THIS WEEKS ALL WEATHER FIXTURES - 26th March KEMPTON PARK- 27th March WOLVERHAMPTON- 29th March WOLVERHAMPTON - 30th March LINGFIELD PARK, KEMPTON PARK & SOUTHWELL - 31st March WOLVERHAMPTON & CHELMSFORD CITY - 1ST aPRIL LINGFIELD PARK & WOLVERHAMPTON - 2nd April KEMPTON PARK -

Massive gamble landed for The Actuary Horse Racing Tips

Advised last night by The Actuary All Weather Horse Racing Tips at 10-1 three point selection Caldercruix takes Southwells 4:30 under Raul Da Silva.

Caldercruix_10-1
Chasing the long time leader Alpha Tauri it looked doubtful whether the selection would go past as it ducked in behind the leader inside the final furlong. Raul Da Silva corrected his path and won going away as Aplha Tauri started to paddle.

With Jack Dawkins already scoring for subscribers, a hat ful of selection still to come in the remainder of the Southwell card before going in to Wolverhampton tonight it could be a bumper day!

The Actuary Horse Racing Tips All Weather Southwell preview

The main All Weather focus of The Actuary Horse Racing Tips attention today will be Southwell’s afternoon card marginally ahead of the Wolverhampton evening card with the 4:30 taking centre stage.

With a 3 point selection in the race at what I believed to be ridiculously generous odds I thought I would revisit the race and consider dangers to The Actuary Horse Racing Tips selection. MASAI MOON was the horse that I felt most likely to trouble our selection. It’s one success from five attempts over C&D may be a little bit of a deterrent but forgiving a 9 length defeat in a claimer has only been beaten nk, 3/4L AND 3.1/4L along with its victory in Handicaps. Currently at double figure odds has to be considered a good EW proposition.  

In the race prior to this, the step back to a mile over a more testing surface should surely fit the bill for three times bridesmaid ARYAL. On all three occasions the selection has led on 
polytrack only to be caught late. I would be hopeful that a Mark Johnston horse will be able to keep grinding away on a surface where they won’t be able to close so quickly.

The other race that has caught my eye is Southwell’s opener at 2:20 due to the fascicle manner of victory by JACK DAWKINS two days ago. With three of its rivals re-opposing today I am unable to see any reason why any of those three should turn the form around should the selection adopt the same tactics. The danger may come from one of the other three namely Xpres Maite.  



      

Southwell Speed Figures - Thursday 7th March 2013

7th March 2013 Southwell

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

2:20 32RedBingo.com Selling Stakes Cl6 1m4f
101.0% Jack Dawkins 97.7% (3) 1ST 5-4
100.2% Goldmadchen 99.2% (3) 2ND 7-4
99.4% * Xpres Maite 97.8% (1) 3RD 5-1
99.3% Houdini Bright 97.6% (2)
98.1% Isola Bella 98.2% (1)
97.5% General Tufto 98.3% (7)
96.4% There´s No Rules 96.4% (1)

2:50 32RedBet.com Handicap Cl6 6f
100.5% Onceaponatime 100.9% (7)
99.8% Sofias Number One 98.8% (1)
99.7% Very First Blade 99.6% (1)
99.5% Ishi 99.7% (1)
98.9% Upper Lambourn 100.4% (3) 1ST 5-1
97.1% Bachelor Knight 97.6% (3)
97.0% Pull The Pin 2ND 3-1
95.3% Ryedale Dancer 3RD 20-1
Illustrious Lad
Captain Cavallo
Ring Of Fire

3:25 32RedPoker.com Handicap Cl6 1m
98.6% * Naughtybychoice 98.3% (2) 3RD 4-1
98.0% Birdy Boy 95.3% (1) 1ST 6-1
Conversing 2ND 5-1
Charlemagne Diva
Rainford Glory
Icanboogie

3:55 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 1m
97.0% Derby To Dubai 2ND 3-1
96.9% * Munaawib 95.5% (1)
93.8% Santorini Sunset
93.1% Running On Faith 93.4% (1)
Aryal 1ST EVENS
On With The Dance 3RD 3-1
Aura Bora
Solarmaite
Supastarqueen
Woodley Wonder

4:30 32Red Casino Handicap Cl5 7f
102.4% * Caldercruix 1ST 11-2
100.5% Tight Lipped
100.4% Only Ten Per Cent 100.2% (7)
100.4% Flying Pickets 100.1% (11)
99.8% Bitaphon 99.8% (2)
99.6% Masai Moon 100.9% (4)
99.4% Rio Cobolo 100.1% (2) 3RD 14-1
98.6% Imprimis Tagula 99.9% (9)
98.0% Alpha Tauri 100.2% (10) 2ND 10-1

5:00 32Red Handicap Cl4 5f
102.7% * Royal Bajan 102.5% (1) 2ND 4-1
101.8% Aubrietia 1ST 5-2
101.4% Dorback 102.6% (1)
100.7% Gorgeous Goblin 100.6% (6)
100.7% Six Wives 100.6% (9)
99.9% Rylee Mooch 100.5% (5) 3RD 7-1
Crown Choice

5:30 32Red.com Apprentice Handicap Cl4 1m3f
102.7% * Dewala 100.9% (2) 1ST 4-5
99.1% Stanley Rigby 100.3% (5) 2ND 7-2
98.3% Light The City 97.6% (2)
Blades Lad 3RD 16-1
Toughness Danon
Blue Maisey
Amana

Kempton Park Speed Figures - Wednesday 6th March 2013

6th March 2013 Kempton Park

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

5:30 Betdaq Members Free Entry Every Wednesday Handicap Cl5 5f
99.9% * Marvelino 99.2% (2)
99.5% Riskit Fora Biskit 1ST 15-8
99.4% Ada Lovelace 99.4% (1)
98.4% Dangerous Age 3RD 7-2
97.7% Modern Lady 98.8% (3) 2ND 10-1

6:00 Win Big With Betdaq Multiples Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m2f
99.6% * Incorporate 2ND 11-10
99.3% Barnaby Brook 1ST 5-1
98.6% Oratorio´s Joy 3RD 8-1
97.3% Early One Morning
Could Be
London Skolar
Punditry

6:30 Back And Lay At betdaq.com Handicap Cl6 1m2f
102.7% Penbryn 101.5% (2)
100.6% Barachiel 99.2% (1) 3RD 11-2
100.4% Matraash
100.4% Elsie Bay
100.3% Jumbo Prado
100.0% Rockweiller 100.4% (2)
99.5% Having A Ball 100.5% (5)
99.4% * Scary Movie 100.6% (2) 1ST 9-2
99.3% Flag Of Glory 99.9% (1)
99.1% Dolly Colman
99.1% Spirit Of Gondree 102.4% (1)
98.1% Saint Irene
96.9% Dream Prospector 2ND 33-1
93.5% Lisahane Bog 101.1% (7)

7:00 Betdaq Games £50 Cash Bonus Handicap Cl2 1m2f
103.3% Tinshu 101.5% (6)
102.4% Robin Hoods Bay 1ST 5-2
101.5% * Spifer 101.7% (1) 2ND 5-2
101.3% Super Say
100.3% George Guru
100.1% Kaafel
99.1% Shamir 3RD 9-1

7:30 Come Dine In The Panoramic Restaurant Handicap Cl6 6f
100.3% * Mr Optimistic 100.8% (2)
99.9% Haadeeth 99.7% (4) 2ND 7-2
99.9% Diamond Vine 99.4% (2)
99.7% Valdaw 99.1% (1) 1ST 13-2
99.5% Bull Bay 99.5% (1)
99.4% Rambo Will 99.2% (11)
98.7% Homeboy 99.2% (4) 3RD 8-1
98.7% Colourbearer
98.2% Whipphound 98.0% (4)
98.0% Duke Of Aricabeau 96.6% (1)

8:00 Goffs Ready-To-Run Sale March 27th Handicap (London Mile Qualifier) Cl5 1m
101.1% * Diplomatic 99.7% (7) 2ND 13-8
99.5% Lutine Charlie 99.3% (3) 3RD 6-1
99.0% Lily Edge 99.0% (1) 1ST 6-4
98.6% Katmai River 99.9% (3)
97.1% The Mongoose 97.1% (1)

8:30 Easter Family Fun With Peppa Pig Handicap Cl7 1m
99.8% Atacama Sunrise 98.7% (1)
99.3% Olynard 98.7% (2)
98.8% Gallantry 99.9% (27)
98.7% * Chez Vrony 99.3% (2)
98.6% Supa Seeker 3RD 10-1
98.3% Crucis Abbey 99.6% (2) 2ND 8-1
97.6% Dvinsky 98.9% (1)
97.5% Hawaiian Freeze 97.8% (2)
95.9% Rigid 98.8% (7) 1ST 7-1
94.9% La Giaconda
Zaroud

Lingfield Park Speed Figures - Wednesday 6th March 2013

6th March 2013 Lingfield Park

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.


