| 31st October 2014 Dundalk | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 5:40 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden 5f | |||||||||
| 98.7% | * | Sassy But Classy | 77 | 98.7% | (1) | ||||
| 98.0% | Daisy Bell | ||||||||
| 97.7% | Mc Diamond | 97.7% | (1) | ||||||
| 97.1% | Well Done Me | 97.1% | (1) | ||||||
| 95.4% | Ginger Muffin | ||||||||
| 94.9% | Coral Cluster | ||||||||
| Sakhees Jack | |||||||||
| Three Colours Red | |||||||||
| Zunera | |||||||||
Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 31st October 2014
Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 31st October 2014
| 31st October 2014 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 4:25 Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta) (Div I) Cl5 1m141y | |||||||||
| 103.0% | * | Tayma | ❸ | ||||||
| 100.8% | Zaeem | 58 | 100.3% | (1) | |||||
| 100.5% | Toto Skyllachy | ||||||||
| 100.4% | Set The Trend | ||||||||
| 99.4% | Mysterial | ❷ | |||||||
| 99.3% | Glennten | 65 | 99.8% | (1) | |||||
| 98.4% | Rakaan | 85 | |||||||
| 97.7% | Steel Stockholder | ||||||||
| 96.8% | Gambino | ||||||||
| Tahaf | |||||||||
The 4yo last seen on this surface 750 days ago in a 2yo Nursery
The passing of All Weather Horsing Racings 25th
Anniversary, although moderately successful by Octobers standards generally, will not last long in my memory.
The success of Pour La Victoire (opened 10-3) in the 4:20 Lingfield Park and 2
points New Colours (opened 13-8) in the 4:30 Kempton Park tipped the balance in
our favour after earlier failures.
It was the win of Steelriver (opened 9-1) 5:30 Kempton Park that
gave us the assurance of a profitable day before being reminded of the previous
two days of post-hitting when Tigers Tail (opened 14-1) and Rocky’s Pride
(opened 14-1) in the 6:30 and 7:30 Kempton Park repeated the feat when finishing 2nd in their respective races!
Two jockeys that will have fonder memories of the day will
be Shane Kelly and Alan Kirby, both riding across the card trebles.
If there was an unlucky performance to take out of the day
it would undoubtedly be Miss Marjurie in the Lingfield Park 3:20. Towards the
rear of the pack for the vast majority of the 1m 5f trip, Miss Marjurie and Pat
Cosgrave made a few unsuccessful attempts to extract themselves from a pocket
on the rail. Once able to switch out and deliver a challenge well into the
straight, Miss Marjurie finished fast enough to gobble up all but the winner
Hidden Gold to finish second by an ever decreasing 1.1/4 lengths.
The last time Miss Marjurie was seen on this surface was 750 days ago in a 2yo Nursery back in October 2013 but there is no doubt that a first
win on the All Weather is not far away if connections can find a similar
opportunity. The time recorded by Hidden Gold was the best performance on the
day at Lingfield Park making the performance of Miss Marjurie even more
noteworthy and one for the tracker. Unfortunately I doubt we will be seeing the 25-1 SP returned yesterday repeated on its next outing.
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Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 30th October 2014
| 30th October 2014 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 4:30 Come Jump Racing At Kempton 03.11.14 Selling Stakes Cl6 1m3f | |||||||||
| 100.6% | * | New Colours | |||||||
| 98.2% | Emperor Ferdinand | ||||||||
| 97.4% | Les Gar Gan | ❶ | |||||||
| 95.8% | Worcharlie´slass | ||||||||
Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 30th October 2014
| 30th October 2014 Lingfield Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 12:50 32Red Casino/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies´ Stakes (Bobis Race) (Div I) Cl5 7f1y | |||||||||
| 99.4% | * | Vixen Hill | ❶ | ||||||
| 98.3% | Lady Hare | ||||||||
| 96.6% | Makramah | ❷ | |||||||
| Colorada | |||||||||
| Crystal Zvezda | ❶ | ||||||||
| Farletti | |||||||||
| Fine View | |||||||||
| Nancy Astor | ❶ | ||||||||
| Regal Ways | |||||||||
| Rock Heroine | |||||||||
| Sweet Persuasion | ❶ | ||||||||
Dont let it be a dire day on the 25th Anniversary of All Weather Horse Racing!
