THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 26th March KEMPTON PARK- 27th March WOLVERHAMPTON- 29th March WOLVERHAMPTON - 30th March LINGFIELD PARK, KEMPTON PARK & SOUTHWELL - 31st March WOLVERHAMPTON & CHELMSFORD CITY - 1ST aPRIL LINGFIELD PARK & WOLVERHAMPTON - 2nd April KEMPTON PARK -

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Saturday 7th December 2013

7th December 2013 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

6:20 Ladbrokes Handicap Cl5 7f32y
100.3%George Fenton 99.6%(5)
100.2%*Hierarch 99.9%(2)
99.8%Egotist 
99.6%Run It Twice 99.6%(3)
99.1%Hellbender 99.5%(6)
97.3%Strong Man 99.6%(3)

Dundalk All Weather Speed Figures - Friday 6th December 2013

6th December 2013 Dundalk
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

5:45 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden 6f
99.4%*Not Your Call 98.3%(1)
99.1%Wishyouwerehere 
98.7%Have A Great Day 98.6%(1)
98.5%Sandy Smile 97.4%(2)
97.9%American Hope 97.9%(1)
96.6%Katie Hall 
96.4%Firoda Belle 96.4%(1)
96.0%Cilicia 
95.6%High Stand 
95.5%Conocedor 
94.6%Fire Games 
Succeed And Excel 
Under The Moon 
Chiclet 
Dean Deifir 
Miss Gally Rio 
Cdancer 

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Friday 6th December 2013

6th December 2013 Wolverhampton





The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

4:00 Coral App Download From The App Store Apprentice Handicap Cl6 1m1f103y
101.3%Dansili Dutch 97.0%(1)
101.3%*Mrs Micawber 
101.0%Delightful Sleep 99.5%(3)
100.1%Monzino 99.8%(2)
96.8%Mespone 
91.8%Elizabeth Coffee 98.1%(6)

Proposal for ARC to lay All Weather surface at Newcastle

BREAKING NEWS: Arena Leisure have put forward a proposal to the BHA to lay an All Weather surface over a straight mile at Newcastle. The surface type is yet to be agreed and races held will form part of the All Weather Championships.

Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Friday 6th December 2013

6th December 2013 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

11:45 32Red/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies´ Stakes (Div I) Cl5 1m
99.7%*Sotise 
98.2%Merry Me 
97.8%Gay Marriage 
Alphabetique 
Al Shoogh 
Hallaga 
Passing By 
Procks Girl 
Sweet Charlie 

A Friday Yankee for Lingfield Park and Wolverhampton

Although there were 4 top rated winners yesterday I was bemused by the runs of several horses and it wasn't until doing the days returns that it became apparent that after a period where times appeared to be getting back on track at Wolverhampton, once again we are back to extremely testing.

Yesterday’s post made a reasonable return with RUN IT TWICE and GIVE US A BELLE both scoring. CHATEAU LOLA also made the frame at 20-1.

Today, in Lingfield Parks 12:45 Hamoody has put in several above par efforts over this distance including two efforts at Lingfield Park off a similar rating. Pabusar makes a second appearance on the surface after a reasonable 6f effort at Kempton Park and has to be respected in this company. ELECTRIC QATAR finds itself 7lb lower than when having its only C&D run here back in February recording a time that should see it get the measure of this opposition.

C&D winner KAKATOSI (16-1) is a big price in the 3:05 for a horse with a 100% 1 out of 1 recorded around this time last year and if able to reproduced a run of that standard today will take all the catching.

The Lingfield finale at 3:35 looks like square pegs in round holes with the exception of Perfect Delight and MAISON BRILLET. The latter appears to have the edge over this C&D and jockey.


A moderate bunch turn out for Wolverhampton's 4:30 and it will be interesting to see if there is any market support for Slipper Satin who had a strange introduction to life across the Irish Sea with a spin over 2 miles over obstacles on heavy ground after being raced and winning over half that trip. I am sure that today’s drop back to 1 mile 4 furlongs on this surface will be a more pleasurable experience for it. AKDAM looks to set the standard from the limited form available and is the worthy favourite.

