THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 26th March KEMPTON PARK- 27th March WOLVERHAMPTON- 29th March WOLVERHAMPTON - 30th March LINGFIELD PARK, KEMPTON PARK & SOUTHWELL - 31st March WOLVERHAMPTON & CHELMSFORD CITY - 1ST aPRIL LINGFIELD PARK & WOLVERHAMPTON - 2nd April KEMPTON PARK -

Surface, Sires, Statistics and Southwell

With three meetings planned at Southwell this week I thought I would take the time to mark your card regarding 'The Actuary Sire Rating' that accompany the speed figures.

I fully concur with the theoretical thinking that the progeny inherit the traits of their Sire and Dam, albeit to varying degrees. History suggests that this theory is even more prevalent at Southwell due to the unique nature of the surface.

There is no doubt that several trainers use the courses testing surface to build the stamina of their horses rather than to compete, so when a horse appears with a high sire rating at Southwell it is well worth taking note and if a good fit is found we are left assuming there is serious intent by the trainer.

I am not suggesting that having a high Sire rating gives a horse a divine right to win a race and equally, would view low ratings as inconsequential. The premise behind offering the rating was primarily to recognise a horses potential when unrated by 'The Actuary Speed Figures' having not previously raced on the surface.

I am sure there could be a great debate and compelling arguments on compiling 'Sire' stats. For me, the parameters are 'Surface' + 'Distance' + 'Class'

A race of note tomorrow is Southwell's 6:15

6:15 Ladbrokes Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m
Akeed Dubawi 
Reminisce 
China Creek 
Georgian Firebird 
Heroes Welcome 







A field of 3yo Maidens, un raced on the surface with only the one horse with a sire rating. Akeed Dubawi , progeny of Dubawi who has a record of 46% from 26 races in Class 5 run over 1 mile at Southwell.


We have no market at present but I am hopeful given the ratings of the 'Official Handicapper' that we may get a reasonable price. 

Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Monday, August 26, 2013

Surface, Sires, Statistics and Southwell

With three meetings planned at Southwell this week I thought I would take the time to mark your card regarding 'The Actuary Sire Rating' that accompany the speed figures.

I fully concur with the theoretical thinking that the progeny inherit the traits of their Sire and Dam, albeit to varying degrees. History suggests that this theory is even more prevalent at Southwell due to the unique nature of the surface.

There is no doubt that several trainers use the courses testing surface to build the stamina of their horses rather than to compete, so when a horse appears with a high sire rating at Southwell it is well worth taking note and if a good fit is found we are left assuming there is serious intent by the trainer.

I am not suggesting that having a high Sire rating gives a horse a divine right to win a race and equally, would view low ratings as inconsequential. The premise behind offering the rating was primarily to recognise a horses potential when unrated by 'The Actuary Speed Figures' having not previously raced on the surface.

I am sure there could be a great debate and compelling arguments on compiling 'Sire' stats. For me, the parameters are 'Surface' + 'Distance' + 'Class'

A race of note tomorrow is Southwell's 6:15

6:15 Ladbrokes Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m
Akeed Dubawi 
Reminisce 
China Creek 
Georgian Firebird 
Heroes Welcome 







A field of 3yo Maidens, un raced on the surface with only the one horse with a sire rating. Akeed Dubawi , progeny of Dubawi who has a record of 46% from 26 races in Class 5 run over 1 mile at Southwell.


We have no market at present but I am hopeful given the ratings of the 'Official Handicapper' that we may get a reasonable price.