| 17th November 2014 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 2:10 32Red On The App Store Nursery Handicap (Tapeta) Cl6 1m1f103y | |||||||||
| 99.4% | * | Mikandy | |||||||
| 99.2% | Jolie De Vivre | ||||||||
| 99.0% | New Abbey Dancer | ||||||||
| 98.6% | Avenue Des Champs | ||||||||
| 98.6% | Le Torrent | ❹ | |||||||
| 97.8% | Heavens Above | ||||||||
| 96.7% | Kingston Sassafras | ||||||||
| 96.7% | Smugglers Lane | ||||||||
| 94.4% | Keen Move | ||||||||
| 94.4% | Naval Action | ||||||||
| Offshore | |||||||||
| Youonlyliveonce | |||||||||
| Almost Nowhere | |||||||||
Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Monday 17th November 2014
Like buses all our winners come along together
Well, that was so much better and like buses all our winners come along together. We may have started Saturday with a feeling of de ja vu as
a horse I felt very bullish about, Sexy Secret (opened 5-1) finished 2nd in Lingfield Parks 12:20.
After being backed down to an SP of 2-1, Sexy Secret turned
for home looking very much like the winner only to be worn down by the deposed
favourite Steventon Star. Any anxiety for the day ahead becoming a post hitting day was soon eradicated as 3
point selection Suitsus (opened 4-5), Big Baz (opened 11-4) Intransigent
(opened 7-2) and Battalion (opened 6-1) took the top prizes in the 12:50, 1:25, 2:00
and 2:35 respectively.
There were no sexy prices among our winners but I did feel like it added some respectability
to what had been a trying week.Even in defeat we were given glimmers of hope by our other selections as Dark Side Dream (8-1) and Dianora (11-4) both looked like they had slipped their fields only to be collared late on at Wolverhampton.
A quieter week lies ahead with only 9 meetings and we reconvene
here at 2:10 on Monday in a race where Clive Cox Mikandy takes on Gay Kelleway New Abbey
Dancer, with the former most likely to appreciate the step up in trip on
breeding and add to the 3o% three winners from his last ten runners for Cox..png)
Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 15th November 2014
| 15th November 2014 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 5:45 £20 Risk-Free At Unibet Handicap (Tapeta) Cl5 5f20y | |||||||||
| 100.2% | Bilash | 59 | 99.9% | (1) | |||||
| 100.2% | * | Joyous | 100.2% | (1) | |||||
| 100.0% | Lexington Rose | 74 | |||||||
| 99.8% | West Coast Dream | 69 | |||||||
| 99.8% | Kodafine | 67 | ❷ | ||||||
| 99.8% | Oil Strike | ||||||||
| 99.7% | Simply Black | 65 | 99.1% | (2) | ❾ | ||||
| 99.6% | Dynamo Walt | 60 | 99.7% | (2) | |||||
| 99.5% | Howyadoingnotsobad | 64 | ❷ | ||||||
| 99.1% | Haadeeth | 68 | |||||||
| 99.0% | Electric Qatar | 73 | |||||||
| 98.8% | Alpha Delta Whisky | 67 | |||||||
| 97.1% | Touch The Clouds | ||||||||
Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 15th November 2014
| 15th November 2014 Lingfield Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 11:50 32Red/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes Cl5 1m1y | |||||||||
| 100.5% | * | Natural Nine | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.2% | Prince Of Paris | 65 | ❶ | ||||||
| Chemical Charge | ❷ | ||||||||
| Take Note | ❶ | ||||||||
Biting Bullets stops biting nails
Today marks the end of a busy and so far fruitless week. When
you are busy and winning, the impetus takes care of itself but when you seem to
be continually hitting the post you do get a little punch-drunk. In among the
all too infrequent winners we have amassed, in no particular order 2nd 11-4, 3rd 12-1, 2nd 13-2, 3rd 5-2, 2nd 2-1, 3rd 8-1, 2nd 5-2, 3rd 8-1, 2nd 5-1, 2nd 5-1 and 3rd 9-4.
When Wrood (opened 10-3) dead-heated in Lingfield Parks 1:30
my frustration was reaching boiling point. The late withdraw of 3 point
selection Royal Trooper simply added to my feeling of misery!
Step up Biting Bullets (opened 13-2) in Wolverhampton’s 4:30.
Not only did the win give a small profit on the day, the change in my demeanour
was instant and the kids and wife could stop trembling in their shoes each time
they spoke to me (joke).