Good luck :)

http://horse--racing--tips.blogspot.com/2013/12/a-friday-yankee-for-lingfield-park-and.html

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 5th December 2013

5th December 2013 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

3:50 Ladbrokes Apprentice Handicap Cl5 1m141y
101.0%Icy Blue 101.1%(3)
100.7%*Unex Michelangelo 100.7%(1)
100.2%Prince Of Burma 
100.1%Mcmonagle 
100.1%It´s My Time 
99.8%Brown Pete 100.2%(4)
99.7%Keene 98.5%(1)
98.2%Mysterious Wonder 

4 4 2 day at Windy Wolverhampton

KUANYAO (opened 7-1) was the only bright light for subscribers yesterday and pace played a part in the demise of several others with Bancnuanaheireann and Nautilus falling foul to muddling slow paces and Grandad Mac attempting to break the course mile record in a 2 mile race.

We did see some good performance from yesterday’s post with Picansort showing to be worthy of running in better company being completed blocked in for half a furlong before finishing full of running. The Mongoose was caught late finishing third to the two dangers mentioned and Knockgraffon Lad finished second in his respective race as did Ex Ex. Celtic Charlie also finished in the frame at a handsome 14-1.  
  
Today, BROWN PETE would have been of interest in the opener but as it is now being housed in unlicensed premises since its move to Ann Stokell has been withdrawn for the second time in a week on request from the BHA. I most certainty have no interest in the jolly Prince Of Burma when even on its best form it looks to be inferior to UNEX MICHELANGELO and Mcmonagle. The former also has the advantage of an above standard time over C&D and more attractively priced.

There is little margin for error in the 4:20 and the RUN IT TWICE sets a good standard on its last C&D run back in April and is now 10lb further down the handicap. Most consistent is Piccolo Express and it would be no surprise to see the two battle out the finish.

Although not seen over C&D Wyatt Earp is better than its form figures suggest and at 28’s could well find itself in the placing’s in the 6:50. GIVE US A BELLE is a worthy favourite based upon its two C&D performances but whether being 6lb higher may be a bridge to far remains to be seen.

In Div II Divertimenti has been over C&D nine times and its last C&D run was arguable its best and is now 2lb better off. At a big price CHATEAU LOLA makes its 15 C&D appearance and may well have the measure of many of these.

Good luck to you all :)

http://horse--racing--tips.blogspot.com/2013/12/kuanyao-opened-7-1-was-only-bright.html

Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Wednesday 4th December 2013

4th December 2013 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

3:50 £500 Free Bets At Betdaq EBF Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 6f
97.7%Lady Crossmar 
97.6%Byron´s Gold 97.6%(1)
97.6%Whispering Star 
97.6%*Shushu Sugartown 
91.9%Acertainplace 91.9%(1)
Garraun 
Mirror 
Rosie Prospects 
She´s A Lucky Lady 
Sweet Cherry 

Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Wednesday 4th December 2013

4th December 2013 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

12:00 32Red Nursery Handicap Cl3 1m
100.3%Pearl Spectre 
99.2%*Steventon Star 99.2%(1)
99.2%Our Gabrial 
98.8%Spiritual Flame 
96.7%Capers Royal Star 
Act Of Charity 

Ex's, Flame's, Lad's, Charlie's and all Sorts on the All Weather today!

Subscribers may a wee dent in bookies satchels yesterday when one of the two selections HEEZARARITY (6-4) took Wolverhamptons 6:40. We are a lot busier today! The one tentative selection put up on this page, Follow The Flag only beat the non-runner home with a woeful performance.

A few consideration outside of races with subscribers selections are as follows: 
     
On my figures SPIRITUAL FLAME sets the bar reasonably high over this trip in the Lingfield Park opener. The danger in what has become a 4 runner affair is the pace and usually held up SPIRITUAL FLAME may need adopt different tactics to be seen in its best light.

Given that the contenders are a little short of Class 2 in the Lingfield 1:00 and probably the fastest two horses Addictive Dream and Alben Star are better over 6f this might fall the way of PICANSORT who has the best and most recent form over 5f.  

THE MONGOOSE seems to run hot and cold, but if on song today has to be a major player in the 2:00. I have a question mark over the suitability of the trip for Kakapuka and Dozy Joe at the top of the handicap and see this as a marked step up for Barbados Bob. I would expect Athletic and Shauna's Spirit to pose the biggest threat.

