It was some time ago that I last wrote on the subject of VDW
(Click this link if youneed to be enlightened on VDW) after trialling my own interpretation of the
method back in September 2012 with remarkable success (£2,948.00 profit in one day for The Actuary
subscribers).
The need to re-interpret was necessary
as much had changed in racing since 1981-82 when VDW penned these articles to Tony
Peach the editor of Raceform Forum page.
I explained to all those involved in
September 2012, to their dissatisfaction, that more due diligence was required
before we had a working method. As my preferred
test time would usually be a least a year, it could be viewed as a little
premature to go live with this after just 9 months. Fortunately, or
unfortunately, depending on what side of the line of caution you fall on, the
following day’s results vindicated my decision.
Why now?
On the back of months of stable and
very profitable results and a very pleasing strike rate, I feel comfortable in
putting this forward as a finished method. There may be the odd occasion when
there will be a need for a little tweak.
Changes
Having toyed with the VDW method
since the 1980s, I feel well placed to make a judgement call on changing the calculations
of form figures to a calculation on lengths beaten. Let’s face it, form figures of 753 = 15 can
hide some nasty surprises if the horse was beaten over 10 lengths on all of
these outings!
I have also changed the calculation
on winning prize money as there is no longer the disparity that once existed.
What I have devised to replace this I will keep to myself for the time being
but all will be revealed on the 1st June 2013 when subscribers will
have the first glimpse for the Lingfield Park card.
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