After a prolonged winning period stretching back to the end
of August bad periods are so much harder to take and as damaging as a bad
couple of days is to how you approach the next day psychologically, you have to
put bad days in to the perspective of winnings days versus losing days.
There is always the likelihood that today is the day that
accounts for any small losses ;)
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Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 24th November 2014
| 14th November 2014 Dundalk | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 6:15 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden 5f | |||||||||
| 99.8% | * | Belezza Oscura | |||||||
| 98.3% | Well Done Me | 72 | 97.5% | (2) | |||||
| 97.5% | Daisy Bell | 97.0% | (1) | ||||||
| 95.7% | Myia | ||||||||
| 94.6% | Captain K | ||||||||
| A Few Dollars More | |||||||||
| Knoxville Bullet | |||||||||
| Moneen Oasis | |||||||||
| Elliano | |||||||||
| Lariat Loop | |||||||||
Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 14th November 2014
| 14th November 2014 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 4:00 32Red.com Maiden Stakes (Tapeta) Cl5 1m141y | |||||||||
| 99.7% | * | Champagne Bob | |||||||
| 97.7% | Pin Up | 97.3% | (1) | ||||||
| 97.0% | London Mayor | ||||||||
| Amadeity | |||||||||
| Cloud Seven | |||||||||
| Fiesole | |||||||||
| Merton Place | |||||||||
| Mojawiz | |||||||||
| Sneaking Budge | ❷ | ||||||||
| Toofeeg | |||||||||
| Yeats Magic | |||||||||
| Beauchamp Diamond | |||||||||
| Justice Belle | |||||||||
Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 14th November 2014
| 14th November 2014 Lingfield Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 11:55 32Red Casino Nursery Handicap Cl5 7f1y | |||||||||
| 100.1% | * | Dark War | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.6% | Classic Seniority | ||||||||
| 99.6% | British Art | ❶ | |||||||
| 99.0% | Cascading Stars | ❶ | |||||||
| 98.5% | Easy Tiger | 98.2% | (1) | ||||||
| 98.0% | Rock Kristal | ❷ | |||||||
| 96.1% | Ms Eboracum | ❷ | |||||||
| Muhaarib Al Emarat | |||||||||
Southwell horses stopping like they have been shot!
As we constantly see the term ‘Standard’ being broadcast by Clerks
of the Course for All Weather tracks you can be forgiven for assuming that the
deviations in the going must be minimal. I can assure that this is far from the
case.
As I had alluded to in yesterday’s post ‘Racking
up top rated winners at Dundalk’ regarding
my concerns on how the going at Southwells meeting may be detrimental to our selections,
rain on this surface has the opposite affect to what you might suppose.
Although the surfaces are commonly referred to as ‘sand’ giving
the expectation that wet sand will ride quicker than dry, this has never been
the case at Southwell. Whereas the Polytrack surfaces at Lingfield Park and
Kempton Park ride marginally quicker when wet, the Fibresand surface at
Southwell follows the same attributes as turf in becoming slower when wet.
This often manifests itself in horses stopping like theyhave been shot in the final stages of races. Our selection Captain Dunne in
Southwell’s 3:50 being a classic example.
In hindsight, looking at the more surprising winners Reach
The Beach 25-1 and Best Tamayuz 25-1, it is not so surprising to see their best
form coming on Soft \ Good to Soft ground on turf.
