| 31st October 2013 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:30 Come Jump Racing At Kempton 04.11.13 Selling Stakes Cl6 1m3f | |||||||||
| 100.3% | Estibdaad | 100.3% | (1) | ||||||
| 99.7% | Prairie Prince | ❶ | |||||||
| 99.5% | Pencombe | 99.5% | (1) | ❷ | |||||
| 99.5% | Syrenka | 99.5% | (1) | ||||||
| 99.4% | * | Pink Mischief | |||||||
| 98.9% | Lady Lunchalot | ❸ | |||||||
| 97.4% | Helamis | ||||||||
| 96.4% | Sporting Club Girl | ||||||||
| 95.8% | Lincolnrose | ||||||||
| 94.9% | Wrecking Ball | ||||||||
| 94.8% | Sings Poet | 96.7% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 31st October 2013
Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 31st October 2013
| 31st October 2013 Lingfield Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
12:50 32Red Casino/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 7f | |||||||||
| 98.0% | * | Maria Bella | ❶ | ||||||
| 97.5% | Nibbling | ❶ | |||||||
| Bed Bed | ❶ | ||||||||
| Her Honour | ❶ | ||||||||
| Magic Shoes | ❶ | ||||||||
| Muteela | ❶ | ||||||||
| Nice Life | ❶ | ||||||||
| Popping Candy | ❶ | ||||||||
| Secret Keeper | ❶ | ||||||||
| Shama´s Song | ❶ | ||||||||
| Shasta Daisy | ❶ | ||||||||
| Song Of Norway | ❶ | ||||||||
| This Is The Day | ❶ | ||||||||
| Trust The Wind | ❶ | ||||||||
Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Wednesday 30th October 2013
| 30th October 2013 Kempton Park | ||||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
| ||||||||||
| 101.1% | * | Loraine | 97.7% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 100.9% | Ninfea | |||||||||
| 100.7% | Mr Lando | ❶ | ||||||||
| 100.4% | How Fortunate | ❶ | ||||||||
| 100.1% | Scamperdale | 99.2% | (3) | |||||||
| 99.8% | Solvanna | 99.2% | (3) | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.8% | Evergreen Forest | 99.6% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.7% | Pearl Street | 99.6% | (1) | ❼ | ||||||
| 99.5% | Bobs Her Uncle | 101.8% | (1) | |||||||
| 99.5% | Night´s Watch | ❶ | ||||||||
| 99.4% | Kingscombe | 100.9% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.0% | Fonterutoli | 99.4% | (3) | |||||||
| 93.0% | Bert The Alert | 99.4% | (2) | ❶ | ||||||
| 86.9% | Berengar | |||||||||
The 22-1 winner that got away!
After a luckless evening with selections last night and
dropping three points by the 6:10 which carried our final selection, I was
reminded in the 6:40 of an email from a subscriber earlier in the year advising
me of how fruitful following up on our selections that became non-runners had
been for her.
Although I did make a note to myself to monitor this for
myself, the number of non-runners was so infrequent it was gradually forgotten.
The reminder came in the form of JAZZY LADY. Put up as a selection for the
'Speed and Class' method on the 5th October before being withdrawn from a Wolverhampton
extended mile Nursery.
JAZZY LADY was back in last night over the same conditions.
This time, unfortunately the competitive nature of the race put insufficient
space between JAZZY LADY and its rivals to be considered. The race was not as
competitive in practice as on paper resulting in a most emphatic victory at 22-1.
Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 29th October 2013
| 29th October 2013 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 4:40 32Red Casino Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 5f216y | |||||||||
| 98.8% | Princess Sheila | 98.3% | (2) | ❷ | |||||
| 98.5% | * | My Trust | 99.0% | (1) | ❶ | ||||
| 98.4% | Busy Bimbo | 96.5% | (1) | ❷ | |||||
| 98.2% | Shy Rosa | ❷ | |||||||
| Interception | ❷ | ||||||||
10 non-runners in 2 races on the All Weather is bizarre
With little to no Class 2 race history at Wolverhampton it
is hard to pass judgement on whether the performances on last night's opening 'Championship'
races were run to a suitable standard. Of the supporting races on the card the 6:15
Class 5 2yo Maiden was well below standard, the 7:15 Class 6 3yo Handicap was
above standard by an equal measure. The 7:45 was slightly below standard but
the manner of Alakhan's fascicle victory would lead me to believe that the
winner has justified its place in this grade. Fresa's victory was just below my
standard all leading me to believe that the track was riding only marginally
under standard.
With all the talk and focus being on the 'Championship'
races it helped to mask for me the big story and something I find a little
dubious. The number of non runners in two of the races. 7:45 saw 5 non-runners
along with the 8:45, another 5 non-runners. Having followed the All Weather
almost from its concept I find this recent occurrence extremely dubious.
We are all aware of the conditions at Wolverhampton being
more testing than usual, this has been documented for months. Therefore the trainers
were all aware of what their horses were likely to be faced with at the time of
making entries so we will rule out the conditions as a likely cause for the
withdraws. I would find it inexplicable for 10 horses in two races to be withdrawn
on veterinary advice, therefore suspect that the Bookmaking fraternity are
having some part to play in this. I say this, one, because it is so unusual and
two, what better way is there to resolve an under-round book. I am sure that
many might feel that this maybe fanciful and I would say to you, don't be naive,
there is big money involved!
Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Saturday 26th October 2013
| 26th October 2013 Wolverhampton | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 102.6% | Solar Deity | 101.9% | (3) | ❸ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 102.5% | * | Grey Mirage | ❶ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 102.3% | Aubrietia | 98.3% | (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 102.2% | * | Tarooq | 98.4% | (1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 101.9% | Clockmaker | 102.0% | (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 101.6% | Anaconda | 101.5% | (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 101.5% | Laffan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 101.4% | Free Spin | 101.4% | (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 100.6% | Piscean | 101.2% | (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 100.0% | Pintura | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pastoral Player | ❷ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| My Freedom | ❹ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dundalk treble 10-1, 7-2 & 10-3 suggests a profitable winter.
Although opting out on last night's Wolverhampton card due
to form lines being so tight it was difficult to see any outstanding
opportunities. Dundalk again performed well. Winners Salvado's 10-3, Happy
Anniversary 10-1, Caso Do Lago 7-2 were all top rated on my figures and I will
be all out this week to prepare for the first subscribers selections on next Fridays
card.
A big night tonight at Wolverhampton tonight as we see the
first races benefitting from the Arena Leisure cash injection. A card which
perhaps would get more focus had it been an afternoon card and has also left me
questioning how well Wolverhampton fits in to the picture with the distances
differences and the same question with Southwell with the different surface.
I was fearful that the card would not attract the level of entrance
that the races merited but we have a truly competitive card. Outside of those
races with subscribers selections the 6:45 looks a race of most interesting and
I have whittled the runners down to old boy Lowther after its winning performance
on its recent return to the surface versus AEGAEUS who is currently trading at
10's on the exchanges and must have sound claims of at least a place.
