23rd January 2013 Kempton Park
All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting (subscribe)
4:30 Win Big With Betdaq Multiples Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 7f
99.4% * Poet´s Prospect
98.9% Special Meaning
98.8% Petra
97.7% Quelle Affaire
97.5% Bubblina 98.4% (1)
96.5% Prom Dress
95.9% Twilight Legend 96.3% (2)
Hawaiian Dream
Movementneverlies
5:00 Back And Lay At betdaq.com Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m3f
99.6% * Queen Of Skies
99.6% * El Massivo
98.4% Fleeting Indian
97.9% Bin Manduro
94.7% Sassi Sioux
85.9% Sings Poet
Federal Blue
Luggers Hall
Magical Kingdom
Rayadour
5:30 Betdaq Mobile Apps Handicap (Div I) Cl6 1m
101.6% * Aegean King 100.8% (1)
100.8% Fairy Mist
100.6% Ermyntrude 99.8% (6)
100.3% Vitznau 100.8% (3)
99.8% Shared Moment 98.8% (4)
99.8% Georgebernardshaw 98.5% (2)
99.7% Meydan Style 100.1% (2)
99.6% Rainbow Riches 98.1% (2)
99.4% Divine Rule 98.8% (9)
99.2% Valkov 98.6% (4)
98.4% Flamborough Breeze
97.2% Athletic
6:00 Betdaq Mobile Apps Handicap (Div II) Cl6 1m
100.9% * Strategic Action
100.6% Leitrim King
100.5% Litmus 98.0% (1)
100.3% Boris The Bold 99.3% (3)
100.3% Rapid Water 98.9% (4)
99.5% Sleepy Lucy
99.2% Tijuca
99.0% Olney Lass
98.7% Exopuntia 99.4% (3)
96.7% Kiss My Heart
95.8% Just Breathe
6:30 Betdaq Casino Games Handicap Cl6 1m
100.7% * Taxiformissbyron 100.0% (1)
100.4% Shearian 98.1% (2)
99.6% Poetic Verse
98.8% Lincolnrose 99.5% (1)
98.7% Multi Fours
98.6% World Freight Girl
98.1% Mystery Woman 99.8% (1)
97.8% Alfaisaliah
97.8% Precision Strike
97.3% Ely Valley 96.7% (1)
96.8% Icanboogie
96.5% Running Bull
7:00 Time Ordered Cards In Racing Plus Handicap Cl4 6f
100.8% * Equitania 100.5% (1)
100.3% Foxtrot Jubilee 99.9% (1)
99.2% Hazza The Jazza 99.4% (1)
7:30 Kempton For Weddings Handicap Cl6 1m4f
103.3% * Honoured
103.2% Langham Lily
101.7% Sweet Liberta
101.5% Al Amaan
101.4% Simayill
100.9% Port Charlotte
100.2% Shalambar
100.1% Soweto Star
99.3% Nolecce
98.8% Trip Switch 96.0% (3)
97.4% Mcbirney
97.4% Wordiness
96.7% Refreshestheparts
96.3% The Blue Dog
8:00 Book For Racing Plus Chase Day Handicap Cl7 6f
100.5% * Adaeze
100.3% First Rebellion 97.7% (4)
99.6% Artful Lady
99.4% Rightcar 99.1% (8)
99.4% Cut The Cackle 99.6% (6)
99.0% Mr Optimistic
99.0% Ishetoo
98.9% Greek Islands
98.9% Media Jury
96.2% Smoky Cloud 96.2% (2)
Showing posts with label today's. Show all posts
Showing posts with label today's. Show all posts
Another 10-1 Actuary winner......on the turf!
The Actuary Horse Racing Tips got August off to a spectacular start yesterday in the most unexpected way. For an All Weather service to be tipping 10-1 winners on the turf is perhaps not what your expecting from the service, but hey we don't mind slumming it :)
With only two All Weather races on last night's Lingfield Park card, subscribers were given two selections in My Own Way Home on the turf, advised at 10-1, and Tinkerbell Will advised at 8-1 on the Polytrack.
Adam Kirby takes Lingfields 7:30 by a comfortable 1.1/4 lengths
The 10-1, My Own Way Home was soon eroded away with a non-runner (15p in the pound Rule 4) and a large weight of money giving a final SP of 7-2. This was the second turf selection in as many weeks with Kings Masque advised at 14-1 making a 100% two out of two for The Actuary.
Unfortunately our All Weather selection did not fair so well under a odd ride from Richard Thomas. After being prominent Tinkerbell Will appeared to be unable to find any more coming in to the straight and then found a second wind to finish with a flourish. One to keep an eye on!
With a busy schedule of All Weather racing in the coming week The Actuary will be expecting to continue in the same rich vein of form that has given us such a profitable summer period.
4th August 2012 Lingfield Park
6:00 lingfieldpark.co.uk Apprentice Handicap Cl6 7f140y
100.0% Paperetto 2ND 10-3
98.6% Amba 1ST 7-4
98.3% Smarty Time
98.3% Jolie Etoile
98.1% Jackie Love
97.7% Grand Piano
97.7% * Hertford Street
97.3% Soldier Spy
97.2% Hierarch
96.6% Prize Point
96.0% Play The Blues 3RD 20-1
George Tilehurst
6:30 Burridge Golf & Racing Trophies Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f140y
97.3% Kunzea
Dundonnell 1ST 1-4
Van Percy 2ND 20-1
Hasanan 3RD 12-1
Aint Got A Scooby
Arctic Admiral
Barefoot Sandy
Be Royale
Burlesque Star
Instigate
Just Duchess
Many Elements
Oakham
7:00 Biffo´s Belated 60th Birthday Handicap Cl5 7f
100.3% Scottish Glen 99.7%
99.9% * Star Rover 98.5%
99.8% Haadeeth 99.5%
99.8% Jungle Bay 99.5% 1ST 10-1
99.5% Eager To Bow 100.2%
98.7% Fabled City 3RD 12-1
98.6% Dark Lane
97.5% Forest Edge
96.7% Takitwo 98.6%
Macchiara 2ND 7-1
Lunar Deity
Shamrocked
7:30 Beached Boys Handicap Cl6 6f
100.6% * My Own Way Home 1ST 7-2
99.5% Perfect Honour 2ND 15-2
98.6% Commandingpresence 99.1%
98.1% Pose 96.8%
98.0% Poseidon Grey
97.9% Miss Polly Plum 3RD 7-1
97.2% Sermons Mount 101.1%
97.2% Jay Bee Blue
96.3% Sherjawy 99.6%
95.8% Loved To Bits
95.1% Ridgeway Sapphire
Adaeze
Seamus Shindig
8:00 British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing EBF Maiden Stakes Cl5 5f
96.8% * Proventi
96.1% Melodee Princess
93.9% Borough Boy
Just Charlie 1ST 7-2
Nordikhab 2ND 2-1
Vestibule 3RD 5-1
Colourist
Reinvigorate
Royal Guinevere
Whistling Buddy
8:30 Ladbrokes Game On! Handicap Cl6 1m2f
100.0% * Tinkerbell Will 99.9%
99.0% Night Sky 99.4%
98.9% Formidable Guest 99.4%
98.8% Beat Up 98.6%
98.6% Divine Rule 100.3%
98.6% Minstrel Lad
98.5% Galloping Queen 98.6%
98.0% Corrib 99.7%
97.5% Chasin´ Rainbows 3RD 14-1
96.1% Crystal Sky
94.4% High ´n Dry 96.5% 2ND 25-1
89.2% Holyfield Warrior 97.8%
Pindar 1ST 7-2
Consistency is key to Horse Racing Profit
With so many ratings methods out there in 'Horse Racing World', each rating providing a different perspective and conflicting information. It is easy to understand why people become disenchanted, overwhelmed by the information overload and left confused.
Zeifhd 1ST 11-4
Dance Company 1ST 2-1
Three Bards 2ND 11-2 Mizbah 3RD 11-8
I am sure that subscribers to Actuary Horse Racing Tips would find me guilty of this practise and feel it is important to recognise that putting a numeric value to a horses performance can come in multiple formats with no definitive 'right' or 'wrong'.
With the main focus of the blog being LTO speed figures with past C&D performance I would like to see the additional information of Pace and Going figures as an enhancement to these figures. There is no hard work to be done by the reader as those horses that have ran above expectation are highlighted in red.
Not every race has a selection, some races may have several candidates.
Looking at ONLY horses that have continually over-achieved (ratings in bold) and the best over-achievement figure (red) those highlighted have a 100% record. It would be nice for a selection to have ratings in multiple columns as proof of consistency as in the case of Ziefhd. Here are the races with highlighted horses from the last All Weather meetings on Monday:
Aniseed 1ST 4-5
I receive regular correspondents from subscribers informing me of their own personal use of ALL the figures published and I am aware that there are others that simply want a selections provided for them. This may be for you. All you need to do is be consistent in how you chose to use the figures and I am sure you will profit.