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Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 13th November 2014
| 13th November 2014 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 4:20 Betdaq £50 Free Bet Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 7f | |||||||||
| 99.2% | * | Tarragon | |||||||
| 98.1% | Nouveau Foret | 98.1% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 97.9% | Lady Pinnacle | 98.2% | (2) | ||||||
| 97.0% | You Be Lucky | 96.8% | (2) | ❷ | |||||
| 96.9% | Fanny Again | 96.9% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 96.3% | Pacolita | ||||||||
| 96.1% | Vale Of Iron | 96.1% | (1) | ❷ | |||||
| Doctors Papers | ❷ | ||||||||
| Kaufmann | |||||||||
| Logorrheic | ❷ | ||||||||
| Shell Bay | |||||||||
| Irish Belle | ❶ | ||||||||
| Onorina | |||||||||
| Selfrespect | ❷ | ||||||||
Southwell All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 13th November 2014
| 13th November 2014 Southwell | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 12:20 Coral Mobile Just Three Clicks To Bet Handicap Cl5 1m4f | |||||||||
| 102.7% | * | Royal Marskell | 64 | 99.7% | (1) | ||||
| 99.3% | Mr Lando | 99.3% | (1) | ||||||
| 98.9% | Yasir | 67 | 98.8% | (4) | ❶ | ||||
| 98.8% | Reach The Beach | 47 | 98.6% | (2) | |||||
| 98.4% | Solid Justice | ❶ | |||||||
| 98.4% | On Demand | ❷ | |||||||
| 98.0% | Brockfield | 65 | 100.7% | (1) | ❸ | ||||
| 98.0% | Sheila´s Heart | 98.0% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 96.4% | Cascadia | ||||||||
| Montaff | ❶ | ||||||||
| Aristocracy | |||||||||
| Oetzi | |||||||||
| Cape Karli | |||||||||
Racking up top rated winners at Dundalk
Someone forgot to read the script yesterday and I think it
might have been me. With only three races of interest starting with the 6:20. With
Secret Glance (opened 5-2) having poached a 5 length lead and Hills And Dales (opened
7-2) travelling strongly and likely to be the horse most likely to offer a
challenge, a 1st and 2nd looked on the cards. Enter Royal
Silk. Flying in the final furlong from back to front at 33-1 under
Twiston-Davies to spoil the party.
With Star Of The Stage (8-1) only able to finish 3rd
in the 6:50 and the withdraw of Grey Mirage in the 7:20 the day rested on Classic
Mission (13-2) and McBirney (opened 4-1). The latter being backed like defeat
was out of the question.
If the finishing time of the Charlie Hall Chase made us question
the actual distance the race was run over. The last race at Kempton Park left
me questioning whether they had run too far. The race was run in such a
pedestrian pace in the opening stages, you would be forgiven for thinking that
the field were cantering to the start. The end result being a battle up the
straight between Cataria Girl and our selection Classic Mission with the former
holding sway.
While we were hitting the bar continuously at Kempton Park, we
were racking up top rated winners at Dundalk with Wychwood Warrior (3-1),
Sirikoi (1-2), Whaileyy (9-4) and Minot Street (4-1) all scoring.
We have a busy two days ahead with 2 meetings today and 3 on
Friday and although we are looking at what I perceive to be several good, nicely
priced opportunities at Southwell today, I am little concerned over how the
course will run with the change in the weather.
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Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 12th November 2014
| 12th November 2014 Dundalk | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 6:10 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden 7f | |||||||||
| 99.9% | * | Maira | 100.6% | (2) | |||||
| 98.1% | Shine On | ||||||||
| Donna D | |||||||||
| Eldavino | |||||||||
| Gladly | |||||||||
| Plus Ca Change | |||||||||
| Quilting | |||||||||
| Skerray Rules | |||||||||
| Sunlight Of Dubai | |||||||||
| Thywillbedone | |||||||||
Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 12th November 2014
| 12th November 2014 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 4:20 Mix Business And Pleasure At Kempton Handicap Cl7 5f | |||||||||
| 100.2% | * | High Tone | ❶ | ||||||
| 100.0% | Warm Order | 48 | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.4% | Gypsy Rider | 46 | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.2% | Captain Scooby | 67 | 100.0% | (3) | |||||
| 99.1% | Mossgo | 62 | 98.6% | (5) | |||||
| 98.9% | Synonym | ||||||||
| 98.1% | Sannibel | 65 | 99.9% | (1) | ❶ | ||||
| 98.0% | Volcanic Dust | 59 | 98.9% | (7) | |||||
| 97.7% | Island Express | 53 | |||||||
| 96.4% | Twilight Angel | ||||||||
We are unlikely to get the same generous 25-1 next time out!
If ending Friday with a 20-1 winner and then having a
cessation of All Weather fixtures until Monday afternoon left subscribers
counting down the hours, the anticipation of waiting another All Weather free day
after an unsatisfactory Monday is even greater.
Jim Crowley riding two of our earlier selections gave
Oriental Splendour (opened 5-1) a mountain to climb in the opener. The
selection finished fastest of all its rivals, but even the long straight at
Kempton Park wasn't long enough to allow Oriental Splendour time to gather in
Hugh Taylor's pick Anastazia.
Kung Hei Fat Choy, also ridden by Crowley was never put in
to the race and wasn't even ridden out in the final furlong and a half. The
assumption is that this was no more than a warm up for its return to Southwell
in the near future where 3 of its 6 wins have been claimed. I would also expect
that Jim Crowley will NOT be on board.
