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The Marias, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY The Actuary, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY Speed & Class, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY Trip Handicap, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY
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IMPORTANT NOTICE!

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Horse Racing Tips: Wolverhampton 30th January 2012

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Wolverhampton racecourse on the afternoon 30th January 2012. A card of eight races is scheduled to begin at 14:00. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Wolverhampton is forecast to be sunny intervals. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

Wolverhampton (To view the 30 day draw data and running styles CLICK HERE)

2:00 Blue Square Winter Carnival iPhone App Amateur Riders´ Handicap Cl6 5f216y
99.8% * Itsthursdayalready 99.7%
99.8% Cheyenne Red 99.9%
98.6% Avoncreek 99.8% 1ST 25-1
98.4% Avonlini 100.0%
98.1% Blue Noodles 3RD 16-1
97.8% Bachelor Knight 97.6%
97.2% Young Simon 98.2%
97.0% Louise Sauvage
96.1% Takajan 98.7%
95.8% Little Perisher 100.1% 2ND 12-1
95.4% Royal Blade 96.7%
94.7% Novay Essjay 97.1%

2:35 Great Offers At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Claiming Stakes Cl6 5f216y
98.8% * Redair
98.3% One More Roman 98.8% 2ND 3-1
98.1% Faraway 99.3% 3RD 6-4
97.6% Tiablo 98.8% 1ST 15-2
95.5% Miss Bloom 95.2%

3:05 Sponsor A Race By Calling 01902 390000 Maiden Stakes Cl5 7f32y
98.2% * Somemothersdohavem 1ST 4-1
96.8% Red Trump 2ND 5-1
95.4% Showsinger 96.2%
94.3% Nip And Tuck
Arte Del Calcio 3RD 7-2
Brandy Snapping
Dance For Georgie
Gabrial´s Lexi
Lanarkshire
Moorside Magic
Script

3:40 Download The Blue Square Bet App Handicap Cl5 7f32y
100.7% * Bavarian Princess 101.0%
100.3% Striker Torres 99.3%
100.3% Royal Box 100.3%
99.7% Bahamian Lad 100.1%
99.6% Double Carpet 99.3%
99.6% Lastkingofscotland 101.2% 3RD 5-1
99.4% Wigram´s Turn 98.8% 2ND 8-1
99.3% Hawk Moth 100.5% 1ST 22-1
98.7% Twice Red
98.6% Barista 99.1%
Sole Danser

4:10 Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Selling Stakes Cl6 1m141y
100.5% * Roedean 97.6% 1ST EVENS  OTM   TH 
97.5% Bulldog Beasley 97.2%
96.1% Salaaheb 97.8%
95.1% Complex 98.5% 3RD 9-2
Devote Myself 2ND 5-2

4:40 Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap Cl6 1m141y
100.1% Mataajir 97.8% 3RD 5-2
99.8% * McCool Bannanas 99.2% 2ND 8-1
99.6% Roman Ruler 99.6%
99.3% Justcallmehandsome 99.9%
99.1% Kyle Of Bute 100.6%
99.0% Cristaliyev
98.8% Reason To Believe
98.6% Nina Rose 100.9%
98.5% Mystic Halo 98.8%
98.0% Smirfy´s Silver
97.8% Valley Tiger 99.7% 1ST 14-1
97.6% Marksbury 98.1%
97.4% Vitznau 100.0%

5:10 Enjoy The Punters Package Group Offer Handicap Cl5 1m1f103y
98.5% Anginola
97.8% * Fistful Of Dollars
97.7% * Availed Speaker 1ST 5-1
97.7% Angel Gabrial 97.3% 2ND 9-4
97.6% Good Morning Star 3RD 4-1
97.4% Masters Blazing
96.3% Nant Saeson

5:40 Play Bingo Free At bluesq.com Fillies´ Handicap Cl5 1m4f50y
101.7% Mount Abora 101.3% 3RD 9-4
101.7% Boa 100.8% 1ST 5-2
101.3% * Sail Home 2ND 15-8
99.3% Lady Elsie


Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Hello The Actuary

I must admit it's the first time I've seen this thread & personally I don't get involved too much in all-weather racing but I must commend you on the tremendous effort you put in & clearly you have a great knowledge & understanding of all-weather racing. I am certain that loads off gg.com members are finding this to be incredibly useful & benefitting from your work and this again illustrates the strengths & qualities of gg.com - all members prepared & willing to put time & effort in with the aim of helping fellow members achieve betting success & improve their knowledge. You have clearly had some very good results with your work & I commend you for that as I am sure all my fellow gg.com members do. You commented on

"it being a very disappointing last week. if it teaches me anything it will be to take nothing for granted" -

Now you said you made a profit in October so there is no need to worry or feel disappointment at a poor last week because that is the way when you study in depth because you can spend hours working on something only for it to all go wrong in a couple of minutes in a football match or matter of seconds in a horse race - I spend hours studying my football selections each week & yet in recent weeks it has been very frustrating with some poor results but that is not down to me doing things wrong but more to do with the random nature of football dictating that ultimately anything can & will happen. Horse races & football matches are random events that however much we assess & how much detailed analysis we do, the ultimate event is completely out of our control & as you quite rightly said you can take nothing for granted - horses that look certain to win easy run poorly, teams that look certain to win 3 or 4-0 lose 1-0 - that is the nature of sport & that is the nature of betting.As I said, I think the work you are doing is very informative & useful to gg.com members, so on behalf of my fellow members, here is a gg.com salute for you to show our appreciation.

THE ACTUARY - WE SALUTE YOU!!!

All the best with your all-weather bets & if I am considering having a bet on the all-weather I will definitely look for your work first to help me make my mind up.

Tommy

Sunday, January 29, 2012

Horse Racing Tips: Wolverhampton 30th January 2012

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Wolverhampton racecourse on the afternoon 30th January 2012. A card of eight races is scheduled to begin at 14:00. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Wolverhampton is forecast to be sunny intervals. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

Wolverhampton (To view the 30 day draw data and running styles CLICK HERE)

2:00 Blue Square Winter Carnival iPhone App Amateur Riders´ Handicap Cl6 5f216y
99.8% * Itsthursdayalready 99.7%
99.8% Cheyenne Red 99.9%
98.6% Avoncreek 99.8% 1ST 25-1
98.4% Avonlini 100.0%
98.1% Blue Noodles 3RD 16-1
97.8% Bachelor Knight 97.6%
97.2% Young Simon 98.2%
97.0% Louise Sauvage
96.1% Takajan 98.7%
95.8% Little Perisher 100.1% 2ND 12-1
95.4% Royal Blade 96.7%
94.7% Novay Essjay 97.1%

2:35 Great Offers At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Claiming Stakes Cl6 5f216y
98.8% * Redair
98.3% One More Roman 98.8% 2ND 3-1
98.1% Faraway 99.3% 3RD 6-4
97.6% Tiablo 98.8% 1ST 15-2
95.5% Miss Bloom 95.2%

3:05 Sponsor A Race By Calling 01902 390000 Maiden Stakes Cl5 7f32y
98.2% * Somemothersdohavem 1ST 4-1
96.8% Red Trump 2ND 5-1
95.4% Showsinger 96.2%
94.3% Nip And Tuck
Arte Del Calcio 3RD 7-2
Brandy Snapping
Dance For Georgie
Gabrial´s Lexi
Lanarkshire
Moorside Magic
Script

3:40 Download The Blue Square Bet App Handicap Cl5 7f32y
100.7% * Bavarian Princess 101.0%
100.3% Striker Torres 99.3%
100.3% Royal Box 100.3%
99.7% Bahamian Lad 100.1%
99.6% Double Carpet 99.3%
99.6% Lastkingofscotland 101.2% 3RD 5-1
99.4% Wigram´s Turn 98.8% 2ND 8-1
99.3% Hawk Moth 100.5% 1ST 22-1
98.7% Twice Red
98.6% Barista 99.1%
Sole Danser