On every front, the events of the week to date have been
pretty miserable. While recharging the batteries in readiness for the onslaught
of the All Weather Horse Racing season proper, to receive the news that a close
family friend 10 years my junior had passed away. To then arrive back to the UK
after enjoying the summer temperatures of the Rambla de Oria to pouring rain yesterday
was perhaps to be expected.
I was hopeful that after the extraordinary bad luck we
suffered on Tuesday evening at Wolverhampton would all be put to rest at
Kempton Park. Most notably, the narrow defeat of Pimm Street (8-1) who I was convinced had won! and 2 point
selection Lyfka who was almost bought down in the straight and never able to
recover to mount a challenge.
Unfortunately all we achieved was to rack up more placed
horses: Sabre Rock (3rd 8-1), Amood (2nd 5-1), Footstepsintherain
(3rd 10-1), Tabjeel (2nd 85-40) and Set The Trend (2nd 3-1). Perhaps we are paying for the earlier great successes of October and
given the narrow margins of defeat of several selections over the past 2 days I
feel not adding to the tally over the last couple of days in Octiber would be
an injustice.
More of a tragedy would be if we can’t remember such an
auspicious day, as we celebrate 25 years of All Weather Horse Racing, (and I am
old enough to remember that first All Weather meeting back in October 1989) by
rowing in with some nice priced winners.
To put the growth of All Weather Horse Racing in to
perspective, it now accounts for 20% of British racing. We have also seen the
quality of horse racing on artificial surfaces improving dramatically with
Group races now taking place and the likes of Aidan O’Brien using Southwell and
Lingfield Park to test Giant’s Causeway, Galileo, Hawk Wing and Rock of
Gibraltar.
While the UK public still stigmatise racing on an artificial
surface, some of the best races in the world, in Dubai and America are run on
the all-weather and nearly ALL trainers work their horses on the surface.
Like it or loathe it, all-weather is here to stay.
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Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 29th October 2014
| 29th October 2014 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 4:55 Book Christmas Festival Tickets Now Handicap (Div I) Cl6 1m2f | |||||||||
| 101.4% | Coillte Cailin | 65 | ❶ | ||||||
| 100.7% | Snow Conditions | ❶ | |||||||
| 100.5% | * | Assoluta | 96.7% | (1) | ❶ | ||||
| 100.4% | Sabre Rock | 100.0% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 100.4% | Mr Fickle | 99.8% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 100.3% | Warden Bond | 52 | 100.5% | (3) | ❶ | ||||
| 99.4% | Gentlemax | ||||||||
| 99.3% | Brave Decision | 53 | 99.9% | (3) | ❷ | ||||
| 97.7% | Always Resolute | ||||||||
| Highsalvia Cosmos | ❶ | ||||||||
Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 28th October 2014
| 28th October 2014 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 4:40 Download The Free App @ Bookies.com Handicap (Tapeta) (Div I) Cl6 5f20y | |||||||||
| 100.2% | * | Warm Order | 48 | 100.2% | (1) | ||||
| 99.6% | * | Your Gifted | 57 | 99.8% | (3) | ||||
| 99.2% | Danzoe | 63 | 99.4% | (2) | ❷ | ||||
| 98.9% | Lizzy´s Dream | 47 | ❾ | ||||||
| 98.9% | Lazy Sioux | 46 | 98.9% | (1) | |||||
| 98.7% | Interchoice Star | 56 | 98.3% | (1) | |||||
| 98.5% | Play The Blues | 45 | |||||||
| 98.2% | Dream Sika | 50 | 98.9% | (3) | ❸ | ||||
| 97.7% | Little Briar Rose | 99.6% | (1) | ||||||
| 97.7% | On The High Tops | ❷ | |||||||
| 93.8% | Ichimoku | ❺ | |||||||
Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 25th October 2014
| 25th October 2014 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 5:45 Get Live Score Updates @ Footballscores.com Nursery Handicap (Tapeta) Cl6 5f20y | |||||||||
| 98.1% | * | Sparbrook | 59 | ||||||
| 97.8% | Most Tempting | 55 | ❺ | ||||||
| 97.5% | Sky Steps | ||||||||
| 97.3% | Jimmy´s Girl | 57 | 95.6% | (1) | ❶ | ||||
| 96.8% | Don Ricardo | ||||||||
| 96.7% | Kylies Wild Card | ||||||||
| 96.5% | Air Of York | ❸ | |||||||
| 95.2% | Junior Ben | 96.3% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 94.7% | Macarthurs Park | 94.4% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 94.5% | Featsdontfailmenow | ||||||||
| Penalty Scorer | |||||||||
| Lydiate Lady | |||||||||
| Toni´s A Star | |||||||||
More big priced winners and more selections.