I checked and double checked the C&D rating for Nigel’s
Destiny in the 4:20 only to find that it stood up to closer scrutiny. Loathed
to act based upon one C&D run, I favoured Set The Trend who looked a tired
horse in running and ready for a rest after 4 races in 18 days. As my C&D
rating suggested, the time performance by Nigel’s Destiny was a cut above
everything else on a card where the 7 other races all returned times hovering
around standard. The proximity of Semeral to the winner makes for two horses
for the notebook.
Although we suffered a loss in the 4:50 with our selection
Golden Emerald (opened 25-1) who was beaten in to third by two un-rated horses:
Mahsoob & Razor Wind. The distance
the three put between themselves and the remainder of the field is worthy of
note if we see the first two home back on this surface over the winter. Golden Emerald
unfortunately has been exposed by the run and although I see this horse as a
winner in waiting, we are unlikely to get the same generous 25-1 next time out.
Our light at the end of the tunnel was Larghetto (opened
3-1) in the last. After knocking on the door over 6f at Wolverhampton LTO,
Larghetto has now shown the versatility to win over 6f, 7f and 1 mile. All wins
have been within the scope of 0-60, but the manner of this victory would
suggest potential to win with the penalty preferably back up to a mile.
Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Monday 10th November 2014
| 10th November 2014 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 2:15 Download The BetVictor App Now Nursery Handicap Cl5 6f | |||||||||
| 100.0% | * | Oriental Splendour | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.8% | The Dapper Tapper | ❷ | |||||||
| 99.4% | You´re Cool | 65 | ❶ | ||||||
| 98.5% | Entente | ||||||||
| 98.5% | True Course | ❶ | |||||||
| 98.4% | Just Because | 95.7% | (1) | ||||||
| 97.7% | Chevallier | ❶ | |||||||
| 97.1% | Anastazia | 96.9% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| Stocking | ❶ | ||||||||
| Mrs Eve | |||||||||
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Monday, November 17, 2014
Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Monday 17th November 2014
| 17th November 2014 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 2:10 32Red On The App Store Nursery Handicap (Tapeta) Cl6 1m1f103y | |||||||||
| 99.4% | * | Mikandy | |||||||
| 99.2% | Jolie De Vivre | ||||||||
| 99.0% | New Abbey Dancer | ||||||||
| 98.6% | Avenue Des Champs | ||||||||
| 98.6% | Le Torrent | ❹ | |||||||
| 97.8% | Heavens Above | ||||||||
| 96.7% | Kingston Sassafras | ||||||||
| 96.7% | Smugglers Lane | ||||||||
| 94.4% | Keen Move | ||||||||
| 94.4% | Naval Action | ||||||||
| Offshore | |||||||||
| Youonlyliveonce | |||||||||
| Almost Nowhere | |||||||||
Sunday, November 16, 2014
Like buses all our winners come along together
Well, that was so much better and like buses all our winners come along together. We may have started Saturday with a feeling of de ja vu as
a horse I felt very bullish about, Sexy Secret (opened 5-1) finished 2nd in Lingfield Parks 12:20.
After being backed down to an SP of 2-1, Sexy Secret turned
for home looking very much like the winner only to be worn down by the deposed
favourite Steventon Star. Any anxiety for the day ahead becoming a post hitting day was soon eradicated as 3
point selection Suitsus (opened 4-5), Big Baz (opened 11-4) Intransigent
(opened 7-2) and Battalion (opened 6-1) took the top prizes in the 12:50, 1:25, 2:00
and 2:35 respectively.There were no sexy prices among our winners but I did feel like it added some respectability
to what had been a trying week.Even in defeat we were given glimmers of hope by our other selections as Dark Side Dream (8-1) and Dianora (11-4) both looked like they had slipped their fields only to be collared late on at Wolverhampton.