Although this is a step from its LTO win, KNOCKGRAFFON LAD could land the 3:00 Lingfield Park Class 4 after several attempts in the class over further. Reverting to this trip saw a change in fortunes and the time would suggest it capable of notching up back to back wins.

What looks to be a motley bunch line up for the Kempton Park 4:20 and based upon the form on offer I would expect EX EX to come on sufficiently from its first run to take this. This view is reflected in the market with EX EX trading at 6-4.

In the 5:20 there is such a lack of recent distance form you may be questioning the motives behind why some of these are turning out for the contest. Only CELTIC CHARLIE has shown to put his best hoof forward over the trip and at 12-1 is worth an interest.


LARGHETTO hasn't ripped up any trees since winning over this trip at Wolverhampton in April but its last run heralded a return to a level of form capable of taking the 6:50 Kempton Park. Relatively lightly raced when compared to its main rivals West Leake, Multitask and One Last Dream could prove to be clever placement by Mr Stimpson.

Good luck and enjoy your day :)

http://horse--racing--tips.blogspot.com/2013/12/exs-flames-lads-charlies-and-all-sorts.html

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 3rd December 2013

3rd December 2013 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

2:10 Coral App Download From The App Store AW "Hands And Heels" Apprentice Series Handicap Cl5 1m1f103y
100.6% Silly Billy 
100.5% Jordaura  99.0% (9)
100.4% * Oratorio´s Joy  101.5% (1)
100.0% Fresa  100.9% (2)
99.0% Miami Gator 
98.0% Ocean Applause 
97.3% Standpoint  99.6% (12)

115 points gained from yesterdays Yankee but only one for today at 20-1!

Not the best of days to start Decmber yesterday with Full Speed failing to live up to its name in the Wolverhampton 12:55 , Kantara Castle and Penara fell foul of a Jamie Osborne gamble and the only horse with C&D. All early race times returned suggested that the course had reverted back to extremely testing until the 3:30 which proved this not to be the case when Maggie Pink made easy work of Miss Avonbridge in the fastest race on the card. It wasn't too unexpected that Kempton Park may need to come to the rescue with Driven On (adv 5-1) winning for subscribers providing some dignity after Roskilly also 5-1 could only manage a poor third.

Our suggested Yankee in yesterdays post faired reasonably well returning 115 points profit EW at SP with 2 winners CAPAILL LAITH 11-4 and PRETTY BUBBLES 4-1 both winning, CORPORAL MADDOX 7-1 and BURNHOPE 10-1 finishing second. My misgivings for Passionada were also well founded and it would appear that the anticipated digression continues.

With only the one card today at Wolverhampton opportunities are a little thin on the ground and I have to admit that with the exception of two races with subscribers selections in, I am happier watching these races unfold rather play in them.

The one horse that may be of some interest has to be FOLLOW THE FLAG in the finale. It has been some time since last seen on this surface (February 2013) when beaten 5 lengths in a Class 5 of a mark of 67 and even further back to when seen over C&D beaten 6.3/4 lengths off a mark of 76 in a Class 4.

Granted that its star is no longer shining as bright as it once was, but now racing off 48 as result of recent efforts over trips it barely gets at Southwell and ridden by an amateur jockey, now finds itself against a top OR of 55 and I am perhaps reading a little more than I should in to the jockey booking of Tom Queally hanging around to ride Alan McCabes only runner at the meeting. Queally is more likely to be there for the ride on Michael Bell’s Jayeff Herring in the 3:10 but you would then expect him to go home unless there was some optimism for FOLLOW THE FLAG and at 20-1+ could be a nice EW play.

Good Luck everyone J


Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Monday 2nd December 2013

2nd December 2013 Kempton Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.


2:20 Come Jump Racing On Boxing Day Handicap Cl6 1m2f
102.0%Minstrel Lad 99.5%(2)
101.3%Beggers Belief 100.4%(3)
100.2%Entrapping 98.4%(1)
99.6%Having A Ball 100.4%(9)
99.6%*Brave Decision 99.4%(2)
99.3%Sutton Sid 
98.9%Derfenna Art 
98.7%Warden Bond 100.5%(2)
98.5%Queen Of Skies 
98.1%Interakt 
98.0%Fair Comment 
95.3%Bint Alzain 
95.2%Red Catkin 
Gung Ho 

A Yankee for today on the All Weather

Monday cards are notoriously poor but I must say that I am looking forward to today’s two All Weather fixtures which appear to be above standard for the time of the week.