Whether you chose to use or ignore the figures, simply see these figures as another view and not in conflict with The Actuary's speed ratings.
Bookmakers 4-13 The Actuary!
Yesterday heralded the last two All Weather meetings for July 2012 so the last opportunity for The Actuary Horse Racing Tips to add a little more profit to what has already been a reasonably profitable month.
The first selection for subscribers was Redair in Lingfield Parks opener. Doing all his best work at the end, Redair was given a mountain to climb by Paul Hanagan. 1-0 to the bookmakers!
Next saw our 2 point selection Dance Company advised at 6-1 hold the late charging Subtle Knife to a head victory.
Jim Crowley drives for the line (red) with Subtle Knife (white) closing with every stride.
Taking the last turn, victory look a forlorn hope with Jim Crowley pumping away on the selection Dance Company. Once they had straighten up and balanced, the win looked a certainty with the impetus of speed on our side. But just as you thought it was all over Subtle Knife sprouted wings and left me praying for the line. Bookmakers 1-12 The Actuary thanks to Paddy Powers generous 6-1. Dance Company won at SP 2-1
The very next race provided another Actuary winner in Aniseed advised at evens. Not very adventurous but a winner is a winner.
This was not exactly winning as an even money horse should as Ryan Moore had to work very hard to get Aniseed past the long term leader Caphira. Once past Jim Crowley's mount Aniseed appear to be pulling away in the final strides. Bookmakers 1-13 The Actuary.
If it carried on like this, what a day it would have been, but we followed up with three flops!
Frankie Dettori elected to give everything a head start on 13-8 fav Mizbah and was still last with a furlong to go but finished a creditable third. Cymeriad broke on terms to be prominent but found nothing off the bridle under Graham Gibbons, and finally Camache Queen who picked up well going for the line under Eddie Ahern but was third in a three-way photo.
A disappointing end to the day. A good end to the month and the final score on the day of Bookmakers 4-13 The Actuary which I would take everyday if offered :)
30th July 2012 Wolverhampton
6:00 Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 5f20y
97.2% * Cymeriad 97.6%
Excel Yourself 1ST 10-3
Star Up In The Sky 2ND 15-8
Showtime Girl 3RD 7-1
Anna Isabella
Clean Blow
Dashing Storm
Girl At The Sands
Star Maid
6:30 Follow Us On Twitter @WolvesRaces Handicap Cl6 1m4f50y
100.1% * Honest Deal 101.8% 1ST 11-8
99.8% White Deer 101.4% 3RD 4-1
99.0% Breakheart
98.9% Layla´s Boy 100.7% 2ND 5-1
98.8% Redclue
98.1% Broughtons Swinger
97.0% Silent Energy
97.0% Rajeh
96.1% Blue Cossack 100.3%
Squirrel Wood
7:00 Like Us On Facebook Wolverhampton Racecourse Handicap Cl6 5f216y
101.0% * Aubrietia 100.9%
100.2% Glastonberry 100.8%
99.7% Almaty Express 100.2%
99.4% Mawjoodah 100.6% 2ND 13-2
99.2% Invigilator
98.5% Elegant Muse 100.3% 1ST 14-1
98.2% Men Don´t Cry 98.8%
98.0% Nine Before Ten 97.5%
97.9% Ace Of Spies 98.7%
97.9% Rightcar 97.7%
97.8% Irie Ute 100.2% 3RD 5-1
97.8% Juarla 97.6%
96.9% Imjin River
7:35 Download Our iPhone App Maiden Stakes Cl5 5f216y
94.5% * Quiet Prayer 3RD 8-1
Intibaah 1ST 7-2
Rising Legend 2ND 1-2
Chelsea Grey
Cos I Can
Eyeline
Gambino
My Sweet Lord
Pleasant Moment
Plexolini
Top Town Boy
8:05 Holiday Inn Wolverhampton Fillies´ Handicap Cl4 5f216y
100.3% * Camache Queen 100.6% 3RD 9-4
99.6% Kyanight
99.4% Supreme Spirit
99.3% Bouncy Bouncy 99.7%
99.2% Piddie´s Power 100.7%
99.1% My Own Way Home
98.1% Fenella Fudge 2ND 11-1
97.8% Bavarian Princess 1ST 17-2
97.3% Gap Princess 99.9%
96.3% Catflap 99.7%
8:35 The Black Country´s Only Racecourse Handicap Cl6 7f32y
99.3% Strong Man 1ST 10-1
98.8% Gala Spirit 99.3% 3RD 5-2
98.7% Vhujon 99.2%
98.7% Hyde Lea Flyer 99.0%
98.7% Whitstable Native 99.2%
98.6% Hold The Star 99.6%
98.6% July Days 99.3% 2ND 8-1
98.4% Prince Of Passion 98.3%
98.0% Born To Be Achamp 97.7%
97.4% Volcanic Jack
Maggie Mey
9:05 Book Tickets Online At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Cl5 1m1f103y
101.0% Matjar 99.9%
100.7% * Spanish Plume 99.4% 2ND 12-1
100.3% Noble Jack 1ST 11-2
100.0% Brigadoon 102.5%
99.7% Encompassing
99.4% Yaa Salam
99.3% Scamperdale 99.0%
99.1% Odd Ball
98.9% Spinning Ridge 98.3%
98.9% Nimble Thimble 100.2%
98.7% I Confess
96.5% Aragorn Rouge
96.4% Majuro 101.2% 3RD 14-1
30th July 2012 Lingfield Park
2:25 32RedBet.com Claiming Stakes Cl6 6f
99.6% * Redair 3RD 9-5
99.1% Ziefhd 1ST 11-4
98.8% Chalk And Cheese 99.0%
98.6% Adranian 101.4% 2ND 9-1
97.4% Saint Boniface
95.4% Johnny Splash
Asian Trader
2:55 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 6f
97.8% Spicy 97.9% 2ND 15-8
93.8% Iris Blue
City Girl 1ST 8-11
Our Three Graces 3RD 16-1
Idle Curiosity
Jubilini
3:30 32RedPoker.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
No Jet Lag 1ST 6-5
Mocenigo 2ND 6-4
Frege 3RD 9-2
Day In Day Out
Kimvara
Piper´s Lass
Ropehanger
Sakhee´s Ichigou
4:05 32Red.com Fillies´ Handicap Cl4 7f
99.8% Subtle Knife 2ND 9-2
99.3% Red Larkspur
99.1% * Dance Company 101.0% 1ST 2-1
99.1% Bint Alzain 99.4% 3RD 6-1
99.0% Cynthia Calhoun
98.0% Saratoga Slew 99.9%
94.8% Negin 96.7%
Balady
4:35 32Red Casino Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m4f
100.3% Bohemian Rhapsody
99.9% * Aniseed 1ST 4-5
99.9% Disposition 3RD 5-2
99.2% Caphira 2ND 8-1
98.9% Benartic 97.1%
Maun Vrat
Totally Addicted
5:10 32Red Handicap Cl4 1m4f
101.6% * Mizbah 3RD 13-8
100.6% Arch Villain 1ST 4-1
99.6% Hallmark Star
98.0% Three Bards 2ND 11-2
96.1% Dont Take Me Alive
Palus San Marco
5:40 32RedBingo.com Handicap Cl6 1m2f
99.5% * Welsh Nayber 1ST 9-2
99.5% Flamborough Breeze 96.3%
98.8% Chocolat Chaud
98.2% Wyebridge
97.9% Song Of Joy 98.6%
97.9% Jimmy The Lollipop
97.6% Norfolk Sky 2ND 6-1
97.2% Here Comes Jeanie
97.1% Neige D´Antan 3RD 9-1
97.0% Tigertoo
96.8% Supreme Rock
95.6% Rocco Breeze
92.1% You Got The Love 95.8%
Riviera Romance
Ostentatious Leonna Mayor takes the lucky last!
The first (8:00) was a little disappointing with Suzi's A Class Act, top rated and starred failing to get the gallop she needed as they dawdled over over Lingfield's 2 miles finishing fourth.
The last race was a split verdict with Ostentation getting the star rating over top rated Always Eager. After a quiet period for Leonna Mayor on the All Weather our love affair was rekindled with her ride on 10-1 Ostentation. Having decided on a slow start from a wide draw Ostentation found itself at the back of the pack. There was no fancy tactics at play here, Leonna simply kept the horse at an even pace throughout, encircling the field as Joe Fanning on Always Eager slowed the pace mid race. Ostentation found itself in front and on the bridle as they swept around the final bend and was simply kept going all the way to the line by Leonna.
