Prominence still the key at Kempton Park

After such a good June for The Actuary Horse Racing Tips the expectation levels were high for the 4 selections on last nights Kempton Park card. I wouldn't say I was bullish about the selections in the first, more quietly confident.

If the result was bad for me it was some what worst for George Downing who ended up under the hooves of Scarborough Lily, one of the selections putting pay to her chance. While the other selection Blue Deer, unable to get balanced quickly enough off the straight surrendered the lead to Shauna's Spirit before closing her down all the way to the line. Eventually going down by 1.1/.4 lengths.

Centre picture Ashley Morgan clinging to the neck of Scarborough Lily with the red jacket of George Downing under the hooves

Having searched the web for news of George Downing I could only find this snip-it from Clerk of the course Barney Clifford who said: 

"It looked like he clipped heels in the first race, that looked to be the cause of it. He was unconscious for about 40 seconds, then put on a stretcher and has now gone to hospital for further observation. He was alert and conscious when leaving the track, that was the information I got from the doctors."

Once again the card was dominated by horses racing prominently (Follow The Leaders at Kempton Park) I could be found guilty of not following my own advise with Rivas Rhapsody and Art Scholar. Both finished their respective races well and the former had every chance but could only finish second to Athenian. I do have to admit that Art Scholar was an error in judgement by me but when we have had such a good June we can afford the odd mistake :)

Don't forget Lingfield Park on Saturday with three All Weather races on the tail end of the card! 

      

Pain-killing drug dermorphin has led to two more trainer suspensions

A recent outbreak of positive tests at Louisiana tracks for the pain-killing drug dermorphin has led to two more suspensions of trainers.

In separate rulings this month, Delta Downs stewards suspended quarter-horse trainers Alonzo Loya and Gonzalo Gonzales for six months — the maximum penalty that stewards can give a trainer under Louisiana racing rules. The stewards also disqualified the horses that tested positive and ordered purses won in the questioned races to be redistributed.

The Times-Picayune reported both Loya and Gonzales have appealed the suspensions to the Louisiana State Racing Commission. Executive Director Charlie Gardiner said Loya and Gonzales can continue to run horses until the commission hears the cases.

Loya is the trainer of Courville Buff, who tested positive for dermorphin after winning the third race at Delta Downs on June 1. The purse was $20,500, of which the winner's share was $12,300.

Gonzales is the trainer of Be Home By Six, who tested positive for the drug after winning the fourth race at Delta Downs on June 12. The purse was $12,000, of which the winner's share was $7,200.

Loya and Gonzales join quarter-horse trainer Alvin Smith Jr. and thoroughbred trainer Keith Charles as trainers against whom rulings have been issued for alleged violations stemming from the dermorphin outbreak. Eleven horses, from the stables of nine trainers, tested positive.

Racing Commissioners International categorizes dermorphin in Class 1 — the most harmful drugs on a list of substances that might be given to horses. Regulators say that the drug has no legitimate use in horses and is much more powerful than morphine.

Under Louisiana racing rules, the recommended penalty for a Class I violation is a suspension of at least a year and no more than five years, and a $5,000 fine.

When a horse tests positive for a drug not permitted for use in racing, the trainer has the right to ask for a split sample, often called a referee sample, to be analyzed by an out-of-state laboratory. If the lab doesn't confirm the positive, the case against the trainer is dropped. If the lab confirms a positive, track stewards will hold a hearing on the matter and possibly issue a ruling.

Loya, Gonzales, Smith and Charles declined to have referee samples tested.

Electric Qatar in tune for 'Speed and Class'

A stereotypical summer Monday card with few opportunities for The Actuary Horse Racing Tips to take advantage of. Available at 15-8 overnight the first selection Electric Qatar looked unlikely to repeat its previous performance over course and distance after Richard Kingscote appear to give it a mountain to climb turning in.

Fortunately the gaps opened on queue almost like the win was orchestrated. Only a slight switch required before driving for home to score by 1/2 length.

Less fortunate was the profit then being lost on the other selection of the day but that's racing.

      

Sand Skier advised at 12-1 gives The Actuary Horse Racing Tips another winning day

      

Horse Racing Tips: Follow the leaders at Kempton Park

A current trend worth noting at Kempton Park is the lack of horse coming off the pace. Here is a breakdown of last night’s races seen through my eyes.

Sand Skier leading on the turn in to the straight under Nicole Nordblad

Sand Skier prominent duelling for first throughout and turned in to the straight leading

Silent Moment turns in 2 lengths clear under DeSousa

 Silent Moment made all

Counsel (black cap) turns for home in third

 Counsel although held up initial was prominent and a close up third as they turned for home

Mizwaaj in the Godolphin Blue stalks the leader as they turn for home

·         Miswaaj stalked the leader from the start

Discernable (Green and Red cap) makes all

Discernable made all

Reileys Daughter third on the rail turning for home

·         

Reileys Daughter travelled prominently throughout and was third turning in to the straight

Desert Philospher leads them in to the straight

Desert Philosopher made all

The results from last night appear not to be draw dependent with horses winning from as wide as 14 and 9 but it would suggest it would be prudent not to back hold up horses on the track at present! 

      

Silent Moment one of two P&G Highlights on the Kempton card

The first of the The Actuary's two P&G highlighted horses on tonight's Kempton Park card Silent Moment took the 6:40 under Silvestre De Sousa at 4-1.

De Sousa made the running on Silent Moment and was given an easy lead which frequently pays dividends on the inner loop with the shorter straight. Ryan Moore on Medea was slowly grinding down the advantage but always looked likely to run out of real estate.

      

The Actuary hits the bookies yet again!

Subscribers to The Actuary Horse Racing Tips were guaranteed yet another winning day after the 6:10 Kempton Park. With two selections in the race, Sand Skier advised at 12-1 and Hurakan advised at 20-1. Sand Skier took the money under Nicole Nordblad with Hurakan finishing third.

Both selections were heavily backed with Sand Skier returning at 8-1 from 12-1 and Hurakan returning at 7-1 from Bet365 opening show of 20-1. With the days profit firmly in the bank we still have one more 2 point selection to come.

Nicole Nordblad gave Sand Skier and almost identical ride to that she gave The Actuary 16-1 winner Hurricane Spirit here 7 days ago and is proving to be our lucky charm. Hurakan proved to be a worthy selection and a value bet at 20-1 but was never able to get close enough to challenge finishing a creditable third.

      

The Actuary Horse Racing Tips Maximum Bet

They think the All Weather season is all over, well its not yet!

The frequency of maximum bets (Maria's) for The Actuary Horse Racing Tips subscribers have been far an few between during 2012. The last one being Handsome Ransom @ 4-6 mid May until yesterday when Savida ticked all the boxes. I was a little peeved  by the opening price with the BOG bookmakers of around 7-4 and ended up placing my bet with Betfair where I averaged 3.34 before commission.

Not only the 'On The Money' 'The Actuary' 'Trip Handicap' and 'Speed and Class' selection, Savida was also highlighted in the P&G ratings. There was a slight moment of anxiety as they came down the straight and Savida started to go sideways ending up on the stand-side rail but the 3 length margin of victory was decisive.

Ryan Moore ends up on the near-side running rail when driving home maximum bet Savida

As a bonus Kieran Fallon's success on 'Speed and Class' selection Goldream widely available at 3-1 earlier in the morning was even more emphatic.

Fallon comfortably in control on the heavily gambled Goldream

Goldream was being niggled to keep is position during the early exchanges and had to deliver its challenge three wide around the last two bends, coupling this with the manner of victory suggests there is plenty more to come from Goldream.