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Horse Racing Tips: Southwell 24th January 2012

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Southwell racecourse on the afternoon of Tuesday 24th January 2012. A card of seven races is scheduled to begin at 13:20. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Southwell is forecast to be rain. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.
Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

Southwell (To view the 30 day draw data and running styles CLICK HERE)

1:20 Bet At Blue Square Maiden Stakes Cl5 6f
95.7% * Coral Sands 97.2% 3RD 25-1
Abi Scarlet 1ST 25-1
Derivatives 2ND 4-11
Adili
Magilini
Mayforde Jack
Release The Funds

1:50 Membership of Southwell Golf Club Selling Stakes Cl6 7f
101.3% Fishforcompliments 100.7% 3RD 15-8
100.8% * Ingleby Arch 99.9% 1ST 7-4  OTM   TA   TH   S+C 
99.0% Imprimis Tagula 100.5%
98.5% Ace Of Spies 99.1%
97.3% Fantasy Fry 97.6% 2ND 14-1
95.8% Apassionforfashion 95.2%
88.3% Countrycraft 95.7%

2:20 Golf And Racing At Southwell Handicap Cl4 1m4f
100.5% Tartan Gunna
100.2% Mazij 102.3% 3RD 7-2
99.9% Majuro
99.6% Chookie Hamilton 95.9%
99.3% * Bivouac 100.6%
98.3% The Lock Master 2ND 7-2
Admirable Duque 1ST 16-1
Bedouin Bay
Ivory Jazz
Rock Of Deauville
Union Island

2:50 Download The Blue Square Bet App Handicap Cl2 5f
102.6% Sir Geoffrey 101.1%
101.6% Even Stevens 102.4% 3RD 13-8
101.5% * Cadeaux Pearl 99.9%
101.2% Mottley Crewe 102.3% 2ND 6-1
99.8% Alpha Tauri 89.7%
98.5% Close To The Edge 98.5%
Woolfall Sovereign 1ST 7-1
Colonel Mak
West Coast Dream

3:20 Play Golf Before Racing Handicap Cl6 1m
100.9% * Vitznau 102.3%
99.1% General Tufto 99.7%
99.1% Jo Boy 99.3% 3RD 4-1
99.0% Elhamri
97.9% Hilbre Court 100.8%
97.0% Fluctuation 99.1% 1ST 11-2
96.7% Stansonnit 100.3%
96.1% Valley Tiger 96.8%
94.1% Master Leon 99.4%
93.1% Pipers Piping 2ND 14-1
Hecton Lad
Ryedale Dancer
Symphonic Dancer
The Which Doctor

3:50 Follow Southwell On Twitter Handicap Cl6 1m
99.3% Cat Queen
99.2% * Miss Cato 101.2% 1ST 4-1
95.9% First Bid 3RD 10-1
95.3% Angel Cake 98.4%
Moataz 2ND 4-7
Seven Year Itch

4:20 Play Rainbow Riches At bluesq.com Handicap Cl6 6f
99.3% * Gracie´s Gift 99.3% 3RD 7-1
99.0% Takajan 98.9%
99.0% Transmit 100.0%
98.5% Bird Dog 98.4%
98.4% Dancing Wave 96.6%
98.3% Ridgeway Hawk 98.4% 1ST 15-2
95.7% Flow Chart 97.7% 2ND 25-1
95.0% Musical Leap 94.5%
93.5% Athenian Garden
Fayre Bella
First In Command
Jaldarshaan


Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Hello The Actuary

I must admit it's the first time I've seen this thread & personally I don't get involved too much in all-weather racing but I must commend you on the tremendous effort you put in & clearly you have a great knowledge & understanding of all-weather racing. I am certain that loads off gg.com members are finding this to be incredibly useful & benefitting from your work and this again illustrates the strengths & qualities of gg.com - all members prepared & willing to put time & effort in with the aim of helping fellow members achieve betting success & improve their knowledge. You have clearly had some very good results with your work & I commend you for that as I am sure all my fellow gg.com members do. You commented on

"it being a very disappointing last week. if it teaches me anything it will be to take nothing for granted" -

Now you said you made a profit in October so there is no need to worry or feel disappointment at a poor last week because that is the way when you study in depth because you can spend hours working on something only for it to all go wrong in a couple of minutes in a football match or matter of seconds in a horse race - I spend hours studying my football selections each week & yet in recent weeks it has been very frustrating with some poor results but that is not down to me doing things wrong but more to do with the random nature of football dictating that ultimately anything can & will happen. Horse races & football matches are random events that however much we assess & how much detailed analysis we do, the ultimate event is completely out of our control & as you quite rightly said you can take nothing for granted - horses that look certain to win easy run poorly, teams that look certain to win 3 or 4-0 lose 1-0 - that is the nature of sport & that is the nature of betting.As I said, I think the work you are doing is very informative & useful to gg.com members, so on behalf of my fellow members, here is a gg.com salute for you to show our appreciation.

THE ACTUARY - WE SALUTE YOU!!!

All the best with your all-weather bets & if I am considering having a bet on the all-weather I will definitely look for your work first to help me make my mind up.