8:30 Ladbrokes Game On! Handicap Cl6 1m2f
| 99.7% | Always Eager | 99.4% | |
| 99.1% | Jordaura | 100.0% | |
| 99.1% | Top Frock | ||
| 99.1% | Lytham | 98.1% | |
| 99.1% | Ishikawa | ||
| 98.9% | Ebony Song | ||
| 98.6% | Lisahane Bog | 99.0% | |
| 98.4% | * | Ostentation | 100.0% |
| 98.3% | Mount Abora | ||
| 98.2% | Zenarinda | ||
| 97.6% | Lightning Spirit | ||
| 96.8% | Garzoni | ||
| 96.0% | Opus Maximus | 100.3% | |
| Fuzzy Logic |
28th July 2012 Lingfield Park
5:55 Cyprium Bar At Marriott Lingfield Maiden Auction Stakes Cl6 5f
97.4% * Jet Acclaim 3RD 3-1
97.3% Ovett 1ST 15-8
95.1% Moonlit Dancer
Casta Diamante
Silverrica 2ND 11-4
Southern Sapphire
6:25 Breathe Spa At Marriott Lingfield Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
97.4% Catherine Laboure 1ST 5-4
95.9% * Pastures New 97.0%
95.7% Mulberry Brite
94.9% Yogic Flyer 96.0%
94.5% Saffron Park 95.6%
94.2% Aurens 95.3%
Gunner Will 2ND 9-2
Ifan 3RD 40-1
Captain Hero
Ever Fortune
Maligned
Neat Little Rows
Shore Performer
Siena Street
7:00 Follow Us On Twitter @LingfieldPark Handicap Cl5 7f
99.8% * Al´s Memory 2ND 4-1
99.2% The New Black
98.5% Arctic Stryker 99.1%
98.0% I´m Harry 3RD 12-1
97.6% Clapped
96.3% Silver Marizah 98.6%
Shena´s Dream 1ST 11-10
Operation Tracer
7:30 Lingfield Park Golf Club Handicap Cl6 7f140y
100.2% * Zaheeb
99.9% Know No Fear 3RD 9-2
99.7% For What 2ND 2-1
98.7% Comadoir
98.6% Amba 1ST 12-1
98.6% Unlimited
97.3% Tidy Affair
96.1% Navajo Charm
94.1% Eye For The Girls
89.2% Holyfield Warrior
Beauchamp Zorro
Luna Rosa
No Larking
8:00 Family Fun Day 10th August Handicap Cl5 2m
101.0% * Suzi´s A Class Act
99.8% Passion Play
99.8% No Time To Lose 1ST 6-1
99.0% Seven Veils 3RD 5-6
99.0% Bennelong
97.3% Quiet Appeal
89.6% Stentorian
Wayne Manor 2ND 14-1
Leopard Hills
Pepito Collonges
Tanjung Agas
8:30 Ladbrokes Game On! Handicap Cl6 1m2f
99.7% Always Eager 99.4%
99.1% Jordaura 100.0%
99.1% Top Frock 3RD 14-1
99.1% Lytham 98.1%
99.1% Ishikawa 2ND 3-1
98.9% Ebony Song
98.6% Lisahane Bog 99.0%
98.4% * Ostentation 100.0% 1ST 10-1
98.3% Mount Abora
98.2% Zenarinda
97.6% Lightning Spirit
96.8% Garzoni
96.0% Opus Maximus 100.3%
Fuzzy Logic
Exposed Zenaat 7-1 makes a profitable day for The Actuary
With little to get our teeth in to in the first two races at Lingfield Park, the first selection of the day for subscribers was the 3:10 in the form of Zenaat. Much like the first two races there was very little in the way of All Weather form to paint a picture of how the race might unfold but having watched a re-run of Zenaat's previous race felt rather smug that the race unfolded pretty much as I expected.
Ryan Moore got the perfect sit over Lingfields 1 mile and 1/2 and as the 2-5 fav and long time leader Mashaari came under the Paul Hanagan pump, Zenaat just kept on galloping. Cottesmore took up the running coming in to the straight. Zenaat just kept on galloping and went by half a furlong out. I don't think there was ever a burst of finishing speed from the selection. Zenaat was simply able to maintain the same relentless gallop as the others flagged. Returning at 7-1 guaranting The Actuary Horse Racing Tips subscribers a profit for the day with 3 selections still to run.
After side stepping the 3:40 the next race of interest 4:10 saw two selections in Holly Martins and Ukranian. Well, this is where the crystal ball appeared broken. If I was to be certain of anything on the day it would be Holly Martins and Ukranian bowling along clear of the field with the remainder sure that they would come back to them, but one would maintain the advantage to the line.
No, completely wrong. Holly Martins led but was pursued throughout by Regal Aura and was never more than two lengths ahead before fading tamely finishing out of the places. Our 2 point selection Ukranian, backed from 10-1 down to 9-2 made no show at all.
No, completely wrong. Holly Martins led but was pursued throughout by Regal Aura and was never more than two lengths ahead before fading tamely finishing out of the places. Our 2 point selection Ukranian, backed from 10-1 down to 9-2 made no show at all.
The final selection Blueberry Fizz in the next was done for after breaking slowly. Not something you can afford to do over 5 furlong at Lingfield.
In summary, not a pretty win to runners ratio of 20% but you cant bank ratios, you can bank the days 3 point profit :)
25th July 2012 Lingfield Park
2:10 toteplacepot Win Without Backing A Winner Claiming Stakes Cl6 6f
96.3% * Suivez L´Argent
96.1% Grace Of Hearts 95.0% 1ST 20-1
95.7% Augustinian 2ND 15-8
Age Of Bronze 3RD 8-1
Alexandrakollontai
Hardy Blue
Just Past Andover
My Lagan Love
2:40 toteexacta Your Better Value Forecast Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
97.4% Bay Laurel
96.3% * Alpine Mysteries
90.6% Tough Question
Great Run 1ST 5-2
Labienus 2ND 5-2
Lord Of Leitrim 3RD 25-1
Canadian Run
Elvin
Hadeeya
Peace Treaty
Pink Mischief
Progenitor
Titled Gent
3:10 Thakeham Homes Franklins Gardens Maiden Stakes (Div I) Cl5 1m4f
99.1% * Zenaat 1ST 7-1
97.4% Dee Ee Williams
Cottesmore 2ND 8-1
Mashaari 3RD 2-5
Ahuqd
Al Mamzar
Benartic
Cometography
Ice Apple
Scotsbrook Cloud
3:40 Thakeham Homes Franklins Gardens Maiden Stakes (Div II) Cl5 1m4f
99.5% * Murphy
99.4% Stunning View 3RD 13-2
98.9% Pugnacious
97.0% Chella Thriller
Scottish Vespers 1ST 13-8
City Of Canton 2ND 15-8
Crystal Monarch
Lets Go Boogie
Mummyow
4:10 M & P Managing To Win Handicap Cl5 1m4f
101.6% * Ukrainian
100.5% Regal Aura
99.7% Holly Martins
99.5% Hector´s Chance
99.4% Tis Rock ´N´ Roll 2ND 5-2
98.8% District Attorney 3RD 4-1
98.7% Kiwayu 1ST 10-1
97.2% Between Us
4:40 Henry Streeter Ltd Handicap Cl6 5f
100.4% * Blueberry Fizz
99.1% Sherjawy 99.3%
98.5% Brandywell Boy 99.5% 2ND 9-1
98.1% Replicator 98.3%
98.1% Russian Bullet 99.6% 3RD 6-1
97.7% Christopher Chua 98.1%
97.4% Cincinnati Kit
97.2% Hannibal Hayes 1ST 4-1
96.4% Pharoh Jake 97.4%
5:10 Adrian Hall Memorial Handicap Cl5 6f
100.3% * Amba
100.0% Cheers
99.2% Proper Charlie 100.5% 1ST 5-1
99.1% Ghost Train 99.3% 2ND 6-5
99.0% Alfresco 100.3%
98.9% Hoover 99.7% 3RD 9-1
98.1% Chjimes 99.5%
97.0% Waterloo Dock 99.3%
97.0% Stevie Gee 101.8%
96.4% Cliffords Reprieve 101.4%
96.1% Elhamri 100.0%
5:40 Follow totepool On Facebook And Twitter Handicap Cl5 7f
100.5% * Cyflymder 100.2% 2ND 5-2
99.9% Paphos 98.6% 1ST 6-1
99.6% Zing Wing
99.4% Homeboy 3RD 9-2
99.4% Mudhish
98.6% Bold Ring 98.5%
98.2% Dvinsky 100.1%
98.2% Reginald Claude 99.0%
97.9% Diplomatic 97.7%
97.1% Greek Islands 98.1%
96.4% Perfect Ch´I 99.5%
96.2% Highland Harvest 98.4%
91.6% Primo Lady
No consistency as Stewards allowed result to stand at Worcester
Paul Moloney weighed in one and a half pounds light on the well-backed winner Green To Gold at Worcester, co-owned by Sir Alex Ferguson and was still allowed to keep the race! To be consistent with similar past events the local stewards should have disqualified Green to Gold following the objection from the clerk of the scales as Moloney weighed in at 11st 8lb after weighing out at 11st 10lb.