In a magnificent week with double digit winners at 50-1,
22-1, 20-1, and last night rowing in with an 11-1 winner to add to the haul,
the number one question from subscribers this week relates to the increase in
the number of races carrying multiple selections for the ‘On The Money’ method.
Last night was no exception with one race carrying 2
selections (7:20) and one race (8:50) carrying three selections. It was the 8:50
which provided us with Innoko @ 11-1 with another of the selections Bridge That
Gap (8-1) finishing 2nd. The race is an excellent example of why there
has been a slight shift in the selection process.
Of all the four methods of selection the margins for ‘On The
Money’ are the finest. What has been noticeable over the years (since 2008) is
that all too frequently we are missing out on winners, in most cases big priced
winners, by very narrow margins in selecting only the top qualifying horse.
With a qualifying score of 20% (what this relates to is
irrelevant but has been carefully crafted ;) ) pictured here is how the 8:50 broke down:
Qualifiers in order were Bridge That Gap 24.5%, Lola Montez
21.7% and Innoko 21.4% and as tight as the finish was between Bridge The Gap (8-1) and Innoko (11-1) we would have been left extremely disappointed under the old rules!
In what might have been a miserable day, hitting the post
with Kelamita (10-1), Humour (11-8) and in my opinion the horse that should
have won the 8:20 Classic Villager (3-1) who appeared to lug in behind the
winner Jamie Osborne’s Life Less Ordinary until you see the head on which shows
the latter continually edging in to Classic Villager for the whole of the final
furlong stopping it from going past, Innoko was the difference. Having stood
still and using the old method of selection we would have been looking at
hitting the post again with Bridge The Gap (8-1).
On a poor day the selection of Innoko turned what could have
a 9 point loss into 3 points gained at SP’s. A five year history would suggest
that these big priced winners are not a blip, more an example of what the
method is going to keep providing for us, more big priced winners and more selections. This will comprise strike rate With 5 races having ‘On The Money’
selections tonight I am hopeful of a very good evening ;)
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Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 24th October 2014
| 24th October 2014 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 5:40 Monsterbet Classified Stakes (Tapeta) Cl6 5f216y | |||||||||
| 100.0% | Wedgewood Estates | 54 | |||||||
| 99.7% | * | Encapsulated | ❾ | ||||||
| 99.1% | Thewestwalian | ||||||||
| 98.8% | Princess Rose | 70 | |||||||
| 98.6% | Daneglow | 49 | |||||||
| 98.2% | Aphrilis | 98.2% | (1) | ||||||
| 98.0% | Clear Focus | ||||||||
| 97.7% | Brean Splash Susie | ||||||||
| 96.8% | High Tone | 49 | 99.8% | (1) | |||||
| 96.5% | Redalani | ||||||||
| 94.4% | Kingsway Lad | ||||||||
| Fujin | ❷ | ||||||||
| Secret Applause | ❷ | ||||||||
Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 24th October 2014
| 24th October 2014 Dundalk | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 5:35 Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Maiden 6f | |||||||||
| 100.4% | * | Adeste Fideles | |||||||
| 99.9% | Taaluf | ||||||||
| 99.6% | Aru Cha Cha | 65 | 99.4% | (1) | |||||
| 96.6% | Dylan Express | 97.7% | (2) | ||||||
| 96.3% | Hughs Flyer | ||||||||
| 94.3% | Intensified | ||||||||
| Roryslittlesister | |||||||||
| Broderick Falls | |||||||||
| Ko Samet | |||||||||
