Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Saturday 22nd March 2014

22nd March 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
2:10 32Red.com All Weather "Hands And Heels" Apprentice Series Final Handicap (Racing Excellence) Cl5 1m5f
101.9%		Bert The Alert	100.5%	(1)
100.8%	*	Sian Gwalia
99.6%		Thecornishcowboy	97.3%	(1)
99.4%		Munsarim
99.0%		Mahadee
95.5%		Rowan Ridge	98.7%	(1)		❷

Murphy gives Hughes a master class & possible Winter Derby shock @ 16-1

Yesterday became almost a carbon copy of Thursday with Seek The Fair Land replaced by Emerald Breeze and the 'Profile' horses only placing again! I am sure Hugh Taylor will certainly feel that his little black cloud has lifted with both his selections Biscuiteer and Breccbennach winning their respective races. Watching the re-runs on my return from Hospital last night, the one thing that grabbed my attention was the ride of Oisin Murphy on Purcell when head to head with Richard Hughes in Lingfield Parks 4:10.

It is hard to divorce jockey-ship from the calibre of the horse beneath, but I feel on this occasion that 3lb Claimer Oisin Murphy gave Hughes a master class. After duelling down the home straight with neither jockey giving an inch, the supremely confident Oisin Murphy appeared to do no more than stay with Hughes until asking for that little bit more in the final three strides to shade Hughes on Brownsea Brink. That one race alone shows for me what an exceptional talent Murphy is likely to become and how futile keeping the 3lb claim is likely to be.

We have some mouth-watering racing today at Lingfield Park today with Mr Murphy in the plate on Highland Knight (5:00) and Van Percy (5:30). Given how precious his claim is viewed you would be hard pressed to rule out the chances of either.

Looking through the candidates for The Winter Derby it is hard to ignore the front three in the market but the more you look, the more aware you become that the race is likely to have any number of hard-luck stories due to the field size and running styles. If we are to see the front three turned over it might just come in the form of Rebellious Guest who has to be a sound EW proposition at 16-1.

Keep well and enjoy your day ;) 

Dundalk All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 21st March 2014

21st February 2014 Dundalk
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
6:15 Dundalk Stadium Racecourse Of The Year Rated Race 7f
100.5%	*	Reckless Lad	98.3%	(5)
100.2%		Connacht Council	100.3%	(1)
99.4%		Boughtforasong	99.3%	(3)
98.8%		Doc Holliday	98.8%	(4)
98.6%		Cash Or Casualty	98.8%	(8)
98.4%		Strait Of Zanzibar	99.6%	(2)
97.7%		Iron Major	99.8%	(11)

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 21st March 2014

21st March 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:35 32Red Casino Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 5f216y
99.6%	*	Bereka				❶
98.9%		Sorry Saeed	98.9%	(1)		❺
97.8%		Moonspring				❷
		Kate Kelly				❷
		Sitting Pritty				❶

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Friday 21st March 2014

21st March 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
2:00 Best Odds At bookmakers.co.uk Claiming Stakes Cl6 6f
101.5%	*	Kuanyao	100.1%	(3)		❷
101.2%		Jubilee Brig				❶
100.4%		Song Of Parkes	101.2%	(2)
98.6%		Polar Kite				❶

Stephen Craine @ Wolverhampton, the stats tell you NO! + 4 Win and Place for today.

It is always disappointing when taking a retrospective look at the day’s results alongside the speed figures and with the benefit of hindsight, being able to see how and why results had materialised in the way they had. Of course, the more obvious and subsequently shorter prices winners were there for all to see, but even in those circumstances we have a tendency to look for something more spectacular than the obvious. Perhaps the writing was on the wall from the outset with the jockey change of Stephen Craine who falls out the stalls on Hugh Taylors tip for the day and 2 point selection for The Actuary subscribers, Invigilator.

Not that I have anything personal against Stephen Craine generally, it’s just a Stephen Craine at Wolverhampton thing. I am bemused by any trainer putting him in the plate at the course unless the intentions is to ensure a lower future handicap mark.

If there was any salvation on the day, it came in the form of Seek The Fair Land at 5-4 and perhaps the fact once again the 3 profile horses, although unable to get their heads in front, did all finish in the frame! Not exactly what we are looking for here but I am sure our patience, based upon my year of history, will be rewarded. I did say at the outset there will be bumps and bruises along the way in my first post on the topic Where did that horse come from and why is it here today?.

