All Weather or National Hunt for your Sporting Life this winter?

With only a handful of ‘Turf Flat’ meetings left on the horse racing calendar we have the choice of turning our attention to All Weather Horse Racing or the National Hunt. The news that Chelmsford City (Great Leighs) will be hosting 57 day and evening ‘All Weather’ meetings, Kempton Park day and evening ‘All Weather’ meetings, Lingfield Park, Southwell, Wolverhampton day and evening ‘All Weather’ meetings and the introduction of ‘All Weather’ horse racing at Newcastle and Catterick looming ever nearer, there is no doubt that racing on an artificial surface is going to become harder to ignore.

   

The alternative of the National Hunt, with small fields but for a handful of major events which have become ‘Bookie Benefits’, short priced winners, littered with abandonments, where less than a handful of jockeys ride the majority of winners and one particular jockey rides 25% of his mounts to victory. As attractive a spectacle as the National Hunt may be, as a profitable betting medium, I feel NOT!

For those readers of this blog that do not subscribe, I thought this a good time to show you what is on offer as a subscriber to The Actuary All Weather Horse Racing Tips and the potential that can be tapped into if you are considering where to focus your attention this winter.

• Before the Bookmakers have priced up the next days ‘All Weather’ meetings you receive the selections email. The emphasis is to take the opening shows on each selection:

Example of email sent to subscribers at 12:07 on Friday 3rd October 2014 for racing on Saturday 4th October 2014:

• The number of selections vary each day as they are dependent on methodical selection processes. On rare occasions there can be NO selections.

• ‘The Actuary currently offers 4 methodical selection process, each profitable in their own right: ‘Trip Handicap’, ‘On The Money’, ‘The Actuary’ and ‘Speed & Class’.

• To emulate the 7 years of profit made by ‘The Actuary’ once the markets are open (around 5:00 pm the evening before for Handicaps – Around 8:00 am the next morning for non-handicaps, you place 1 point per selection under each heading at the best price on offer from any BOG (Best Offer Guarantee Bookmaker).  

• BOG Explained: If you back a selection at an opening show of 6-1 and it drifts during the day to an SP of 10-1, you will be paid at 10-1. If you back a selection at an opening show of 6-1 and it shortens to an SP of 4-1, you will be paid at 6-1   

• Example with prices taken:

9-2 2 points win Evacusafe Lady WOLV 5:25

5-1 2 points win Fruit Pastille WOLV 8:30

10-3 2 points win Tinghir WOLV 7:30

5-1 1 point win Devilment WOLV 7:30

5-4 1 point win Emirates Joy WOLV 6:00

50-1 1 point win Zeteah WOLV 6:00 

3-1 1 point win Ar Colleen Aine WOLV 6:30 

• In the example above we have two selections in both the 6:00 and 7:30. Although this is not ideal, I have found to my cost that attempting to favour one selection over another is unwise. As there are 4 selection methods there can be the odd occasions where there are up to 4 selections. Most recently:

• In the example above we have 3 selections under one method. Unfortunately, my advice is the bet would still be 1 point per selection and not the successful ‘Tri-cast’ ;(

That is it in a nutshell! If you are considering subscribing and have further questions please feel free to drop me a line at theactuary@ymail.com.

GOOD LUCK