THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 26th March KEMPTON PARK- 27th March WOLVERHAMPTON- 29th March WOLVERHAMPTON - 30th March LINGFIELD PARK, KEMPTON PARK & SOUTHWELL - 31st March WOLVERHAMPTON & CHELMSFORD CITY - 1ST aPRIL LINGFIELD PARK & WOLVERHAMPTON - 2nd April KEMPTON PARK -

VDW + MDB = Todays E.W. All Weather Canadian

Some of you I am sure are familiar with the name VDW and the five methodical stages outlined by by him in the forum pages of the Raceform. As the items were always written in retrospect, there were claims that VDW was the fiction of the page editor at the time Tony Peach.

Fact or fiction, this was manna from heaven to a teenage Mark Dillon-Boylan who even in those informative years had a strong believe that sound methodical processes would always win out over the scatter gun approach adopted by most.

The key phrase used in one of the correspondence that resonated with me most was ‘If you want to know where the bus is going you need check with the driver’ or words to that effect. This was interpreted by me as a need to understand the trainers’ intention, something frequently overlooked in favour of form. The question was always how to apply this into a 5 element, numerical picture of a horses form. The only elements that had not been fully explained were the final two columns of figures used by VDW which became known as the missing link. As the explained elements made no offering towards the trainers intentions I have always felt that the final two columns had to have some relationship with this phrase.

A couple of days ago after a frustrating day where new-comers and lightly raced horses had undone my hard work, I woke in the middle of the night with a potential solution.

The following day I applied the principles of the VDW + the missing link (MDB) to the days All Weather card. I have seen many interpretations of the method and I was keen not to fall in to the trap of diluting the method to ensure a selection(s) but it was apparent that in these different times certain adjustments had to be made. As an example, applying the prize money style ability rating would be pretty ineffective given the low prize money on offer today.

5:30 Kempton Neige D’Antan WON 7-4
7:00 Kempton Pravada Street WON 10-3

All though the results were not breathe-taking I was reasonably happy with how both horses had run and was understandably anticipating the following days racing.

   9:10 Kempton Raffinn WON 4-1

Again nothing conclusive about the one selection and I have been here before, again anticipating the following day especially as the price of the single selection is likely to put one of my criteria changes fully to the test.

8:50 Kempton Roxy Flyer WON 16-1

OK, this is getting interesting. Not a penny has left my pocket at this point as this is just a watching brief but I can see no harm in a tomorrow in having two small stake E.W. Canadians and after such a disappointing week it would be more disappointing not to share any success with you guys. I would suggest expecting nothing other than a bit of entertainment, anything else is a bonus :)

4:10 Kempton Glass Office
4:45 Kempton Enery
5:30 Wolverhampton Fast Finian \ Lady Layla
6:00 Wolverhampton Prime Exhibit
8:30 Wolverhampton Langley

Wish us luck J.



      

Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Saturday, September 08, 2012

VDW + MDB = Todays E.W. All Weather Canadian

Some of you I am sure are familiar with the name VDW and the five methodical stages outlined by by him in the forum pages of the Raceform. As the items were always written in retrospect, there were claims that VDW was the fiction of the page editor at the time Tony Peach.

Fact or fiction, this was manna from heaven to a teenage Mark Dillon-Boylan who even in those informative years had a strong believe that sound methodical processes would always win out over the scatter gun approach adopted by most.

The key phrase used in one of the correspondence that resonated with me most was ‘If you want to know where the bus is going you need check with the driver’ or words to that effect. This was interpreted by me as a need to understand the trainers’ intention, something frequently overlooked in favour of form. The question was always how to apply this into a 5 element, numerical picture of a horses form. The only elements that had not been fully explained were the final two columns of figures used by VDW which became known as the missing link. As the explained elements made no offering towards the trainers intentions I have always felt that the final two columns had to have some relationship with this phrase.

A couple of days ago after a frustrating day where new-comers and lightly raced horses had undone my hard work, I woke in the middle of the night with a potential solution.

The following day I applied the principles of the VDW + the missing link (MDB) to the days All Weather card. I have seen many interpretations of the method and I was keen not to fall in to the trap of diluting the method to ensure a selection(s) but it was apparent that in these different times certain adjustments had to be made. As an example, applying the prize money style ability rating would be pretty ineffective given the low prize money on offer today.

5:30 Kempton Neige D’Antan WON 7-4
7:00 Kempton Pravada Street WON 10-3

All though the results were not breathe-taking I was reasonably happy with how both horses had run and was understandably anticipating the following days racing.

   9:10 Kempton Raffinn WON 4-1

Again nothing conclusive about the one selection and I have been here before, again anticipating the following day especially as the price of the single selection is likely to put one of my criteria changes fully to the test.

8:50 Kempton Roxy Flyer WON 16-1

OK, this is getting interesting. Not a penny has left my pocket at this point as this is just a watching brief but I can see no harm in a tomorrow in having two small stake E.W. Canadians and after such a disappointing week it would be more disappointing not to share any success with you guys. I would suggest expecting nothing other than a bit of entertainment, anything else is a bonus :)

4:10 Kempton Glass Office
4:45 Kempton Enery
5:30 Wolverhampton Fast Finian \ Lady Layla
6:00 Wolverhampton Prime Exhibit
8:30 Wolverhampton Langley

Wish us luck J.