THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 26th March KEMPTON PARK- 27th March WOLVERHAMPTON- 29th March WOLVERHAMPTON - 30th March LINGFIELD PARK, KEMPTON PARK & SOUTHWELL - 31st March WOLVERHAMPTON & CHELMSFORD CITY - 1ST aPRIL LINGFIELD PARK & WOLVERHAMPTON - 2nd April KEMPTON PARK -

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 20th November 2014

20th November 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:10 Book Winter Festival Tickets Now Claiming Stakes Cl6 6f
100.8% * Commanche  63 99.6% (2)
100.3% Midnight Rider  76 99.5% (3)
100.1% Avertor  81 101.0% (1)
99.9% La Tinta Bay  99.9% (1)
99.8% Arctic Lynx  76 100.5% (8)
99.7% Kodafine  66 98.6% (1)
99.5% Doc Hay  68 99.6% (1)
99.3% First Rebellion  46 98.3% (6)
98.9% Dark Lane  67 100.7% (5)
98.9% Trojan Rocket  75 100.5% (4)
98.8% Lindart  96.3% (1)
98.6% Dazza  70 98.0% (1)

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 19th November 2014

19th November 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
3:50 Betdaq £30 Free Bet And 3% Comm Handicap Cl5 1m2f
101.0% Karam Albaari  84 102.4% (1)
101.0% * Little Buxted  75 100.6% (2)
100.9% Leonard Thomas  74
100.6% Gaelic Silver  71 101.0% (1)
100.1% Cherry Street 
99.7% Gracious George 
99.4% Refreshestheparts  67
99.3% Syncopate  72
98.8% Sublimation 
98.6% Hill Fort  75
97.3% Thanks Harry 
Lu´s Buddy 
Leyland 
Stockhill Diva 

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 19th November 2014

19th November 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
12:00 32Red.com Nursery Handicap Cl5 1m1y
100.0% * Marmalad 
99.8% Eatsleepracerepeat 
99.0% Cascading Stars  62
98.7% Simone On Time 
97.9% Kidmeforever 
96.8% Vinamar 
95.9% Foxy Boris 
Beauchamp Ace 
Hillgrove Angel 

Southwell All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 18th November 2014

18th November 2014 Southwell
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
12:10 coral.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Handicap Cl6 1m4f
100.2% * Kyllachykov  98.4% (2)
99.5% Goldmadchen  62 98.6% (6)
99.0% Master Of Song  51 100.8% (1)
98.8% Aureate  67 99.2% (5)
98.6% Nellies Quest 
97.8% Mazij  74 97.5% (6)
97.6% Shirls Son Sam 
97.3% Fire In Babylon  54 99.6% (3)
Uganda Glory 
Enzaal 
Magicalmysterytour 
Cherry Tiger 
Sawwala 
Fen Flyer 

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Monday 17th November 2014

17th November 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
2:10 32Red On The App Store Nursery Handicap (Tapeta) Cl6 1m1f103y
99.4% * Mikandy 
99.2% Jolie De Vivre 
99.0% New Abbey Dancer 
98.6% Avenue Des Champs 
98.6% Le Torrent 
97.8% Heavens Above 
96.7% Kingston Sassafras 
96.7% Smugglers Lane 
94.4% Keen Move 
94.4% Naval Action 
Offshore 
Youonlyliveonce 
Almost Nowhere 

Like buses all our winners come along together

Well, that was so much better and like buses all our winners come along together. We may have started Saturday with a feeling of de ja vu as a horse I felt very bullish about, Sexy Secret (opened 5-1) finished 2nd in Lingfield Parks 12:20.

After being backed down to an SP of 2-1, Sexy Secret turned for home looking very much like the winner only to be worn down by the deposed favourite Steventon Star. Any anxiety for the day ahead becoming a post hitting day was soon eradicated as 3 point selection Suitsus (opened 4-5), Big Baz (opened 11-4) Intransigent (opened 7-2) and Battalion (opened 6-1) took the top prizes in the 12:50, 1:25, 2:00 and 2:35 respectively.