Good luck with your day
Dundalk All Weather Speed Figures - Friday 25th October 2013
| 25th October 2013 Dundalk | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 5:45 Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Maiden 6f | |||||||||
| 99.5% | * | Salvado | |||||||
| 97.6% | Mischief N Mayhem | ||||||||
| 97.4% | Boughtforasong | 98.7% | (2) | ||||||
| 96.4% | Halarath | ||||||||
| 96.1% | Justfortwo | ||||||||
| 91.5% | Little Bells | ||||||||
| Grips Kelly | |||||||||
| Mianya Return | |||||||||
| Danseur De Feu | |||||||||
| Fitrah | |||||||||
| Hi Empress | |||||||||
| Sovereign Princess | |||||||||
Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Friday 25th October 2013
| 25th October 2013 Wolverhampton | ||||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 5:30 Ladbrokes Classified Stakes Cl6 5f216y | ||||||||||
| 100.0% | Red Shadow | 99.8% | (5) | |||||||
| 99.8% | * | Beach Rhythm | ❶ | |||||||
| 99.3% | Izzy Boy | 99.3% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 98.5% | Kaylee | 99.6% | (2) | ❶ | ||||||
| 97.9% | Sunny Hollow | 98.6% | (2) | |||||||
| 97.9% | Kwanto | 98.5% | (2) | ❶ | ||||||
| 97.9% | Chester´Slittlegem | 98.7% | (5) | |||||||
| 97.9% | Kasbhom | ❶ | ||||||||
| 97.5% | Ishisoba | ❶ | ||||||||
| 97.2% | Amelia Jay | 97.2% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 97.1% | Kai | 99.2% | (8) | ❶ | ||||||
| 97.0% | Gypsy Jazz | 97.0% | (1) | |||||||
| 94.7% | Major Muscari | 97.5% | (5) | ❶ | ||||||
The mare was unsuited by the standard going!
There has been little to write to the blog over the past
week with a trickle of selections, mostly winning selections, but today, I feel
it will be therapeutic in exorcising the demons of being chewed up and spat out
after yesterdays selections.
We started well with 1 point DARING DRAGON (opened 6-4)
winning the first and we were already aware at this point 3 point selection
JULLUNDAR was declared a non runner. Our next selection 2 points DUSTLAND
FAIRYTALE (5-4) ran so poorly the trainers representative was called before the
stewards and reported 'the mare was unsuited by the standard going' doffed his cap
and walked out of the stewards room.
A story was also unfolding from the course regarding the heavily backed Bert Trick being withdrawn on invitation by the BHA. I am sure there will be more on this on the coming days.
FLEMISH SCHOOL was next up and finished 13 lengths clear of
the rest of the field, withthe exception of one. Unrated Great Fighter didn't
need to live up to its name and was so much the better that Luke Morris gave up
the chase once passed.
Hopes for the day know rested heavily on 2 point selection
OFF THE PULSE (opened 12-1) and I was very counting my money as it traveled around
the outside and in to a challenging position as they turned for home. Once in
the lead it appeared harder work than anticipated and although OFF THE PULSE
maintained an advantage over its early adversary Lyric Peace, Soul Intent was
closing from the wide outside and the post just didn't come soon enough for the
selection and 24 points profit bit the dust with our second bridesmaid on the
card.
Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 24th October 2013
| 24th October 2013 Wolverhampton | ||||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 5:40 32RedPoker.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f32y | ||||||||||
| 99.3% | Daring Dragon | 99.3% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 98.5% | Tiger Jim | ❶ | ||||||||
| 98.4% | Nakuru Breeze | ❶ | ||||||||
| 98.1% | * | Master Wizard | ❶ | |||||||
