Belief 2ND 8-1
97.8% Jamarjo 101.2%
97.3% The Snorer 98.7%
96.9% Irish Jugger 99.2%
95.7% Ayaarah

7:40 skysports.com Racing Handicap Cl7 6f
99.8% * Avonvalley 98.7% 3RD 13-2
99.1% Pharoh Jake 95.2%
99.1% Suhayl Star 97.5%
98.8% Jemimaville 98.6%
98.7% Royal Envoy 99.5% 1ST 8-1
98.1% All About You 97.3%
98.1% Muktasb 99.9%
98.1% Raimond Ridge 98.2%
98.1% Cara Carmela 99.0%
96.8% Slatey Hen 98.6% 2ND 10-1
96.3% Wee Buns 95.6%


Hello The Actuary

I must admit it's the first time I've seen this thread & personally I don't get involved too much in all-weather racing but I must commend you on the tremendous effort you put in & clearly you have a great knowledge & understanding of all-weather racing. I am certain that loads off gg.com members are finding this to be incredibly useful & benefitting from your work and this again illustrates the strengths & qualities of gg.com - all members prepared & willing to put time & effort in with the aim of helping fellow members achieve betting success & improve their knowledge. You have clearly had some very good results with your work & I commend you for that as I am sure all my fellow gg.com members do. You commented on

"it being a very disappointing last week. if it teaches me anything it will be to take nothing for granted" -

Now you said you made a profit in October so there is no need to worry or feel disappointment at a poor last week because that is the way when you study in depth because you can spend hours working on something only for it to all go wrong in a couple of minutes in a football match or matter of seconds in a horse race - I spend hours studying my football selections each week & yet in recent weeks it has been very frustrating with some poor results but that is not down to me doing things wrong but more to do with the random nature of football dictating that ultimately anything can & will happen. Horse races & football matches are random events that however much we assess & how much detailed analysis we do, the ultimate event is completely out of our control & as you quite rightly said you can take nothing for granted - horses that look certain to win easy run poorly, teams that look certain to win 3 or 4-0 lose 1-0 - that is the nature of sport & that is the nature of betting.As I said, I think the work you are doing is very informative & useful to gg.com members, so on behalf of my fellow members, here is a gg.com salute for you to show our appreciation.

THE ACTUARY - WE SALUTE YOU!!!

All the best with your all-weather bets & if I am considering having a bet on the all-weather I will definitely look for your work first to help me make my mind up.

Tommy

Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Horse Racing Tips: Kempton Park 24th January 2012

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Kempton Park racecourse on the evening of Wednesday 25th January 2012. A card of seven races is scheduled to begin at 16:40. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Kempton Park is forecast to be light rain. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

4:40 Free Entry For Betdaq Members Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 7f
98.5% * Jellicle 99.2% 1ST 11-10
97.4% Chatterati 97.5% 2ND 4-1
96.6% Jolie Etoile
96.0% Queen Of Heaven
94.7% Jacasa Too
Barbarella Blue 3RD 9-4
Roundelay

5:10 Betdaq Multiples Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m3f
101.4% * Hawawi 2ND 11-8
97.7% Lyrical Gangster
97.6% Stars In Your Eyes 3RD 5-2
96.5% Finlodex
93.3% Midnight Sequel
Midnight Opera
Queen Of Denmark 1ST 7-2

5:40 Back Or Lay At betdaq.com Handicap Cl6 1m
99.7% * Monashee Rock 100.6%
99.0% Daniel Thomas 100.7% 1ST 9-2
99.0% Renoir´s Lady
98.5% Sir Ike 100.1%
98.5% Gazboolou 100.2%
98.0% Querido 98.7% 3RD 8-1
97.6% Ain´t Talkin´ 98.4%
97.6% Very Well Red 98.9%
97.4% Emerald Royal 2ND 20-1
96.7% Ragda

