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Horse Racing Tips: Southwell 10th January 2011

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Southwell racecourse on the afternoon of Tuesday 10th January 2012. A card of seven races is scheduled to begin at 12:55. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Southwell is forecast to be sunny intervals, mostly cloudy. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.
Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

Southwell (To view the 30 day draw data and running styles CLICK HERE)

12:55 Bet On Winning Distances At bluesq.com Handicap Cl6 1m
100.3% * Spacecraft 100.8% 2ND 5-4
98.5% Aggbag 99.8%
97.5% Very Well Red 98.2% 3RD 11-1
97.3% Vogarth 98.0%
97.1% Noble Attitude 98.4%
97.0% Fearless Poet 98.0%
95.0% Blonde Maite 94.9%
94.8% St Ignatius 99.1% 1ST 15-2
93.6% Just Zak
92.9% Dado Mush 97.4%
Hot Tub

1:25 Book Tickets At southwell-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Cl6 1m4f
100.3% Magic Haze 97.4%
98.5% * Brunello 101.5% 2ND 13-8
98.2% Jibouti
97.6% Savaronola 94.3% 3RD 16-1
96.7% Addikt
Unex Picasso 1ST 15-2
Extremely So
Myraid

1:55 Play Golf Before Racing Handicap Cl6 2m
96.8% * Hada Men 1ST 1-6  OTM   TA   TH 
94.8% Delorain 98.8% 2ND 6-1
94.1% Spiritonthemount 95.0% 3RD 16-1
90.3% Mecox Bay 98.2%
89.7% Always Dixie

2:25 Thousands of Sports Experiences At bluesq.com Handicap Cl5 6f
100.4% * Laffan 101.9% 1ST 11-10  S+C 
99.7% Sunny Side Up 101.2% 3RD 15-2
98.3% Sonsie Lass 100.4% 2ND 16-1
98.1% Abshir Zain 99.3%
97.8% Gulf Storm
97.8% M J Woodward 100.5%
94.1% Bitaphon

2:55 southwell-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Cl6 7f
99.0% Milton Of Campsie 98.4%
98.6% * Jonnie Skull 99.3% 3RD 5-2
98.6% Flow Chart
98.4% Norton Girl 97.5%
96.5% Fathey 97.2%
96.5% Monte Cassino 1ST 6-1
96.4% Crocodile Bay 98.2% 2ND 10-1
96.0% Michael Collins 97.0%
95.9% Striking Willow
93.8% Kheskianto 99.1%
93.0% Twennyshortkid 98.5%
92.7% Bahri Beat 96.3%
92.6% Kwik Time 95.4%
Blazing Apostle

3:25 Visit Nottinghamshire Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m
97.2% Angel Cake 98.8%
96.4% * Ecossaise 99.0% 1ST 3-1  S+C 
95.3% Minnie Diva 98.5%
95.3% Luctor Emergo
Gold Deal
Kuwait Moon
Maxamillion Bounty 2ND 5-1
Pivotal Prospect
Somerset Island
Spin Cast 3RD 2-1

3:55 Play Bingo Free At bluesq.com Handicap Cl5 7f
100.5% * Podgies Boy 1ST 6-1
99.8% Andiamo Via 100.5% 3RD 6-1
99.7% Chookie Avon 100.8%
99.6% Elhamri 99.7%
99.5% Bianca De Medici 100.2% 2ND 11-4
99.5% Goal 98.8%
99.2% El Dececy 99.1%
98.2% Horatio Carter 100.3%
97.2% Cyflymder 101.0%
Catalyze


Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Hello The Actuary

I must admit it's the first time I've seen this thread & personally I don't get involved too much in all-weather racing but I must commend you on the tremendous effort you put in & clearly you have a great knowledge & understanding of all-weather racing. I am certain that loads off gg.com members are finding this to be incredibly useful & benefitting from your work and this again illustrates the strengths & qualities of gg.com - all members prepared & willing to put time & effort in with the aim of helping fellow members achieve betting success & improve their knowledge. You have clearly had some very good results with your work & I commend you for that as I am sure all my fellow gg.com members do. You commented on

"it being a very disappointing last week. if it teaches me anything it will be to take nothing for granted" -

Now you said you made a profit in October so there is no need to worry or feel disappointment at a poor last week because that is the way when you study in depth because you can spend hours working on something only for it to all go wrong in a couple of minutes in a football match or matter of seconds in a horse race - I spend hours studying my football selections each week & yet in recent weeks it has been very frustrating with some poor results but that is not down to me doing things wrong but more to do with the random nature of football dictating that ultimately anything can & will happen. Horse races & football matches are random events that however much we assess & how much detailed analysis we do, the ultimate event is completely out of our control & as you quite rightly said you can take nothing for granted - horses that look certain to win easy run poorly, teams that look certain to win 3 or 4-0 lose 1-0 - that is the nature of sport & that is the nature of betting.As I said, I think the work you are doing is very informative & useful to gg.com members, so on behalf of my fellow members, here is a gg.com salute for you to show our appreciation.

THE ACTUARY - WE SALUTE YOU!!!

All the best with your all-weather bets & if I am considering having a bet on the all-weather I will definitely look for your work first to help me make my mind up.