I am adamant that these horses, are on the whole, placed to win and hence, not surprised in the high frequency that they are placed. With four ‘Profile’ horses today perhaps the order of the day may be ‘Win’ & ‘Place’ on the exchanges.

While you are reading this I will be having a long awaited ‘Flexible Cystoscopy’ operation so please pray I don’t come around during surgery and enjoy your days racing on my behalf. The upside is Saturday will be spent at home convalescing in bed watching the Winter Derby.

Remember, what ever your day is like, it should be better than mine!  ;)

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 20th March 2014

20th March 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:55 Goffs London Sale - Kempton-Breeze/Kensington-Sale Handicap Cl6 1m
100.8%		Fleetwoodsands	99.5%	(5)		❶
100.6%		Divine Rule	99.4%	(17)
100.5%		Warbond	99.8%	(16)
100.3%		Bennelong	100.6%	(8)
100.3%	*	Pearl Ransom	99.2%	(2)		❶
99.8%		Fire King	99.2%	(4)		❸
99.8%		Habeshia	99.2%	(3)
98.9%		Safwaan	99.7%	(4)
98.8%		Bold Ring	98.4%	(3)
98.8%		Anjuna Beach	99.4%	(1)
98.6%		Uncle Fred	99.8%	(9)
98.4%		Up Tipp	97.8%	(5)		❶
98.2%		Wyndham Wave	99.3%	(7)		❶
96.0%		Addikt	98.3%	(2)

Wolverhampton All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Thursday 20th March 2014

20th March 2014 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
2:10 bookmakers.co.uk Handicap Cl6 5f20y
101.0%	*	Haadeeth	100.3%	(2)		❶
100.8%		West Coast Dream	98.3%	(3)		❶
99.9%		Your Gifted	98.6%	(10)		❶
99.6%		Hazard Warning
99.2%		Rose Garnet	99.7%	(4)		❶
99.0%		Time For Lambrini	97.9%	(3)		❶

Stephen Arnold and the quivering jelly fish + 3 for today!

No sooner had I typed the words ‘no skulduggery as witnessed yesterday’ in my post, Wednesday’s early breaking news centred on Stephen Arnold and 12 Ann Stokell runners across the two cards at Lingfield Park and Kempton Park. A handful of the 12 appearing to set up the pace for the target horses. You could sense Stephen Arnold’s frustration when interviewed on ATR with the most poignant comment brushed aside by Matt Chapman in the hope to sensationalise what appeared to be unprecedented market support for several of the Stokell trained horse. Owner Stephen Arnold had attempted to place a £2 Lucky 63 with several bookmakers resulting in betting being suspended on 7 races.

The suggestion was that punters had latched on to a Stephen Arnold tweet after placing his bet and jumped on the bandwagon causing prices to collapse. As only Bet365 were prepared to take Stephen Arnolds bet it gives you some insight in to the gutless, risk averse, quivering jelly fish we have today in the bookmaking fraternity.

After yesterday’s excellent turn out it is somewhat disappointing to see a return to the depleted field sizes for today and Friday, which is marginally better. The question before the BHA at present is whether the horse population can support Great Leighs (Chelmsford City), potentially Catterick and Newcastle providing more All Weather racing. As much as I relish the idea of all 3 recent field sizes would suggest that this is likely to be unsustainable.

On the home front, yesterday’s three ‘Profile’ horses provided some bumps and bruises and tarnished a record of every selection being in the first three home with only Sound Advice filling the frame. The Hugh Taylor v The Actuary selections suffered the same indignity as we mirrored each other’s picks. We go again today with another three today that unfortunately all look likely to be shorter than 5-1. Enter your email below and it will take you to today’s three profile horses or navigate to the link you have already if you have previously submitted your email.