CAPAILL LIATH looks to have a good opportunity in the 2:50 Kempton and although not previously seen here over C&D has set a higher standard in its 7f runs. I am also wary of horses that have been declared as non-runners and then turn out a couple of days later. Not in a negative, but positive sense and Mr David has done just that after recording its best time over C&D when last seen here as did Ocean Legend.

In the 4:20 PRETTY BUBBLES recorded an above average performance when last seen over C&D and a reproduction of that run could see the remainder playing for the minor placing.

Tasrih and CORPORAL MADDOX produced almost identical speed figures last time out with the former being over a mile as opposed to CORPORAL MADDOX performance over C&D. In a competitive race there are dangers some at good EW prices in the form of Liberty Jack 16-1, Nassau Storm 14-1 and Light From Mars 12-1.

There is no surprise in seeing support for BURNHOPE (10-1) after opening at 20-1 given its past performances here over C&D. Indian Affair and Fortrose Academy look the best of the rest in my eyes!

PASSIONADA looks to have strong claims in the 4:05 Wolverhampton and all the 7-2 has been gobbled up. The concern is that in its 3 runs over C&D its last was also its worst.

Have a fun day J

http://horse--racing--tips.blogspot.com/2013/12/a-yankee-for-today-on-all-weather.html


Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Monday 2nd December 2013

2nd December 2013 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

12:55 32Red Casino Handicap (For Amateur Riders) Cl6 1m5f194y
103.6% Yasir 
102.0% Evermore  102.0% (1)
100.4% King Of Windsor 
99.4% * Full Speed  100.1% (1)
98.6% Compassion 
98.4% Cabuchon 
98.3% Royal Trooper 
97.9% Word Of Warning  98.0% (1)
97.3% Rock Of Ages 
97.2% Natural High  98.2% (1)
96.5% Walter De La Mare 
96.4% What´s Up Doc 
Herbalist 

Why last night, was the night for 14-1 'On The Money' selection Mosman.

A day of rest before tomorrow’s double header so a good time to cover off why yesterdays ‘On The Money’ selection Mosman advised at 14-1 was an exceptional proposition for subscribers. For me this was one of the best bets of the year with everything making sense and falling in to place in this race. A rarity indeed!

It also gives an insight in to the lengths a trainer goes through to get that win and why it was backed from 14-1 down to an SP of 8-1 ;)

Here is the form line for Mossman:


Although it would appear from the Racing Post that Mosman had raced over C&D on three previous occasions before last night’s win, in fact, it was only once as a 2yo on the 17th December. The subsequent runs on the 28th December 2012 and 11th Jan 2013 Mosman raced over 1m 141yds and not 1m 1f 103 yds. With almost a furlong (220 yds) between these distances, yet both distances register as 9f with Racing Post. Something to be weary of over this trip!

There is no doubt that these races are where Mosman has been most competitive finishing placed on all three races although still a maiden. Fergus Sweeney was the jockey on all three occasions and there is no doubt now of the significance of his booking last night.

The real give away for me was in my raw speed figures before adjustment placing Mosman ahead of the field over C&D in a race won off a faster pace than Dubai Destination and Poppy Bond had shown to be comfortable with. Add in to consideration this time was recorded as a 2yo you would expect to see a level of improvement at the backend of its 3yo career. You would be forgiven for assuming that no improvement had been made as Mosman once given its mark of 66 for the race on 28th December 2012 is then cleverly placed to drop this mark. Competing on 4 occasions over inadequate trips in better class including over 6 furlongs.   

Last night Mosman was reacquainted with Fergus Sweeney, was dropped in class, was running off a mark of 55 and was running for the first time back over a trip which saw it record one of its best time performance.

Mischief managed, a 10 race maiden gets off the mark!


Have a good Sunday J

http://horse--racing--tips.blogspot.com/2013/12/a-day-of-rest-before-tomorrows-double.html

Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?