| Danz Gift | |||||||||
| Forebear | |||||||||
| Let Go Ego | |||||||||
| Chester Storm | |||||||||
| Sea Red | |||||||||
| Gaoth Tire | |||||||||
| Sirikoi | |||||||||
A perfect 100% four out of four on an All Weather surface
Sandwiched between yesterday’s two winning selections at
Kempton Park: 8:10 Ridgeway Storm (opened 6-4) who cantered to victory, and
9:10 Fiftyshadesofgrey (opened 7-1) who gained revenge for the narrow defeat
the evening before, we witnessed Daaree bringing up a hat-trick of wins. That
in itself is not so remarkable nowadays, but in my opinion the performance was
remarkable.
Saeed bin Suroor is in excellent form with his All Weather
runners at present and the performance of Daaree may see that run extending in
to the new year. What captivated me with last night’s performance was the
manner in which the horse appear to be doing just enough to maintain its healthy
advantage.
Either the fast finisher, and there were several, were
coming to the end of their limits, or Daaree had pulled out that little more
under Paul Hannagan. My feeling is that the latter is the case. A horse we have
had on our side in its two previous wins was overlooked this time as we gave
the race a swerve, but surprisingly the horse still went off at 2-1 and put in
the performance and time of the meeting.
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Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 23rd October 2014
| 23rd October 2014 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 5:40 Watch Racing UK Anywhere iPad App Nursery Handicap Cl6 1m | |||||||||
| 99.5% | Jet Mate | 98.7% | (2) | ||||||
| 99.4% | * | Just Marion | |||||||
| 98.8% | Cascading Stars | ❶ | |||||||
| 97.3% | Horsetracker | ||||||||
| 96.8% | Lonely Ranger | ||||||||
| 96.6% | Skylight | ||||||||
| 96.3% | Prince Of Paris | 96.3% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 96.2% | Honey Required | ||||||||
| 94.2% | Emperors Warrior | 94.2% | (1) | ||||||
| 94.0% | Saint Honore | ❶ | |||||||
| Arthur´s Way | |||||||||
| Keen Move | |||||||||
| Inke | ❶ | ||||||||
| Le Torrent | ❶ | ||||||||
Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 22nd October 2014
| 22nd October 2014 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 5:55 Betbright.com Download Our App Handicap Cl6 1m2f | |||||||||
| 100.2% | * | Mercury Magic | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.9% | Silken Waters | 53 | |||||||
| 99.9% | Hidden Asset | 50 | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.8% | Mr Lando | 63 | 101.2% | (3) | ❶ | ||||
| 99.7% | Teide Peak | 58 | 99.5% | (1) | ❶ | ||||
| 98.0% | Lexington Blue | ❶ | |||||||
| 98.0% | Claude Greenwood | ||||||||
| 97.9% | Warbond | 99.2% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 97.8% | Purple Spot | ||||||||
| 97.7% | Highly Likely | 55 | 96.5% | (1) | |||||
| 97.5% | Kingswinford | 68 | |||||||
| 97.1% | Berrahri | ❶ | |||||||
| 97.1% | Osorios Trial | ||||||||
| 96.7% | Nouvelle Ere | ❷ | |||||||
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Friday, October 31, 2014
Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 31st October 2014
| 31st October 2014 Dundalk | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 5:40 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden 5f | |||||||||
| 98.7% | * | Sassy But Classy | 77 | 98.7% | (1) | ||||
| 98.0% | Daisy Bell | ||||||||
| 97.7% | Mc Diamond | 97.7% | (1) | ||||||
| 97.1% | Well Done Me | 97.1% | (1) | ||||||
| 95.4% | Ginger Muffin | ||||||||
| 94.9% | Coral Cluster | ||||||||
| Sakhees Jack | |||||||||