Have a great days racing ;)

Kempton Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 19th March 2014

19th March 2014 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
5:40 BetBright.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 7f
99.2%		Sebs Sensei	97.9%	(1)		❷
98.8%	*	Jeremos
98.3%		Sleipnir	98.7%	(1)		❶
97.2%		Pouncing Tiger				❶
		Adam Forever				❷
		Eugenic
		Gaelic O´Reagan
		Nouvelle Ere
		Pendo
		Zain Dream
6:10 Goffs London Sale - Kempton-Breeze/Kensington-Sale Handicap (Div I) Cl6 6f
99.7%	*	Vitznau				❶
99.6%		Christopher Chua	99.0%	(4)		❶
99.6%	*	Torres Del Paine	99.7%	(18)		❶
99.4%	*	Catalyze	100.0%	(1)		❹
99.0%		Littlecote Lady	98.7%	(10)
99.0%		Little Choosey	99.0%	(1)		❶
98.9%		Renoir´s Lady	98.4%	(2)
98.8%		Celestial Dawn	98.9%	(1)
98.7%		Captain Scooby	100.4%	(3)
98.7%		College Doll				❶
98.2%		Mambo Spirit	99.6%	(9)		❶
		Mr Bounty
6:40 Goffs London Sale - Kempton-Breeze/Kensington-Sale Handicap (Div II) Cl6 6f
100.0%		Bubbly Bailey	100.0%	(1)
99.9%	*	Chapellerie				❶
99.6%		Idle Curiosity	97.3%	(3)		❶
99.6%		Sarah Berry	97.0%	(2)
98.9%		Ivestar	100.9%	(1)
98.6%		Belle Bayardo	98.1%	(5)
98.5%		Millies Quest	98.5%	(1)
98.3%		Green Millionaire	96.3%	(1)		❶
98.2%		Camache Queen	98.9%	(4)
98.0%		Newbury Street				❶
96.6%		Time Medicean	99.8%	(2)		❶
96.0%		We Have A Dream	99.9%	(11)		❶
7:10 Goffs London Sale - Kempton-Breeze/Kensington-Sale Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 1m4f
100.6%		Officer Drivel				❶
100.1%	*	Trafalgar Rock
		Dubai Kiss				❶
		Sawwala				❶
		Bergan				❶
		Amourita				❶
7:40 BetBright Moneyback Offers Handicap Cl6 1m3f
101.9%	*	Novel Dancer				❷
101.4%		Until The Man
100.1%		Polar Forest
99.8%		I´m Harry				❷
99.5%		Time Square	99.6%	(5)		❷
99.0%		Lisahane Bog	99.1%	(3)
98.9%		Hardy Plume
97.9%		Stamp Duty
97.7%		Dawn Rock				❸
97.1%		She´s A Honey	95.5%	(1)
97.0%		Pembroke Pride
96.6%		Gung Ho
96.5%		Voice From Above
95.7%		Entrapping				❶
8:10 BetBright - Live The Moment Handicap (Bobis Race) Cl4 7f
102.1%	*	Crowdmania				❶
101.0%		Bretherton				❶
99.7%		Khatiba	99.7%	(1)		❶
99.6%		Drive On	98.3%	(2)		❶
99.3%		Basil Berry	97.7%	(1)
		Announcement
8:40 BetBright Mobile Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl4 1m
101.8%		Toga Tiger	99.4%	(2)
101.8%		Ruzeiz
101.5%		Myboyalfie
101.2%		Mia´s Boy
101.1%		Appease	100.4%	(1)		❶
100.9%	*	Sound Advice
100.0%		Silverheels	100.5%	(3)
99.9%		Jay Bee Blue				❶
99.6%		Subtle Knife				❶
99.5%		Coincidently
96.9%		Idol Deputy	98.6%	(2)
9:10 BetBright.com Handicap Cl7 1m
100.6%		Appyjack	97.5%	(6)
100.2%	*	Admirals Walk				❶
99.7%		Byrd In Hand	99.6%	(8)
99.1%		Compton Silver	99.1%	(1)		❶
99.1%		Chez Vrony	98.7%	(5)
98.7%		Just Five	98.4%	(2)
98.7%		Brown Pete	99.3%	(1)
98.5%		Claude Monet	99.6%	(3)		❶
98.4%		Zed Candy Girl	99.5%	(1)
98.1%		Royal Intruder	96.3%	(1)
98.1%		Palladius
98.0%		My Scat Daddy	98.8%	(4)
97.7%		Mobley Chaos
97.5%		Sakhee´s Alround	99.7%	(1)

Lingfield Park All Weather Horse Racing Speed Handicap Ratings - Wednesday 19th March 2014