Saturday, December 07, 2013

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Saturday 7th December 2013

7th December 2013 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

6:20 Ladbrokes Handicap Cl5 7f32y
100.3%George Fenton 99.6%(5)
100.2%*Hierarch 99.9%(2)
99.8%Egotist 
99.6%Run It Twice 99.6%(3)
99.1%Hellbender 99.5%(6)
97.3%Strong Man 99.6%(3)

Friday, December 06, 2013

Dundalk All Weather Speed Figures - Friday 6th December 2013

6th December 2013 Dundalk
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

5:45 Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden 6f
99.4%*Not Your Call 98.3%(1)
99.1%Wishyouwerehere 
98.7%Have A Great Day 98.6%(1)
98.5%Sandy Smile 97.4%(2)
97.9%American Hope 97.9%(1)
96.6%Katie Hall 
96.4%Firoda Belle 96.4%(1)
96.0%Cilicia 
95.6%High Stand 
95.5%Conocedor 
94.6%Fire Games 
Succeed And Excel 
Under The Moon 
Chiclet 
Dean Deifir 
Miss Gally Rio 
Cdancer 

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Friday 6th December 2013

6th December 2013 Wolverhampton





The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

4:00 Coral App Download From The App Store Apprentice Handicap Cl6 1m1f103y
101.3%Dansili Dutch 97.0%(1)
101.3%*Mrs Micawber 
101.0%Delightful Sleep 99.5%(3)
100.1%Monzino 99.8%(2)
96.8%Mespone 
91.8%Elizabeth Coffee 98.1%(6)

Proposal for ARC to lay All Weather surface at Newcastle

BREAKING NEWS: Arena Leisure have put forward a proposal to the BHA to lay an All Weather surface over a straight mile at Newcastle. The surface type is yet to be agreed and races held will form part of the All Weather Championships.

Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Friday 6th December 2013

6th December 2013 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

11:45 32Red/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies´ Stakes (Div I) Cl5 1m
99.7%*Sotise 
98.2%Merry Me 
97.8%Gay Marriage 
Alphabetique 
Al Shoogh 
Hallaga 
Passing By 
Procks Girl 
Sweet Charlie 

A Friday Yankee for Lingfield Park and Wolverhampton

Although there were 4 top rated winners yesterday I was bemused by the runs of several horses and it wasn't until doing the days returns that it became apparent that after a period where times appeared to be getting back on track at Wolverhampton, once again we are back to extremely testing.

Yesterday’s post made a reasonable return with RUN IT TWICE and GIVE US A BELLE both scoring. CHATEAU LOLA also made the frame at 20-1.

Today, in Lingfield Parks 12:45 Hamoody has put in several above par efforts over this distance including two efforts at Lingfield Park off a similar rating. Pabusar makes a second appearance on the surface after a reasonable 6f effort at Kempton Park and has to be respected in this company. ELECTRIC QATAR finds itself 7lb lower than when having its only C&D run here back in February recording a time that should see it get the measure of this opposition.

C&D winner KAKATOSI (16-1) is a big price in the 3:05 for a horse with a 100% 1 out of 1 recorded around this time last year and if able to reproduced a run of that standard today will take all the catching.

The Lingfield finale at 3:35 looks like square pegs in round holes with the exception of Perfect Delight and MAISON BRILLET. The latter appears to have the edge over this C&D and jockey.


A moderate bunch turn out for Wolverhampton's 4:30 and it will be interesting to see if there is any market support for Slipper Satin who had a strange introduction to life across the Irish Sea with a spin over 2 miles over obstacles on heavy ground after being raced and winning over half that trip. I am sure that today’s drop back to 1 mile 4 furlongs on this surface will be a more pleasurable experience for it. AKDAM looks to set the standard from the limited form available and is the worthy favourite.

Good luck :)

http://horse--racing--tips.blogspot.com/2013/12/a-friday-yankee-for-lingfield-park-and.html

Thursday, December 05, 2013

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Thursday 5th December 2013

5th December 2013 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

3:50 Ladbrokes Apprentice Handicap Cl5 1m141y
101.0%Icy Blue 101.1%(3)
100.7%*Unex Michelangelo 100.7%(1)
100.2%Prince Of Burma 
100.1%Mcmonagle 
100.1%It´s My Time 
99.8%Brown Pete 100.2%(4)
99.7%Keene 98.5%(1)
98.2%Mysterious Wonder 

4 4 2 day at Windy Wolverhampton

KUANYAO (opened 7-1) was the only bright light for subscribers yesterday and pace played a part in the demise of several others with Bancnuanaheireann and Nautilus falling foul to muddling slow paces and Grandad Mac attempting to break the course mile record in a 2 mile race.