Tommy

Monday, January 23, 2012

Horse Racing Tips: Southwell 24th January 2012

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Southwell racecourse on the afternoon of Tuesday 24th January 2012. A card of seven races is scheduled to begin at 13:20. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Southwell is forecast to be rain. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.
Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

Southwell (To view the 30 day draw data and running styles CLICK HERE)

1:20 Bet At Blue Square Maiden Stakes Cl5 6f
95.7% * Coral Sands 97.2% 3RD 25-1
Abi Scarlet 1ST 25-1
Derivatives 2ND 4-11
Adili
Magilini
Mayforde Jack
Release The Funds

1:50 Membership of Southwell Golf Club Selling Stakes Cl6 7f
101.3% Fishforcompliments 100.7% 3RD 15-8
100.8% * Ingleby Arch 99.9% 1ST 7-4  OTM   TA   TH   S+C 
99.0% Imprimis Tagula 100.5%
98.5% Ace Of Spies 99.1%
97.3% Fantasy Fry 97.6% 2ND 14-1
95.8% Apassionforfashion 95.2%
88.3% Countrycraft 95.7%

2:20 Golf And Racing At Southwell Handicap Cl4 1m4f
100.5% Tartan Gunna
100.2% Mazij 102.3% 3RD 7-2
99.9% Majuro
99.6% Chookie Hamilton 95.9%
99.3% * Bivouac 100.6%
98.3% The Lock Master 2ND 7-2
Admirable Duque 1ST 16-1
Bedouin Bay
Ivory Jazz
Rock Of Deauville
Union Island

2:50 Download The Blue Square Bet App Handicap Cl2 5f
102.6% Sir Geoffrey 101.1%
101.6% Even Stevens 102.4% 3RD 13-8
101.5% * Cadeaux Pearl 99.9%
101.2% Mottley Crewe 102.3% 2ND 6-1
99.8% Alpha Tauri 89.7%
98.5% Close To The Edge 98.5%
Woolfall Sovereign 1ST 7-1
Colonel Mak
West Coast Dream

3:20 Play Golf Before Racing Handicap Cl6 1m
100.9% * Vitznau 102.3%
99.1% General Tufto 99.7%
99.1% Jo Boy 99.3% 3RD 4-1
99.0% Elhamri
97.9% Hilbre Court 100.8%
97.0% Fluctuation 99.1% 1ST 11-2
96.7% Stansonnit 100.3%
96.1% Valley Tiger 96.8%
94.1% Master Leon 99.4%
93.1% Pipers Piping 2ND 14-1
Hecton Lad
Ryedale Dancer
Symphonic Dancer
The Which Doctor

3:50 Follow Southwell On Twitter Handicap Cl6 1m
99.3% Cat Queen
99.2% * Miss Cato 101.2% 1ST 4-1
95.9% First Bid 3RD 10-1
95.3% Angel Cake 98.4%
Moataz 2ND 4-7
Seven Year Itch

4:20 Play Rainbow Riches At bluesq.com Handicap Cl6 6f
99.3% * Gracie´s Gift 99.3% 3RD 7-1
99.0% Takajan 98.9%
99.0% Transmit 100.0%
98.5% Bird Dog 98.4%
98.4% Dancing Wave 96.6%
98.3% Ridgeway Hawk 98.4% 1ST 15-2
95.7% Flow Chart 97.7% 2ND 25-1
95.0% Musical Leap 94.5%
93.5% Athenian Garden
Fayre Bella
First In Command
Jaldarshaan


Posted by at 9:22 PM
Labels: , , , , ,
Horse Racing - Trip Down Memory Lane

As there is no AWT racing until Monday 13th I decided to do some research and while thumbing through some old racing books found an old page from Raceform which bought back a great memory from my past carefully folded within the pages.
How attractive a proposition was Pipssalio. Still a Maiden after 4 outings, its 3 outings as a 2yo read beaten 16 lengths in Class 5 3k Novice, beaten 16 lengths in a Class 6 2k Maiden, Beaten 14 lengths in a Class 4 3k Maiden. 1 outing as a 3yo beaten ½ length in a Class 4 4k Handicap. Looked to be way out of its depth being entered in a Class 3 14k Handicap. Pipssalio was 10lb out of the handicap and the jockey (Francis Norton) was putting up 2lb over weight.

My speed figures told me a different story. In fact I can remember being so bullish I was nailing my colours to the mast on all the forums and to the Raceform. This for me was the outstanding bet of the following day, the outstanding bet of the week and of the month. I went to bed unable to sleep with anticipation for the following day fully confident I would be making a lot of money. As soon as I got up on the day of the race I started checking the prices to ensure the tissue given the evening before was correct. Pipssalio was still 20-1.

The time of the race had arrived and in horror I watched as Pipssalio fell out of the stalls. By the time they had reached half-way in the 1 mile contest it was flat to the boards well adrift of the rest of the field with Franny Norton rowing away and beating the horse to death!

My feelings at the time were partly embarrassment due to the comments I had made on various forums , partly anger and all confidence in my ability to create meaningful speed figures gone in 60 seconds but being the eternal optimist still a slither of hope.

With 2 furlongs to go Pipssalio started to reduce the gap. With a furlong to go the rest of the field started to paddle and Pipssalio appeared to have sprouted wings and was closing on the leaders at an unbelievable rate. As they flashed passed the post Franny Norton had driven Pipssalio between the two leaders to make a three way photo finish. Even though I believed Pipssalio had got there it was going to be on the nod. Pipssalio got the verdict beating 2nd Everest by a short-head who in turn had beaten 3rd Tumbleweed Tor by a short-head.

That is the margin between winning or losing. The difference between the feeling of abject failure and believing you can walk on water.