With CAPE SAFARI @ 7-4 for ON THE MONEY, THE ACTUARY and SPEED HANDICAP plus LADY SYLVIA @ 5-1 we should have a small profit for the day BUT we have been robbed by a 80p in the pound RULE 4!
The Marias, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY The Actuary, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY Speed & Class, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY Trip Handicap, HTTP://HORSE--RACING--TIPS.BLOGSPOT.COM THE ACTUARY
The profitablity of each subscription service above is taken from 1st October 2011 and is based upon £20 level stakes

IMPORTANT UPDATE

After a great deal of deliberation and numerous complaints from those paying subscription fees, the decision has been made that as of the 1st March 2012 access to the blog will be restricted to subscribers ONLY.

The basis behind the decision is two fold. Rightly or wrongly, many subscribers believe that the popularity of the site has affected the prices of winning selections and that horse being selected by the subscription services are transparent to non-subscription customers.

I would like to thank all those not in a position to pay the subscription fees for their past support and hope you understand this decision.

From 1st March 2012 subscribers will revert back to the process used during 2009 replying to my invitation email and login in using the email address provided at the time of subscribing.

Horse Racing Tips: Wolverhampton 13th January 2012

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Wolverhampton racecourse on the evening of Friday 13th January 2012. A card of eight races is scheduled to begin at 16:10. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Wolverhampton is forecast to be clear. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

Wolverhampton (To view the 30 day draw data and running styles CLICK HERE)

4:10 Blue Square Winter Carnival iPhone App Handicap (Div I) Cl6 7f32y
100.1% * Michael´s Nook 100.5%
99.5% Shaluca 3RD 5-1
99.1% Drive Home 98.9% 1ST 13-2
98.4% Born To Be Achamp
98.2% Piccolo Express 99.0%
97.5% Fortunelini 98.1%
95.2% Weet In Nerja 97.3%
95.1% Crocodile Bay 99.3% 2ND 7-1
92.3% Stoneacre Joe Joe
Desert Hunter
Pulsatilla

4:40 Blue Square Winter Carnival iPhone App Handicap (Div II) Cl6 7f32y
99.8% Transmit 99.3% 2ND 5-1
99.7% * Cheers 99.4% 1ST 3-1
99.1% Dashing Eddie 98.9%
99.0% Monsieur Pontaven 98.9%
98.5% Valentino Swing 98.2%
98.3% Anjomarba 99.9%
97.9% Arrivaderci
97.3% Pytheas 100.1%
95.0% Odd Ball
94.6% Kyncraighe 96.9% 3RD 66-1
Only Ten Per Cent

5:10 Enjoy The Punters Package Group Offer Handicap Cl6 5f216y
100.1% * Simple Rhythm 99.0%
99.8% Mr Skipiton 98.6% 3RD 13-2
99.1% Young Simon 98.2%
99.0% Takajan 99.2%
98.9% Consistant 99.4% 1ST 8-1
98.5% Rightcar 97.5% 2ND 17-2
98.3% Hambleton 98.9%
97.4% Bachelor Knight 97.6%
96.5% White Shift 99.7%
94.5% Morermaloke

5:40 Great Offers At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Cl6 1m5f194y
101.8% Mexican Bob
101.4% Maison Brillet 2ND 33-1
99.6% Irish Jugger
99.4% Straversjoy 89.7%
99.4% Jamarjo 1ST 5-2
98.5% Art Thief
97.7% * Fantino 101.4%
96.1% Leyte Gulf 98.4% 3RD 5-2

6:10 Thousands of Sports Experiences At bluesq.com Handicap Cl4 5f216y
101.1% * Tislaam 99.6% 3RD 13-2
100.6% Woolfall Sovereign 101.9% 1ST 5-2
100.6% Tamareen 100.7% 2ND 8-1
100.2% Pick A Little 100.6%
100.1% Punching 98.7%
99.3% Restless Bay 100.0%
98.9% Ghostwing
95.5% Frequency 98.8%

6:40 Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Claiming Stakes Cl5 1m141y
102.1% * Standpoint 100.4% 2ND 7-4
100.7% Saharia 100.7%
100.2% Munsarim 101.3% 1ST 7-2
98.4% Elijah Pepper 100.9% 3RD 3-1
96.0% Ravanchi 97.0%
Sunnyside Tom