2:00 Expert Guide To Lingfield At lingfieldracecoursetips.co.uk Claiming Stakes Cl6 1m4f
102.2% Stand Guard 100.4% (3) 1ST 4-5
102.1% * Right Stuff 101.0% (2) 2ND EVENS
100.0% Gower Rules 99.4% (2)
98.3% Bashama 3RD 50-1

2:30 Lingfield Park Owners Group Handicap Cl6 5f
100.6% * Quality Art 2ND 7-2
100.1% Dorothy´s Dancing 99.2% (6) 1ST 5-2
100.0% * Johnny Splash 99.4% (4)
99.5% Pharoh Jake 98.0% (7) 3RD 10-1
99.1% Amethyst Dawn

3:00 Spa Breaks At Lingfield Park Resort Handicap Cl6 7f
100.8% * Chambles 99.2% (4)
100.3% Teen Ager 98.1% (5)
100.3% Custom House 98.5% (1)
100.2% Chevise 98.8% (4) 1ST 20-1
100.0% Sannibel 100.0% (1) 2ND 7-1
99.1% Renoir´s Lady 99.3% (2) 3RD 3-1
99.0% Compton Bird
98.1% Outlaw Torn 97.0% (1)
96.6% Miakora 98.3% (1)
96.3% Spinning Ridge 100.1% (3)
95.5% Prophet In A Dream 97.9% (2)
93.5% Cuthbert 98.0% (14)
81.5% Trust Me Boy 94.3% (2)

3:30 Play Golf At Lingfield Park Resort Maiden Stakes Cl5 7f
98.8% * Red Refraction 1ST 4-5
98.6% Hawaiian Dream 3RD 14-1
98.1% Douglas Pasha 98.1% (1)
97.9% Fraserburgh 2ND 5-4
95.3% Barbsiz
90.1% Arabougg

4:00 Breathe Spa At Lingfield Marriott Handicap Cl5 1m5f
100.3% Admirable Duque 101.4% (1) 3RD 12-1
100.1% Simayill
99.8% El Libertador 99.6% (6) 2ND 10-1
99.7% Llamadas
99.6% * Winning Spark
99.5% Red Mystique
99.1% Linkable 99.2% (1) 1ST 4-1
98.1% Pullmen

4:30 Follow Us On Twitter @LingfieldPark Handicap Cl5 1m2f
102.1% * Honey Of A Kitten 99.3% (5) 3RD 9-2
100.6% If I Were A Boy 98.9% (1)
100.6% Pategonia (0)
100.5% Jewelled 99.3% (1) 2ND 5-1
99.3% Tornado Force 100.0% (3)
99.1% Understory 99.7% (8)
99.0% Gaelic Silver 99.0% (1)
98.6% Smokey Oakey 99.9% (2)
Carazam 1ST 8-1

5:00 All Weather "Hands And Heels" Apprentice Series Handicap (Part of The Racing Excellence Initiative) Cl6 1m
100.8% Salient 99.2% (15)
100.6% Exopuntia 99.3% (2) 3RD 5-1
100.5% Young Jackie
100.5% * Indian Violet 98.5% (11)
99.7% Sinchiroka 2ND 9-2
99.0% Avon Supreme
98.7% Total Obsession 98.7% (1) 1ST 50-1
97.9% Confirmed 96.0% (1)

The Actuary first of two selections Clubland wins (advised at 6-1)


Clubland_6-1

The first of today’s two Actuary Horse Racing tips selections Clubland (advised at 6-1) made easy work of its 13 rivals over a misty Southwell 5 furlongs.

Drawn 1, The Actuary selection led from pillar to post under Mark Coumbe and gradually worked its way over to the stands rail chased by only M J Woodward who closed to within 1.1/4 lengths. The success continues March rich vein of form with subscribers already +26 points to the good for the month.  

Southwell Speed Figures - Tuesday 5th March 2013

5th March 2013 Southwell

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.


2:10 32RedBingo.com Handicap Cl6 7f
99.8% Bentley 98.8% (1) 2ND 3-1
99.8% Witchry
99.1% Mango Music
98.5% Meydan Style 97.5% (5)
98.0% Bonnie Prince Blue 99.4% (8) 3RD 12-1
97.8% * Prohibition 99.4% (2)
97.3% Mucky Molly 1ST 33-1
93.8% Ishiamiracle 97.9% (6)
93.4% Tenancy 97.8% (10)
Mad For Fun

2:40 32Red.com Handicap Cl5 5f
100.9% Sleepy Blue Ocean 100.5% (9)
100.6% * Clubland 100.6% (1) 1ST 5-1
100.5% Captain Scooby 100.0% (3)
100.3% M J Woodward 99.7% (2) 2ND 9-2
100.0% Holy Angel
100.0% Oldjoesaid 99.5% (2)
99.6% Dickie Le Davoir 99.1% (5)
98.6% Phoenix Clubs 98.6% (1)
98.5% Miss Bunter 3RD 12-1
98.0% Laura´s Bairn 97.4% (2)
97.6% Ambitious Icarus 98.1% (2)
97.4% Haajes 98.7% (2)
Hot Sugar

3:10 32RecBet.com Selling Stakes Cl6 1m3f
100.0% Silver Marizah 98.3% (1)
98.9% * Gunner Will
98.8% Goldmadchen 2ND 2-5
98.0% Gay Gallivanter 3RD 28-1
97.9% Justine Time
97.6% General Tufto 99.9% (10)
96.4% Jack Dawkins 103.3% (2) 1ST 5-1
94.0% Rockgoat
Ilewin Dundee

3:40 32Red Casino Handicap Cl5 1m6f
102.0% * Scribe 2ND 7-2
100.0% Omid 98.8% (3)
99.5% Mediterranean Sea 99.6% (6) 3RD 11-4
98.8% Masterful Act 1ST 4-1
97.7% Brunello 99.1% (1)
96.3% Calculating 100.6% (11)
Wells Lyrical

4:10 32RedPoker.com Handicap Cl5 1m4f
99.6% Inside Knowledge
99.4% * Rubi Dia 100.3% (2)
99.0% Amtired 1ST 3-1
98.6% Corn Maiden 98.5% (2)
98.4% Maslak 98.0% (6)
98.1% El Bravo
97.4% Houdini Bright 96.3% (1) 3RD 14-1
96.9% Linroyale Boy 99.0% (1) 2ND 7-2
Darwinian
Temuco

4:40 32Red Handicap Cl4 1m
101.6% The Lock Master 100.5% (8)
101.1% Dubawi Island 101.1% (3) 2ND 9-4
100.7% * Dubai Hills 1ST 11-2
100.7% Caledonia Prince 100.0% (8) 3RD 7-2
100.1% Piceno 99.7% (7)
99.2% Copperwood 99.9% (3)
99.1% Brigadoon
Seattle Drive
Boom To Bust

5:10 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Handicap Cl6 6f
102.2% * Greenhead High 100.0% (10) 1ST 11-4
100.2% Seamster 99.7% (1) 2ND 6-4
99.9% Romanticize 103.6% (1)
99.9% Masked Dance 99.0% (5) 3RD 8-1
99.6% Ridgeway Hawk 98.6% (12)
99.2% My New Angel
97.9% Red Shadow 98.4% (2)
96.8% Kai


Kempton Park Speed Figures - Monday 4th March 2013

3rd March 2013 Kempton Park

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting (subscribe)

2:40 Mix Business With Pleasure Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 6f
97.1% * Sally Bruce 96.9% (3) 2ND 9-2
96.5% Guru Baby 3RD 9-2
96.0% Tavistock Fair
Friendship Is Love 1ST 4-7

