October ended with a luckless couple of days with its only
saving grace being a 21.13 point profit. Although disappointing when compared
with September I am reminded that in 2012 it was our worst month.
As I view October
as almost a transitional period as the turf flat season splutters to its end and
trainers start to consider which of their horses will be campaigned through the
Winter on the All Weather. In hindsight, perhaps our small profit should be
seen in a more positive light.
Psychologically, the end of a month, or the start of a new
one always gives me fresh impetus which I feel you continually need in this
game. In the same way I didn't want September to end, I am glad October has
come to a close.
Work has carried on through October regarding ‘Pace and
Going’ ratings and they are starting to take on a life of their own and I can’t
remember being more excited by what they are producing, day in, day out in all
my years of Speed Handicapping.
Whereas previously I would look at some race results with skepticism when the first three home are filled with high priced horses I am now getting
an understanding (in most cases) of why. In fact the more I think about this
mode of analysis the more aware I become of the number of imponderables it
resolves.
Some examples from yesterday that need little explanation:
Modernism 3-1
Sonnetation 9-2
Killing Time 5-2
Forest Edge 20-1
One Last Dream 16-1
Sweet Vintage 12-1
Wolverhampton’s figures for tonight will be posted to the
member area shortly.
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