A quieter week lies ahead with only 9 meetings and we reconvene
here at 2:10 on Monday in a race where Clive Cox Mikandy takes on Gay Kelleway New Abbey
Dancer, with the former most likely to appreciate the step up in trip on
breeding and add to the 3o% three winners from his last ten runners for Cox.Saturday, November 15, 2014
Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 15th November 2014
| 15th November 2014 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 5:45 £20 Risk-Free At Unibet Handicap (Tapeta) Cl5 5f20y | |||||||||
| 100.2% | Bilash | 59 | 99.9% | (1) | |||||
| 100.2% | * | Joyous | 100.2% | (1) | |||||
| 100.0% | Lexington Rose | 74 | |||||||
| 99.8% | West Coast Dream | 69 | |||||||
| 99.8% | Kodafine | 67 | ❷ | ||||||
| 99.8% | Oil Strike | ||||||||
| 99.7% | Simply Black | 65 | 99.1% | (2) | ❾ | ||||
| 99.6% | Dynamo Walt | 60 | 99.7% | (2) | |||||
| 99.5% | Howyadoingnotsobad | 64 | ❷ | ||||||
| 99.1% | Haadeeth | 68 | |||||||
| 99.0% | Electric Qatar | 73 | |||||||
| 98.8% | Alpha Delta Whisky | 67 | |||||||
| 97.1% | Touch The Clouds | ||||||||
Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 15th November 2014
| 15th November 2014 Lingfield Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 11:50 32Red/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes Cl5 1m1y | |||||||||
| 100.5% | * | Natural Nine | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.2% | Prince Of Paris | 65 | ❶ | ||||||
| Chemical Charge | ❷ | ||||||||
| Take Note | ❶ | ||||||||
Biting Bullets stops biting nails
Today marks the end of a busy and so far fruitless week. When
you are busy and winning, the impetus takes care of itself but when you seem to
be continually hitting the post you do get a little punch-drunk. In among the
all too infrequent winners we have amassed, in no particular order 2nd 11-4, 3rd 12-1, 2nd 13-2, 3rd 5-2, 2nd 2-1, 3rd 8-1, 2nd 5-2, 3rd 8-1, 2nd 5-1, 2nd 5-1 and 3rd 9-4.
When Wrood (opened 10-3) dead-heated in Lingfield Parks 1:30
my frustration was reaching boiling point. The late withdraw of 3 point
selection Royal Trooper simply added to my feeling of misery!
Step up Biting Bullets (opened 13-2) in Wolverhampton’s 4:30.
Not only did the win give a small profit on the day, the change in my demeanour
was instant and the kids and wife could stop trembling in their shoes each time
they spoke to me (joke).
After a prolonged winning period stretching back to the end
of August bad periods are so much harder to take and as damaging as a bad
couple of days is to how you approach the next day psychologically, you have to
put bad days in to the perspective of winnings days versus losing days.
There is always the likelihood that today is the day that
accounts for any small losses ;)
Friday, November 14, 2014
Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 24th November 2014
| 14th November 2014 Dundalk | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 6:15 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden 5f | |||||||||
| 99.8% | * | Belezza Oscura | |||||||
| 98.3% | Well Done Me | 72 | 97.5% | (2) | |||||
| 97.5% | Daisy Bell | 97.0% | (1) | ||||||
| 95.7% | Myia | ||||||||
| 94.6% | Captain K | ||||||||
| A Few Dollars More | |||||||||
| Knoxville Bullet | |||||||||
| Moneen Oasis | |||||||||
| Elliano | |||||||||
| Lariat Loop | |||||||||
Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 14th November 2014
| 14th November 2014 Wolverhampton | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 4:00 32Red.com Maiden Stakes (Tapeta) Cl5 1m141y | |||||||||
| 99.7% | * | Champagne Bob | |||||||
| 97.7% | Pin Up | 97.3% | (1) | ||||||
| 97.0% | London Mayor | ||||||||
| Amadeity | |||||||||
| Cloud Seven | |||||||||
| Fiesole | |||||||||
| Merton Place | |||||||||
| Mojawiz | |||||||||
| Sneaking Budge | ❷ | ||||||||
| Toofeeg | |||||||||
| Yeats Magic | |||||||||
| Beauchamp Diamond | |||||||||
| Justice Belle | |||||||||
Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 14th November 2014
| 14th November 2014 Lingfield Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 11:55 32Red Casino Nursery Handicap Cl5 7f1y | |||||||||
| 100.1% | * | Dark War | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.6% | Classic Seniority | ||||||||
| 99.6% | British Art | ❶ | |||||||
| 99.0% | Cascading Stars | ❶ | |||||||
| 98.5% | Easy Tiger | 98.2% | (1) | ||||||
| 98.0% | Rock Kristal | ❷ | |||||||
| 96.1% | Ms Eboracum | ❷ | |||||||
| Muhaarib Al Emarat | |||||||||
Southwell horses stopping like they have been shot!