7:10 Hotel & Conferencing Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 1m141y
98.9% * Roedean
97.0% Cool Hand Luke 3RD 13-8
96.9% Omega Centauri 97.5%
96.1% Little Red Minx
95.8% Homeward Strut
Frosty Berry 1ST 12-1
Somemothersdohavem 2ND 50-1
Ma Kellys
Tigresa

7:40 Play Da Vinci Diamonds At bluesq.com/games Handicap Cl7 1m4f50y
100.2% * Black Iceman 101.9% 1ST 10-11  TA 
100.0% Time To Play
97.5% Mayan Flight 102.2% 2ND 3-1
97.5% Fitzwarren
96.7% Yossi 99.7%
96.6% Libre
94.5% Nesnaas
93.4% King Of Connacht
92.8% Dazzling Begum 99.8% 3RD 16-1



Hello The Actuary

I must admit it's the first time I've seen this thread & personally I don't get involved too much in all-weather racing but I must commend you on the tremendous effort you put in & clearly you have a great knowledge & understanding of all-weather racing. I am certain that loads off gg.com members are finding this to be incredibly useful & benefitting from your work and this again illustrates the strengths & qualities of gg.com - all members prepared & willing to put time & effort in with the aim of helping fellow members achieve betting success & improve their knowledge. You have clearly had some very good results with your work & I commend you for that as I am sure all my fellow gg.com members do. You commented on

"it being a very disappointing last week. if it teaches me anything it will be to take nothing for granted" -

Now you said you made a profit in October so there is no need to worry or feel disappointment at a poor last week because that is the way when you study in depth because you can spend hours working on something only for it to all go wrong in a couple of minutes in a football match or matter of seconds in a horse race - I spend hours studying my football selections each week & yet in recent weeks it has been very frustrating with some poor results but that is not down to me doing things wrong but more to do with the random nature of football dictating that ultimately anything can & will happen. Horse races & football matches are random events that however much we assess & how much detailed analysis we do, the ultimate event is completely out of our control & as you quite rightly said you can take nothing for granted - horses that look certain to win easy run poorly, teams that look certain to win 3 or 4-0 lose 1-0 - that is the nature of sport & that is the nature of betting.As I said, I think the work you are doing is very informative & useful to gg.com members, so on behalf of my fellow members, here is a gg.com salute for you to show our appreciation.

THE ACTUARY - WE SALUTE YOU!!!

All the best with your all-weather bets & if I am considering having a bet on the all-weather I will definitely look for your work first to help me make my mind up.

Tommy

Thursday, January 12, 2012

Horse Racing Tips: Wolverhampton 13th January 2012

All Weather horse racing is set to take place at Wolverhampton racecourse on the evening of Friday 13th January 2012. A card of eight races is scheduled to begin at 16:10. The ground is officially described as Standard. Weather at Wolverhampton is forecast to be clear. Below are betting tips and speed handicap figures for each of today’s races compiled by The Actuary our resident horse racing tipster.Today's horse racing results will appear alongside the first three shortly after the meeting ends!

Wolverhampton (To view the 30 day draw data and running styles CLICK HERE)

4:10 Blue Square Winter Carnival iPhone App Handicap (Div I) Cl6 7f32y
100.1% * Michael´s Nook 100.5%
99.5% Shaluca 3RD 5-1
99.1% Drive Home 98.9% 1ST 13-2
98.4% Born To Be Achamp
98.2% Piccolo Express 99.0%
97.5% Fortunelini 98.1%
95.2% Weet In Nerja 97.3%
95.1% Crocodile Bay 99.3% 2ND 7-1
92.3% Stoneacre Joe Joe
Desert Hunter
Pulsatilla

4:40 Blue Square Winter Carnival iPhone App Handicap (Div II) Cl6 7f32y
99.8% Transmit 99.3% 2ND 5-1
99.7% * Cheers 99.4% 1ST 3-1
99.1% Dashing Eddie 98.9%
99.0% Monsieur Pontaven 98.9%
98.5% Valentino Swing 98.2%
98.3% Anjomarba 99.9%
97.9% Arrivaderci
97.3% Pytheas 100.1%
95.0% Odd Ball
94.6% Kyncraighe 96.9% 3RD 66-1
Only Ten Per Cent

5:10 Enjoy The Punters Package Group Offer Handicap Cl6 5f216y
100.1% * Simple Rhythm 99.0%
99.8% Mr Skipiton 98.6% 3RD 13-2
99.1% Young Simon 98.2%
99.0% Takajan 99.2%
98.9% Consistant 99.4% 1ST 8-1
98.5% Rightcar 97.5% 2ND 17-2
98.3% Hambleton 98.9%
97.4% Bachelor Knight 97.6%
96.5% White Shift 99.7%
94.5% Morermaloke