3:15 Get The BetVictor App Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m
99.4% * Mad About Harry 3RD 7-4
99.1% Gunning For Glory 97.0% (1)
Thistleandtworoses 1ST 2-1
Cavalieri 2ND 11-4
Lalinde

3:50 BetVictor Exclusive Antepost Offer Aintree Handicap Cl5 7f
100.5% Bowstar 98.2% (2)
100.5% Spanish Plume
100.2% Crowning Star 96.1% (1)
100.1% Paradise Spectre 100.1% (1) 2ND 5-1
100.0% Tidal´s Baby 99.5% (1)
99.9% Flavius Victor
99.5% Al Khan 99.5% (1) 1ST 6-1
98.9% Ted´s Brother 100.1% (2)
98.6% Beauty Pageant
98.2% Midnight Feast 99.3% (2) 3RD 20-1
97.1% Absent Amy 97.1% (1)
97.0% Homeward Strut
Mujaadel

4:25 BetVictor Non Runner No Bet At Cheltenham Handicap Cl5 6f
99.9% * Hard Walnut 2ND 4-1
99.2% Indian Affair 99.2% (1)
98.7% Desert Donkey 98.7% (1) 3RD 7-1
97.8% Line Of Reason 1ST 4-9

5:00 BetVictor Grand National Non Runner Free Bet Handicap (Div I) Cl4 6f
100.6% Blue Jack 2ND 5-1
100.4% * Kakatosi 100.4% (1)
100.3% Crew Cut 100.5% (2) 1ST 5-2
99.5% Forest Edge 99.5% (1)
99.4% Hamoody
99.3% Decent Fella
98.8% School Fees 98.8% (1)
98.5% Elna Bright 98.9% (3) 3RD 16-1

5:30 BetVictor Grand National Non Runner Free Bet Handicap (Div II) Cl4 6f
101.3% Yeeoow 100.8% (2) 1ST 7-4
101.3% * Burnhope 101.3% (1)
99.9% Street Power 101.8% (3)
99.9% Rowe Park 3RD 20-1
99.4% Polar Venture 2ND 6-4
99.0% Albaqaa 99.0% (1)
98.5% Clear Praise 100.7% (9)
98.5% Rylee Mooch 97.3% (3)

6:00 Follow Us On Twitter @BetVictorRacing Handicap (London Middle Distance Qualifier) Cl4 1m3f
102.4% * Right Step
102.0% Ajeeb 3RD 10-1
101.6% Buckland 1ST 4-1
101.2% Reflect 101.4% (2) 2ND 5-1
101.1% Focail Maith 101.3% (1)
98.6% Sir Boss 101.0% (3)
96.3% Dubawi Phantom

6:30 Kempton For Weddings Handicap Cl6 1m3f
101.0% * Irene Kennet 3RD 7-2
100.5% Delightful Sleep 2ND 16-1
100.4% Final Delivery
100.0% Rodrigo De Freitas 101.8% (1)
99.6% Shirataki 99.8% (3)
99.5% Time Square 99.7% (2)
99.5% Legal Legacy 99.5% (1)
99.4% On The Cusp
99.1% Divine Rule
99.0% Scary Movie 99.0% (1) 1ST 16-1
99.0% Dicey Vows 99.0% (2)
98.9% Arashi

The Actuary Horse Racing Tips February 2013 Report

Sorry for the delay Guys, The Actuary February report has now been published on Scribd and can be accessed through the ‘2013 RESULTS’ page.

Looking back over the month I guess we can be fairly satisfied with doubling the profit made in January with a cosy 35.16% strike rate. If you can use the word ‘cosy’ in a derogatory fashion, that is my intent. I would personally find a 25% strike rate and a larger profit margin more appealing but I know many of you feel far more comfortable with a high strike rate.

Ironically ‘Speed and Class’ recorded a 35.7% strike rate but was the only method with a loss of -8.12 for the month. The full break down read:

THE ACTUARY +16.55
ON THE MONEY +11.00
TRIP HANDICAP +3.82
SPEED AND CLASS -8.12

TOTAL PROFIT +23.25

Once again we had our fair share of second (18.68%) and third (15.38%) placing which I guess is par for the course. What did hurt where the number of big prices that fell in to this category. As an example, the last day of February saw Tight Lipped advised at 11-1 and Petersboden advised at 10-1 both finishing second. The whole of the month seems to be littered with similar scenarios and a couple of these dropping in would have seen a dramatic increase in the month’s profit.

Not that we should indulge in any premature gloating but with 22 points already in the bank for March let’s hope we can break of few records!

Good luck at Kempton Park tonight.




      

Another winning day with The Actuary Horse Racing Tips

The Actuary Horse Racing Tips continued its fine run of form on Saturday afternoons Lingfield Park card.

Following up on Fridays successes which saw three of four selections winning, we were offered 2 selections book-ending the Lingfield card. With one of two selections Love You Louis declared a non-runner all hopes rested with Swing Easy (advised at 5-1)

Swing Easy was towed along through the early stages by Lucky Mountain, pulling double for Graham Lee only to find himself involuntarily leading well over three furlongs out. Only Gabrial The Duke was able to offer any competition as they turned for home and Graham Lee had to do little more than shake the reins to keep the selection Swing Easy in front.

Lingfield Park Speed Figures - Saturday 2nd March 2013

2nd March 2013 Lingfield Park

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting (subscribe)

1:40 AXA PPP International Selling Stakes Cl6 5f
100.2% * Proper Charlie 99.0% (1)
99.5% Where´s Reiley 99.8% (5) 1ST 7-4
99.1% Mother Jones 99.7% (3) 3RD 7-1
97.4% Spic ´n Span 98.9% (6) 2ND 25-1

2:15 Vitabiotics Osteocare Handicap Cl6 5f
100.1% * Scommettitrice 98.1% (2) 2ND 4-1
99.1% Chateau Lola 99.5% (1)
99.0% Christopher Chua 97.2% (2)
98.8% Imaginary Diva 98.3% (4)
98.7% Speedyfix 98.7% (1) 1ST 7-1
97.7% Brandywell Boy 99.1% (12) 3RD 14-1
97.6% Chjimes 99.7% (17)
91.6% Miss Polly Plum 95.7% (5)

2:50 Brolley Handicap Cl6 6f
100.2% * Fairy Wing 98.6% (3)
99.9% Slatey Hen 99.2% (5) 3RD 14-1
99.8% Red Ramesses 98.8% (1) 1ST 7-2
99.7% Mary´s Pet 98.8% (9)
99.7% Spoof Master 98.9% (6)
99.3% Artful Lady 98.7% (2) 2ND 6-1
98.9% Athaakeel 98.8% (15)
98.8% Kerfuffle 98.6% (1)
98.7% Sextons House 98.1% (2)
98.4% Medam
95.4% Island Express 98.0% (4)

3:25 Vitabiotics Wellwoman Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 1m
99.8% * Lady Guinevere 99.8% (1) 3RD 4-5
98.9% Awattan 98.9% (1) 2ND 9-2
98.0% Short Shrift
97.7% Solvanna
97.3% Ruff Luck
94.2% Sixties Queen
Whispering Lady 1ST 9-2
My Peggy Sue

4:00 Corinthia Hotel London Handicap Cl3 1m
102.6% * Aquilonius 101.7% (3) 3RD 5-2
102.5% Loyalty 101.9% (6) 2ND 7-2
100.8% Kickingthelilly 101.2% (1) 1ST 10-1
100.5% Takeitfromalady
99.4% Lord Ofthe Shadows 99.4% (1)
99.3% Mister Musicmaster 100.0% (4)
98.6% Dr Red Eye

4:35 Vitabiotics Wellman Handicap Cl5 1m4f
100.7% * Attwaal 1ST 2-1
100.2% Marcus Antonius 2ND 16-1
100.1% Stylistickhill
99.1% Bramshill Lass 99.2% (2) 3RD 3-1
99.0% El Libertador 100.4% (3)
98.7% Temuco
98.4% St Ignatius
97.6% Foxhaven 98.5% (2)

5:10 Vitabiotics Jointace Handicap Cl5 1m2f
101.2% Lucky Mountain 99.6% (1)
100.4% * Tight Knit
99.6% Swing Easy 1ST 7-4
98.7% Gabrial The Duke 99.0% (2) 2ND 6-4
97.8% Emulating 3RD 8-1

33-1 Actuary top rated, Smirfy's Silver takes Wolverhampton opener


Smirfys_silver_33-1
The Actuary Speed Figures got this evenings Wolverhampton meeting off to a flying start with top rating 33-1 shot Smirfy’s Silver making easy work of the opener.