6:10 Betdaq Mobile Apps Handicap Cl6 1m
99.2% * My Scat Daddy
98.0% Ice Loch
98.0% Auntie Kathryn 98.0%
97.4% Siouxies Dream 98.2% 2ND 10-1
97.0% Liquid Sunshine 1ST 16-1
97.0% Meet Joe Black 99.2% 3RD 9-1
96.6% Bellinda 94.9%
96.1% Gabrial The Prince 96.1%
96.0% Can Do Les 97.7%
95.4% Rainbow Riches
94.6% L´Arlesienne
90.6% Luna Vale 89.6%

6:40 skysports.com Handicap Cl4 6f
101.0% * Pale Orchid 98.7% 1ST 3-1
100.9% Dark Castle 101.1% 2ND 8-13
99.5% Taffe 99.5%
98.7% Waseem Faris 99.6% 3RD 12-1
98.5% Worth 99.0%
96.0% Roy´s Legacy

7:10 Ellen Westcott Memorial Handicap Cl6 1m4f
100.7% * Sovento 101.3% 3RD DH
100.7% Valmari 98.8%
100.1% Time Square 101.2%
99.0% Shirataki 98.7% 3RD DH 11-4
98.7% Honourable Knight 101.0% 1ST 4-1
98.1% Bin End 99.9%
98.0% Beggers Belief 2ND 8-1
97.8% Jamarjo 101.2%
97.3% The Snorer 98.7%
96.9% Irish Jugger 99.2%
95.7% Ayaarah

7:40 skysports.com Racing Handicap Cl7 6f
99.8% * Avonvalley 98.7% 3RD 13-2
99.1% Pharoh Jake 95.2%
99.1% Suhayl Star 97.5%
98.8% Jemimaville 98.6%
98.7% Royal Envoy 99.5% 1ST 8-1
98.1% All About You 97.3%
98.1% Muktasb 99.9%
98.1% Raimond Ridge 98.2%
98.1% Cara Carmela 99.0%
96.8% Slatey Hen 98.6% 2ND 10-1
96.3% Wee Buns 95.6%


Posted by at 9:14 PM
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Horse Racing - Trip Down Memory Lane

As there is no AWT racing until Monday 13th I decided to do some research and while thumbing through some old racing books found an old page from Raceform which bought back a great memory from my past carefully folded within the pages.
How attractive a proposition was Pipssalio. Still a Maiden after 4 outings, its 3 outings as a 2yo read beaten 16 lengths in Class 5 3k Novice, beaten 16 lengths in a Class 6 2k Maiden, Beaten 14 lengths in a Class 4 3k Maiden. 1 outing as a 3yo beaten ½ length in a Class 4 4k Handicap. Looked to be way out of its depth being entered in a Class 3 14k Handicap. Pipssalio was 10lb out of the handicap and the jockey (Francis Norton) was putting up 2lb over weight.

My speed figures told me a different story. In fact I can remember being so bullish I was nailing my colours to the mast on all the forums and to the Raceform. This for me was the outstanding bet of the following day, the outstanding bet of the week and of the month. I went to bed unable to sleep with anticipation for the following day fully confident I would be making a lot of money. As soon as I got up on the day of the race I started checking the prices to ensure the tissue given the evening before was correct. Pipssalio was still 20-1.

The time of the race had arrived and in horror I watched as Pipssalio fell out of the stalls. By the time they had reached half-way in the 1 mile contest it was flat to the boards well adrift of the rest of the field with Franny Norton rowing away and beating the horse to death!

My feelings at the time were partly embarrassment due to the comments I had made on various forums , partly anger and all confidence in my ability to create meaningful speed figures gone in 60 seconds but being the eternal optimist still a slither of hope.

With 2 furlongs to go Pipssalio started to reduce the gap. With a furlong to go the rest of the field started to paddle and Pipssalio appeared to have sprouted wings and was closing on the leaders at an unbelievable rate. As they flashed passed the post Franny Norton had driven Pipssalio between the two leaders to make a three way photo finish. Even though I believed Pipssalio had got there it was going to be on the nod. Pipssalio got the verdict beating 2nd Everest by a short-head who in turn had beaten 3rd Tumbleweed Tor by a short-head.

That is the margin between winning or losing. The difference between the feeling of abject failure and believing you can walk on water.