THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 26th March KEMPTON PARK- 27th March WOLVERHAMPTON- 29th March WOLVERHAMPTON - 30th March LINGFIELD PARK, KEMPTON PARK & SOUTHWELL - 31st March WOLVERHAMPTON & CHELMSFORD CITY - 1ST aPRIL LINGFIELD PARK & WOLVERHAMPTON - 2nd April KEMPTON PARK -

142 races and a 87% strike rate!

After 142 races on the Tapeta surface at Wolverhampton we now have 124 winners having come from the highest half of the draw and only 18 from the lower half! That is marginally above 87% from the higher half, and still pundits and commentators are suggesting that the wide draws are less than favourable!

There were a few draw exceptions to the rule on Saturdays Wolverhampton card. Random took the opener in a 13 runner event from draw 7, in a 10 runner event, Cartmell Cleave from draw 4 prevail over our selection a very unlucky second Lyfka (11). After blowing the start, Luke Morris ended up on the rail from stall 11 causing Lyfka to be trapped, paddling, behind the two pace setters Ar Colleen Aine and Treaty Of York as they folded causing Lyfka to lose momentum before having to come around not just those two, but three, as the eventual winner Cartmell Cleave closed them down. Once back in full stride, Lyfka closed all the way to the line to finish second by 2.1/2 lengths. A margin that was far less than the momentum lost.

The second exception being in the very next with the rarity of a horse draw in 1. This was not too much of a surprise considering the horse, Encore D’or was 4-9! We then returned to business as usual with draw 5 in an 8 runner event followed by our 2 point selection advised at 5-1 Lola Montez scoring from draw 9 in 13 runner race. I am sure several subscribers broke in to Barry Manilows - Coca-cabana after the race! Draw 9 again in the 8:20 in an 11 runner event.

Now we have a true exception in the 8:50 and I think a horse to take note off. Winner Bailiwick led early against the rail before relinquishing the lead while still running the rail. Bailiwick also delivered its challenge coming down the inside while edging off the rail in the final furlong. Having raced only once previously back in September finishing second by 4 lengths, doing all its best work late on after a sluggish start (excusable on debut) this performance albeit in a moderate time I feel should be upgraded.

We then finished off with draw 7 prevailing in a 8 horse race J

I will apologise now, if necessary for the number of selections for tomorrow, but as in previous posts I have found it wiser not to over analyse to arrive at a single selection when margins are so tight and we will go in to the meeting with 2 selections in the 6:30, 3 in the 9:00 (yes that’s three!) among 3 other single selections if they all stand their ground.


Have fun today with the remaining 2 meetings and the exchange down ;( it must be Monday!  


Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Monday, October 13, 2014

142 races and a 87% strike rate!

After 142 races on the Tapeta surface at Wolverhampton we now have 124 winners having come from the highest half of the draw and only 18 from the lower half! That is marginally above 87% from the higher half, and still pundits and commentators are suggesting that the wide draws are less than favourable!

There were a few draw exceptions to the rule on Saturdays Wolverhampton card. Random took the opener in a 13 runner event from draw 7, in a 10 runner event, Cartmell Cleave from draw 4 prevail over our selection a very unlucky second Lyfka (11). After blowing the start, Luke Morris ended up on the rail from stall 11 causing Lyfka to be trapped, paddling, behind the two pace setters Ar Colleen Aine and Treaty Of York as they folded causing Lyfka to lose momentum before having to come around not just those two, but three, as the eventual winner Cartmell Cleave closed them down. Once back in full stride, Lyfka closed all the way to the line to finish second by 2.1/2 lengths. A margin that was far less than the momentum lost.

The second exception being in the very next with the rarity of a horse draw in 1. This was not too much of a surprise considering the horse, Encore D’or was 4-9! We then returned to business as usual with draw 5 in an 8 runner event followed by our 2 point selection advised at 5-1 Lola Montez scoring from draw 9 in 13 runner race. I am sure several subscribers broke in to Barry Manilows - Coca-cabana after the race! Draw 9 again in the 8:20 in an 11 runner event.

Now we have a true exception in the 8:50 and I think a horse to take note off. Winner Bailiwick led early against the rail before relinquishing the lead while still running the rail. Bailiwick also delivered its challenge coming down the inside while edging off the rail in the final furlong. Having raced only once previously back in September finishing second by 4 lengths, doing all its best work late on after a sluggish start (excusable on debut) this performance albeit in a moderate time I feel should be upgraded.

We then finished off with draw 7 prevailing in a 8 horse race J

I will apologise now, if necessary for the number of selections for tomorrow, but as in previous posts I have found it wiser not to over analyse to arrive at a single selection when margins are so tight and we will go in to the meeting with 2 selections in the 6:30, 3 in the 9:00 (yes that’s three!) among 3 other single selections if they all stand their ground.


Have fun today with the remaining 2 meetings and the exchange down ;( it must be Monday!