| Three Colours Red | |||||||||
| Zunera | |||||||||
Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 31st October 2014
| 31st October 2014 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 4:25 Ladbrokes Handicap (Tapeta) (Div I) Cl5 1m141y | |||||||||
| 103.0% | * | Tayma | ❸ | ||||||
| 100.8% | Zaeem | 58 | 100.3% | (1) | |||||
| 100.5% | Toto Skyllachy | ||||||||
| 100.4% | Set The Trend | ||||||||
| 99.4% | Mysterial | ❷ | |||||||
| 99.3% | Glennten | 65 | 99.8% | (1) | |||||
| 98.4% | Rakaan | 85 | |||||||
| 97.7% | Steel Stockholder | ||||||||
| 96.8% | Gambino | ||||||||
| Tahaf | |||||||||
The 4yo last seen on this surface 750 days ago in a 2yo Nursery
The passing of All Weather Horsing Racings 25th
Anniversary, although moderately successful by Octobers standards generally, will not last long in my memory.
The success of Pour La Victoire (opened 10-3) in the 4:20 Lingfield Park and 2
points New Colours (opened 13-8) in the 4:30 Kempton Park tipped the balance in
our favour after earlier failures.
It was the win of Steelriver (opened 9-1) 5:30 Kempton Park that
gave us the assurance of a profitable day before being reminded of the previous
two days of post-hitting when Tigers Tail (opened 14-1) and Rocky’s Pride
(opened 14-1) in the 6:30 and 7:30 Kempton Park repeated the feat when finishing 2nd in their respective races!
Two jockeys that will have fonder memories of the day will
be Shane Kelly and Alan Kirby, both riding across the card trebles.
If there was an unlucky performance to take out of the day
it would undoubtedly be Miss Marjurie in the Lingfield Park 3:20. Towards the
rear of the pack for the vast majority of the 1m 5f trip, Miss Marjurie and Pat
Cosgrave made a few unsuccessful attempts to extract themselves from a pocket
on the rail. Once able to switch out and deliver a challenge well into the
straight, Miss Marjurie finished fast enough to gobble up all but the winner
Hidden Gold to finish second by an ever decreasing 1.1/4 lengths.
The last time Miss Marjurie was seen on this surface was 750 days ago in a 2yo Nursery back in October 2013 but there is no doubt that a first
win on the All Weather is not far away if connections can find a similar
opportunity. The time recorded by Hidden Gold was the best performance on the
day at Lingfield Park making the performance of Miss Marjurie even more
noteworthy and one for the tracker. Unfortunately I doubt we will be seeing the 25-1 SP returned yesterday repeated on its next outing.
Thursday, October 30, 2014
Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 30th October 2014
| 30th October 2014 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 4:30 Come Jump Racing At Kempton 03.11.14 Selling Stakes Cl6 1m3f | |||||||||
| 100.6% | * | New Colours | |||||||
| 98.2% | Emperor Ferdinand | ||||||||
| 97.4% | Les Gar Gan | ❶ | |||||||
| 95.8% | Worcharlie´slass | ||||||||
Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 30th October 2014
| 30th October 2014 Lingfield Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 12:50 32Red Casino/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies´ Stakes (Bobis Race) (Div I) Cl5 7f1y | |||||||||
| 99.4% | * | Vixen Hill | ❶ | ||||||
| 98.3% | Lady Hare | ||||||||
| 96.6% | Makramah | ❷ | |||||||
| Colorada | |||||||||
| Crystal Zvezda | ❶ | ||||||||
| Farletti | |||||||||
| Fine View | |||||||||
| Nancy Astor | ❶ | ||||||||
| Regal Ways | |||||||||
| Rock Heroine | |||||||||
| Sweet Persuasion | ❶ | ||||||||
Dont let it be a dire day on the 25th Anniversary of All Weather Horse Racing!
