THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 26th March KEMPTON PARK- 27th March WOLVERHAMPTON- 29th March WOLVERHAMPTON - 30th March LINGFIELD PARK, KEMPTON PARK & SOUTHWELL - 31st March WOLVERHAMPTON & CHELMSFORD CITY - 1ST aPRIL LINGFIELD PARK & WOLVERHAMPTON - 2nd April KEMPTON PARK -

Horse Racing Tips: Kempton Park Bias

I am sure that followers of the figures have been disappointed with our performance at Kempton Park in the past month. Even during a successful October we have seen some strange results from the track. Although we will not be back there until 9th November it may be wise to show some consideration to following shift in the draw bias.

The figures below are draw percentages: on the left the 3 year trend and to the right the results from 1st October 2011 both the inner loop (5f & 10f).and the outer loop.


3 year Outer
1st October to date Outer
1
9%
1
14%
2
9%
2
14%
3
11%
3
10%
4
13%
4
16%
5
11%
5
8%
6
11%
6
8%
7
11%
7
2%
8
11%
8
9%
9
9%
9
12%
10
8%
10
3%
11
9%
11
11%
12
8%
12
7%
13
8%
13
0%
14
2%
14
0%
3 year Inner
1st October to date Inner
1
17%
1
53%
2
24%
2
20%
3
19%
3
17%
4
25%
4
53%
5
20%
5
17%
6
33%
6
33%
7
24%
7
0%
8
20%
8
0%
9
15%
9
20%
10
22%
10
0%
11
21%
11
0%
12
11%
12
0%
13
#####
13
####
14
#####
14
####


On a track which has previously exhibited a fairly even opportunity regardless of draw, the track is currently exhibiting a major shift to the low numbers. Although it would not make sense to change the selection methods based upon this information, it is a significant enough shift to require continued monitoring and gives you the opportunity to exercise caution if that is your preference.




Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?

Wednesday, November 02, 2011

Horse Racing Tips: Kempton Park Bias

I am sure that followers of the figures have been disappointed with our performance at Kempton Park in the past month. Even during a successful October we have seen some strange results from the track. Although we will not be back there until 9th November it may be wise to show some consideration to following shift in the draw bias.

The figures below are draw percentages: on the left the 3 year trend and to the right the results from 1st October 2011 both the inner loop (5f & 10f).and the outer loop.


3 year Outer
1st October to date Outer
1
9%
1
14%
2
9%
2
14%
3
11%
3
10%
4
13%
4
16%
5
11%
5
8%
6
11%
6
8%
7
11%
7
2%
8
11%
8
9%
9
9%
9
12%
10
8%
10
3%
11
9%
11
11%
12
8%
12
7%
13
8%
13
0%
14
2%
14
0%
3 year Inner
1st October to date Inner
1
17%
1
53%
2
24%
2
20%
3
19%
3
17%
4
25%
4
53%
5
20%
5
17%
6
33%
6
33%
7
24%
7
0%
8
20%
8
0%
9
15%
9
20%
10
22%
10
0%
11
21%
11
0%
12
11%
12
0%
13
#####
13
####
14
#####
14
####


On a track which has previously exhibited a fairly even opportunity regardless of draw, the track is currently exhibiting a major shift to the low numbers. Although it would not make sense to change the selection methods based upon this information, it is a significant enough shift to require continued monitoring and gives you the opportunity to exercise caution if that is your preference.