We did see some good performance from yesterday’s post with Picansort showing to be worthy of running in better company being completed blocked in for half a furlong before finishing full of running. The Mongoose was caught late finishing third to the two dangers mentioned and Knockgraffon Lad finished second in his respective race as did Ex Ex. Celtic Charlie also finished in the frame at a handsome 14-1.  
  
Today, BROWN PETE would have been of interest in the opener but as it is now being housed in unlicensed premises since its move to Ann Stokell has been withdrawn for the second time in a week on request from the BHA. I most certainty have no interest in the jolly Prince Of Burma when even on its best form it looks to be inferior to UNEX MICHELANGELO and Mcmonagle. The former also has the advantage of an above standard time over C&D and more attractively priced.

There is little margin for error in the 4:20 and the RUN IT TWICE sets a good standard on its last C&D run back in April and is now 10lb further down the handicap. Most consistent is Piccolo Express and it would be no surprise to see the two battle out the finish.

Although not seen over C&D Wyatt Earp is better than its form figures suggest and at 28’s could well find itself in the placing’s in the 6:50. GIVE US A BELLE is a worthy favourite based upon its two C&D performances but whether being 6lb higher may be a bridge to far remains to be seen.

In Div II Divertimenti has been over C&D nine times and its last C&D run was arguable its best and is now 2lb better off. At a big price CHATEAU LOLA makes its 15 C&D appearance and may well have the measure of many of these.

Good luck to you all :)

http://horse--racing--tips.blogspot.com/2013/12/kuanyao-opened-7-1-was-only-bright.html

Wednesday, December 04, 2013

Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Wednesday 4th December 2013

4th December 2013 Kempton Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

3:50 £500 Free Bets At Betdaq EBF Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 6f
97.7%Lady Crossmar 
97.6%Byron´s Gold 97.6%(1)
97.6%Whispering Star 
97.6%*Shushu Sugartown 
91.9%Acertainplace 91.9%(1)
Garraun 
Mirror 
Rosie Prospects 
She´s A Lucky Lady 
Sweet Cherry 

Lingfield Park All Weather Speed Figures - Wednesday 4th December 2013

4th December 2013 Lingfield Park
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

12:00 32Red Nursery Handicap Cl3 1m
100.3%Pearl Spectre 
99.2%*Steventon Star 99.2%(1)
99.2%Our Gabrial 
98.8%Spiritual Flame 
96.7%Capers Royal Star 
Act Of Charity 

Ex's, Flame's, Lad's, Charlie's and all Sorts on the All Weather today!

Subscribers may a wee dent in bookies satchels yesterday when one of the two selections HEEZARARITY (6-4) took Wolverhamptons 6:40. We are a lot busier today! The one tentative selection put up on this page, Follow The Flag only beat the non-runner home with a woeful performance.

A few consideration outside of races with subscribers selections are as follows: 
     
On my figures SPIRITUAL FLAME sets the bar reasonably high over this trip in the Lingfield Park opener. The danger in what has become a 4 runner affair is the pace and usually held up SPIRITUAL FLAME may need adopt different tactics to be seen in its best light.

Given that the contenders are a little short of Class 2 in the Lingfield 1:00 and probably the fastest two horses Addictive Dream and Alben Star are better over 6f this might fall the way of PICANSORT who has the best and most recent form over 5f.  

THE MONGOOSE seems to run hot and cold, but if on song today has to be a major player in the 2:00. I have a question mark over the suitability of the trip for Kakapuka and Dozy Joe at the top of the handicap and see this as a marked step up for Barbados Bob. I would expect Athletic and Shauna's Spirit to pose the biggest threat.

Although this is a step from its LTO win, KNOCKGRAFFON LAD could land the 3:00 Lingfield Park Class 4 after several attempts in the class over further. Reverting to this trip saw a change in fortunes and the time would suggest it capable of notching up back to back wins.