Rated well clear of the favourite and second rated Sommersturn who had a luckless trip and was never able to get in to the race.
  
Jordan Nasson looked to be having difficulty in settling Smirfy’s Silver in the early stages as it pulled for its head before dropping  in to midfield, taking up the running in the final furlong and scoring by a comfortable 2.1/4 lengths.

Smirfys_silver_33-1_rating



      



Wolverhampton Park Speed Figures - Friday 1st March 2013

1st March 2013 Wolverhampton

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting (subscribe)

5:40 Name A Race To Enhance Your Brand Apprentice Handicap Cl6 1m4f50y
101.2% Smirfy´s Silver 1ST 33-1
100.9% * Sommersturm 100.8% (3)
99.5% Turjuman 99.7% (8)
99.5% Crimson Monarch 100.2% (3) 2ND 7-2
99.1% Tram Express 99.5% (2) 3RD 4-1
98.8% Mayan Flight 100.1% (7)
98.1% Snowy Valley
There´s No Rules

6:10 wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Claiming Stakes Cl5 5f20y
99.1% * Windforpower 95.6% (3) 1ST 1-2
99.0% Modern Lady 99.2% (5) 2ND 2-1
Nors The Panic 3RD 14-1

6:40 Enjoy The Punters Package Group Offer Handicap Cl6 5f216y
99.7% * Petite Georgia 2ND 9-2
99.0% Hazard Warning 99.3% (2) 1ST 5-1
98.7% Black Truffle 98.6% (2)
98.5% Jordanstown
98.0% Daisie Cutter 98.3% (2)
97.9% Southern Sapphire 98.1% (1)
97.4% Chelsea Grey 97.9% (1)
96.7% Scarlet Strand 97.2% (3)
96.7% Hannahs Turn 3RD 11-4
96.6% Holding Fast 99.0% (1)
96.5% Cromwell Rose 97.3% (1)
96.1% Twinwood Star 97.7% (2)
94.5% Eyeline 97.1% (5)

7:10 Horizons Restaurant Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 7f32y
100.7% * Ifan 99.8% (2) 1ST 3-1
98.1% Green Special 2ND 8-1
97.6% Two No Bids 3RD 9-2
95.2% Born To Run
Aura Bora
Stoneacre Oskar
Bain´s Pass
Clary
Zainda

7:40 Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap Cl5 1m1f103y
101.9% * McCool Bannanas 99.9% (4)
101.4% Ishikawa 99.7% (4) 2ND 5-2
101.0% Copperwood 96.6% (1)
100.9% Lean On Pete 100.4% (7) 3RD 5-2
99.4% Dakota Canyon 100.4% (4) 1ST 7-2
99.0% Six Silver Lane
98.8% Mountain Range 98.0% (1)
98.0% Guest Book 100.0% (1)
97.0% Bert The Alert

8:10 Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Cl6 2m119y
101.0% * Hoonose 1ST 4-1
99.8% Kijivu 100.6% (1)
97.7% Guards Chapel 2ND 11-10
97.5% Scribe 3RD 5-2
96.4% Baan 98.3% (3)

8:40 Joe Wright Memorial Handicap Cl7 1m1f103y
102.5% * Angelena Ballerina 97.3% (3) 3RD 3-1
101.4% Bubbly Braveheart 98.2% (4)
100.4% Hollywood All Star 98.6% (1)
99.3% Market Puzzle 98.8% (3)
99.3% Lytham 98.2% (8) 2ND 9-2
99.2% Akarana 97.1% (1)
98.3% Hyde Lea Flyer
98.3% Atacama Sunrise 97.5% (6)
97.6% Chik´s Dream 98.1% (1)
97.0% Naledi 98.5% (8)
95.8% Kiss My Heart
Petrol 1ST 7-2

7-1 Electrician scores for The Actuary Horse Racing Tips subscribers


Electrician_7-1

Some consolation for The Actuary Horse Racing Tips subscribers after David Probert dropping his hands on Paphos cost a 2 point 9-4 victory in Lingfield Park first. Electrician advised overnight at 7-1 fought back gamely to beat 1-2 on Flamborough Breeze.

An enterprising ride from Andrea Atzeni saw Electrician make the pace and continue to galvanise his mount even when passed by the odds-on favourite inside the final furlong. Atzeni ground every ounce out of Electrician to get his head back in front right on the jam stick.




      

Lingfield Park Speed Figures - Friday 1st March 2013

1st March 2013 Lingfield Park

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting (subscribe)

2:00 Mr Lover Loveridge Farewell Selling Stakes Cl6 1m
102.1% * Paphos 100.5% (2) 2ND EVENS
100.5% Cyflymder 100.1% (5) 3RD 5-2
99.7% Amber Moon 99.7% (1)
99.4% Saharia 100.7% (1) 1ST 11-4
97.8% Fairy Mist 98.8% (1)

2:30 Forest Row Handicap Cl6 1m
101.6% * Electrician 100.7% (1) 1ST 9-2
100.4% Flamborough Breeze 100.2% (1) 2ND 1-2
99.7% Alezanna
99.5% Bajan Story 97.8% (1)
99.4% Tartaria
99.0% Benandonner 100.8% (6) 3RD 16-1
97.8% Beauchamp Xerxes 98.7% (1)

3:05 Lingfield Park Owners Group Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m4f
98.7% El Massivo 1ST 4-5
98.1% Fulgora 3RD 9-2
98.0% * Bestfootforward
97.3% Big Kahuna 97.3% (1)
96.0% Culture Trip
95.1% Lion´s Maid 95.1% (1)
Mirth 2ND 3-1

3:40 Grundfos Watermill Handicap Cl5 5f
100.9% * Danziger 99.9% (1) 1ST 5-4
99.9% Above The Stars 100.3% (2)
99.7% Charming 99.1% (5) 3RD 8-1
99.6% Desert Strike 99.3% (8) 2ND 8-1
98.0% Dreams Of Glory 98.0% (1)
97.2% Speightowns Kid 99.6% (3)

4:15 Marsh Green Handicap Cl5 7f
100.1% Jimmy The Snooze 98.3% (3) 3RD EVENS
99.0% Studfarmer
98.8% Gabrial The Boss 2ND 5-1
98.2% * Skytrain 1ST 9-4

4:50 3rd Barry Gurr Memorial Handicap Cl4 7f
101.5% Living Leader
100.9% Chokidar 100.6% (2) 3RD 7-2
100.5% Chiswick Bey
100.2% Titan Triumph 99.3% (7)
99.9% Rakaan 2ND 7-1
99.0% Showboating 99.3% (4)
98.8% Al´s Memory 99.4% (5) 1ST 7-2

5:20 lingfieldpark.co.uk Handicap Cl6 1m
99.5% * Zhuba 99.5% (1) 3RD 6-1
98.8% Una Bella Cosa
98.7% Blazeofenchantment 1ST 4-5
98.5% Darkest Night 99.4% (2) 2ND 8-1
98.5% Gebayl
97.4% Give Me High Five 97.4% (3)
95.6% Mudaawem
91.3% Scepticism

David Probert drops his hands to cost punters on even money favorite Paphos


David_probert_drops_his_hands_
After my criticism of the Taunton Stewards yesterday It will be interesting to see the reaction of stewards at Lingfield Park towards David Probert dropping his hands on Paphos believing the race to be won in the opener.


Speaking through the pocket with a 2 point win for subscribers of The Actuary Horse Racing Tips at 9-4, certainly not! I have almost become apathetically unemotional over jockey malpractice.


If you believe Robert Hawker was deserving of a 12 day ban, you wouldn't be expecting to see David Probert much before the summer. Consistency among stewards is not their strong suit and I fear that it will be no more than a month at most.

Backers of Paphos have done their money and Probert will simply shrug it off and be free to do the same again when he next chooses to have a break. How about a public apology? That would go along way in making me feel better.



      

Horse Racing Tips: 14-1 or 13-2?