4:10 Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Selling Stakes Cl6 1m141y
100.5% * Roedean 97.6% 1ST EVENS  OTM   TH 
97.5% Bulldog Beasley 97.2%
96.1% Salaaheb 97.8%
95.1% Complex 98.5% 3RD 9-2
Devote Myself 2ND 5-2

4:40 Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap Cl6 1m141y
100.1% Mataajir 97.8% 3RD 5-2
99.8% * McCool Bannanas 99.2% 2ND 8-1
99.6% Roman Ruler 99.6%
99.3% Justcallmehandsome 99.9%
99.1% Kyle Of Bute 100.6%
99.0% Cristaliyev
98.8% Reason To Believe
98.6% Nina Rose 100.9%
98.5% Mystic Halo 98.8%
98.0% Smirfy´s Silver
97.8% Valley Tiger 99.7% 1ST 14-1
97.6% Marksbury 98.1%
97.4% Vitznau 100.0%

5:10 Enjoy The Punters Package Group Offer Handicap Cl5 1m1f103y
98.5% Anginola
97.8% * Fistful Of Dollars
97.7% * Availed Speaker 1ST 5-1
97.7% Angel Gabrial 97.3% 2ND 9-4
97.6% Good Morning Star 3RD 4-1
97.4% Masters Blazing
96.3% Nant Saeson

5:40 Play Bingo Free At bluesq.com Fillies´ Handicap Cl5 1m4f50y
101.7% Mount Abora 101.3% 3RD 9-4
101.7% Boa 100.8% 1ST 5-2
101.3% * Sail Home 2ND 15-8
99.3% Lady Elsie


Posted by at 7:15 PM
Labels: , , , , ,
Horse Racing - Trip Down Memory Lane

As there is no AWT racing until Monday 13th I decided to do some research and while thumbing through some old racing books found an old page from Raceform which bought back a great memory from my past carefully folded within the pages.
How attractive a proposition was Pipssalio. Still a Maiden after 4 outings, its 3 outings as a 2yo read beaten 16 lengths in Class 5 3k Novice, beaten 16 lengths in a Class 6 2k Maiden, Beaten 14 lengths in a Class 4 3k Maiden. 1 outing as a 3yo beaten ½ length in a Class 4 4k Handicap. Looked to be way out of its depth being entered in a Class 3 14k Handicap. Pipssalio was 10lb out of the handicap and the jockey (Francis Norton) was putting up 2lb over weight.

My speed figures told me a different story. In fact I can remember being so bullish I was nailing my colours to the mast on all the forums and to the Raceform. This for me was the outstanding bet of the following day, the outstanding bet of the week and of the month. I went to bed unable to sleep with anticipation for the following day fully confident I would be making a lot of money. As soon as I got up on the day of the race I started checking the prices to ensure the tissue given the evening before was correct. Pipssalio was still 20-1.

The time of the race had arrived and in horror I watched as Pipssalio fell out of the stalls. By the time they had reached half-way in the 1 mile contest it was flat to the boards well adrift of the rest of the field with Franny Norton rowing away and beating the horse to death!

My feelings at the time were partly embarrassment due to the comments I had made on various forums , partly anger and all confidence in my ability to create meaningful speed figures gone in 60 seconds but being the eternal optimist still a slither of hope.

With 2 furlongs to go Pipssalio started to reduce the gap. With a furlong to go the rest of the field started to paddle and Pipssalio appeared to have sprouted wings and was closing on the leaders at an unbelievable rate. As they flashed passed the post Franny Norton had driven Pipssalio between the two leaders to make a three way photo finish. Even though I believed Pipssalio had got there it was going to be on the nod. Pipssalio got the verdict beating 2nd Everest by a short-head who in turn had beaten 3rd Tumbleweed Tor by a short-head.

That is the margin between winning or losing. The difference between the feeling of abject failure and believing you can walk on water.