What looks to be a motley bunch line up for the Kempton Park 4:20 and based upon the form on offer I would expect EX EX to come on sufficiently from its first run to take this. This view is reflected in the market with EX EX trading at 6-4.

In the 5:20 there is such a lack of recent distance form you may be questioning the motives behind why some of these are turning out for the contest. Only CELTIC CHARLIE has shown to put his best hoof forward over the trip and at 12-1 is worth an interest.


LARGHETTO hasn't ripped up any trees since winning over this trip at Wolverhampton in April but its last run heralded a return to a level of form capable of taking the 6:50 Kempton Park. Relatively lightly raced when compared to its main rivals West Leake, Multitask and One Last Dream could prove to be clever placement by Mr Stimpson.

Good luck and enjoy your day :)

http://horse--racing--tips.blogspot.com/2013/12/exs-flames-lads-charlies-and-all-sorts.html

Tuesday, December 03, 2013

Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Tuesday 3rd December 2013

3rd December 2013 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

2:10 Coral App Download From The App Store AW "Hands And Heels" Apprentice Series Handicap Cl5 1m1f103y
100.6% Silly Billy 
100.5% Jordaura  99.0% (9)
100.4% * Oratorio´s Joy  101.5% (1)
100.0% Fresa  100.9% (2)
99.0% Miami Gator 
98.0% Ocean Applause 
97.3% Standpoint  99.6% (12)

115 points gained from yesterdays Yankee but only one for today at 20-1!

Not the best of days to start Decmber yesterday with Full Speed failing to live up to its name in the Wolverhampton 12:55 , Kantara Castle and Penara fell foul of a Jamie Osborne gamble and the only horse with C&D. All early race times returned suggested that the course had reverted back to extremely testing until the 3:30 which proved this not to be the case when Maggie Pink made easy work of Miss Avonbridge in the fastest race on the card. It wasn't too unexpected that Kempton Park may need to come to the rescue with Driven On (adv 5-1) winning for subscribers providing some dignity after Roskilly also 5-1 could only manage a poor third.

Our suggested Yankee in yesterdays post faired reasonably well returning 115 points profit EW at SP with 2 winners CAPAILL LAITH 11-4 and PRETTY BUBBLES 4-1 both winning, CORPORAL MADDOX 7-1 and BURNHOPE 10-1 finishing second. My misgivings for Passionada were also well founded and it would appear that the anticipated digression continues.

With only the one card today at Wolverhampton opportunities are a little thin on the ground and I have to admit that with the exception of two races with subscribers selections in, I am happier watching these races unfold rather play in them.

The one horse that may be of some interest has to be FOLLOW THE FLAG in the finale. It has been some time since last seen on this surface (February 2013) when beaten 5 lengths in a Class 5 of a mark of 67 and even further back to when seen over C&D beaten 6.3/4 lengths off a mark of 76 in a Class 4.

Granted that its star is no longer shining as bright as it once was, but now racing off 48 as result of recent efforts over trips it barely gets at Southwell and ridden by an amateur jockey, now finds itself against a top OR of 55 and I am perhaps reading a little more than I should in to the jockey booking of Tom Queally hanging around to ride Alan McCabes only runner at the meeting. Queally is more likely to be there for the ride on Michael Bell’s Jayeff Herring in the 3:10 but you would then expect him to go home unless there was some optimism for FOLLOW THE FLAG and at 20-1+ could be a nice EW play.

Good Luck everyone J


Monday, December 02, 2013

Kempton Park All Weather Speed Figures - Monday 2nd December 2013

2nd December 2013 Kempton Park

The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.


2:20 Come Jump Racing On Boxing Day Handicap Cl6 1m2f
102.0%Minstrel Lad 99.5%(2)
101.3%Beggers Belief 100.4%(3)
100.2%Entrapping 98.4%(1)
99.6%Having A Ball 100.4%(9)
99.6%*Brave Decision 99.4%(2)
99.3%Sutton Sid 
98.9%Derfenna Art 
98.7%Warden Bond 100.5%(2)
98.5%Queen Of Skies 
98.1%Interakt 
98.0%Fair Comment 
95.3%Bint Alzain 
95.2%Red Catkin 
Gung Ho 

A Yankee for today on the All Weather

Monday cards are notoriously poor but I must say that I am looking forward to today’s two All Weather fixtures which appear to be above standard for the time of the week.