As we constantly see the term ‘Standard’ being broadcast by Clerks
of the Course for All Weather tracks you can be forgiven for assuming that the
deviations in the going must be minimal. I can assure that this is far from the
case.
As I had alluded to in yesterday’s post ‘Racking
up top rated winners at Dundalk’ regarding
my concerns on how the going at Southwells meeting may be detrimental to our selections,
rain on this surface has the opposite affect to what you might suppose.
Although the surfaces are commonly referred to as ‘sand’ giving
the expectation that wet sand will ride quicker than dry, this has never been
the case at Southwell. Whereas the Polytrack surfaces at Lingfield Park and
Kempton Park ride marginally quicker when wet, the Fibresand surface at
Southwell follows the same attributes as turf in becoming slower when wet.
This often manifests itself in horses stopping like theyhave been shot in the final stages of races. Our selection Captain Dunne in
Southwell’s 3:50 being a classic example.
In hindsight, looking at the more surprising winners Reach
The Beach 25-1 and Best Tamayuz 25-1, it is not so surprising to see their best
form coming on Soft \ Good to Soft ground on turf.
Thursday, November 13, 2014
Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 13th November 2014
| 13th November 2014 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 4:20 Betdaq £50 Free Bet Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 7f | |||||||||
| 99.2% | * | Tarragon | |||||||
| 98.1% | Nouveau Foret | 98.1% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 97.9% | Lady Pinnacle | 98.2% | (2) | ||||||
| 97.0% | You Be Lucky | 96.8% | (2) | ❷ | |||||
| 96.9% | Fanny Again | 96.9% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 96.3% | Pacolita | ||||||||
| 96.1% | Vale Of Iron | 96.1% | (1) | ❷ | |||||
| Doctors Papers | ❷ | ||||||||
| Kaufmann | |||||||||
| Logorrheic | ❷ | ||||||||
| Shell Bay | |||||||||
| Irish Belle | ❶ | ||||||||
| Onorina | |||||||||
| Selfrespect | ❷ | ||||||||
Southwell All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 13th November 2014
| 13th November 2014 Southwell | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 12:20 Coral Mobile Just Three Clicks To Bet Handicap Cl5 1m4f | |||||||||
| 102.7% | * | Royal Marskell | 64 | 99.7% | (1) | ||||
| 99.3% | Mr Lando | 99.3% | (1) | ||||||
| 98.9% | Yasir | 67 | 98.8% | (4) | ❶ | ||||
| 98.8% | Reach The Beach | 47 | 98.6% | (2) | |||||
| 98.4% | Solid Justice | ❶ | |||||||
| 98.4% | On Demand | ❷ | |||||||
| 98.0% | Brockfield | 65 | 100.7% | (1) | ❸ | ||||
| 98.0% | Sheila´s Heart | 98.0% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| 96.4% | Cascadia | ||||||||
| Montaff | ❶ | ||||||||
| Aristocracy | |||||||||
| Oetzi | |||||||||
| Cape Karli | |||||||||
Racking up top rated winners at Dundalk
Someone forgot to read the script yesterday and I think it
might have been me. With only three races of interest starting with the 6:20. With
Secret Glance (opened 5-2) having poached a 5 length lead and Hills And Dales (opened
7-2) travelling strongly and likely to be the horse most likely to offer a
challenge, a 1st and 2nd looked on the cards. Enter Royal
Silk. Flying in the final furlong from back to front at 33-1 under
Twiston-Davies to spoil the party.
With Star Of The Stage (8-1) only able to finish 3rd
in the 6:50 and the withdraw of Grey Mirage in the 7:20 the day rested on Classic
Mission (13-2) and McBirney (opened 4-1). The latter being backed like defeat
was out of the question.
If the finishing time of the Charlie Hall Chase made us question
the actual distance the race was run over. The last race at Kempton Park left
me questioning whether they had run too far. The race was run in such a
pedestrian pace in the opening stages, you would be forgiven for thinking that
the field were cantering to the start. The end result being a battle up the
straight between Cataria Girl and our selection Classic Mission with the former
holding sway.
While we were hitting the bar continuously at Kempton Park, we
were racking up top rated winners at Dundalk with Wychwood Warrior (3-1),
Sirikoi (1-2), Whaileyy (9-4) and Minot Street (4-1) all scoring.
We have a busy two days ahead with 2 meetings today and 3 on
Friday and although we are looking at what I perceive to be several good, nicely
priced opportunities at Southwell today, I am little concerned over how the
course will run with the change in the weather.