Tommy

Monday, January 09, 2012

Horse Racing Tips: Southwell 10th January 2011

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Southwell racecourse on the afternoon of Tuesday 10th January 2012. A card of seven races is scheduled to begin at 12:55. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Southwell is forecast to be sunny intervals, mostly cloudy. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.
Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

Southwell (To view the 30 day draw data and running styles CLICK HERE)

12:55 Bet On Winning Distances At bluesq.com Handicap Cl6 1m
100.3% * Spacecraft 100.8% 2ND 5-4
98.5% Aggbag 99.8%
97.5% Very Well Red 98.2% 3RD 11-1
97.3% Vogarth 98.0%
97.1% Noble Attitude 98.4%
97.0% Fearless Poet 98.0%
95.0% Blonde Maite 94.9%
94.8% St Ignatius 99.1% 1ST 15-2
93.6% Just Zak
92.9% Dado Mush 97.4%
Hot Tub

1:25 Book Tickets At southwell-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Cl6 1m4f
100.3% Magic Haze 97.4%
98.5% * Brunello 101.5% 2ND 13-8
98.2% Jibouti
97.6% Savaronola 94.3% 3RD 16-1
96.7% Addikt
Unex Picasso 1ST 15-2
Extremely So
Myraid

1:55 Play Golf Before Racing Handicap Cl6 2m
96.8% * Hada Men 1ST 1-6  OTM   TA   TH 
94.8% Delorain 98.8% 2ND 6-1
94.1% Spiritonthemount 95.0% 3RD 16-1
90.3% Mecox Bay 98.2%
89.7% Always Dixie

2:25 Thousands of Sports Experiences At bluesq.com Handicap Cl5 6f
100.4% * Laffan 101.9% 1ST 11-10  S+C 
99.7% Sunny Side Up 101.2% 3RD 15-2
98.3% Sonsie Lass 100.4% 2ND 16-1
98.1% Abshir Zain 99.3%
97.8% Gulf Storm
97.8% M J Woodward 100.5%
94.1% Bitaphon

2:55 southwell-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Cl6 7f
99.0% Milton Of Campsie 98.4%
98.6% * Jonnie Skull 99.3% 3RD 5-2
98.6% Flow Chart
98.4% Norton Girl 97.5%
96.5% Fathey 97.2%
96.5% Monte Cassino 1ST 6-1
96.4% Crocodile Bay 98.2% 2ND 10-1
96.0% Michael Collins 97.0%
95.9% Striking Willow
93.8% Kheskianto 99.1%
93.0% Twennyshortkid 98.5%
92.7% Bahri Beat 96.3%
92.6% Kwik Time 95.4%
Blazing Apostle

3:25 Visit Nottinghamshire Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m
97.2% Angel Cake 98.8%
96.4% * Ecossaise 99.0% 1ST 3-1  S+C 
95.3% Minnie Diva 98.5%
95.3% Luctor Emergo
Gold Deal
Kuwait Moon
Maxamillion Bounty 2ND 5-1
Pivotal Prospect
Somerset Island
Spin Cast 3RD 2-1

3:55 Play Bingo Free At bluesq.com Handicap Cl5 7f
100.5% * Podgies Boy 1ST 6-1
99.8% Andiamo Via 100.5% 3RD 6-1
99.7% Chookie Avon 100.8%
99.6% Elhamri 99.7%
99.5% Bianca De Medici 100.2% 2ND 11-4
99.5% Goal 98.8%
99.2% El Dececy 99.1%
98.2% Horatio Carter 100.3%
97.2% Cyflymder 101.0%
Catalyze


Posted by at 6:45 PM
Labels: , , , , ,
Horse Racing - Trip Down Memory Lane

As there is no AWT racing until Monday 13th I decided to do some research and while thumbing through some old racing books found an old page from Raceform which bought back a great memory from my past carefully folded within the pages.
How attractive a proposition was Pipssalio. Still a Maiden after 4 outings, its 3 outings as a 2yo read beaten 16 lengths in Class 5 3k Novice, beaten 16 lengths in a Class 6 2k Maiden, Beaten 14 lengths in a Class 4 3k Maiden. 1 outing as a 3yo beaten ½ length in a Class 4 4k Handicap. Looked to be way out of its depth being entered in a Class 3 14k Handicap. Pipssalio was 10lb out of the handicap and the jockey (Francis Norton) was putting up 2lb over weight.

My speed figures told me a different story. In fact I can remember being so bullish I was nailing my colours to the mast on all the forums and to the Raceform. This for me was the outstanding bet of the following day, the outstanding bet of the week and of the month. I went to bed unable to sleep with anticipation for the following day fully confident I would be making a lot of money. As soon as I got up on the day of the race I started checking the prices to ensure the tissue given the evening before was correct. Pipssalio was still 20-1.

The time of the race had arrived and in horror I watched as Pipssalio fell out of the stalls. By the time they had reached half-way in the 1 mile contest it was flat to the boards well adrift of the rest of the field with Franny Norton rowing away and beating the horse to death!

My feelings at the time were partly embarrassment due to the comments I had made on various forums , partly anger and all confidence in my ability to create meaningful speed figures gone in 60 seconds but being the eternal optimist still a slither of hope.

With 2 furlongs to go Pipssalio started to reduce the gap. With a furlong to go the rest of the field started to paddle and Pipssalio appeared to have sprouted wings and was closing on the leaders at an unbelievable rate. As they flashed passed the post Franny Norton had driven Pipssalio between the two leaders to make a three way photo finish. Even though I believed Pipssalio had got there it was going to be on the nod. Pipssalio got the verdict beating 2nd Everest by a short-head who in turn had beaten 3rd Tumbleweed Tor by a short-head.

That is the margin between winning or losing. The difference between the feeling of abject failure and believing you can walk on water.