Thursday, March 07, 2013

Massive gamble landed for The Actuary Horse Racing Tips

Advised last night by The Actuary All Weather Horse Racing Tips at 10-1 three point selection Caldercruix takes Southwells 4:30 under Raul Da Silva.

Caldercruix_10-1
Chasing the long time leader Alpha Tauri it looked doubtful whether the selection would go past as it ducked in behind the leader inside the final furlong. Raul Da Silva corrected his path and won going away as Aplha Tauri started to paddle.

With Jack Dawkins already scoring for subscribers, a hat ful of selection still to come in the remainder of the Southwell card before going in to Wolverhampton tonight it could be a bumper day!

The Actuary Horse Racing Tips All Weather Southwell preview

The main All Weather focus of The Actuary Horse Racing Tips attention today will be Southwell’s afternoon card marginally ahead of the Wolverhampton evening card with the 4:30 taking centre stage.

With a 3 point selection in the race at what I believed to be ridiculously generous odds I thought I would revisit the race and consider dangers to The Actuary Horse Racing Tips selection. MASAI MOON was the horse that I felt most likely to trouble our selection. It’s one success from five attempts over C&D may be a little bit of a deterrent but forgiving a 9 length defeat in a claimer has only been beaten nk, 3/4L AND 3.1/4L along with its victory in Handicaps. Currently at double figure odds has to be considered a good EW proposition.  

In the race prior to this, the step back to a mile over a more testing surface should surely fit the bill for three times bridesmaid ARYAL. On all three occasions the selection has led on 
polytrack only to be caught late. I would be hopeful that a Mark Johnston horse will be able to keep grinding away on a surface where they won’t be able to close so quickly.

The other race that has caught my eye is Southwell’s opener at 2:20 due to the fascicle manner of victory by JACK DAWKINS two days ago. With three of its rivals re-opposing today I am unable to see any reason why any of those three should turn the form around should the selection adopt the same tactics. The danger may come from one of the other three namely Xpres Maite.  



      

Southwell Speed Figures - Thursday 7th March 2013

7th March 2013 Southwell

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

2:20 32RedBingo.com Selling Stakes Cl6 1m4f
101.0% Jack Dawkins 97.7% (3) 1ST 5-4
100.2% Goldmadchen 99.2% (3) 2ND 7-4
99.4% * Xpres Maite 97.8% (1) 3RD 5-1
99.3% Houdini Bright 97.6% (2)
98.1% Isola Bella 98.2% (1)
97.5% General Tufto 98.3% (7)
96.4% There´s No Rules 96.4% (1)

2:50 32RedBet.com Handicap Cl6 6f
100.5% Onceaponatime 100.9% (7)
99.8% Sofias Number One 98.8% (1)
99.7% Very First Blade 99.6% (1)
99.5% Ishi 99.7% (1)
98.9% Upper Lambourn 100.4% (3) 1ST 5-1
97.1% Bachelor Knight 97.6% (3)
97.0% Pull The Pin 2ND 3-1
95.3% Ryedale Dancer 3RD 20-1
Illustrious Lad
Captain Cavallo
Ring Of Fire

3:25 32RedPoker.com Handicap Cl6 1m
98.6% * Naughtybychoice 98.3% (2) 3RD 4-1
98.0% Birdy Boy 95.3% (1) 1ST 6-1
Conversing 2ND 5-1
Charlemagne Diva
Rainford Glory
Icanboogie

3:55 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 1m
97.0% Derby To Dubai 2ND 3-1
96.9% * Munaawib 95.5% (1)
93.8% Santorini Sunset
93.1% Running On Faith 93.4% (1)
Aryal 1ST EVENS
On With The Dance 3RD 3-1
Aura Bora
Solarmaite
Supastarqueen
Woodley Wonder

4:30 32Red Casino Handicap Cl5 7f
102.4% * Caldercruix 1ST 11-2
100.5% Tight Lipped
100.4% Only Ten Per Cent 100.2% (7)
100.4% Flying Pickets 100.1% (11)
99.8% Bitaphon 99.8% (2)
99.6% Masai Moon 100.9% (4)
99.4% Rio Cobolo 100.1% (2) 3RD 14-1
98.6% Imprimis Tagula 99.9% (9)
98.0% Alpha Tauri 100.2% (10) 2ND 10-1

5:00 32Red Handicap Cl4 5f
102.7% * Royal Bajan 102.5% (1) 2ND 4-1
101.8% Aubrietia 1ST 5-2
101.4% Dorback 102.6% (1)
100.7% Gorgeous Goblin 100.6% (6)
100.7% Six Wives 100.6% (9)
99.9% Rylee Mooch 100.5% (5) 3RD 7-1
Crown Choice

5:30 32Red.com Apprentice Handicap Cl4 1m3f
102.7% * Dewala 100.9% (2) 1ST 4-5
99.1% Stanley Rigby 100.3% (5) 2ND 7-2
98.3% Light The City 97.6% (2)
Blades Lad 3RD 16-1
Toughness Danon
Blue Maisey
Amana

Wednesday, March 06, 2013

Kempton Park Speed Figures - Wednesday 6th March 2013

6th March 2013 Kempton Park

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.

5:30 Betdaq Members Free Entry Every Wednesday Handicap Cl5 5f
99.9% * Marvelino 99.2% (2)
99.5% Riskit Fora Biskit 1ST 15-8
99.4% Ada Lovelace 99.4% (1)
98.4% Dangerous Age 3RD 7-2
97.7% Modern Lady 98.8% (3) 2ND 10-1

6:00 Win Big With Betdaq Multiples Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m2f
99.6% * Incorporate 2ND 11-10
99.3% Barnaby Brook 1ST 5-1
98.6% Oratorio´s Joy 3RD 8-1
97.3% Early One Morning
Could Be
London Skolar
Punditry

6:30 Back And Lay At betdaq.com Handicap Cl6 1m2f
102.7% Penbryn 101.5% (2)
100.6% Barachiel 99.2% (1) 3RD 11-2
100.4% Matraash
100.4% Elsie Bay
100.3% Jumbo Prado
100.0% Rockweiller 100.4% (2)
99.5% Having A Ball 100.5% (5)
99.4% * Scary Movie 100.6% (2) 1ST 9-2
99.3% Flag Of Glory 99.9% (1)
99.1% Dolly Colman
99.1% Spirit Of Gondree 102.4% (1)
98.1% Saint Irene
96.9% Dream Prospector 2ND 33-1
93.5% Lisahane Bog 101.1% (7)

7:00 Betdaq Games £50 Cash Bonus Handicap Cl2 1m2f
103.3% Tinshu 101.5% (6)
102.4% Robin Hoods Bay 1ST 5-2
101.5% * Spifer 101.7% (1) 2ND 5-2
101.3% Super Say
100.3% George Guru
100.1% Kaafel
99.1% Shamir 3RD 9-1

7:30 Come Dine In The Panoramic Restaurant Handicap Cl6 6f
100.3% * Mr Optimistic 100.8% (2)
99.9% Haadeeth 99.7% (4) 2ND 7-2
99.9% Diamond Vine 99.4% (2)
99.7% Valdaw 99.1% (1) 1ST 13-2
99.5% Bull Bay 99.5% (1)
99.4% Rambo Will 99.2% (11)
98.7% Homeboy 99.2% (4) 3RD 8-1
98.7% Colourbearer
98.2% Whipphound 98.0% (4)
98.0% Duke Of Aricabeau 96.6% (1)

8:00 Goffs Ready-To-Run Sale March 27th Handicap (London Mile Qualifier) Cl5 1m
101.1% * Diplomatic 99.7% (7) 2ND 13-8
99.5% Lutine Charlie 99.3% (3) 3RD 6-1
99.0% Lily Edge 99.0% (1) 1ST 6-4
98.6% Katmai River 99.9% (3)
97.1% The Mongoose 97.1% (1)

8:30 Easter Family Fun With Peppa Pig Handicap Cl7 1m
99.8% Atacama Sunrise 98.7% (1)
99.3% Olynard 98.7% (2)
98.8% Gallantry 99.9% (27)
98.7% * Chez Vrony 99.3% (2)
98.6% Supa Seeker 3RD 10-1
98.3% Crucis Abbey 99.6% (2) 2ND 8-1
97.6% Dvinsky 98.9% (1)
97.5% Hawaiian Freeze 97.8% (2)
95.9% Rigid 98.8% (7) 1ST 7-1
94.9% La Giaconda
Zaroud

Lingfield Park Speed Figures - Wednesday 6th March 2013

6th March 2013 Lingfield Park

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.