| 97.9% | Thecornishwren | |||||||||
| 96.7% | Stoneacre Thirsk | ❶ | ||||||||
| 96.4% | Kaahen | |||||||||
| 95.8% | Lady Calantha | ❶ | ||||||||
| Speedfit Boy | ❶ | |||||||||
Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Wednesday 23rd October 2013
| 23rd October 2013 Kempton Park | ||||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 5:50 Book Now For Boxing Day Handicap Cl6 1m2f | ||||||||||
| 100.8% | Rockweiller | 100.5% | (3) | ❶ | ||||||
| 100.3% | Kindlelight Storm | ❸ | ||||||||
| 99.9% | Chasin´ Rainbows | |||||||||
| 99.8% | Pretty Bubbles | |||||||||
| 99.7% | Percythepinto | |||||||||
| 99.7% | * | Belle Park | ||||||||
| 99.6% | La Rosiere | ❶ | ||||||||
| 98.9% | Kindia | 99.9% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 98.7% | Archelao | ❶ | ||||||||
| 98.5% | Hail Bold Chief | ❶ | ||||||||
| 98.1% | I´m Harry | ❶ | ||||||||
| 98.0% | Fonterutoli | 99.6% | (2) | |||||||
| 97.6% | Legal Legacy | 100.7% | (2) | |||||||
| 95.0% | Red Willow | |||||||||
Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 22nd October 2013
| 22nd October 2013 Kempton Park | ||||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 5:40 Day Delegate Rates From £39 Handicap Cl6 1m3f | ||||||||||
| 100.8% | Hero´s Story | 100.7% | (1) | |||||||
| 99.8% | * | Solvanna | ❷ | |||||||
| 99.7% | Bejeweled | ❷ | ||||||||
| 99.6% | Posh Boy | ❶ | ||||||||
| 99.0% | Achtung | |||||||||
| 98.8% | Estibdaad | |||||||||
| 98.7% | Quadriga | |||||||||
| 98.7% | Syrenka | |||||||||
| 98.4% | Pencombe | ❸ | ||||||||
| 96.5% | Casa Tua | ❶ | ||||||||
Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 22nd October 2013
| 22nd October 2013 Lingfield Park | ||||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 2:00 Baker Tilly Apprentice Handicap Cl6 1m4f | ||||||||||
| 101.3% | Red Mystique | 100.6% | (2) | |||||||
| 99.4% | Hawaiian Freeze | |||||||||
| 99.1% | Devon Diva | |||||||||
| 98.8% | Awesome Rock | 93.5% | (1) | |||||||
| 98.5% | Mohair | 98.2% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 98.4% | Lord Golan | 98.2% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 98.3% | Dawn Beat | ❶ | ||||||||
| 98.3% | * | Stadium Of Light | ❶ | |||||||
| 97.9% | Opus | |||||||||
| 97.9% | El Libertador | 100.0% | (5) | ❶ | ||||||
| 97.8% | Impertinent | ❶ | ||||||||
| 96.5% | Misteray | ❶ | ||||||||
| 96.3% | Willow Island | |||||||||
| 95.9% | Filun | 99.6% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 95.5% | Jody Bear | |||||||||
| Nandura | ❶ | |||||||||
Cayo Coco has been temporarily postponed!
Frustrated again by BURREN VIEW LADY, subscribers sole
selection on Saturdays Wolverhampton card. Although running creditable last
night, in its last three runs it has thwarted our attention. When selected on 21st September it flashed
home after traffic problems failing by 1/4 length to collar the winner. On the
3rd October it won beating our selection on the day Glastonberry. Last night,
once again a selection and fails to hold on by 1/4 length!
On a night of weird and wonderful results I was hopeful that
Cayo Coco was still on the cards after the run of BUSTER BROWN who finished 3rd
after a poor passage but then the wheels really truly fell off with appalling
runs from the remainder of my Canadian, best optimised by the run of Lieutenant
Nelson in a race won by 18 race maiden Borough Boy.
I guess the future for Lieutenant Nelson is a little
uncertain this morning and Cayo Coco has been temporarily postponed for me. I
get to fight again another day but I am not sure that will be the case for Lieutenant
Nelson.
Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Saturday 19th October 2013
| 19th October 2013 Wolverhampton | ||||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 5:50 32Red.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m141y | ||||||||||
| 101.4% | Wilhana | ❶ | ||||||||
| 99.5% | * | Candy Kitten | ||||||||
| 91.0% | Bridge To My Heart | |||||||||
| Boom | ❶ | |||||||||
| Izzy Too | ❶ | |||||||||
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Thursday, October 31, 2013
Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 31st October 2013
| 31st October 2013 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:30 Come Jump Racing At Kempton 04.11.13 Selling Stakes Cl6 1m3f | |||||||||
| 100.3% | Estibdaad | 100.3% | (1) | ||||||
| 99.7% | Prairie Prince | ❶ | |||||||
| 99.5% | Pencombe | 99.5% | (1) | ❷ | |||||
| 99.5% | Syrenka | 99.5% | (1) | ||||||
| 99.4% | * | Pink Mischief | |||||||
| 98.9% | Lady Lunchalot | ❸ | |||||||
| 97.4% | Helamis | ||||||||
| 96.4% | Sporting Club Girl | ||||||||
| 95.8% | Lincolnrose | ||||||||
| 94.9% | Wrecking Ball | ||||||||
| 94.8% | Sings Poet | 96.7% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 31st October 2013
| 31st October 2013 Lingfield Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
12:50 32Red Casino/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 7f | |||||||||
| 98.0% | * | Maria Bella | ❶ | ||||||
| 97.5% | Nibbling | ❶ | |||||||
| Bed Bed | ❶ | ||||||||
| Her Honour | ❶ | ||||||||
| Magic Shoes | ❶ | ||||||||
| Muteela | ❶ | ||||||||
| Nice Life | ❶ | ||||||||
| Popping Candy | ❶ | ||||||||
| Secret Keeper | ❶ | ||||||||
| Shama´s Song | ❶ | ||||||||
| Shasta Daisy | ❶ | ||||||||
| Song Of Norway | ❶ | ||||||||
| This Is The Day | ❶ | ||||||||
| Trust The Wind | ❶ | ||||||||
Wednesday, October 30, 2013
Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Wednesday 30th October 2013
| 30th October 2013 Kempton Park | ||||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
| ||||||||||
| 101.1% | * | Loraine | 97.7% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 100.9% | Ninfea | |||||||||
| 100.7% | Mr Lando | ❶ | ||||||||
| 100.4% | How Fortunate | ❶ | ||||||||
| 100.1% | Scamperdale | 99.2% | (3) | |||||||
| 99.8% | Solvanna | 99.2% | (3) | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.8% | Evergreen Forest | 99.6% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.7% | Pearl Street | 99.6% | (1) | ❼ | ||||||
| 99.5% | Bobs Her Uncle | 101.8% | (1) | |||||||
| 99.5% | Night´s Watch | ❶ | ||||||||
| 99.4% | Kingscombe | 100.9% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.0% | Fonterutoli | 99.4% | (3) | |||||||
| 93.0% | Bert The Alert | 99.4% | (2) | ❶ | ||||||
| 86.9% | Berengar | |||||||||
The 22-1 winner that got away!
After a luckless evening with selections last night and
dropping three points by the 6:10 which carried our final selection, I was
reminded in the 6:40 of an email from a subscriber earlier in the year advising
me of how fruitful following up on our selections that became non-runners had
been for her.
Although I did make a note to myself to monitor this for
myself, the number of non-runners was so infrequent it was gradually forgotten.
The reminder came in the form of JAZZY LADY. Put up as a selection for the
'Speed and Class' method on the 5th October before being withdrawn from a Wolverhampton
extended mile Nursery.
JAZZY LADY was back in last night over the same conditions.
This time, unfortunately the competitive nature of the race put insufficient
space between JAZZY LADY and its rivals to be considered. The race was not as
competitive in practice as on paper resulting in a most emphatic victory at 22-1.