CAPAILL LIATH looks to have a good opportunity in the 2:50 Kempton and although not previously seen here over C&D has set a higher standard in its 7f runs. I am also wary of horses that have been declared as non-runners and then turn out a couple of days later. Not in a negative, but positive sense and Mr David has done just that after recording its best time over C&D when last seen here as did Ocean Legend.

In the 4:20 PRETTY BUBBLES recorded an above average performance when last seen over C&D and a reproduction of that run could see the remainder playing for the minor placing.

Tasrih and CORPORAL MADDOX produced almost identical speed figures last time out with the former being over a mile as opposed to CORPORAL MADDOX performance over C&D. In a competitive race there are dangers some at good EW prices in the form of Liberty Jack 16-1, Nassau Storm 14-1 and Light From Mars 12-1.

There is no surprise in seeing support for BURNHOPE (10-1) after opening at 20-1 given its past performances here over C&D. Indian Affair and Fortrose Academy look the best of the rest in my eyes!

PASSIONADA looks to have strong claims in the 4:05 Wolverhampton and all the 7-2 has been gobbled up. The concern is that in its 3 runs over C&D its last was also its worst.

Have a fun day J

http://horse--racing--tips.blogspot.com/2013/12/a-yankee-for-today-on-all-weather.html


Wolverhampton All Weather Speed Figures - Monday 2nd December 2013

2nd December 2013 Wolverhampton
The Actuary All  Weather speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with 
no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance 
on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, 
the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to 
any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before 
each UK All Weather meeting. ❶ Is The Actuary's 1-9 (9 being high) assessment of the 
merits of the 'Sire' over today's conditions.

12:55 32Red Casino Handicap (For Amateur Riders) Cl6 1m5f194y
103.6% Yasir 
102.0% Evermore  102.0% (1)
100.4% King Of Windsor 
99.4% * Full Speed  100.1% (1)
98.6% Compassion 
98.4% Cabuchon 
98.3% Royal Trooper 
97.9% Word Of Warning  98.0% (1)
97.3% Rock Of Ages 
97.2% Natural High  98.2% (1)
96.5% Walter De La Mare 
96.4% What´s Up Doc 
Herbalist 

Sunday, December 01, 2013

Why last night, was the night for 14-1 'On The Money' selection Mosman.

A day of rest before tomorrow’s double header so a good time to cover off why yesterdays ‘On The Money’ selection Mosman advised at 14-1 was an exceptional proposition for subscribers. For me this was one of the best bets of the year with everything making sense and falling in to place in this race. A rarity indeed!

It also gives an insight in to the lengths a trainer goes through to get that win and why it was backed from 14-1 down to an SP of 8-1 ;)

Here is the form line for Mossman:


Although it would appear from the Racing Post that Mosman had raced over C&D on three previous occasions before last night’s win, in fact, it was only once as a 2yo on the 17th December. The subsequent runs on the 28th December 2012 and 11th Jan 2013 Mosman raced over 1m 141yds and not 1m 1f 103 yds. With almost a furlong (220 yds) between these distances, yet both distances register as 9f with Racing Post. Something to be weary of over this trip!

There is no doubt that these races are where Mosman has been most competitive finishing placed on all three races although still a maiden. Fergus Sweeney was the jockey on all three occasions and there is no doubt now of the significance of his booking last night.

The real give away for me was in my raw speed figures before adjustment placing Mosman ahead of the field over C&D in a race won off a faster pace than Dubai Destination and Poppy Bond had shown to be comfortable with. Add in to consideration this time was recorded as a 2yo you would expect to see a level of improvement at the backend of its 3yo career. You would be forgiven for assuming that no improvement had been made as Mosman once given its mark of 66 for the race on 28th December 2012 is then cleverly placed to drop this mark. Competing on 4 occasions over inadequate trips in better class including over 6 furlongs.   

Last night Mosman was reacquainted with Fergus Sweeney, was dropped in class, was running off a mark of 55 and was running for the first time back over a trip which saw it record one of its best time performance.

Mischief managed, a 10 race maiden gets off the mark!


Have a good Sunday J

http://horse--racing--tips.blogspot.com/2013/12/a-day-of-rest-before-tomorrows-double.html