There were no sexy prices among our winners but I did feel like it added some respectability to what had been a trying week.

Even in defeat we were given glimmers of hope by our other selections as Dark Side Dream (8-1) and Dianora (11-4) both looked like they had slipped their fields only to be collared late on at Wolverhampton.

A quieter week lies ahead with only 9 meetings and we reconvene here at 2:10 on Monday in a race where Clive Cox Mikandy takes on Gay Kelleway New Abbey Dancer, with the former most likely to appreciate the step up in trip on breeding and add to the 3o% three winners from his last ten runners for Cox.


Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 15th November 2014

15th November 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:45 £20 Risk-Free At Unibet Handicap (Tapeta) Cl5 5f20y
100.2% Bilash  59 99.9% (1)
100.2% * Joyous  100.2% (1)
100.0% Lexington Rose  74
99.8% West Coast Dream  69
99.8% Kodafine  67
99.8% Oil Strike 
99.7% Simply Black  65 99.1% (2)
99.6% Dynamo Walt  60 99.7% (2)
99.5% Howyadoingnotsobad  64
99.1% Haadeeth  68
99.0% Electric Qatar  73
98.8% Alpha Delta Whisky  67
97.1% Touch The Clouds 

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 15th November 2014

15th November 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
11:50 32Red/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes Cl5 1m1y
100.5% * Natural Nine 
99.2% Prince Of Paris  65
Chemical Charge 
Take Note 

Biting Bullets stops biting nails

Today marks the end of a busy and so far fruitless week. When you are busy and winning, the impetus takes care of itself but when you seem to be continually hitting the post you do get a little punch-drunk. In among the all too infrequent winners we have amassed, in no particular order 2nd 11-4, 3rd 12-1, 2nd 13-2, 3rd 5-2, 2nd 2-1, 3rd 8-1, 2nd 5-2, 3rd 8-1, 2nd 5-1, 2nd 5-1 and 3rd 9-4.

When Wrood (opened 10-3) dead-heated in Lingfield Parks 1:30 my frustration was reaching boiling point. The late withdraw of 3 point selection Royal Trooper simply added to my feeling of misery!

Step up Biting Bullets (opened 13-2) in Wolverhampton’s 4:30. Not only did the win give a small profit on the day, the change in my demeanour was instant and the kids and wife could stop trembling in their shoes each time they spoke to me (joke).

After a prolonged winning period stretching back to the end of August bad periods are so much harder to take and as damaging as a bad couple of days is to how you approach the next day psychologically, you have to put bad days in to the perspective of winnings days versus losing days.


There is always the likelihood that today is the day that accounts for any small losses ;)


Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 24th November 2014

14th November 2014 Dundalk
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
6:15 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden 5f
99.8% * Belezza Oscura 
98.3% Well Done Me  72 97.5% (2)
97.5% Daisy Bell  97.0% (1)
95.7% Myia 
94.6% Captain K 
A Few Dollars More 
Knoxville Bullet 
Moneen Oasis 
Elliano 
Lariat Loop 

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 14th November 2014

14th November 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:00 32Red.com Maiden Stakes (Tapeta) Cl5 1m141y
99.7% * Champagne Bob 
97.7% Pin Up  97.3% (1)
97.0% London Mayor 
Amadeity 
Cloud Seven 
Fiesole 
Merton Place 
Mojawiz 
Sneaking Budge 
Toofeeg 
Yeats Magic 
Beauchamp Diamond 
Justice Belle 

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 14th November 2014

14th November 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
11:55 32Red Casino Nursery Handicap Cl5 7f1y
100.1% * Dark War 
99.6% Classic Seniority 
99.6% British Art 
99.0% Cascading Stars 
98.5% Easy Tiger  98.2% (1)
98.0% Rock Kristal 
96.1% Ms Eboracum 
Muhaarib Al Emarat 

Southwell horses stopping like they have been shot!

As we constantly see the term ‘Standard’ being broadcast by Clerks of the Course for All Weather tracks you can be forgiven for assuming that the deviations in the going must be minimal. I can assure that this is far from the case.