19th March 2014 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight  adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.
2:00 Coral Mobile "Just Three Clicks To Bet" Handicap Cl6 1m2f
100.7%		Minstrels Gallery	98.0%	(1)
100.2%		Petersboden	99.6%	(3)
100.0%	*	Indian Violet	98.6%	(7)		❶
99.8%		Daniel Thomas	99.5%	(11)		❶
99.6%		Final Delivery	97.7%	(3)
99.5%		Litmus	98.6%	(4)		❷
99.4%		Claude Greenwood				❶
98.4%		Abigails Angel	99.6%	(5)		❶
98.4%		Scamperdale	99.8%	(10)
98.0%		Dreaming Again	98.0%	(1)
96.6%		Querido	98.4%	(2)		❸
96.6%		Unbreak My Heart	98.3%	(2)		❶
2:30 Ladbrokes Mobile Handicap Cl6 7f
101.2%	*	Bertie Blu Boy	99.5%	(6)		❷
101.0%		Presumido	99.9%	(1)		❶
100.9%		Alnoomaas				❶
99.9%		Red Art	100.4%	(1)		❶
99.9%		West Leake	99.3%	(5)		❶
99.9%		Where´s Reiley
99.8%		Chevise	98.9%	(6)		❶
99.7%		Shifting Star	99.7%	(8)		❶
99.3%		The Mongoose	99.0%	(9)
99.1%		The Cash Generator				❶
97.7%		Amenable	96.7%	(1)
95.0%		All Right Now	95.8%	(2)		❶
3:00 bookmakers.co.uk Maiden Stakes Cl5 5f
99.3%	*	Purford Green	99.3%	(1)		❶
99.0%		Rock N Rouge				❷
98.9%		Spinning Cobblers				❶
98.3%		Bush Warrior				❶
97.9%		Narborough	95.9%	(1)
93.9%		Virtual Symphony
3:30 Compare Bookmakers At bookmakers.co.uk Handicap Cl5 5f
101.6%	*	Ask The Guru	99.8%	(5)
101.3%		Alpha Delta Whisky				❶
100.5%		Roy´s Legacy	100.1%	(8)		❷
100.5%		Desert Strike	99.5%	(12)		❶
100.2%		Profile Star	100.4%	(1)		❷
99.4%		Silvanus
98.8%		Dorback	99.0%	(1)		❶
98.0%		Pull The Pin	99.6%	(1)		❶
95.6%		Shirley´s Pride				❶
4:05 Download The Ladbrokes App Handicap Cl4 7f
102.4%		Yojojo
102.1%	*	Nassau Storm	100.3%	(5)
102.0%		Saucy Minx
101.8%		Al Khan				❶
101.8%		Brocklebank	100.5%	(5)
101.5%		Bowstar	97.6%	(1)		❶
101.3%		Firmdecisions				❷
100.6%		Living The Life	100.3%	(3)		❶
100.4%		Al´s Memory	99.7%	(10)		❷
99.7%		Pabusar				❶
98.8%		Snow Bay
4:40 Ladbrokes Handicap Cl5 1m
99.7%		Wishformore	98.8%	(3)		❶
99.6%		Greensward	99.6%	(4)		❶
99.5%		Mr Red Clubs	101.0%	(3)
99.4%		Liberty Jack	100.0%	(2)		❶
99.4%		Fairy Wing	98.8%	(3)
99.1%		Decent Fella				❷
99.1%		Run It Twice	99.5%	(4)
98.5%		Bay Knight
98.3%	*	Choral Festival
97.9%		Ostralegus				❶
97.6%		Rezwaan	97.9%	(9)
5:10 coral.co.uk Handicap Cl5 1m2f
101.9%	*	Smokethatthunders				❸
101.4%		Arabian Heights	99.0%	(1)		❶
100.8%		Havelovewilltravel	99.5%	(1)		❶
100.1%		Palus San Marco				❶
99.1%		Cathedral	99.1%	(1)		❶
99.0%		Perfect Cracker	99.6%	(2)		❶
99.0%		Lady Lunchalot	99.2%	(8)
98.8%		Apache Glory	99.3%	(6)
94.8%		Syncopate	99.2%	(6)
		Strong Conviction