However, they used their discretion and sited the extremely hot weather and Moloney's inability to rehydrate in-between races and stated 'these circumstances are exceptional so the stewards allowed the result to stand'.
Green For Gold, trained by Don Cantillon, was sent off the evens favourite for the Find Us On Facebook Handicap Chase and justified strong support with a convincing victory by five lengths.
"It's automatic that if a rider weighs in more than 1lb under weight, the clerk of the scales is obliged to report to the stewards" stipendiary steward Paul Barton told At The Races.
The rule gives the stewards the power to disqualify if they aren't satisfied or even on some occasions where they are satisfied and they know the reason. If a rider lost a weight cloth in a race and it led to the 1lb under weight the horse would be disqualified, but the rider would not be penalised. What happened under these circumstances, and they are extremely unusual and I've not known this invoked before, is that Paul Moloney weighed out for the first race and at the same time weighed out for the second. We held a stewards' inquiry straight after the first race and came into our stewards' room which was extremely hot and sat in there, still sweating, and went out for the second race. He came back in and weighed in more than a pound under weight. The digital scales measure in half-pounds, not in ounces in between. What we heard from the clerk of the scales on his (Moloney's) body weight before he went out and when he came back in, the weight loss was caused by him sweating. All the lads can do is take a drink and hope they rehydrate. We had him in the stewards' room for five minutes or more, holding an inquiry, so he didn't get the opportunity to rehydrate.
Horse Racing Tips: Hayaku to fast at 22-1
There is no gratification in top rating a 22-1 winner that goes
un-backed especially when that 22-1 winner was the highlight and the only thing
to show for my hard work at Lingfield Park.
On the turf, no surprises in the first with top rated and the
only highlighted ‘Pace and Going’ horse on the card, Tobacco Road winning at an
SP of 13-8. The second race was given a wide birth with no points of reference.
The third had my top two declare non-runners.
Hayaku 22-1 strikes the front with Roxelana (red sleeves and cap) beating a retreat
On to the AW we had three disappointments, two coming under
the stewardship of Seb Sanders who gave both Potentiale and Aciano identical
rides from the front finishing third and second respectively. The winner of
Potentiale race Officer in Command was also top rated. The final insult to
injury came with top rated Hayaku (Japanese for 'fast') winning the finale at 22-1 with the selection
Roxelana finding reverse gear as they turned for home.
In summary three un-backed top rated winners from four races
of interest equals total frustration!
Southwell Clerk Of The Course Roderick Duncan - All Weather
An interesting interview with Roderick Duncan Clerk of the Course at Southwell giving an insight into the All Weather course and the difference between poly and fibre, draw bias and weather effects on the course.
18th July 2012 Lingfield Park
2:00 Lingfield Park Ladies Evening 21st July Maiden Stakes (Div I) Cl5 1m
98.5% * Gold Edition 2ND 9-2
Royal Empire 1ST 5-4
Keyaadi 3RD 5-1
Cluaindubhloch
Fly Haaf
Mutasadder
Pugnacious
Shahrazad
Simply
The Baronet
Ukrainian Princess
2:30 Lingfield Park Ladies Evening 21st July Maiden Stakes (Div II) Cl5 1m
99.7% * Niger 1ST 6-4
96.9% Friends Of Ama Gi 98.2%
Centrifugal 2ND 6-1
Narcissist 3RD 7-2
Any Other Day
Clowance Keys
Eamaadd
Iz She
Rowan Rhapsody
Suedehead
3:00 Breathe Spa At Lingfield Marriott Handicap Cl6 1m4f
99.1% * Lady Romanza
98.7% Angel Cake 97.8% 3RD 20-1
98.1% Silver Six 97.8% 2ND 9-1
97.3% Kaiser Wilhelm 1ST 5-1
97.0% Red Mystique
96.9% Blue Pencil
96.8% Zarosa
96.4% Polydamos
96.1% Elammato
95.8% Flamborough Breeze
Dangerous To Know
Despatch
Doyle´s Dream
Imperial Wave
3:30 Lingfield Park Owners Group Handicap Cl5 2m
100.6% Trovare 2ND 85-40
100.0% Frederick William 96.7%
99.4% * Legend Erry
97.4% Alfraamsey 99.8% 3RD 11-4
96.9% Courtesy Call 1ST 9-4
Native Colony
4:00 Paul Kelleway Memorial Handicap Cl3 1m5f
102.1% * Silent Moment
101.9% * Old Hundred
101.4% Alsadaa
101.2% Aurorian
100.9% Viking Storm 1ST 14-1
100.7% Sand Skier 100.1%
100.5% Kuda Huraa
100.1% Layline
100.1% Albaraka
99.0% The Holyman 99.6% 3RD 20-1
97.6% Bute Hall
Biographer 2ND 4-1
4:30 British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E B F Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 6f
99.0% * Sugar House 1ST 15-8
96.9% Our Golden Girl
Spicy 2ND 7-1
Ghostflower 3RD 11-4
Choral Rhythm
Elounta
Flywheel
Kunzea
Misty Secret
Pastoral Symphony
Starlight Symphony
5:00 Racing & Music Nights At Lingfield Park Handicap Cl5 6f
100.4% Ghost Train 2ND 11-2
100.0% Raffinn 96.1%
100.0% Bint Alzain
99.7% * Chalk And Cheese
98.6% Boudoir 3RD 16-1
98.5% Sujet Bellagio 98.8%
98.1% Sunley Pride
97.8% Mister Mackenzie 98.0%
97.5% Take A Note 1ST 7-2
97.3% Sweet Ovation 99.6%
95.9% Topflight Princess
5:30 Ladbrokes Game On! Handicap Cl6 1m2f
100.0% * Land Hawk 101.2%
99.0% Mitch Rapp
98.7% Lytham 97.4%
98.6% Lord Of The Storm 99.4%
98.6% Secret Era 2ND 9-1
98.2% Jordaura 100.2% 1ST 16-1
98.1% Gallantry 99.6%
97.7% Beat Up 98.0%
97.3% Formidable Guest 99.4% 3RD 10-1
96.8% Jumeirah Liberty 98.9%
95.9% Breakheart
94.9% Night Sky
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Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?