On every front, the events of the week to date have been
pretty miserable. While recharging the batteries in readiness for the onslaught
of the All Weather Horse Racing season proper, to receive the news that a close
family friend 10 years my junior had passed away. To then arrive back to the UK
after enjoying the summer temperatures of the Rambla de Oria to pouring rain yesterday
was perhaps to be expected.
I was hopeful that after the extraordinary bad luck we
suffered on Tuesday evening at Wolverhampton would all be put to rest at
Kempton Park. Most notably, the narrow defeat of Pimm Street (8-1) who I was convinced had won! and 2 point
selection Lyfka who was almost bought down in the straight and never able to
recover to mount a challenge.
Unfortunately all we achieved was to rack up more placed
horses: Sabre Rock (3rd 8-1), Amood (2nd 5-1), Footstepsintherain
(3rd 10-1), Tabjeel (2nd 85-40) and Set The Trend (2nd 3-1). Perhaps we are paying for the earlier great successes of October and
given the narrow margins of defeat of several selections over the past 2 days I
feel not adding to the tally over the last couple of days in Octiber would be
an injustice.
More of a tragedy would be if we can’t remember such an
auspicious day, as we celebrate 25 years of All Weather Horse Racing, (and I am
old enough to remember that first All Weather meeting back in October 1989) by
rowing in with some nice priced winners.
To put the growth of All Weather Horse Racing in to
perspective, it now accounts for 20% of British racing. We have also seen the
quality of horse racing on artificial surfaces improving dramatically with
Group races now taking place and the likes of Aidan O’Brien using Southwell and
Lingfield Park to test Giant’s Causeway, Galileo, Hawk Wing and Rock of
Gibraltar.
While the UK public still stigmatise racing on an artificial
surface, some of the best races in the world, in Dubai and America are run on
the all-weather and nearly ALL trainers work their horses on the surface.
Like it or loathe it, all-weather is here to stay.
Wednesday, October 29, 2014
Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 29th October 2014
| 29th October 2014 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 4:55 Book Christmas Festival Tickets Now Handicap (Div I) Cl6 1m2f | |||||||||
| 101.4% | Coillte Cailin | 65 | ❶ | ||||||
| 100.7% | Snow Conditions | ❶ | |||||||
| 100.5% | * | Assoluta | 96.7% | (1) | ❶ | ||||
| 100.4% | Sabre Rock | 100.0% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 100.4% | Mr Fickle | 99.8% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 100.3% | Warden Bond | 52 | 100.5% | (3) | ❶ | ||||
| 99.4% | Gentlemax | ||||||||
| 99.3% | Brave Decision | 53 | 99.9% | (3) | ❷ | ||||
| 97.7% | Always Resolute | ||||||||
| Highsalvia Cosmos | ❶ | ||||||||
Tuesday, October 28, 2014
Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 28th October 2014
| 28th October 2014 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 4:40 Download The Free App @ Bookies.com Handicap (Tapeta) (Div I) Cl6 5f20y | |||||||||
| 100.2% | * | Warm Order | 48 | 100.2% | (1) | ||||
| 99.6% | * | Your Gifted | 57 | 99.8% | (3) | ||||
| 99.2% | Danzoe | 63 | 99.4% | (2) | ❷ | ||||
| 98.9% | Lizzy´s Dream | 47 | ❾ | ||||||
| 98.9% | Lazy Sioux | 46 | 98.9% | (1) | |||||
| 98.7% | Interchoice Star | 56 | 98.3% | (1) | |||||
| 98.5% | Play The Blues | 45 | |||||||
| 98.2% | Dream Sika | 50 | 98.9% | (3) | ❸ | ||||
| 97.7% | Little Briar Rose | 99.6% | (1) | ||||||
| 97.7% | On The High Tops | ❷ | |||||||
| 93.8% | Ichimoku | ❺ | |||||||
Saturday, October 25, 2014
Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 25th October 2014
| 25th October 2014 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 5:45 Get Live Score Updates @ Footballscores.com Nursery Handicap (Tapeta) Cl6 5f20y | |||||||||
| 98.1% | * | Sparbrook | 59 | ||||||
| 97.8% | Most Tempting | 55 | ❺ | ||||||
| 97.5% | Sky Steps | ||||||||
| 97.3% | Jimmy´s Girl | 57 | 95.6% | (1) | ❶ | ||||
| 96.8% | Don Ricardo | ||||||||
| 96.7% | Kylies Wild Card | ||||||||
| 96.5% | Air Of York | ❸ | |||||||
| 95.2% | Junior Ben | 96.3% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 94.7% | Macarthurs Park | 94.4% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 94.5% | Featsdontfailmenow | ||||||||
| Penalty Scorer | |||||||||
| Lydiate Lady | |||||||||
| Toni´s A Star | |||||||||
More big priced winners and more selections.