Tuesday, October 29, 2013
Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 29th October 2013
| 29th October 2013 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 4:40 32Red Casino Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 5f216y | |||||||||
| 98.8% | Princess Sheila | 98.3% | (2) | ❷ | |||||
| 98.5% | * | My Trust | 99.0% | (1) | ❶ | ||||
| 98.4% | Busy Bimbo | 96.5% | (1) | ❷ | |||||
| 98.2% | Shy Rosa | ❷ | |||||||
| Interception | ❷ | ||||||||
Sunday, October 27, 2013
10 non-runners in 2 races on the All Weather is bizarre
With little to no Class 2 race history at Wolverhampton it
is hard to pass judgement on whether the performances on last night's opening 'Championship'
races were run to a suitable standard. Of the supporting races on the card the 6:15
Class 5 2yo Maiden was well below standard, the 7:15 Class 6 3yo Handicap was
above standard by an equal measure. The 7:45 was slightly below standard but
the manner of Alakhan's fascicle victory would lead me to believe that the
winner has justified its place in this grade. Fresa's victory was just below my
standard all leading me to believe that the track was riding only marginally
under standard.
With all the talk and focus being on the 'Championship'
races it helped to mask for me the big story and something I find a little
dubious. The number of non runners in two of the races. 7:45 saw 5 non-runners
along with the 8:45, another 5 non-runners. Having followed the All Weather
almost from its concept I find this recent occurrence extremely dubious.
We are all aware of the conditions at Wolverhampton being
more testing than usual, this has been documented for months. Therefore the trainers
were all aware of what their horses were likely to be faced with at the time of
making entries so we will rule out the conditions as a likely cause for the
withdraws. I would find it inexplicable for 10 horses in two races to be withdrawn
on veterinary advice, therefore suspect that the Bookmaking fraternity are
having some part to play in this. I say this, one, because it is so unusual and
two, what better way is there to resolve an under-round book. I am sure that
many might feel that this maybe fanciful and I would say to you, don't be naive,
there is big money involved!
Saturday, October 26, 2013
Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Saturday 26th October 2013
| 26th October 2013 Wolverhampton | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 102.6% | Solar Deity | 101.9% | (3) | ❸ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 102.5% | * | Grey Mirage | ❶ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 102.3% | Aubrietia | 98.3% | (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 102.2% | * | Tarooq | 98.4% | (1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 101.9% | Clockmaker | 102.0% | (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 101.6% | Anaconda | 101.5% | (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 101.5% | Laffan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 101.4% | Free Spin | 101.4% | (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 100.6% | Piscean | 101.2% | (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 100.0% | Pintura | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pastoral Player | ❷ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| My Freedom | ❹ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dundalk treble 10-1, 7-2 & 10-3 suggests a profitable winter.
Although opting out on last night's Wolverhampton card due
to form lines being so tight it was difficult to see any outstanding
opportunities. Dundalk again performed well. Winners Salvado's 10-3, Happy
Anniversary 10-1, Caso Do Lago 7-2 were all top rated on my figures and I will
be all out this week to prepare for the first subscribers selections on next Fridays
card.
A big night tonight at Wolverhampton tonight as we see the
first races benefitting from the Arena Leisure cash injection. A card which
perhaps would get more focus had it been an afternoon card and has also left me
questioning how well Wolverhampton fits in to the picture with the distances
differences and the same question with Southwell with the different surface.
I was fearful that the card would not attract the level of entrance
that the races merited but we have a truly competitive card. Outside of those
races with subscribers selections the 6:45 looks a race of most interesting and
I have whittled the runners down to old boy Lowther after its winning performance
on its recent return to the surface versus AEGAEUS who is currently trading at
10's on the exchanges and must have sound claims of at least a place.