As I had alluded to in yesterday’s post ‘Racking up top rated winners at Dundalk’  regarding my concerns on how the going at Southwells meeting may be detrimental to our selections, rain on this surface has the opposite affect to what you might suppose.

Although the surfaces are commonly referred to as ‘sand’ giving the expectation that wet sand will ride quicker than dry, this has never been the case at Southwell. Whereas the Polytrack surfaces at Lingfield Park and Kempton Park ride marginally quicker when wet, the Fibresand surface at Southwell follows the same attributes as turf in becoming slower when wet.

This often manifests itself in horses stopping like theyhave been shot in the final stages of races. Our selection Captain Dunne in Southwell’s 3:50 being a classic example.  


In hindsight, looking at the more surprising winners Reach The Beach 25-1 and Best Tamayuz 25-1, it is not so surprising to see their best form coming on Soft \ Good to Soft ground on turf.

   

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 13th November 2014

13th November 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:20 Betdaq £50 Free Bet Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 7f
99.2%*Tarragon 
98.1%Nouveau Foret 98.1%(1)
97.9%Lady Pinnacle 98.2%(2)
97.0%You Be Lucky 96.8%(2)
96.9%Fanny Again 96.9%(1)
96.3%Pacolita 
96.1%Vale Of Iron 96.1%(1)
Doctors Papers 
Kaufmann 
Logorrheic 
Shell Bay 
Irish Belle 
Onorina 
Selfrespect 

Southwell All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 13th November 2014

13th November 2014 Southwell
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
12:20 Coral Mobile Just Three Clicks To Bet Handicap Cl5 1m4f
102.7% * Royal Marskell  64 99.7% (1)
99.3% Mr Lando  99.3% (1)
98.9% Yasir  67 98.8% (4)
98.8% Reach The Beach  47 98.6% (2)
98.4% Solid Justice 
98.4% On Demand 
98.0% Brockfield  65 100.7% (1)
98.0% Sheila´s Heart  98.0% (1)
96.4% Cascadia 
Montaff 
Aristocracy 
Oetzi 
Cape Karli 

Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?


Thursday, November 20, 2014

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 20th November 2014

20th November 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:10 Book Winter Festival Tickets Now Claiming Stakes Cl6 6f
100.8% * Commanche  63 99.6% (2)
100.3% Midnight Rider  76 99.5% (3)
100.1% Avertor  81 101.0% (1)
99.9% La Tinta Bay  99.9% (1)
99.8% Arctic Lynx  76 100.5% (8)
99.7% Kodafine  66 98.6% (1)
99.5% Doc Hay  68 99.6% (1)
99.3% First Rebellion  46 98.3% (6)
98.9% Dark Lane  67 100.7% (5)
98.9% Trojan Rocket  75 100.5% (4)
98.8% Lindart  96.3% (1)
98.6% Dazza  70 98.0% (1)

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 19th November 2014

19th November 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
3:50 Betdaq £30 Free Bet And 3% Comm Handicap Cl5 1m2f
101.0% Karam Albaari  84 102.4% (1)
101.0% * Little Buxted  75 100.6% (2)
100.9% Leonard Thomas  74
100.6% Gaelic Silver  71 101.0% (1)
100.1% Cherry Street 
99.7% Gracious George 
99.4% Refreshestheparts  67
99.3% Syncopate  72
98.8% Sublimation 
98.6% Hill Fort  75
97.3% Thanks Harry 
Lu´s Buddy 
Leyland 
Stockhill Diva 

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 19th November 2014

19th November 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
12:00 32Red.com Nursery Handicap Cl5 1m1y
100.0% * Marmalad 
99.8% Eatsleepracerepeat 
99.0% Cascading Stars  62
98.7% Simone On Time 
97.9% Kidmeforever 
96.8% Vinamar 
95.9% Foxy Boris 
Beauchamp Ace 
Hillgrove Angel 

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Southwell All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Tuesday 18th November 2014