2:00 Expert Guide To Lingfield At lingfieldracecoursetips.co.uk Claiming Stakes Cl6 1m4f
102.2% Stand Guard 100.4% (3) 1ST 4-5
102.1% * Right Stuff 101.0% (2) 2ND EVENS
100.0% Gower Rules 99.4% (2)
98.3% Bashama 3RD 50-1

2:30 Lingfield Park Owners Group Handicap Cl6 5f
100.6% * Quality Art 2ND 7-2
100.1% Dorothy´s Dancing 99.2% (6) 1ST 5-2
100.0% * Johnny Splash 99.4% (4)
99.5% Pharoh Jake 98.0% (7) 3RD 10-1
99.1% Amethyst Dawn

3:00 Spa Breaks At Lingfield Park Resort Handicap Cl6 7f
100.8% * Chambles 99.2% (4)
100.3% Teen Ager 98.1% (5)
100.3% Custom House 98.5% (1)
100.2% Chevise 98.8% (4) 1ST 20-1
100.0% Sannibel 100.0% (1) 2ND 7-1
99.1% Renoir´s Lady 99.3% (2) 3RD 3-1
99.0% Compton Bird
98.1% Outlaw Torn 97.0% (1)
96.6% Miakora 98.3% (1)
96.3% Spinning Ridge 100.1% (3)
95.5% Prophet In A Dream 97.9% (2)
93.5% Cuthbert 98.0% (14)
81.5% Trust Me Boy 94.3% (2)

3:30 Play Golf At Lingfield Park Resort Maiden Stakes Cl5 7f
98.8% * Red Refraction 1ST 4-5
98.6% Hawaiian Dream 3RD 14-1
98.1% Douglas Pasha 98.1% (1)
97.9% Fraserburgh 2ND 5-4
95.3% Barbsiz
90.1% Arabougg

4:00 Breathe Spa At Lingfield Marriott Handicap Cl5 1m5f
100.3% Admirable Duque 101.4% (1) 3RD 12-1
100.1% Simayill
99.8% El Libertador 99.6% (6) 2ND 10-1
99.7% Llamadas
99.6% * Winning Spark
99.5% Red Mystique
99.1% Linkable 99.2% (1) 1ST 4-1
98.1% Pullmen

4:30 Follow Us On Twitter @LingfieldPark Handicap Cl5 1m2f
102.1% * Honey Of A Kitten 99.3% (5) 3RD 9-2
100.6% If I Were A Boy 98.9% (1)
100.6% Pategonia (0)
100.5% Jewelled 99.3% (1) 2ND 5-1
99.3% Tornado Force 100.0% (3)
99.1% Understory 99.7% (8)
99.0% Gaelic Silver 99.0% (1)
98.6% Smokey Oakey 99.9% (2)
Carazam 1ST 8-1

5:00 All Weather "Hands And Heels" Apprentice Series Handicap (Part of The Racing Excellence Initiative) Cl6 1m
100.8% Salient 99.2% (15)
100.6% Exopuntia 99.3% (2) 3RD 5-1
100.5% Young Jackie
100.5% * Indian Violet 98.5% (11)
99.7% Sinchiroka 2ND 9-2
99.0% Avon Supreme
98.7% Total Obsession 98.7% (1) 1ST 50-1
97.9% Confirmed 96.0% (1)

Tuesday, March 05, 2013

The Actuary first of two selections Clubland wins (advised at 6-1)


Clubland_6-1

The first of today’s two Actuary Horse Racing tips selections Clubland (advised at 6-1) made easy work of its 13 rivals over a misty Southwell 5 furlongs.

Drawn 1, The Actuary selection led from pillar to post under Mark Coumbe and gradually worked its way over to the stands rail chased by only M J Woodward who closed to within 1.1/4 lengths. The success continues March rich vein of form with subscribers already +26 points to the good for the month.  

Southwell Speed Figures - Tuesday 5th March 2013

5th March 2013 Southwell

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting.


2:10 32RedBingo.com Handicap Cl6 7f
99.8% Bentley 98.8% (1) 2ND 3-1
99.8% Witchry
99.1% Mango Music
98.5% Meydan Style 97.5% (5)
98.0% Bonnie Prince Blue 99.4% (8) 3RD 12-1
97.8% * Prohibition 99.4% (2)
97.3% Mucky Molly 1ST 33-1
93.8% Ishiamiracle 97.9% (6)
93.4% Tenancy 97.8% (10)
Mad For Fun

2:40 32Red.com Handicap Cl5 5f
100.9% Sleepy Blue Ocean 100.5% (9)
100.6% * Clubland 100.6% (1) 1ST 5-1
100.5% Captain Scooby 100.0% (3)
100.3% M J Woodward 99.7% (2) 2ND 9-2
100.0% Holy Angel
100.0% Oldjoesaid 99.5% (2)
99.6% Dickie Le Davoir 99.1% (5)
98.6% Phoenix Clubs 98.6% (1)
98.5% Miss Bunter 3RD 12-1
98.0% Laura´s Bairn 97.4% (2)
97.6% Ambitious Icarus 98.1% (2)
97.4% Haajes 98.7% (2)
Hot Sugar

3:10 32RecBet.com Selling Stakes Cl6 1m3f
100.0% Silver Marizah 98.3% (1)
98.9% * Gunner Will
98.8% Goldmadchen 2ND 2-5
98.0% Gay Gallivanter 3RD 28-1
97.9% Justine Time
97.6% General Tufto 99.9% (10)
96.4% Jack Dawkins 103.3% (2) 1ST 5-1
94.0% Rockgoat
Ilewin Dundee

3:40 32Red Casino Handicap Cl5 1m6f
102.0% * Scribe 2ND 7-2
100.0% Omid 98.8% (3)
99.5% Mediterranean Sea 99.6% (6) 3RD 11-4
98.8% Masterful Act 1ST 4-1
97.7% Brunello 99.1% (1)
96.3% Calculating 100.6% (11)
Wells Lyrical

4:10 32RedPoker.com Handicap Cl5 1m4f
99.6% Inside Knowledge
99.4% * Rubi Dia 100.3% (2)
99.0% Amtired 1ST 3-1
98.6% Corn Maiden 98.5% (2)
98.4% Maslak 98.0% (6)
98.1% El Bravo
97.4% Houdini Bright 96.3% (1) 3RD 14-1
96.9% Linroyale Boy 99.0% (1) 2ND 7-2
Darwinian
Temuco

4:40 32Red Handicap Cl4 1m
101.6% The Lock Master 100.5% (8)
101.1% Dubawi Island 101.1% (3) 2ND 9-4
100.7% * Dubai Hills 1ST 11-2
100.7% Caledonia Prince 100.0% (8) 3RD 7-2
100.1% Piceno 99.7% (7)
99.2% Copperwood 99.9% (3)
99.1% Brigadoon
Seattle Drive
Boom To Bust

5:10 £32 Bonus At 32Red.com Handicap Cl6 6f
102.2% * Greenhead High 100.0% (10) 1ST 11-4
100.2% Seamster 99.7% (1) 2ND 6-4
99.9% Romanticize 103.6% (1)
99.9% Masked Dance 99.0% (5) 3RD 8-1
99.6% Ridgeway Hawk 98.6% (12)
99.2% My New Angel
97.9% Red Shadow 98.4% (2)
96.8% Kai


Monday, March 04, 2013

Kempton Park Speed Figures - Monday 4th March 2013

3rd March 2013 Kempton Park

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting (subscribe)

2:40 Mix Business With Pleasure Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl6 6f
97.1% * Sally Bruce 96.9% (3) 2ND 9-2
96.5% Guru Baby 3RD 9-2
96.0% Tavistock Fair
Friendship Is Love 1ST 4-7

3:15 Get The BetVictor App Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m
99.4% * Mad About Harry 3RD 7-4
99.1% Gunning For Glory 97.0% (1)
Thistleandtworoses 1ST 2-1
Cavalieri 2ND 11-4
Lalinde