Wednesday, November 12, 2014
Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 12th November 2014
| 12th November 2014 Dundalk | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 6:10 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden 7f | |||||||||
| 99.9% | * | Maira | 100.6% | (2) | |||||
| 98.1% | Shine On | ||||||||
| Donna D | |||||||||
| Eldavino | |||||||||
| Gladly | |||||||||
| Plus Ca Change | |||||||||
| Quilting | |||||||||
| Skerray Rules | |||||||||
| Sunlight Of Dubai | |||||||||
| Thywillbedone | |||||||||
Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 12th November 2014
| 12th November 2014 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 4:20 Mix Business And Pleasure At Kempton Handicap Cl7 5f | |||||||||
| 100.2% | * | High Tone | ❶ | ||||||
| 100.0% | Warm Order | 48 | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.4% | Gypsy Rider | 46 | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.2% | Captain Scooby | 67 | 100.0% | (3) | |||||
| 99.1% | Mossgo | 62 | 98.6% | (5) | |||||
| 98.9% | Synonym | ||||||||
| 98.1% | Sannibel | 65 | 99.9% | (1) | ❶ | ||||
| 98.0% | Volcanic Dust | 59 | 98.9% | (7) | |||||
| 97.7% | Island Express | 53 | |||||||
| 96.4% | Twilight Angel | ||||||||
Tuesday, November 11, 2014
We are unlikely to get the same generous 25-1 next time out!
If ending Friday with a 20-1 winner and then having a
cessation of All Weather fixtures until Monday afternoon left subscribers
counting down the hours, the anticipation of waiting another All Weather free day
after an unsatisfactory Monday is even greater.
Jim Crowley riding two of our earlier selections gave
Oriental Splendour (opened 5-1) a mountain to climb in the opener. The
selection finished fastest of all its rivals, but even the long straight at
Kempton Park wasn't long enough to allow Oriental Splendour time to gather in
Hugh Taylor's pick Anastazia.
Kung Hei Fat Choy, also ridden by Crowley was never put in
to the race and wasn't even ridden out in the final furlong and a half. The
assumption is that this was no more than a warm up for its return to Southwell
in the near future where 3 of its 6 wins have been claimed. I would also expect
that Jim Crowley will NOT be on board.
I checked and double checked the C&D rating for Nigel’s
Destiny in the 4:20 only to find that it stood up to closer scrutiny. Loathed
to act based upon one C&D run, I favoured Set The Trend who looked a tired
horse in running and ready for a rest after 4 races in 18 days. As my C&D
rating suggested, the time performance by Nigel’s Destiny was a cut above
everything else on a card where the 7 other races all returned times hovering
around standard. The proximity of Semeral to the winner makes for two horses
for the notebook.
Although we suffered a loss in the 4:50 with our selection
Golden Emerald (opened 25-1) who was beaten in to third by two un-rated horses:
Mahsoob & Razor Wind. The distance
the three put between themselves and the remainder of the field is worthy of
note if we see the first two home back on this surface over the winter. Golden Emerald
unfortunately has been exposed by the run and although I see this horse as a
winner in waiting, we are unlikely to get the same generous 25-1 next time out.
Our light at the end of the tunnel was Larghetto (opened
3-1) in the last. After knocking on the door over 6f at Wolverhampton LTO,
Larghetto has now shown the versatility to win over 6f, 7f and 1 mile. All wins
have been within the scope of 0-60, but the manner of this victory would
suggest potential to win with the penalty preferably back up to a mile.
Monday, November 10, 2014
Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Monday 10th November 2014
| 10th November 2014 Kempton Park | |||||||||
| The Actuary All Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions. | |||||||||
| 2:15 Download The BetVictor App Now Nursery Handicap Cl5 6f | |||||||||
| 100.0% | * | Oriental Splendour | ❶ | ||||||
| 99.8% | The Dapper Tapper | ❷ | |||||||
| 99.4% | You´re Cool | 65 | ❶ | ||||||
| 98.5% | Entente | ||||||||
| 98.5% | True Course | ❶ | |||||||
| 98.4% | Just Because | 95.7% | (1) | ||||||
| 97.7% | Chevallier | ❶ | |||||||
| 97.1% | Anastazia | 96.9% | (1) | ❶ | |||||
| Stocking | ❶ | ||||||||
| Mrs Eve | |||||||||
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