In a magnificent week with double digit winners at 50-1,
22-1, 20-1, and last night rowing in with an 11-1 winner to add to the haul,
the number one question from subscribers this week relates to the increase in
the number of races carrying multiple selections for the ‘On The Money’ method.
Last night was no exception with one race carrying 2
selections (7:20) and one race (8:50) carrying three selections. It was the 8:50
which provided us with Innoko @ 11-1 with another of the selections Bridge That
Gap (8-1) finishing 2nd. The race is an excellent example of why there
has been a slight shift in the selection process.
Of all the four methods of selection the margins for ‘On The
Money’ are the finest. What has been noticeable over the years (since 2008) is
that all too frequently we are missing out on winners, in most cases big priced
winners, by very narrow margins in selecting only the top qualifying horse.
With a qualifying score of 20% (what this relates to is
irrelevant but has been carefully crafted ;) ) pictured here is how the 8:50 broke down:
Qualifiers in order were Bridge That Gap 24.5%, Lola Montez
21.7% and Innoko 21.4% and as tight as the finish was between Bridge The Gap (8-1) and Innoko (11-1) we would have been left extremely disappointed under the old rules!
In what might have been a miserable day, hitting the post
with Kelamita (10-1), Humour (11-8) and in my opinion the horse that should
have won the 8:20 Classic Villager (3-1) who appeared to lug in behind the
winner Jamie Osborne’s Life Less Ordinary until you see the head on which shows
the latter continually edging in to Classic Villager for the whole of the final
furlong stopping it from going past, Innoko was the difference. Having stood
still and using the old method of selection we would have been looking at
hitting the post again with Bridge The Gap (8-1).