18th November 2014 Southwell
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
12:10 coral.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Handicap Cl6 1m4f
100.2% * Kyllachykov  98.4% (2)
99.5% Goldmadchen  62 98.6% (6)
99.0% Master Of Song  51 100.8% (1)
98.8% Aureate  67 99.2% (5)
98.6% Nellies Quest 
97.8% Mazij  74 97.5% (6)
97.6% Shirls Son Sam 
97.3% Fire In Babylon  54 99.6% (3)
Uganda Glory 
Enzaal 
Magicalmysterytour 
Cherry Tiger 
Sawwala 
Fen Flyer 

Monday, November 17, 2014

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Monday 17th November 2014

17th November 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
2:10 32Red On The App Store Nursery Handicap (Tapeta) Cl6 1m1f103y
99.4% * Mikandy 
99.2% Jolie De Vivre 
99.0% New Abbey Dancer 
98.6% Avenue Des Champs 
98.6% Le Torrent 
97.8% Heavens Above 
96.7% Kingston Sassafras 
96.7% Smugglers Lane 
94.4% Keen Move 
94.4% Naval Action 
Offshore 
Youonlyliveonce 
Almost Nowhere 

Sunday, November 16, 2014

Like buses all our winners come along together

Well, that was so much better and like buses all our winners come along together. We may have started Saturday with a feeling of de ja vu as a horse I felt very bullish about, Sexy Secret (opened 5-1) finished 2nd in Lingfield Parks 12:20.

After being backed down to an SP of 2-1, Sexy Secret turned for home looking very much like the winner only to be worn down by the deposed favourite Steventon Star. Any anxiety for the day ahead becoming a post hitting day was soon eradicated as 3 point selection Suitsus (opened 4-5), Big Baz (opened 11-4) Intransigent (opened 7-2) and Battalion (opened 6-1) took the top prizes in the 12:50, 1:25, 2:00 and 2:35 respectively.

There were no sexy prices among our winners but I did feel like it added some respectability to what had been a trying week.

Even in defeat we were given glimmers of hope by our other selections as Dark Side Dream (8-1) and Dianora (11-4) both looked like they had slipped their fields only to be collared late on at Wolverhampton.

A quieter week lies ahead with only 9 meetings and we reconvene here at 2:10 on Monday in a race where Clive Cox Mikandy takes on Gay Kelleway New Abbey Dancer, with the former most likely to appreciate the step up in trip on breeding and add to the 3o% three winners from his last ten runners for Cox.


Saturday, November 15, 2014

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 15th November 2014

15th November 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:45 £20 Risk-Free At Unibet Handicap (Tapeta) Cl5 5f20y
100.2% Bilash  59 99.9% (1)
100.2% * Joyous  100.2% (1)
100.0% Lexington Rose  74
99.8% West Coast Dream  69
99.8% Kodafine  67
99.8% Oil Strike 
99.7% Simply Black  65 99.1% (2)
99.6% Dynamo Walt  60 99.7% (2)
99.5% Howyadoingnotsobad  64
99.1% Haadeeth  68
99.0% Electric Qatar  73
98.8% Alpha Delta Whisky  67
97.1% Touch The Clouds 

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 15th November 2014

15th November 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
11:50 32Red/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes Cl5 1m1y
100.5% * Natural Nine 
99.2% Prince Of Paris  65
Chemical Charge 
Take Note 

Biting Bullets stops biting nails

Today marks the end of a busy and so far fruitless week. When you are busy and winning, the impetus takes care of itself but when you seem to be continually hitting the post you do get a little punch-drunk. In among the all too infrequent winners we have amassed, in no particular order 2nd 11-4, 3rd 12-1, 2nd 13-2, 3rd 5-2, 2nd 2-1, 3rd 8-1, 2nd 5-2, 3rd 8-1, 2nd 5-1, 2nd 5-1 and 3rd 9-4.

When Wrood (opened 10-3) dead-heated in Lingfield Parks 1:30 my frustration was reaching boiling point. The late withdraw of 3 point selection Royal Trooper simply added to my feeling of misery!