Good luck with your day
Friday, October 25, 2013
Dundalk All Weather Speed Figures - Friday 25th October 2013
| 25th October 2013 Dundalk | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 5:45 Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Maiden 6f | |||||||||
| 99.5% | * | Salvado | |||||||
| 97.6% | Mischief N Mayhem | ||||||||
| 97.4% | Boughtforasong | 98.7% | (2) | ||||||
| 96.4% | Halarath | ||||||||
| 96.1% | Justfortwo | ||||||||
| 91.5% | Little Bells | ||||||||
| Grips Kelly | |||||||||
| Mianya Return | |||||||||
| Danseur De Feu | |||||||||
| Fitrah | |||||||||
| Hi Empress | |||||||||
| Sovereign Princess | |||||||||
Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Friday 25th October 2013
| 25th October 2013 Wolverhampton | ||||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 5:30 Ladbrokes Classified Stakes Cl6 5f216y | ||||||||||
| 100.0% | Red Shadow | 99.8% | (5) | |||||||
| 99.8% | * | Beach Rhythm | ❶ | |||||||
| 99.3% | Izzy Boy | 99.3% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 98.5% | Kaylee | 99.6% | (2) | ❶ | ||||||
| 97.9% | Sunny Hollow | 98.6% | (2) | |||||||
| 97.9% | Kwanto | 98.5% | (2) | ❶ | ||||||
| 97.9% | Chester´Slittlegem | 98.7% | (5) | |||||||
| 97.9% | Kasbhom | ❶ | ||||||||
| 97.5% | Ishisoba | ❶ | ||||||||
| 97.2% | Amelia Jay | 97.2% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 97.1% | Kai | 99.2% | (8) | ❶ | ||||||
| 97.0% | Gypsy Jazz | 97.0% | (1) | |||||||
| 94.7% | Major Muscari | 97.5% | (5) | ❶ | ||||||
The mare was unsuited by the standard going!
There has been little to write to the blog over the past
week with a trickle of selections, mostly winning selections, but today, I feel
it will be therapeutic in exorcising the demons of being chewed up and spat out
after yesterdays selections.
We started well with 1 point DARING DRAGON (opened 6-4)
winning the first and we were already aware at this point 3 point selection
JULLUNDAR was declared a non runner. Our next selection 2 points DUSTLAND
FAIRYTALE (5-4) ran so poorly the trainers representative was called before the
stewards and reported 'the mare was unsuited by the standard going' doffed his cap
and walked out of the stewards room.
A story was also unfolding from the course regarding the heavily backed Bert Trick being withdrawn on invitation by the BHA. I am sure there will be more on this on the coming days.
FLEMISH SCHOOL was next up and finished 13 lengths clear of
the rest of the field, withthe exception of one. Unrated Great Fighter didn't
need to live up to its name and was so much the better that Luke Morris gave up
the chase once passed.
Hopes for the day know rested heavily on 2 point selection
OFF THE PULSE (opened 12-1) and I was very counting my money as it traveled around
the outside and in to a challenging position as they turned for home. Once in
the lead it appeared harder work than anticipated and although OFF THE PULSE
maintained an advantage over its early adversary Lyric Peace, Soul Intent was
closing from the wide outside and the post just didn't come soon enough for the
selection and 24 points profit bit the dust with our second bridesmaid on the
card.
Thursday, October 24, 2013
Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 24th October 2013
| 24th October 2013 Wolverhampton | ||||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 5:40 32RedPoker.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f32y | ||||||||||
| 99.3% | Daring Dragon | 99.3% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 98.5% | Tiger Jim | ❶ | ||||||||
| 98.4% | Nakuru Breeze | ❶ | ||||||||
| 98.1% | * | Master Wizard | ❶ | |||||||
| 97.9% | Thecornishwren | |||||||||
| 96.7% | Stoneacre Thirsk | ❶ | ||||||||
| 96.4% | Kaahen | |||||||||
| 95.8% | Lady Calantha | ❶ | ||||||||
| Speedfit Boy | ❶ | |||||||||
Wednesday, October 23, 2013
Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Wednesday 23rd October 2013
| 23rd October 2013 Kempton Park | ||||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 5:50 Book Now For Boxing Day Handicap Cl6 1m2f | ||||||||||
| 100.8% | Rockweiller | 100.5% | (3) | ❶ | ||||||
| 100.3% | Kindlelight Storm | ❸ | ||||||||
| 99.9% | Chasin´ Rainbows | |||||||||
| 99.8% | Pretty Bubbles | |||||||||
| 99.7% | Percythepinto | |||||||||
| 99.7% | * | Belle Park | ||||||||
| 99.6% | La Rosiere | ❶ | ||||||||
| 98.9% | Kindia | 99.9% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 98.7% | Archelao | ❶ | ||||||||
| 98.5% | Hail Bold Chief | ❶ | ||||||||
| 98.1% | I´m Harry | ❶ | ||||||||
| 98.0% | Fonterutoli | 99.6% | (2) | |||||||
| 97.6% | Legal Legacy | 100.7% | (2) | |||||||
| 95.0% | Red Willow | |||||||||
Tuesday, October 22, 2013
Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 22nd October 2013
| 22nd October 2013 Kempton Park | ||||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 5:40 Day Delegate Rates From £39 Handicap Cl6 1m3f | ||||||||||
| 100.8% | Hero´s Story | 100.7% | (1) | |||||||
| 99.8% | * | Solvanna | ❷ | |||||||
| 99.7% | Bejeweled | ❷ | ||||||||
| 99.6% | Posh Boy | ❶ | ||||||||
| 99.0% | Achtung | |||||||||
| 98.8% | Estibdaad | |||||||||
| 98.7% | Quadriga | |||||||||
| 98.7% | Syrenka | |||||||||
| 98.4% | Pencombe | ❸ | ||||||||
| 96.5% | Casa Tua | ❶ | ||||||||
Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 22nd October 2013
| 22nd October 2013 Lingfield Park | ||||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 2:00 Baker Tilly Apprentice Handicap Cl6 1m4f | ||||||||||
| 101.3% | Red Mystique | 100.6% | (2) | |||||||
| 99.4% | Hawaiian Freeze | |||||||||
| 99.1% | Devon Diva | |||||||||
| 98.8% | Awesome Rock | 93.5% | (1) | |||||||
| 98.5% | Mohair | 98.2% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 98.4% | Lord Golan | 98.2% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 98.3% | Dawn Beat | ❶ | ||||||||
| 98.3% | * | Stadium Of Light | ❶ | |||||||
| 97.9% | Opus | |||||||||
| 97.9% | El Libertador | 100.0% | (5) | ❶ | ||||||
| 97.8% | Impertinent | ❶ | ||||||||
| 96.5% | Misteray | ❶ | ||||||||
| 96.3% | Willow Island | |||||||||
| 95.9% | Filun | 99.6% | (1) | ❶ | ||||||
| 95.5% | Jody Bear | |||||||||
| Nandura | ❶ | |||||||||
Sunday, October 20, 2013
Cayo Coco has been temporarily postponed!
Frustrated again by BURREN VIEW LADY, subscribers sole
selection on Saturdays Wolverhampton card. Although running creditable last
night, in its last three runs it has thwarted our attention. When selected on 21st September it flashed
home after traffic problems failing by 1/4 length to collar the winner. On the
3rd October it won beating our selection on the day Glastonberry. Last night,
once again a selection and fails to hold on by 1/4 length!
On a night of weird and wonderful results I was hopeful that
Cayo Coco was still on the cards after the run of BUSTER BROWN who finished 3rd
after a poor passage but then the wheels really truly fell off with appalling
runs from the remainder of my Canadian, best optimised by the run of Lieutenant
Nelson in a race won by 18 race maiden Borough Boy.
I guess the future for Lieutenant Nelson is a little
uncertain this morning and Cayo Coco has been temporarily postponed for me. I
get to fight again another day but I am not sure that will be the case for Lieutenant
Nelson.
Saturday, October 19, 2013
Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Saturday 19th October 2013
| 19th October 2013 Wolverhampton | ||||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. 5:50 32Red.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m141y | ||||||||||
| 101.4% | Wilhana | ❶ | ||||||||
| 99.5% | * | Candy Kitten | ||||||||
| 91.0% | Bridge To My Heart | |||||||||
| Boom | ❶ | |||||||||
| Izzy Too | ❶ | |||||||||
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