5:40 Great Offers At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Cl6 1m5f194y
101.8% Mexican Bob
101.4% Maison Brillet 2ND 33-1
99.6% Irish Jugger
99.4% Straversjoy 89.7%
99.4% Jamarjo 1ST 5-2
98.5% Art Thief
97.7% * Fantino 101.4%
96.1% Leyte Gulf 98.4% 3RD 5-2

6:10 Thousands of Sports Experiences At bluesq.com Handicap Cl4 5f216y
101.1% * Tislaam 99.6% 3RD 13-2
100.6% Woolfall Sovereign 101.9% 1ST 5-2
100.6% Tamareen 100.7% 2ND 8-1
100.2% Pick A Little 100.6%
100.1% Punching 98.7%
99.3% Restless Bay 100.0%
98.9% Ghostwing
95.5% Frequency 98.8%

6:40 Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Claiming Stakes Cl5 1m141y
102.1% * Standpoint 100.4% 2ND 7-4
100.7% Saharia 100.7%
100.2% Munsarim 101.3% 1ST 7-2
98.4% Elijah Pepper 100.9% 3RD 3-1
96.0% Ravanchi 97.0%
Sunnyside Tom

7:10 Hotel & Conferencing Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 1m141y
98.9% * Roedean
97.0% Cool Hand Luke 3RD 13-8
96.9% Omega Centauri 97.5%
96.1% Little Red Minx
95.8% Homeward Strut
Frosty Berry 1ST 12-1
Somemothersdohavem 2ND 50-1
Ma Kellys
Tigresa

7:40 Play Da Vinci Diamonds At bluesq.com/games Handicap Cl7 1m4f50y
100.2% * Black Iceman 101.9% 1ST 10-11  TA 
100.0% Time To Play
97.5% Mayan Flight 102.2% 2ND 3-1
97.5% Fitzwarren
96.7% Yossi 99.7%
96.6% Libre
94.5% Nesnaas
93.4% King Of Connacht
92.8% Dazzling Begum 99.8% 3RD 16-1



Posted by at 9:30 PM
Labels: , , , , ,
Horse Racing - Trip Down Memory Lane

As there is no AWT racing until Monday 13th I decided to do some research and while thumbing through some old racing books found an old page from Raceform which bought back a great memory from my past carefully folded within the pages.
How attractive a proposition was Pipssalio. Still a Maiden after 4 outings, its 3 outings as a 2yo read beaten 16 lengths in Class 5 3k Novice, beaten 16 lengths in a Class 6 2k Maiden, Beaten 14 lengths in a Class 4 3k Maiden. 1 outing as a 3yo beaten ½ length in a Class 4 4k Handicap. Looked to be way out of its depth being entered in a Class 3 14k Handicap. Pipssalio was 10lb out of the handicap and the jockey (Francis Norton) was putting up 2lb over weight.

My speed figures told me a different story. In fact I can remember being so bullish I was nailing my colours to the mast on all the forums and to the Raceform. This for me was the outstanding bet of the following day, the outstanding bet of the week and of the month. I went to bed unable to sleep with anticipation for the following day fully confident I would be making a lot of money. As soon as I got up on the day of the race I started checking the prices to ensure the tissue given the evening before was correct. Pipssalio was still 20-1.

The time of the race had arrived and in horror I watched as Pipssalio fell out of the stalls. By the time they had reached half-way in the 1 mile contest it was flat to the boards well adrift of the rest of the field with Franny Norton rowing away and beating the horse to death!

My feelings at the time were partly embarrassment due to the comments I had made on various forums , partly anger and all confidence in my ability to create meaningful speed figures gone in 60 seconds but being the eternal optimist still a slither of hope.

With 2 furlongs to go Pipssalio started to reduce the gap. With a furlong to go the rest of the field started to paddle and Pipssalio appeared to have sprouted wings and was closing on the leaders at an unbelievable rate. As they flashed passed the post Franny Norton had driven Pipssalio between the two leaders to make a three way photo finish. Even though I believed Pipssalio had got there it was going to be on the nod. Pipssalio got the verdict beating 2nd Everest by a short-head who in turn had beaten 3rd Tumbleweed Tor by a short-head.

That is the margin between winning or losing. The difference between the feeling of abject failure and believing you can walk on water.