3:50 BetVictor Exclusive Antepost Offer Aintree Handicap Cl5 7f
100.5% Bowstar 98.2% (2)
100.5% Spanish Plume
100.2% Crowning Star 96.1% (1)
100.1% Paradise Spectre 100.1% (1) 2ND 5-1
100.0% Tidal´s Baby 99.5% (1)
99.9% Flavius Victor
99.5% Al Khan 99.5% (1) 1ST 6-1
98.9% Ted´s Brother 100.1% (2)
98.6% Beauty Pageant
98.2% Midnight Feast 99.3% (2) 3RD 20-1
97.1% Absent Amy 97.1% (1)
97.0% Homeward Strut
Mujaadel

4:25 BetVictor Non Runner No Bet At Cheltenham Handicap Cl5 6f
99.9% * Hard Walnut 2ND 4-1
99.2% Indian Affair 99.2% (1)
98.7% Desert Donkey 98.7% (1) 3RD 7-1
97.8% Line Of Reason 1ST 4-9

5:00 BetVictor Grand National Non Runner Free Bet Handicap (Div I) Cl4 6f
100.6% Blue Jack 2ND 5-1
100.4% * Kakatosi 100.4% (1)
100.3% Crew Cut 100.5% (2) 1ST 5-2
99.5% Forest Edge 99.5% (1)
99.4% Hamoody
99.3% Decent Fella
98.8% School Fees 98.8% (1)
98.5% Elna Bright 98.9% (3) 3RD 16-1

5:30 BetVictor Grand National Non Runner Free Bet Handicap (Div II) Cl4 6f
101.3% Yeeoow 100.8% (2) 1ST 7-4
101.3% * Burnhope 101.3% (1)
99.9% Street Power 101.8% (3)
99.9% Rowe Park 3RD 20-1
99.4% Polar Venture 2ND 6-4
99.0% Albaqaa 99.0% (1)
98.5% Clear Praise 100.7% (9)
98.5% Rylee Mooch 97.3% (3)

6:00 Follow Us On Twitter @BetVictorRacing Handicap (London Middle Distance Qualifier) Cl4 1m3f
102.4% * Right Step
102.0% Ajeeb 3RD 10-1
101.6% Buckland 1ST 4-1
101.2% Reflect 101.4% (2) 2ND 5-1
101.1% Focail Maith 101.3% (1)
98.6% Sir Boss 101.0% (3)
96.3% Dubawi Phantom

6:30 Kempton For Weddings Handicap Cl6 1m3f
101.0% * Irene Kennet 3RD 7-2
100.5% Delightful Sleep 2ND 16-1
100.4% Final Delivery
100.0% Rodrigo De Freitas 101.8% (1)
99.6% Shirataki 99.8% (3)
99.5% Time Square 99.7% (2)
99.5% Legal Legacy 99.5% (1)
99.4% On The Cusp
99.1% Divine Rule
99.0% Scary Movie 99.0% (1) 1ST 16-1
99.0% Dicey Vows 99.0% (2)
98.9% Arashi

The Actuary Horse Racing Tips February 2013 Report

Sorry for the delay Guys, The Actuary February report has now been published on Scribd and can be accessed through the ‘2013 RESULTS’ page.

Looking back over the month I guess we can be fairly satisfied with doubling the profit made in January with a cosy 35.16% strike rate. If you can use the word ‘cosy’ in a derogatory fashion, that is my intent. I would personally find a 25% strike rate and a larger profit margin more appealing but I know many of you feel far more comfortable with a high strike rate.

Ironically ‘Speed and Class’ recorded a 35.7% strike rate but was the only method with a loss of -8.12 for the month. The full break down read:

THE ACTUARY +16.55
ON THE MONEY +11.00
TRIP HANDICAP +3.82
SPEED AND CLASS -8.12

TOTAL PROFIT +23.25

Once again we had our fair share of second (18.68%) and third (15.38%) placing which I guess is par for the course. What did hurt where the number of big prices that fell in to this category. As an example, the last day of February saw Tight Lipped advised at 11-1 and Petersboden advised at 10-1 both finishing second. The whole of the month seems to be littered with similar scenarios and a couple of these dropping in would have seen a dramatic increase in the month’s profit.

Not that we should indulge in any premature gloating but with 22 points already in the bank for March let’s hope we can break of few records!

Good luck at Kempton Park tonight.




      

Sunday, March 03, 2013

Another winning day with The Actuary Horse Racing Tips

The Actuary Horse Racing Tips continued its fine run of form on Saturday afternoons Lingfield Park card.

Following up on Fridays successes which saw three of four selections winning, we were offered 2 selections book-ending the Lingfield card. With one of two selections Love You Louis declared a non-runner all hopes rested with Swing Easy (advised at 5-1)

Swing Easy was towed along through the early stages by Lucky Mountain, pulling double for Graham Lee only to find himself involuntarily leading well over three furlongs out. Only Gabrial The Duke was able to offer any competition as they turned for home and Graham Lee had to do little more than shake the reins to keep the selection Swing Easy in front.

Saturday, March 02, 2013

Lingfield Park Speed Figures - Saturday 2nd March 2013

2nd March 2013 Lingfield Park

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting (subscribe)

1:40 AXA PPP International Selling Stakes Cl6 5f
100.2% * Proper Charlie 99.0% (1)
99.5% Where´s Reiley 99.8% (5) 1ST 7-4
99.1% Mother Jones 99.7% (3) 3RD 7-1
97.4% Spic ´n Span 98.9% (6) 2ND 25-1

2:15 Vitabiotics Osteocare Handicap Cl6 5f
100.1% * Scommettitrice 98.1% (2) 2ND 4-1
99.1% Chateau Lola 99.5% (1)
99.0% Christopher Chua 97.2% (2)
98.8% Imaginary Diva 98.3% (4)
98.7% Speedyfix 98.7% (1) 1ST 7-1
97.7% Brandywell Boy 99.1% (12) 3RD 14-1
97.6% Chjimes 99.7% (17)
91.6% Miss Polly Plum 95.7% (5)

2:50 Brolley Handicap Cl6 6f
100.2% * Fairy Wing 98.6% (3)
99.9% Slatey Hen 99.2% (5) 3RD 14-1
99.8% Red Ramesses 98.8% (1) 1ST 7-2
99.7% Mary´s Pet 98.8% (9)
99.7% Spoof Master 98.9% (6)
99.3% Artful Lady 98.7% (2) 2ND 6-1
98.9% Athaakeel 98.8% (15)
98.8% Kerfuffle 98.6% (1)
98.7% Sextons House 98.1% (2)
98.4% Medam
95.4% Island Express 98.0% (4)

3:25 Vitabiotics Wellwoman Maiden Fillies´ Stakes Cl5 1m
99.8% * Lady Guinevere 99.8% (1) 3RD 4-5
98.9% Awattan 98.9% (1) 2ND 9-2
98.0% Short Shrift
97.7% Solvanna
97.3% Ruff Luck
94.2% Sixties Queen
Whispering Lady 1ST 9-2
My Peggy Sue

4:00 Corinthia Hotel London Handicap Cl3 1m
102.6% * Aquilonius 101.7% (3) 3RD 5-2
102.5% Loyalty 101.9% (6) 2ND 7-2
100.8% Kickingthelilly 101.2% (1) 1ST 10-1
100.5% Takeitfromalady
99.4% Lord Ofthe Shadows 99.4% (1)
99.3% Mister Musicmaster 100.0% (4)
98.6% Dr Red Eye

4:35 Vitabiotics Wellman Handicap Cl5 1m4f
100.7% * Attwaal 1ST 2-1
100.2% Marcus Antonius 2ND 16-1
100.1% Stylistickhill
99.1% Bramshill Lass 99.2% (2) 3RD 3-1
99.0% El Libertador 100.4% (3)
98.7% Temuco
98.4% St Ignatius
97.6% Foxhaven 98.5% (2)

5:10 Vitabiotics Jointace Handicap Cl5 1m2f
101.2% Lucky Mountain 99.6% (1)
100.4% * Tight Knit
99.6% Swing Easy 1ST 7-4
98.7% Gabrial The Duke 99.0% (2) 2ND 6-4
97.8% Emulating 3RD 8-1

Friday, March 01, 2013

33-1 Actuary top rated, Smirfy's Silver takes Wolverhampton opener


Smirfys_silver_33-1
The Actuary Speed Figures got this evenings Wolverhampton meeting off to a flying start with top rating 33-1 shot Smirfy’s Silver making easy work of the opener.

