With CAPE SAFARI @ 7-4 for ON THE MONEY, THE ACTUARY and SPEED HANDICAP plus LADY SYLVIA @ 5-1 we should have a small profit for the day BUT we have been robbed by a 80p in the pound RULE 4!
The Marias, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY The Actuary, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY Speed & Class, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY Trip Handicap, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY
The profitablity of each subscription service above is taken from 1st October 2011 and is based upon £20 level stakes

IMPORTANT UPDATE

After a great deal of deliberation and numerous complaints from those paying subscription fees, the decision has been made that as of the 1st March 2012 access to the blog will be restricted to subscribers ONLY.

The basis behind the decision is two fold. Rightly or wrongly, many subscribers believe that the popularity of the site has affected the prices of winning selections and that horse being selected by the subscription services are transparent to non-subscription customers.

I would like to thank all those not in a position to pay the subscription fees for their past support and hope you understand this decision.

From 1st March 2012 subscribers will revert back to the process used during 2009 replying to my invitation email and login in using the email address provided at the time of subscribing.

Horse Racing Tips: Southwell 2nd February 2012

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Southwell racecourse on the afternoon of Thursday 2nd February 2012. A card of seven races is scheduled to begin at 13:30. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Southwell is forecast to be snow showers. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.
Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

Southwell (To view the 30 day draw data and running styles CLICK HERE)

1:30 Blue Square Winter Carnival iPhone App Handicap Cl6 5f
102.8% * No Mean Trick 101.1% 1ST 3-1  OTM   TH   S+C 
101.4% Shawkantango 99.8% 2ND 8-1
100.6% Bookiesindex Boy 100.5%
99.9% La Capriosa 99.7%
99.8% Ladydolly 98.8%
98.9% Spic ´n Span 99.3%
98.5% Fashion Icon 98.2%
98.2% First In Command 3RD 7-1
98.2% Fear Nothing 102.5%

2:00 Play Golf Before Racing At Southwell Handicap Cl5 1m3f
100.7% * Mediterranean Sea 101.0% 1ST 9-4  TH 
96.9% Straversjoy
96.4% Echos Of Motivator 100.7%
94.4% Absolute Princess 2ND 11-1
93.1% Kingaroo 100.0%
92.9% Apassionforfashion
With Hindsight 3RD 20-1
Sergeant Troy

2:30 Follow Southwell Racecourse On Twitter Selling Stakes Cl6 1m
98.9% * Samasana 100.5% 2ND 7-2
95.6% Deduction
94.1% Baileys Dutch 91.9%
92.4% Classy Lass 96.5%
Roedean 1ST 4-9
Outlaw Torn 3RD 20-1

3:00 Tickets At southwell-racecourse.co.uk Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
98.4% * Bond Style 2ND 4-1
95.2% Adili
Kickingthelilly 1ST 2-1
Handsome King 3RD 8-1
Dilizan
Henry Bee

3:30 Download Blue Square iPhone App Handicap Cl5 1m
99.3% * Pipers Piping 102.0% 1ST 4-1
99.0% Arkaim 100.8% 3RD 11-4
98.0% Symphonic Dancer 100.6% 2ND 6-1
97.5% Dashing Eddie 100.9%
96.5% D´Urberville 99.7%

4:00 Southwell Golf Club Lady Members Handicap Cl6 6f
101.2% * Dickie Le Davoir 100.3% 2ND 8-1
99.3% Ridgeway Hawk 98.7%
98.2% Ace Of Spies 99.7% 3RD 7-2
97.9% Suddenly Susan 100.6% 1ST 6-5
95.6% Twice Red 99.5%

4:30 Play Rainbow Riches At bluesq.com Apprentice Handicap Cl5 7f
99.6% Arachnophobia 100.0% 2ND 25-1
98.9% * Fibs And Flannel 101.8% 3RD 7-4
98.8% Ezra Church 1ST 7-2
97.1% Fantasy Fry 98.7%
96.9% Shaws Diamond 98.8%


Hello The Actuary

I must admit it's the first time I've seen this thread & personally I don't get involved too much in all-weather racing but I must commend you on the tremendous effort you put in & clearly you have a great knowledge & understanding of all-weather racing. I am certain that loads off gg.com members are finding this to be incredibly useful & benefitting from your work and this again illustrates the strengths & qualities of gg.com - all members prepared & willing to put time & effort in with the aim of helping fellow members achieve betting success & improve their knowledge. You have clearly had some very good results with your work & I commend you for that as I am sure all my fellow gg.com members do. You commented on

"it being a very disappointing last week. if it teaches me anything it will be to take nothing for granted" -

Now you said you made a profit in October so there is no need to worry or feel disappointment at a poor last week because that is the way when you study in depth because you can spend hours working on something only for it to all go wrong in a couple of minutes in a football match or matter of seconds in a horse race - I spend hours studying my football selections each week & yet in recent weeks it has been very frustrating with some poor results but that is not down to me doing things wrong but more to do with the random nature of football dictating that ultimately anything can & will happen. Horse races & football matches are random events that however much we assess & how much detailed analysis we do, the ultimate event is completely out of our control & as you quite rightly said you can take nothing for granted - horses that look certain to win easy run poorly, teams that look certain to win 3 or 4-0 lose 1-0 - that is the nature of sport & that is the nature of betting.As I said, I think the work you are doing is very informative & useful to gg.com members, so on behalf of my fellow members, here is a gg.com salute for you to show our appreciation.