Showing posts with label today's. Show all posts
Showing posts with label today's. Show all posts
Wednesday, January 23, 2013
Kempton Park Horse Racing Tips - Wednesday 23rd January 2013
23rd January 2013 Kempton Park
All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting (subscribe)
4:30 Win Big With Betdaq Multiples Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 7f
99.4% * Poet´s Prospect
98.9% Special Meaning
98.8% Petra
97.7% Quelle Affaire
97.5% Bubblina 98.4% (1)
96.5% Prom Dress
95.9% Twilight Legend 96.3% (2)
Hawaiian Dream
Movementneverlies
5:00 Back And Lay At betdaq.com Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m3f
99.6% * Queen Of Skies
99.6% * El Massivo
98.4% Fleeting Indian
97.9% Bin Manduro
94.7% Sassi Sioux
85.9% Sings Poet
Federal Blue
Luggers Hall
Magical Kingdom
Rayadour
5:30 Betdaq Mobile Apps Handicap (Div I) Cl6 1m
101.6% * Aegean King 100.8% (1)
100.8% Fairy Mist
100.6% Ermyntrude 99.8% (6)
100.3% Vitznau 100.8% (3)
99.8% Shared Moment 98.8% (4)
99.8% Georgebernardshaw 98.5% (2)
99.7% Meydan Style 100.1% (2)
99.6% Rainbow Riches 98.1% (2)
99.4% Divine Rule 98.8% (9)
99.2% Valkov 98.6% (4)
98.4% Flamborough Breeze
97.2% Athletic
6:00 Betdaq Mobile Apps Handicap (Div II) Cl6 1m
100.9% * Strategic Action
100.6% Leitrim King
100.5% Litmus 98.0% (1)
100.3% Boris The Bold 99.3% (3)
100.3% Rapid Water 98.9% (4)
99.5% Sleepy Lucy
99.2% Tijuca
99.0% Olney Lass
98.7% Exopuntia 99.4% (3)
96.7% Kiss My Heart
95.8% Just Breathe
6:30 Betdaq Casino Games Handicap Cl6 1m
100.7% * Taxiformissbyron 100.0% (1)
100.4% Shearian 98.1% (2)
99.6% Poetic Verse
98.8% Lincolnrose 99.5% (1)
98.7% Multi Fours
98.6% World Freight Girl
98.1% Mystery Woman 99.8% (1)
97.8% Alfaisaliah
97.8% Precision Strike
97.3% Ely Valley 96.7% (1)
96.8% Icanboogie
96.5% Running Bull
7:00 Time Ordered Cards In Racing Plus Handicap Cl4 6f
100.8% * Equitania 100.5% (1)
100.3% Foxtrot Jubilee 99.9% (1)
99.2% Hazza The Jazza 99.4% (1)
7:30 Kempton For Weddings Handicap Cl6 1m4f
103.3% * Honoured
103.2% Langham Lily
101.7% Sweet Liberta
101.5% Al Amaan
101.4% Simayill
100.9% Port Charlotte
100.2% Shalambar
100.1% Soweto Star
99.3% Nolecce
98.8% Trip Switch 96.0% (3)
97.4% Mcbirney
97.4% Wordiness
96.7% Refreshestheparts
96.3% The Blue Dog
8:00 Book For Racing Plus Chase Day Handicap Cl7 6f
100.5% * Adaeze
100.3% First Rebellion 97.7% (4)
99.6% Artful Lady
99.4% Rightcar 99.1% (8)
99.4% Cut The Cackle 99.6% (6)
99.0% Mr Optimistic
99.0% Ishetoo
98.9% Greek Islands
98.9% Media Jury
96.2% Smoky Cloud 96.2% (2)
All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting (subscribe)
4:30 Win Big With Betdaq Multiples Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 7f
99.4% * Poet´s Prospect
98.9% Special Meaning
98.8% Petra
97.7% Quelle Affaire
97.5% Bubblina 98.4% (1)
96.5% Prom Dress
95.9% Twilight Legend 96.3% (2)
Hawaiian Dream
Movementneverlies
5:00 Back And Lay At betdaq.com Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m3f
99.6% * Queen Of Skies
99.6% * El Massivo
98.4% Fleeting Indian
97.9% Bin Manduro
94.7% Sassi Sioux
85.9% Sings Poet
Federal Blue
Luggers Hall
Magical Kingdom
Rayadour
5:30 Betdaq Mobile Apps Handicap (Div I) Cl6 1m
101.6% * Aegean King 100.8% (1)
100.8% Fairy Mist
100.6% Ermyntrude 99.8% (6)
100.3% Vitznau 100.8% (3)
99.8% Shared Moment 98.8% (4)
99.8% Georgebernardshaw 98.5% (2)
99.7% Meydan Style 100.1% (2)
99.6% Rainbow Riches 98.1% (2)
99.4% Divine Rule 98.8% (9)
99.2% Valkov 98.6% (4)
98.4% Flamborough Breeze
97.2% Athletic
6:00 Betdaq Mobile Apps Handicap (Div II) Cl6 1m
100.9% * Strategic Action
100.6% Leitrim King
100.5% Litmus 98.0% (1)
100.3% Boris The Bold 99.3% (3)
100.3% Rapid Water 98.9% (4)
99.5% Sleepy Lucy
99.2% Tijuca
99.0% Olney Lass
98.7% Exopuntia 99.4% (3)
96.7% Kiss My Heart
95.8% Just Breathe
6:30 Betdaq Casino Games Handicap Cl6 1m
100.7% * Taxiformissbyron 100.0% (1)
100.4% Shearian 98.1% (2)
99.6% Poetic Verse
98.8% Lincolnrose 99.5% (1)
98.7% Multi Fours
98.6% World Freight Girl
98.1% Mystery Woman 99.8% (1)
97.8% Alfaisaliah
97.8% Precision Strike
97.3% Ely Valley 96.7% (1)
96.8% Icanboogie
96.5% Running Bull
7:00 Time Ordered Cards In Racing Plus Handicap Cl4 6f
100.8% * Equitania 100.5% (1)
100.3% Foxtrot Jubilee 99.9% (1)
99.2% Hazza The Jazza 99.4% (1)
7:30 Kempton For Weddings Handicap Cl6 1m4f
103.3% * Honoured
103.2% Langham Lily
101.7% Sweet Liberta
101.5% Al Amaan
101.4% Simayill
100.9% Port Charlotte
100.2% Shalambar
100.1% Soweto Star
99.3% Nolecce
98.8% Trip Switch 96.0% (3)
97.4% Mcbirney
97.4% Wordiness
96.7% Refreshestheparts
96.3% The Blue Dog
8:00 Book For Racing Plus Chase Day Handicap Cl7 6f
100.5% * Adaeze
100.3% First Rebellion 97.7% (4)
99.6% Artful Lady
99.4% Rightcar 99.1% (8)
99.4% Cut The Cackle 99.6% (6)
99.0% Mr Optimistic
99.0% Ishetoo
98.9% Greek Islands
98.9% Media Jury
96.2% Smoky Cloud 96.2% (2)
Sunday, August 05, 2012
Another 10-1 Actuary winner......on the turf!
The Actuary Horse Racing Tips got August off to a spectacular start yesterday in the most unexpected way. For an All Weather service to be tipping 10-1 winners on the turf is perhaps not what your expecting from the service, but hey we don't mind slumming it :)
With only two All Weather races on last night's Lingfield Park card, subscribers were given two selections in My Own Way Home on the turf, advised at 10-1, and Tinkerbell Will advised at 8-1 on the Polytrack.
Adam Kirby takes Lingfields 7:30 by a comfortable 1.1/4 lengths
The 10-1, My Own Way Home was soon eroded away with a non-runner (15p in the pound Rule 4) and a large weight of money giving a final SP of 7-2. This was the second turf selection in as many weeks with Kings Masque advised at 14-1 making a 100% two out of two for The Actuary.
Unfortunately our All Weather selection did not fair so well under a odd ride from Richard Thomas. After being prominent Tinkerbell Will appeared to be unable to find any more coming in to the straight and then found a second wind to finish with a flourish. One to keep an eye on!
With a busy schedule of All Weather racing in the coming week The Actuary will be expecting to continue in the same rich vein of form that has given us such a profitable summer period.
4th August 2012 Lingfield Park
6:00 lingfieldpark.co.uk Apprentice Handicap Cl6 7f140y
100.0% Paperetto 2ND 10-3
98.6% Amba 1ST 7-4
98.3% Smarty Time
98.3% Jolie Etoile
98.1% Jackie Love
97.7% Grand Piano
97.7% * Hertford Street
97.3% Soldier Spy
97.2% Hierarch
96.6% Prize Point
96.0% Play The Blues 3RD 20-1
George Tilehurst
6:30 Burridge Golf & Racing Trophies Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f140y
97.3% Kunzea
Dundonnell 1ST 1-4
Van Percy 2ND 20-1
Hasanan 3RD 12-1
Aint Got A Scooby
Arctic Admiral
Barefoot Sandy
Be Royale
Burlesque Star
Instigate
Just Duchess
Many Elements
Oakham
7:00 Biffo´s Belated 60th Birthday Handicap Cl5 7f
100.3% Scottish Glen 99.7%
99.9% * Star Rover 98.5%
99.8% Haadeeth 99.5%
99.8% Jungle Bay 99.5% 1ST 10-1
99.5% Eager To Bow 100.2%
98.7% Fabled City 3RD 12-1
98.6% Dark Lane
97.5% Forest Edge
96.7% Takitwo 98.6%
Macchiara 2ND 7-1
Lunar Deity
Shamrocked
7:30 Beached Boys Handicap Cl6 6f
100.6% * My Own Way Home 1ST 7-2
99.5% Perfect Honour 2ND 15-2
98.6% Commandingpresence 99.1%
98.1% Pose 96.8%
98.0% Poseidon Grey
97.9% Miss Polly Plum 3RD 7-1
97.2% Sermons Mount 101.1%
97.2% Jay Bee Blue
96.3% Sherjawy 99.6%
95.8% Loved To Bits
95.1% Ridgeway Sapphire
Adaeze
Seamus Shindig
8:00 British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing EBF Maiden Stakes Cl5 5f
96.8% * Proventi
96.1% Melodee Princess
93.9% Borough Boy
Just Charlie 1ST 7-2
Nordikhab 2ND 2-1
Vestibule 3RD 5-1
Colourist
Reinvigorate
Royal Guinevere
Whistling Buddy
8:30 Ladbrokes Game On! Handicap Cl6 1m2f
100.0% * Tinkerbell Will 99.9%
99.0% Night Sky 99.4%
98.9% Formidable Guest 99.4%
98.8% Beat Up 98.6%
98.6% Divine Rule 100.3%
98.6% Minstrel Lad
98.5% Galloping Queen 98.6%
98.0% Corrib 99.7%
97.5% Chasin´ Rainbows 3RD 14-1
96.1% Crystal Sky
94.4% High ´n Dry 96.5% 2ND 25-1
89.2% Holyfield Warrior 97.8%
Pindar 1ST 7-2
Friday, August 03, 2012
Consistency is key to Horse Racing Profit
With so many ratings methods out there in 'Horse Racing World', each rating providing a different perspective and conflicting information. It is easy to understand why people become disenchanted, overwhelmed by the information overload and left confused.
