It never ceases to amaze me at the number of jockeys that appear to be oblivious to the importance of staying off the inside rail at Southwell. You may be a little more forgiving to the lesser experienced Shirley Birkett on her ride on 2 point subscriber selection Sheila’s Heart who was ridden, almost the entire trip, hard up against Southwell's inside running rail. Given the proximity to the winner that Daniel Tudhope found himself at the line on 40-1 Zephyr I find unforgivable. There may be occasions where a jockey is given little choice in larger fields, but in a 4 horse race, to come down the rail where the surface runs so deep that it would easily account for far more than the beaten 1.1/2 length deficit .
Running the rail may have also been the undoing of Hugh Taylor’s selection Returntobrecongill in the 4:35, although having recorded an extremely impressive LTO speed figure of 104.8, my top rated Arr’ Kid was always going to be a tough nut to crack and subscribers took full of advantage of Paddy Powers generosity in their 4-1 opening show.
As we have the joys of another meeting at Southwell today I am sure that you could fill your boots playing on the exchange ‘in running’ markets simply by laying those horse whose jockeys chose the fool-hardy route of racing against the rail.
I am hopeful that there should no shortage of opportunities in the coming three days with a total of 9 meetings on the All Weather, and playing those horses that have an average rating which exceeds that of the top rated LTO is always an attractive play. Those falling in that category today include Pick A Little 4:20 Southwell, Goodlukin Lucy 5:20 Southwell, Light From Mars 8:00 Kempton Park. More tentative due to having previously only raced once over C&D would be Comedy House 7:00 and Steelriver 8:30 at Kempton Park.
Of our two ‘Profile’ horses yesterday, Alumina was certainly not too hard to find but it was disappointing that Adili in the previous race accounted for the odds on favourite Sir Frank Morgan with consummate ease only to be beaten by 29 race maiden Teajaybe. We have three profile horses today which are yours by adding your email below. If you have already submitted your email just navigate to the usual link.
Have a great day Guys
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