It was a rather an unusual scenario yesterday with both subscribers selections being 3
pointers on the Lingfield Park evening card. 2 x 3 point selections
that were bordering on 4 point selections as both race types were just under
the bar selections for the 'On The Money' criteria.
It is very difficult under such circumstances not to
analysis, perhaps over analyze the chances of both which is what I fell foul to.
With FATHSTA, I became dubious over the trip, the change of
jockey and the draw of a horse that will show its hand late therefore unlikely to
be able to gain control of the turf courses 'Golden Highway'.
With ZERO GAME, my concerns centered around the inexperience and
record at Lingfield Park of the female jockey in among seasoned veterans. As
all 4 runs on the surface had previously been over Wolverhampton's extended
mile (2 runs) and extended 9f (2 runs) the trip was also an obvious concern.
Pre race: if I was to pin my colours to the mast of either, it
would have been firmly with FATHSTA.
The first turf raced did little to strengthen my convictions
as Pucon grabbed 'The Golden Highway' to score at 14-1, We Have A Dream did the
same in FATHSTA's race. King Of Wing drawn 8 slowly worked its way to 'The
Golden Highway' in the fourth. This may suggest that the performance of Hiking
who took the third, racing one off the rail may well go underrated.
All of my fears with ZERO GAME failed to materialise as we
witnessed a pillar to post masterful ride by Louis Steward, making good use of
the stamina of our selection in what became a point and shoot victory.
There are times when if you look hard enough you can always
find a reason to get a horse beaten. KING OF WING 7-1, ZERO GAME 3-1 and ELUSIVE WATERS 5-2 would
suggest that there is good reason simply to trust in the figures :)
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