Zeifhd 1ST 11-4
Dance Company 1ST 2-1
Three Bards 2ND 11-2 Mizbah 3RD 11-8
I am sure that subscribers to Actuary Horse Racing Tips would find me guilty of this practise and feel it is important to recognise that putting a numeric value to a horses performance can come in multiple formats with no definitive 'right' or 'wrong'.
With the main focus of the blog being LTO speed figures with past C&D performance I would like to see the additional information of Pace and Going figures as an enhancement to these figures. There is no hard work to be done by the reader as those horses that have ran above expectation are highlighted in red.
Not every race has a selection, some races may have several candidates.
Looking at ONLY horses that have continually over-achieved (ratings in bold) and the best over-achievement figure (red) those highlighted have a 100% record. It would be nice for a selection to have ratings in multiple columns as proof of consistency as in the case of Ziefhd. Here are the races with highlighted horses from the last All Weather meetings on Monday:
Aniseed 1ST 4-5
I receive regular correspondents from subscribers informing me of their own personal use of ALL the figures published and I am aware that there are others that simply want a selections provided for them. This may be for you. All you need to do is be consistent in how you chose to use the figures and I am sure you will profit.
Whether you chose to use or ignore the figures, simply see these figures as another view and not in conflict with The Actuary's speed ratings.
Tuesday, July 31, 2012
Bookmakers 4-13 The Actuary!
Yesterday heralded the last two All Weather meetings for July 2012 so the last opportunity for The Actuary Horse Racing Tips to add a little more profit to what has already been a reasonably profitable month.
The first selection for subscribers was Redair in Lingfield Parks opener. Doing all his best work at the end, Redair was given a mountain to climb by Paul Hanagan. 1-0 to the bookmakers!
Next saw our 2 point selection Dance Company advised at 6-1 hold the late charging Subtle Knife to a head victory.
Jim Crowley drives for the line (red) with Subtle Knife (white) closing with every stride.
Taking the last turn, victory look a forlorn hope with Jim Crowley pumping away on the selection Dance Company. Once they had straighten up and balanced, the win looked a certainty with the impetus of speed on our side. But just as you thought it was all over Subtle Knife sprouted wings and left me praying for the line. Bookmakers 1-12 The Actuary thanks to Paddy Powers generous 6-1. Dance Company won at SP 2-1
The very next race provided another Actuary winner in Aniseed advised at evens. Not very adventurous but a winner is a winner.
This was not exactly winning as an even money horse should as Ryan Moore had to work very hard to get Aniseed past the long term leader Caphira. Once past Jim Crowley's mount Aniseed appear to be pulling away in the final strides. Bookmakers 1-13 The Actuary.
If it carried on like this, what a day it would have been, but we followed up with three flops!
Frankie Dettori elected to give everything a head start on 13-8 fav Mizbah and was still last with a furlong to go but finished a creditable third. Cymeriad broke on terms to be prominent but found nothing off the bridle under Graham Gibbons, and finally Camache Queen who picked up well going for the line under Eddie Ahern but was third in a three-way photo.
A disappointing end to the day. A good end to the month and the final score on the day of Bookmakers 4-13 The Actuary which I would take everyday if offered :)
30th July 2012 Wolverhampton
6:00 Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 5f20y
97.2% * Cymeriad 97.6%
Excel Yourself 1ST 10-3
Star Up In The Sky 2ND 15-8
Showtime Girl 3RD 7-1
Anna Isabella
Clean Blow
Dashing Storm
Girl At The Sands
Star Maid
6:30 Follow Us On Twitter @WolvesRaces Handicap Cl6 1m4f50y
100.1% * Honest Deal 101.8% 1ST 11-8
99.8% White Deer 101.4% 3RD 4-1
99.0% Breakheart
98.9% Layla´s Boy 100.7% 2ND 5-1
98.8% Redclue
98.1% Broughtons Swinger
97.0% Silent Energy
97.0% Rajeh
96.1% Blue Cossack 100.3%
Squirrel Wood
7:00 Like Us On Facebook Wolverhampton Racecourse Handicap Cl6 5f216y
101.0% * Aubrietia 100.9%
100.2% Glastonberry 100.8%
99.7% Almaty Express 100.2%
99.4% Mawjoodah 100.6% 2ND 13-2
99.2% Invigilator
98.5% Elegant Muse 100.3% 1ST 14-1
98.2% Men Don´t Cry 98.8%
98.0% Nine Before Ten 97.5%
97.9% Ace Of Spies 98.7%
97.9% Rightcar 97.7%
97.8% Irie Ute 100.2% 3RD 5-1
97.8% Juarla 97.6%
96.9% Imjin River
7:35 Download Our iPhone App Maiden Stakes Cl5 5f216y
94.5% * Quiet Prayer 3RD 8-1
Intibaah 1ST 7-2
Rising Legend 2ND 1-2
Chelsea Grey
Cos I Can
Eyeline
Gambino
My Sweet Lord
Pleasant Moment
Plexolini
Top Town Boy
8:05 Holiday Inn Wolverhampton Fillies´ Handicap Cl4 5f216y
100.3% * Camache Queen 100.6% 3RD 9-4
99.6% Kyanight
99.4% Supreme Spirit
99.3% Bouncy Bouncy 99.7%
99.2% Piddie´s Power 100.7%
99.1% My Own Way Home
98.1% Fenella Fudge 2ND 11-1
97.8% Bavarian Princess 1ST 17-2
97.3% Gap Princess 99.9%
96.3% Catflap 99.7%
8:35 The Black Country´s Only Racecourse Handicap Cl6 7f32y
99.3% Strong Man 1ST 10-1
98.8% Gala Spirit 99.3% 3RD 5-2
98.7% Vhujon 99.2%
98.7% Hyde Lea Flyer 99.0%
98.7% Whitstable Native 99.2%
98.6% Hold The Star 99.6%
98.6% July Days 99.3% 2ND 8-1
98.4% Prince Of Passion 98.3%
98.0% Born To Be Achamp 97.7%
97.4% Volcanic Jack
Maggie Mey
9:05 Book Tickets Online At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Cl5 1m1f103y
101.0% Matjar 99.9%
100.7% * Spanish Plume 99.4% 2ND 12-1
100.3% Noble Jack 1ST 11-2
100.0% Brigadoon 102.5%
99.7% Encompassing
99.4% Yaa Salam
99.3% Scamperdale 99.0%
99.1% Odd Ball
98.9% Spinning Ridge 98.3%
98.9% Nimble Thimble 100.2%
98.7% I Confess
96.5% Aragorn Rouge
96.4% Majuro 101.2% 3RD 14-1
30th July 2012 Lingfield Park
2:25 32RedBet.com Claiming Stakes Cl6 6f
99.6% * Redair 3RD 9-5
99.1% Ziefhd 1ST 11-4
98.8% Chalk And Cheese 99.0%
98.6% Adranian 101.4% 2ND 9-1
97.4% Saint Boniface
95.4% Johnny Splash
Asian Trader
2:55 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 6f
97.8% Spicy 97.9% 2ND 15-8
93.8% Iris Blue
City Girl 1ST 8-11
Our Three Graces 3RD 16-1
Idle Curiosity
Jubilini
3:30 32RedPoker.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
No Jet Lag 1ST 6-5
Mocenigo 2ND 6-4
Frege 3RD 9-2
Day In Day Out
Kimvara
Piper´s Lass
Ropehanger
Sakhee´s Ichigou
4:05 32Red.com Fillies´ Handicap Cl4 7f
99.8% Subtle Knife 2ND 9-2
99.3% Red Larkspur
99.1% * Dance Company 101.0% 1ST 2-1
99.1% Bint Alzain 99.4% 3RD 6-1
99.0% Cynthia Calhoun
98.0% Saratoga Slew 99.9%
94.8% Negin 96.7%
Balady
4:35 32Red Casino Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m4f
100.3% Bohemian Rhapsody
99.9% * Aniseed 1ST 4-5
99.9% Disposition 3RD 5-2
99.2% Caphira 2ND 8-1
98.9% Benartic 97.1%
Maun Vrat
Totally Addicted
5:10 32Red Handicap Cl4 1m4f
101.6% * Mizbah 3RD 13-8
100.6% Arch Villain 1ST 4-1
99.6% Hallmark Star
98.0% Three Bards 2ND 11-2
96.1% Dont Take Me Alive
Palus San Marco
5:40 32RedBingo.com Handicap Cl6 1m2f
99.5% * Welsh Nayber 1ST 9-2
99.5% Flamborough Breeze 96.3%
98.8% Chocolat Chaud
98.2% Wyebridge
97.9% Song Of Joy 98.6%
97.9% Jimmy The Lollipop
97.6% Norfolk Sky 2ND 6-1
97.2% Here Comes Jeanie
97.1% Neige D´Antan 3RD 9-1
97.0% Tigertoo
96.8% Supreme Rock
95.6% Rocco Breeze
92.1% You Got The Love 95.8%
Riviera Romance
Sunday, July 29, 2012
Ostentatious Leonna Mayor takes the lucky last!