On a poor day the selection of Innoko turned what could have
a 9 point loss into 3 points gained at SP’s. A five year history would suggest
that these big priced winners are not a blip, more an example of what the
method is going to keep providing for us, more big priced winners and more selections. This will comprise strike rate With 5 races having ‘On The Money’
selections tonight I am hopeful of a very good evening ;)
Friday, October 24, 2014
Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 24th October 2014
| 24th October 2014 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 5:40 Monsterbet Classified Stakes (Tapeta) Cl6 5f216y | |||||||||
| 100.0% | Wedgewood Estates | 54 | |||||||
| 99.7% | * | Encapsulated | ❾ | ||||||
| 99.1% | Thewestwalian | ||||||||
| 98.8% | Princess Rose | 70 | |||||||
| 98.6% | Daneglow | 49 | |||||||
| 98.2% | Aphrilis | 98.2% | (1) | ||||||
| 98.0% | Clear Focus | ||||||||
| 97.7% | Brean Splash Susie | ||||||||
| 96.8% | High Tone | 49 | 99.8% | (1) | |||||
| 96.5% | Redalani | ||||||||
| 94.4% | Kingsway Lad | ||||||||
| Fujin | ❷ | ||||||||
| Secret Applause | ❷ | ||||||||
Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 24th October 2014
| 24th October 2014 Dundalk | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 5:35 Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Maiden 6f | |||||||||
| 100.4% | * | Adeste Fideles | |||||||
| 99.9% | Taaluf | ||||||||
| 99.6% | Aru Cha Cha | 65 | 99.4% | (1) | |||||
| 96.6% | Dylan Express | 97.7% | (2) | ||||||
| 96.3% | Hughs Flyer | ||||||||
| 94.3% | Intensified | ||||||||
| Roryslittlesister | |||||||||
| Broderick Falls | |||||||||
| Ko Samet | |||||||||
| Danz Gift | |||||||||
| Forebear | |||||||||
| Let Go Ego | |||||||||
| Chester Storm | |||||||||
| Sea Red | |||||||||
| Gaoth Tire | |||||||||
| Sirikoi | |||||||||
A perfect 100% four out of four on an All Weather surface
Sandwiched between yesterday’s two winning selections at
Kempton Park: 8:10 Ridgeway Storm (opened 6-4) who cantered to victory, and
9:10 Fiftyshadesofgrey (opened 7-1) who gained revenge for the narrow defeat
the evening before, we witnessed Daaree bringing up a hat-trick of wins. That
in itself is not so remarkable nowadays, but in my opinion the performance was
remarkable.
Saeed bin Suroor is in excellent form with his All Weather
runners at present and the performance of Daaree may see that run extending in
to the new year. What captivated me with last night’s performance was the
manner in which the horse appear to be doing just enough to maintain its healthy
advantage.
Either the fast finisher, and there were several, were
coming to the end of their limits, or Daaree had pulled out that little more
under Paul Hannagan. My feeling is that the latter is the case. A horse we have
had on our side in its two previous wins was overlooked this time as we gave
the race a swerve, but surprisingly the horse still went off at 2-1 and put in
the performance and time of the meeting.
Thursday, October 23, 2014
Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 23rd October 2014
| 23rd October 2014 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 5:40 Watch Racing UK Anywhere iPad App Nursery Handicap Cl6 1m | |||||||||
| 99.5% | Jet Mate | 98.7% | (2) | ||||||
| 99.4% | * | Just Marion | |||||||
| 98.8% | Cascading Stars | ❶ | |||||||
| 97.3% | Horsetracker | ||||||||
| 96.8% | Lonely Ranger | ||||||||
| 96.6% | Skylight | ||||||||
| 96.3% | Prince Of Paris | 96.3% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 96.2% | Honey Required | ||||||||
| 94.2% | Emperors Warrior | 94.2% | (1) | ||||||
| 94.0% | Saint Honore | ❶ | |||||||
| Arthur´s Way | |||||||||
| Keen Move | |||||||||
| Inke | ❶ | ||||||||
| Le Torrent | ❶ | ||||||||
Wednesday, October 22, 2014
Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 22nd October 2014
| 22nd October 2014 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 5:55 Betbright.com Download Our App Handicap Cl6 1m2f | |||||||||
| 100.2% | * | Mercury Magic | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.9% | Silken Waters | 53 | |||||||
| 99.9% | Hidden Asset | 50 | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.8% | Mr Lando | 63 | 101.2% | (3) | ❶ | ||||
| 99.7% | Teide Peak | 58 | 99.5% | (1) | ❶ | ||||
| 98.0% | Lexington Blue | ❶ | |||||||
| 98.0% | Claude Greenwood | ||||||||
| 97.9% | Warbond | 99.2% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 97.8% | Purple Spot | ||||||||
| 97.7% | Highly Likely | 55 | 96.5% | (1) | |||||
| 97.5% | Kingswinford | 68 | |||||||
| 97.1% | Berrahri | ❶ | |||||||
| 97.1% | Osorios Trial | ||||||||
| 96.7% | Nouvelle Ere | ❷ | |||||||
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