THE ACTUARY - WE SALUTE YOU!!!

All the best with your all-weather bets & if I am considering having a bet on the all-weather I will definitely look for your work first to help me make my mind up.

Tommy

Wednesday, February 01, 2012

Horse Racing Tips: Southwell 2nd February 2012

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Southwell racecourse on the afternoon of Thursday 2nd February 2012. A card of seven races is scheduled to begin at 13:30. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Southwell is forecast to be snow showers. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.
Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

Southwell (To view the 30 day draw data and running styles CLICK HERE)

1:30 Blue Square Winter Carnival iPhone App Handicap Cl6 5f
102.8% * No Mean Trick 101.1% 1ST 3-1  OTM   TH   S+C 
101.4% Shawkantango 99.8% 2ND 8-1
100.6% Bookiesindex Boy 100.5%
99.9% La Capriosa 99.7%
99.8% Ladydolly 98.8%
98.9% Spic ´n Span 99.3%
98.5% Fashion Icon 98.2%
98.2% First In Command 3RD 7-1
98.2% Fear Nothing 102.5%

2:00 Play Golf Before Racing At Southwell Handicap Cl5 1m3f
100.7% * Mediterranean Sea 101.0% 1ST 9-4  TH 
96.9% Straversjoy
96.4% Echos Of Motivator 100.7%
94.4% Absolute Princess 2ND 11-1
93.1% Kingaroo 100.0%
92.9% Apassionforfashion
With Hindsight 3RD 20-1
Sergeant Troy

2:30 Follow Southwell Racecourse On Twitter Selling Stakes Cl6 1m
98.9% * Samasana 100.5% 2ND 7-2
95.6% Deduction
94.1% Baileys Dutch 91.9%
92.4% Classy Lass 96.5%
Roedean 1ST 4-9
Outlaw Torn 3RD 20-1

3:00 Tickets At southwell-racecourse.co.uk Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
98.4% * Bond Style 2ND 4-1
95.2% Adili
Kickingthelilly 1ST 2-1
Handsome King 3RD 8-1
Dilizan
Henry Bee

3:30 Download Blue Square iPhone App Handicap Cl5 1m
99.3% * Pipers Piping 102.0% 1ST 4-1
99.0% Arkaim 100.8% 3RD 11-4
98.0% Symphonic Dancer 100.6% 2ND 6-1
97.5% Dashing Eddie 100.9%
96.5% D´Urberville 99.7%

4:00 Southwell Golf Club Lady Members Handicap Cl6 6f
101.2% * Dickie Le Davoir 100.3% 2ND 8-1
99.3% Ridgeway Hawk 98.7%
98.2% Ace Of Spies 99.7% 3RD 7-2
97.9% Suddenly Susan 100.6% 1ST 6-5
95.6% Twice Red 99.5%

4:30 Play Rainbow Riches At bluesq.com Apprentice Handicap Cl5 7f
99.6% Arachnophobia 100.0% 2ND 25-1
98.9% * Fibs And Flannel 101.8% 3RD 7-4
98.8% Ezra Church 1ST 7-2
97.1% Fantasy Fry 98.7%
96.9% Shaws Diamond 98.8%


Posted by at 10:00 PM
Labels: , , , , ,
Horse Racing - Trip Down Memory Lane

As there is no AWT racing until Monday 13th I decided to do some research and while thumbing through some old racing books found an old page from Raceform which bought back a great memory from my past carefully folded within the pages.
How attractive a proposition was Pipssalio. Still a Maiden after 4 outings, its 3 outings as a 2yo read beaten 16 lengths in Class 5 3k Novice, beaten 16 lengths in a Class 6 2k Maiden, Beaten 14 lengths in a Class 4 3k Maiden. 1 outing as a 3yo beaten ½ length in a Class 4 4k Handicap. Looked to be way out of its depth being entered in a Class 3 14k Handicap. Pipssalio was 10lb out of the handicap and the jockey (Francis Norton) was putting up 2lb over weight.

My speed figures told me a different story. In fact I can remember being so bullish I was nailing my colours to the mast on all the forums and to the Raceform. This for me was the outstanding bet of the following day, the outstanding bet of the week and of the month. I went to bed unable to sleep with anticipation for the following day fully confident I would be making a lot of money. As soon as I got up on the day of the race I started checking the prices to ensure the tissue given the evening before was correct. Pipssalio was still 20-1.

The time of the race had arrived and in horror I watched as Pipssalio fell out of the stalls. By the time they had reached half-way in the 1 mile contest it was flat to the boards well adrift of the rest of the field with Franny Norton rowing away and beating the horse to death!

My feelings at the time were partly embarrassment due to the comments I had made on various forums , partly anger and all confidence in my ability to create meaningful speed figures gone in 60 seconds but being the eternal optimist still a slither of hope.

With 2 furlongs to go Pipssalio started to reduce the gap. With a furlong to go the rest of the field started to paddle and Pipssalio appeared to have sprouted wings and was closing on the leaders at an unbelievable rate. As they flashed passed the post Franny Norton had driven Pipssalio between the two leaders to make a three way photo finish. Even though I believed Pipssalio had got there it was going to be on the nod. Pipssalio got the verdict beating 2nd Everest by a short-head who in turn had beaten 3rd Tumbleweed Tor by a short-head.

That is the margin between winning or losing. The difference between the feeling of abject failure and believing you can walk on water.