Step up Biting Bullets (opened 13-2) in Wolverhampton’s 4:30. Not only did the win give a small profit on the day, the change in my demeanour was instant and the kids and wife could stop trembling in their shoes each time they spoke to me (joke).

After a prolonged winning period stretching back to the end of August bad periods are so much harder to take and as damaging as a bad couple of days is to how you approach the next day psychologically, you have to put bad days in to the perspective of winnings days versus losing days.


There is always the likelihood that today is the day that accounts for any small losses ;)


Friday, November 14, 2014

Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 24th November 2014

14th November 2014 Dundalk
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
6:15 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden 5f
99.8% * Belezza Oscura 
98.3% Well Done Me  72 97.5% (2)
97.5% Daisy Bell  97.0% (1)
95.7% Myia 
94.6% Captain K 
A Few Dollars More 
Knoxville Bullet 
Moneen Oasis 
Elliano 
Lariat Loop 

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 14th November 2014

14th November 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:00 32Red.com Maiden Stakes (Tapeta) Cl5 1m141y
99.7% * Champagne Bob 
97.7% Pin Up  97.3% (1)
97.0% London Mayor 
Amadeity 
Cloud Seven 
Fiesole 
Merton Place 
Mojawiz 
Sneaking Budge 
Toofeeg 
Yeats Magic 
Beauchamp Diamond 
Justice Belle 

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 14th November 2014

14th November 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
11:55 32Red Casino Nursery Handicap Cl5 7f1y
100.1% * Dark War 
99.6% Classic Seniority 
99.6% British Art 
99.0% Cascading Stars 
98.5% Easy Tiger  98.2% (1)
98.0% Rock Kristal 
96.1% Ms Eboracum 
Muhaarib Al Emarat 

Southwell horses stopping like they have been shot!

As we constantly see the term ‘Standard’ being broadcast by Clerks of the Course for All Weather tracks you can be forgiven for assuming that the deviations in the going must be minimal. I can assure that this is far from the case.

As I had alluded to in yesterday’s post ‘Racking up top rated winners at Dundalk’  regarding my concerns on how the going at Southwells meeting may be detrimental to our selections, rain on this surface has the opposite affect to what you might suppose.

Although the surfaces are commonly referred to as ‘sand’ giving the expectation that wet sand will ride quicker than dry, this has never been the case at Southwell. Whereas the Polytrack surfaces at Lingfield Park and Kempton Park ride marginally quicker when wet, the Fibresand surface at Southwell follows the same attributes as turf in becoming slower when wet.

This often manifests itself in horses stopping like theyhave been shot in the final stages of races. Our selection Captain Dunne in Southwell’s 3:50 being a classic example.  


In hindsight, looking at the more surprising winners Reach The Beach 25-1 and Best Tamayuz 25-1, it is not so surprising to see their best form coming on Soft \ Good to Soft ground on turf.

   

Thursday, November 13, 2014

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 13th November 2014

13th November 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
4:20 Betdaq £50 Free Bet Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 7f
99.2%*Tarragon 
98.1%Nouveau Foret 98.1%(1)
97.9%Lady Pinnacle 98.2%(2)
97.0%You Be Lucky 96.8%(2)
96.9%Fanny Again 96.9%(1)
96.3%Pacolita 
96.1%Vale Of Iron 96.1%(1)
Doctors Papers 
Kaufmann 
Logorrheic 
Shell Bay 
Irish Belle 
Onorina 
Selfrespect 

Southwell All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 13th November 2014

13th November 2014 Southwell
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
12:20 Coral Mobile Just Three Clicks To Bet Handicap Cl5 1m4f
102.7% * Royal Marskell  64 99.7% (1)
99.3% Mr Lando  99.3% (1)
98.9% Yasir  67 98.8% (4)
98.8% Reach The Beach  47 98.6% (2)
98.4% Solid Justice 
98.4% On Demand 
98.0% Brockfield  65 100.7% (1)
98.0% Sheila´s Heart  98.0% (1)
96.4% Cascadia 
Montaff 
Aristocracy 
Oetzi 
Cape Karli