The first (8:00) was a little disappointing with Suzi's A Class Act, top rated and starred failing to get the gallop she needed as they dawdled over over Lingfield's 2 miles finishing fourth.
The last race was a split verdict with Ostentation getting the star rating over top rated Always Eager. After a quiet period for Leonna Mayor on the All Weather our love affair was rekindled with her ride on 10-1 Ostentation. Having decided on a slow start from a wide draw Ostentation found itself at the back of the pack. There was no fancy tactics at play here, Leonna simply kept the horse at an even pace throughout, encircling the field as Joe Fanning on Always Eager slowed the pace mid race. Ostentation found itself in front and on the bridle as they swept around the final bend and was simply kept going all the way to the line by Leonna.
8:30 Ladbrokes Game On! Handicap Cl6 1m2f
| 99.7% | Always Eager | 99.4% | |
| 99.1% | Jordaura | 100.0% | |
| 99.1% | Top Frock | ||
| 99.1% | Lytham | 98.1% | |
| 99.1% | Ishikawa | ||
| 98.9% | Ebony Song | ||
| 98.6% | Lisahane Bog | 99.0% | |
| 98.4% | * | Ostentation | 100.0% |
| 98.3% | Mount Abora | ||
| 98.2% | Zenarinda | ||
| 97.6% | Lightning Spirit | ||
| 96.8% | Garzoni | ||
| 96.0% | Opus Maximus | 100.3% | |
| Fuzzy Logic |
Saturday, July 28, 2012
28th July 2012 Lingfield Park
5:55 Cyprium Bar At Marriott Lingfield Maiden Auction Stakes Cl6 5f
97.4% * Jet Acclaim 3RD 3-1
97.3% Ovett 1ST 15-8
95.1% Moonlit Dancer
Casta Diamante
Silverrica 2ND 11-4
Southern Sapphire
6:25 Breathe Spa At Marriott Lingfield Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
97.4% Catherine Laboure 1ST 5-4
95.9% * Pastures New 97.0%
95.7% Mulberry Brite
94.9% Yogic Flyer 96.0%
94.5% Saffron Park 95.6%
94.2% Aurens 95.3%
Gunner Will 2ND 9-2
Ifan 3RD 40-1
Captain Hero
Ever Fortune
Maligned
Neat Little Rows
Shore Performer
Siena Street
7:00 Follow Us On Twitter @LingfieldPark Handicap Cl5 7f
99.8% * Al´s Memory 2ND 4-1
99.2% The New Black
98.5% Arctic Stryker 99.1%
98.0% I´m Harry 3RD 12-1
97.6% Clapped
96.3% Silver Marizah 98.6%
Shena´s Dream 1ST 11-10
Operation Tracer
7:30 Lingfield Park Golf Club Handicap Cl6 7f140y
100.2% * Zaheeb
99.9% Know No Fear 3RD 9-2
99.7% For What 2ND 2-1
98.7% Comadoir
98.6% Amba 1ST 12-1
98.6% Unlimited
97.3% Tidy Affair
96.1% Navajo Charm
94.1% Eye For The Girls
89.2% Holyfield Warrior
Beauchamp Zorro
Luna Rosa
No Larking
8:00 Family Fun Day 10th August Handicap Cl5 2m
101.0% * Suzi´s A Class Act
99.8% Passion Play
99.8% No Time To Lose 1ST 6-1
99.0% Seven Veils 3RD 5-6
99.0% Bennelong
97.3% Quiet Appeal
89.6% Stentorian
Wayne Manor 2ND 14-1
Leopard Hills
Pepito Collonges
Tanjung Agas
8:30 Ladbrokes Game On! Handicap Cl6 1m2f
99.7% Always Eager 99.4%
99.1% Jordaura 100.0%
99.1% Top Frock 3RD 14-1
99.1% Lytham 98.1%
99.1% Ishikawa 2ND 3-1
98.9% Ebony Song
98.6% Lisahane Bog 99.0%
98.4% * Ostentation 100.0% 1ST 10-1
98.3% Mount Abora
98.2% Zenarinda
97.6% Lightning Spirit
96.8% Garzoni
96.0% Opus Maximus 100.3%
Fuzzy Logic
Thursday, July 26, 2012
Exposed Zenaat 7-1 makes a profitable day for The Actuary
With little to get our teeth in to in the first two races at Lingfield Park, the first selection of the day for subscribers was the 3:10 in the form of Zenaat. Much like the first two races there was very little in the way of All Weather form to paint a picture of how the race might unfold but having watched a re-run of Zenaat's previous race felt rather smug that the race unfolded pretty much as I expected.
Ryan Moore got the perfect sit over Lingfields 1 mile and 1/2 and as the 2-5 fav and long time leader Mashaari came under the Paul Hanagan pump, Zenaat just kept on galloping. Cottesmore took up the running coming in to the straight. Zenaat just kept on galloping and went by half a furlong out. I don't think there was ever a burst of finishing speed from the selection. Zenaat was simply able to maintain the same relentless gallop as the others flagged. Returning at 7-1 guaranting The Actuary Horse Racing Tips subscribers a profit for the day with 3 selections still to run.
After side stepping the 3:40 the next race of interest 4:10 saw two selections in Holly Martins and Ukranian. Well, this is where the crystal ball appeared broken. If I was to be certain of anything on the day it would be Holly Martins and Ukranian bowling along clear of the field with the remainder sure that they would come back to them, but one would maintain the advantage to the line.
No, completely wrong. Holly Martins led but was pursued throughout by Regal Aura and was never more than two lengths ahead before fading tamely finishing out of the places. Our 2 point selection Ukranian, backed from 10-1 down to 9-2 made no show at all.
No, completely wrong. Holly Martins led but was pursued throughout by Regal Aura and was never more than two lengths ahead before fading tamely finishing out of the places. Our 2 point selection Ukranian, backed from 10-1 down to 9-2 made no show at all.
The final selection Blueberry Fizz in the next was done for after breaking slowly. Not something you can afford to do over 5 furlong at Lingfield.
