A day of rest before tomorrow’s double header so a good time
to cover off why yesterdays ‘On The Money’ selection Mosman advised at 14-1 was
an exceptional proposition for subscribers. For me this was one of the best
bets of the year with everything making sense and falling in to place in this
race. A rarity indeed!
It also gives an insight in to the lengths a trainer goes
through to get that win and why it was backed from 14-1 down to an SP of 8-1 ;)
Here is the form line for Mossman:
Although it would appear from the Racing Post that Mosman
had raced over C&D on three previous occasions before last night’s win, in
fact, it was only once as a 2yo on the 17th December. The subsequent
runs on the 28th December 2012 and 11th Jan 2013 Mosman
raced over 1m 141yds and not 1m 1f 103 yds. With almost a furlong (220 yds)
between these distances, yet both distances register as 9f with Racing Post. Something to
be weary of over this trip!
There is no doubt that these races are where Mosman has been most
competitive finishing placed on all three races although still a maiden. Fergus
Sweeney was the jockey on all three occasions and there is no doubt now of the
significance of his booking last night.
The real give away for me was in my raw speed figures before
adjustment placing Mosman ahead of the field over C&D in a race won off a
faster pace than Dubai Destination and Poppy Bond had shown to be comfortable with. Add in
to consideration this time was recorded as a 2yo you would expect to see a
level of improvement at the backend of its 3yo career. You would be forgiven
for assuming that no improvement had been made as Mosman once given its mark of
66 for the race on 28th December 2012 is then cleverly placed to
drop this mark. Competing on 4 occasions over inadequate trips in better class including
over 6 furlongs.
Last night Mosman was reacquainted with Fergus Sweeney, was
dropped in class, was running off a mark of 55 and was running for the first
time back over a trip which saw it record one of its best time performance.
Mischief managed, a 10 race maiden gets off the mark!
Have a good Sunday J
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