Rated well clear of the favourite and second rated Sommersturn who had a luckless trip and was never able to get in to the race.
  
Jordan Nasson looked to be having difficulty in settling Smirfy’s Silver in the early stages as it pulled for its head before dropping  in to midfield, taking up the running in the final furlong and scoring by a comfortable 2.1/4 lengths.

Smirfys_silver_33-1_rating



      



Wolverhampton Park Speed Figures - Friday 1st March 2013

1st March 2013 Wolverhampton

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting (subscribe)

5:40 Name A Race To Enhance Your Brand Apprentice Handicap Cl6 1m4f50y
101.2% Smirfy´s Silver 1ST 33-1
100.9% * Sommersturm 100.8% (3)
99.5% Turjuman 99.7% (8)
99.5% Crimson Monarch 100.2% (3) 2ND 7-2
99.1% Tram Express 99.5% (2) 3RD 4-1
98.8% Mayan Flight 100.1% (7)
98.1% Snowy Valley
There´s No Rules

6:10 wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Claiming Stakes Cl5 5f20y
99.1% * Windforpower 95.6% (3) 1ST 1-2
99.0% Modern Lady 99.2% (5) 2ND 2-1
Nors The Panic 3RD 14-1

6:40 Enjoy The Punters Package Group Offer Handicap Cl6 5f216y
99.7% * Petite Georgia 2ND 9-2
99.0% Hazard Warning 99.3% (2) 1ST 5-1
98.7% Black Truffle 98.6% (2)
98.5% Jordanstown
98.0% Daisie Cutter 98.3% (2)
97.9% Southern Sapphire 98.1% (1)
97.4% Chelsea Grey 97.9% (1)
96.7% Scarlet Strand 97.2% (3)
96.7% Hannahs Turn 3RD 11-4
96.6% Holding Fast 99.0% (1)
96.5% Cromwell Rose 97.3% (1)
96.1% Twinwood Star 97.7% (2)
94.5% Eyeline 97.1% (5)

7:10 Horizons Restaurant Median Auction Maiden Stakes Cl5 7f32y
100.7% * Ifan 99.8% (2) 1ST 3-1
98.1% Green Special 2ND 8-1
97.6% Two No Bids 3RD 9-2
95.2% Born To Run
Aura Bora
Stoneacre Oskar
Bain´s Pass
Clary
Zainda

7:40 Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap Cl5 1m1f103y
101.9% * McCool Bannanas 99.9% (4)
101.4% Ishikawa 99.7% (4) 2ND 5-2
101.0% Copperwood 96.6% (1)
100.9% Lean On Pete 100.4% (7) 3RD 5-2
99.4% Dakota Canyon 100.4% (4) 1ST 7-2
99.0% Six Silver Lane
98.8% Mountain Range 98.0% (1)
98.0% Guest Book 100.0% (1)
97.0% Bert The Alert

8:10 Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Cl6 2m119y
101.0% * Hoonose 1ST 4-1
99.8% Kijivu 100.6% (1)
97.7% Guards Chapel 2ND 11-10
97.5% Scribe 3RD 5-2
96.4% Baan 98.3% (3)

8:40 Joe Wright Memorial Handicap Cl7 1m1f103y
102.5% * Angelena Ballerina 97.3% (3) 3RD 3-1
101.4% Bubbly Braveheart 98.2% (4)
100.4% Hollywood All Star 98.6% (1)
99.3% Market Puzzle 98.8% (3)
99.3% Lytham 98.2% (8) 2ND 9-2
99.2% Akarana 97.1% (1)
98.3% Hyde Lea Flyer
98.3% Atacama Sunrise 97.5% (6)
97.6% Chik´s Dream 98.1% (1)
97.0% Naledi 98.5% (8)
95.8% Kiss My Heart
Petrol 1ST 7-2

7-1 Electrician scores for The Actuary Horse Racing Tips subscribers


Electrician_7-1

Some consolation for The Actuary Horse Racing Tips subscribers after David Probert dropping his hands on Paphos cost a 2 point 9-4 victory in Lingfield Park first. Electrician advised overnight at 7-1 fought back gamely to beat 1-2 on Flamborough Breeze.

An enterprising ride from Andrea Atzeni saw Electrician make the pace and continue to galvanise his mount even when passed by the odds-on favourite inside the final furlong. Atzeni ground every ounce out of Electrician to get his head back in front right on the jam stick.




      

Lingfield Park Speed Figures - Friday 1st March 2013

1st March 2013 Lingfield Park

All speed ratings are based purely on a time perspective with no weight adjustment and are compiled by The Actuary. To the left: Level of performance on last run. To the right: Previous performances over course and distance, in brackets, the number of course and distance runs considered. * denotes top rated horse prior to any going adjustment. Figures are available to monthly subscribers the evening before each UK All Weather meeting (subscribe)

2:00 Mr Lover Loveridge Farewell Selling Stakes Cl6 1m
102.1% * Paphos 100.5% (2) 2ND EVENS
100.5% Cyflymder 100.1% (5) 3RD 5-2
99.7% Amber Moon 99.7% (1)
99.4% Saharia 100.7% (1) 1ST 11-4
97.8% Fairy Mist 98.8% (1)

2:30 Forest Row Handicap Cl6 1m
101.6% * Electrician 100.7% (1) 1ST 9-2
100.4% Flamborough Breeze 100.2% (1) 2ND 1-2
99.7% Alezanna
99.5% Bajan Story 97.8% (1)
99.4% Tartaria
99.0% Benandonner 100.8% (6) 3RD 16-1
97.8% Beauchamp Xerxes 98.7% (1)

3:05 Lingfield Park Owners Group Maiden Stakes Cl5 1m4f
98.7% El Massivo 1ST 4-5
98.1% Fulgora 3RD 9-2
98.0% * Bestfootforward
97.3% Big Kahuna 97.3% (1)
96.0% Culture Trip
95.1% Lion´s Maid 95.1% (1)
Mirth 2ND 3-1

3:40 Grundfos Watermill Handicap Cl5 5f
100.9% * Danziger 99.9% (1) 1ST 5-4
99.9% Above The Stars 100.3% (2)
99.7% Charming 99.1% (5) 3RD 8-1
99.6% Desert Strike 99.3% (8) 2ND 8-1
98.0% Dreams Of Glory 98.0% (1)
97.2% Speightowns Kid 99.6% (3)

4:15 Marsh Green Handicap Cl5 7f
100.1% Jimmy The Snooze 98.3% (3) 3RD EVENS
99.0% Studfarmer
98.8% Gabrial The Boss 2ND 5-1
98.2% * Skytrain 1ST 9-4

4:50 3rd Barry Gurr Memorial Handicap Cl4 7f
101.5% Living Leader
100.9% Chokidar 100.6% (2) 3RD 7-2
100.5% Chiswick Bey
100.2% Titan Triumph 99.3% (7)
99.9% Rakaan 2ND 7-1
99.0% Showboating 99.3% (4)
98.8% Al´s Memory 99.4% (5) 1ST 7-2

5:20 lingfieldpark.co.uk Handicap Cl6 1m
99.5% * Zhuba 99.5% (1) 3RD 6-1
98.8% Una Bella Cosa
98.7% Blazeofenchantment 1ST 4-5
98.5% Darkest Night 99.4% (2) 2ND 8-1
98.5% Gebayl
97.4% Give Me High Five 97.4% (3)
95.6% Mudaawem
91.3% Scepticism

David Probert drops his hands to cost punters on even money favorite Paphos


David_probert_drops_his_hands_
After my criticism of the Taunton Stewards yesterday It will be interesting to see the reaction of stewards at Lingfield Park towards David Probert dropping his hands on Paphos believing the race to be won in the opener.


Speaking through the pocket with a 2 point win for subscribers of The Actuary Horse Racing Tips at 9-4, certainly not! I have almost become apathetically unemotional over jockey malpractice.


If you believe Robert Hawker was deserving of a 12 day ban, you wouldn't be expecting to see David Probert much before the summer. Consistency among stewards is not their strong suit and I fear that it will be no more than a month at most.

Backers of Paphos have done their money and Probert will simply shrug it off and be free to do the same again when he next chooses to have a break. How about a public apology? That would go along way in making me feel better.