With an ill judged selection in the last Southwell sprint and a horse that looked likely to be odds-on winning odds against plus the obligatory non-runner, subscribers finished honours even, or a little ahead on the day.
Also a honours even day for yesterday post selections which started poorly with Mataajir starting proceedings by falling out of the stalls and running wide for the most part. Not ideal on Southwells surface! Not to wide of the mark in the Kempton Park 5:50 with my prediction of Havelovewilltravel being beaten and Flamborough Breeze, Araqella and Tammuz in running plays and Absent Amy making the frame to land the EW. Ending with First Class scratching a place in the Kempton Park finale.
A nice early start to proceedings at Lingfield Park today and
I think that it is only fitting we should be involved in the first morning race
of the season. I would like to be brave and side with Sweet P after an
impressive victory over C&D last time out but the form and times recorded
by Madame Mirasol look superior and this is reflected in the price. As with most
2yo races there are dangers lurking and this could come in the form of Handicap
débutante Excellent Royale.
I see the 3:05 as a
big step up in class for jolly Leonard Thomas, add the step up in trip and it looks
opposable. At 12-1 Kakapuka looks the most appealing to trouble the favourite.
On what it has achieved so far Dynamo Walt looks a
vulnerable favourite in Wolverhampton’s opener and may well be deposed by Debt
Settler during the day. I see Kodafine’s form on the clock as far superior and at 5-1 in a 6
runner race looks good value.
In the hope I am not being overzealous on the Dundalk card,
I have found several horses taking my eye. The first being The Black Devil who
I believe to be a cut above the opposition in the 7:15. Currently trading at
8-1 suggests I might be in the minority on this J
There is no surprise in the quick return of Teajaybe in the
7:45 after going down by a narrow margin only two days ago and the drop back in
trip will play more to its strengths. The 7-2 currently on offer isn’t over
generous and we have to trust the trainer’s judgement on the quick return.
Although Hawkswood offers little in the way of distance form
in the 8:15, its superiority in this company gives it an ideal opportunity to
find the winners enclosure again. On its last outing I can’t help but feel Pat
Smullen made the error of going to early in chasing the long-time leader Theochrios
who went off to quickly and opened up a sizeable advantage before being
swallowed up and beaten 12 lengths. 5-2F Hawkswood was headed in the final 100
yards finishing 6 lengths adrift. Currently trading at 6-1 in what looks to be
a similar assignment I hopeful that the jockey change is not for the purpose of
reducing its mark further with a woeful 6% this year.
I can see no reason why Cebuano can’t repeat its performance
when last seen here at Dundalk given the consistency of performances here
previously. After what appears to be a disappointing turf campaign that has still
seen its mark rise from 77 to 81 Cebueno returns to Dundalk in the 8:45 on the
same mark of 77 that saw it narrowly beaten twice while finishing well in
similar company.
Good Luck to all ;)
http://horse--racing--tips.blogspot.com/2013/11/another-triple-all-weather-day-another.html
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