In summary, not a pretty win to runners ratio of 20% but you cant bank ratios, you can bank the days 3 point profit :)
Wednesday, July 25, 2012
25th July 2012 Lingfield Park
2:10 toteplacepot Win Without Backing A Winner Claiming Stakes Cl6 6f
96.3% * Suivez L´Argent
96.1% Grace Of Hearts 95.0% 1ST 20-1
95.7% Augustinian 2ND 15-8
Age Of Bronze 3RD 8-1
Alexandrakollontai
Hardy Blue
Just Past Andover
My Lagan Love
2:40 toteexacta Your Better Value Forecast Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 7f
97.4% Bay Laurel
96.3% * Alpine Mysteries
90.6% Tough Question
Great Run 1ST 5-2
Labienus 2ND 5-2
Lord Of Leitrim 3RD 25-1
Canadian Run
Elvin
Hadeeya
Peace Treaty
Pink Mischief
Progenitor
Titled Gent
3:10 Thakeham Homes Franklins Gardens Maiden Stakes (Div I) Cl5 1m4f
99.1% * Zenaat 1ST 7-1
97.4% Dee Ee Williams
Cottesmore 2ND 8-1
Mashaari 3RD 2-5
Ahuqd
Al Mamzar
Benartic
Cometography
Ice Apple
Scotsbrook Cloud
3:40 Thakeham Homes Franklins Gardens Maiden Stakes (Div II) Cl5 1m4f
99.5% * Murphy
99.4% Stunning View 3RD 13-2
98.9% Pugnacious
97.0% Chella Thriller
Scottish Vespers 1ST 13-8
City Of Canton 2ND 15-8
Crystal Monarch
Lets Go Boogie
Mummyow
4:10 M & P Managing To Win Handicap Cl5 1m4f
101.6% * Ukrainian
100.5% Regal Aura
99.7% Holly Martins
99.5% Hector´s Chance
99.4% Tis Rock ´N´ Roll 2ND 5-2
98.8% District Attorney 3RD 4-1
98.7% Kiwayu 1ST 10-1
97.2% Between Us
4:40 Henry Streeter Ltd Handicap Cl6 5f
100.4% * Blueberry Fizz
99.1% Sherjawy 99.3%
98.5% Brandywell Boy 99.5% 2ND 9-1
98.1% Replicator 98.3%
98.1% Russian Bullet 99.6% 3RD 6-1
97.7% Christopher Chua 98.1%
97.4% Cincinnati Kit
97.2% Hannibal Hayes 1ST 4-1
96.4% Pharoh Jake 97.4%
5:10 Adrian Hall Memorial Handicap Cl5 6f
100.3% * Amba
100.0% Cheers
99.2% Proper Charlie 100.5% 1ST 5-1
99.1% Ghost Train 99.3% 2ND 6-5
99.0% Alfresco 100.3%
98.9% Hoover 99.7% 3RD 9-1
98.1% Chjimes 99.5%
97.0% Waterloo Dock 99.3%
97.0% Stevie Gee 101.8%
96.4% Cliffords Reprieve 101.4%
96.1% Elhamri 100.0%
5:40 Follow totepool On Facebook And Twitter Handicap Cl5 7f
100.5% * Cyflymder 100.2% 2ND 5-2
99.9% Paphos 98.6% 1ST 6-1
99.6% Zing Wing
99.4% Homeboy 3RD 9-2
99.4% Mudhish
98.6% Bold Ring 98.5%
98.2% Dvinsky 100.1%
98.2% Reginald Claude 99.0%
97.9% Diplomatic 97.7%
97.1% Greek Islands 98.1%
96.4% Perfect Ch´I 99.5%
96.2% Highland Harvest 98.4%
91.6% Primo Lady
No consistency as Stewards allowed result to stand at Worcester
Paul Moloney weighed in one and a half pounds light on the well-backed winner Green To Gold at Worcester, co-owned by Sir Alex Ferguson and was still allowed to keep the race! To be consistent with similar past events the local stewards should have disqualified Green to Gold following the objection from the clerk of the scales as Moloney weighed in at 11st 8lb after weighing out at 11st 10lb.
However, they used their discretion and sited the extremely hot weather and Moloney's inability to rehydrate in-between races and stated 'these circumstances are exceptional so the stewards allowed the result to stand'.
Green For Gold, trained by Don Cantillon, was sent off the evens favourite for the Find Us On Facebook Handicap Chase and justified strong support with a convincing victory by five lengths.
"It's automatic that if a rider weighs in more than 1lb under weight, the clerk of the scales is obliged to report to the stewards" stipendiary steward Paul Barton told At The Races.
The rule gives the stewards the power to disqualify if they aren't satisfied or even on some occasions where they are satisfied and they know the reason. If a rider lost a weight cloth in a race and it led to the 1lb under weight the horse would be disqualified, but the rider would not be penalised. What happened under these circumstances, and they are extremely unusual and I've not known this invoked before, is that Paul Moloney weighed out for the first race and at the same time weighed out for the second. We held a stewards' inquiry straight after the first race and came into our stewards' room which was extremely hot and sat in there, still sweating, and went out for the second race. He came back in and weighed in more than a pound under weight. The digital scales measure in half-pounds, not in ounces in between. What we heard from the clerk of the scales on his (Moloney's) body weight before he went out and when he came back in, the weight loss was caused by him sweating. All the lads can do is take a drink and hope they rehydrate. We had him in the stewards' room for five minutes or more, holding an inquiry, so he didn't get the opportunity to rehydrate.
Sunday, July 22, 2012
Horse Racing Tips: Hayaku to fast at 22-1
There is no gratification in top rating a 22-1 winner that goes
un-backed especially when that 22-1 winner was the highlight and the only thing
to show for my hard work at Lingfield Park.
On the turf, no surprises in the first with top rated and the
only highlighted ‘Pace and Going’ horse on the card, Tobacco Road winning at an
SP of 13-8. The second race was given a wide birth with no points of reference.
The third had my top two declare non-runners.
Hayaku 22-1 strikes the front with Roxelana (red sleeves and cap) beating a retreat
On to the AW we had three disappointments, two coming under
the stewardship of Seb Sanders who gave both Potentiale and Aciano identical
rides from the front finishing third and second respectively. The winner of
Potentiale race Officer in Command was also top rated. The final insult to
injury came with top rated Hayaku (Japanese for 'fast') winning the finale at 22-1 with the selection
Roxelana finding reverse gear as they turned for home.
In summary three un-backed top rated winners from four races
of interest equals total frustration!
Wednesday, July 18, 2012
Southwell Clerk Of The Course Roderick Duncan - All Weather
An interesting interview with Roderick Duncan Clerk of the Course at Southwell giving an insight into the All Weather course and the difference between poly and fibre, draw bias and weather effects on the course.
18th July 2012 Lingfield Park
2:00 Lingfield Park Ladies Evening 21st July Maiden Stakes (Div I) Cl5 1m
98.5% * Gold Edition 2ND 9-2
Royal Empire 1ST 5-4
Keyaadi 3RD 5-1
Cluaindubhloch
Fly Haaf
Mutasadder
Pugnacious
Shahrazad
Simply
The Baronet
Ukrainian Princess
2:30 Lingfield Park Ladies Evening 21st July Maiden Stakes (Div II) Cl5 1m
99.7% * Niger 1ST 6-4
96.9% Friends Of Ama Gi 98.2%
Centrifugal 2ND 6-1
Narcissist 3RD 7-2
Any Other Day
Clowance Keys
Eamaadd
Iz She
Rowan Rhapsody
Suedehead
3:00 Breathe Spa At Lingfield Marriott Handicap Cl6 1m4f
99.1% * Lady Romanza
98.7% Angel Cake 97.8% 3RD 20-1
98.1% Silver Six 97.8% 2ND 9-1
97.3% Kaiser Wilhelm 1ST 5-1
97.0% Red Mystique
96.9% Blue Pencil
96.8% Zarosa
96.4% Polydamos
96.1% Elammato
95.8% Flamborough Breeze
Dangerous To Know
Despatch
Doyle´s Dream
Imperial Wave
3:30 Lingfield Park Owners Group Handicap Cl5 2m
100.6% Trovare 2ND 85-40
100.0% Frederick William 96.7%
99.4% * Legend Erry
97.4% Alfraamsey 99.8% 3RD 11-4
96.9% Courtesy Call 1ST 9-4
Native Colony
4:00 Paul Kelleway Memorial Handicap Cl3 1m5f
102.1% * Silent Moment
101.9% * Old Hundred
101.4% Alsadaa
101.2% Aurorian
100.9% Viking Storm 1ST 14-1
100.7% Sand Skier 100.1%
100.5% Kuda Huraa
100.1% Layline
100.1% Albaraka
99.0% The Holyman 99.6% 3RD 20-1
97.6% Bute Hall
Biographer 2ND 4-1
4:30 British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E B F Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 6f
99.0% * Sugar House 1ST 15-8
96.9% Our Golden Girl
Spicy 2ND 7-1
Ghostflower 3RD 11-4
Choral Rhythm
Elounta
Flywheel
Kunzea
Misty Secret
Pastoral Symphony
Starlight Symphony
5:00 Racing & Music Nights At Lingfield Park Handicap Cl5 6f
100.4% Ghost Train 2ND 11-2
100.0% Raffinn 96.1%
100.0% Bint Alzain
99.7% * Chalk And Cheese
98.6% Boudoir 3RD 16-1
98.5% Sujet Bellagio 98.8%
98.1% Sunley Pride
97.8% Mister Mackenzie 98.0%
97.5% Take A Note 1ST 7-2
97.3% Sweet Ovation 99.6%
95.9% Topflight Princess
5:30 Ladbrokes Game On! Handicap Cl6 1m2f
100.0% * Land Hawk 101.2%
99.0% Mitch Rapp
98.7% Lytham 97.4%
98.6% Lord Of The Storm 99.4%
98.6% Secret Era 2ND 9-1
98.2% Jordaura 100.2% 1ST 16-1
98.1% Gallantry 99.6%
97.7% Beat Up 98.0%
97.3% Formidable Guest 99.4% 3RD 10-1
96.8% Jumeirah Liberty 98.9%
95.9% Breakheart
94.9% Night Sky
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